Daily Analysis 20250214

February 14th, 2025

S&P 500 nears record, Dow, Nasdaq jump as Trump announces reciprocal tariffs, delays implementation

US stocks moved higher on Thursday after President Donald Trump said he plans to introduce reciprocal tariffs but delayed their implementation, while investors digested another report that suggested inflation is once again heating up.

Dow……44711 +342.9 +0.77%
Nasdaq 19946 +295.7 +1.50%
S&P 500 6115 +63.1 +1.04%

FTSE…..8765 -42.7 -0.49%
Dax……22612 +463.99 +2.09%
CAC……8164 +121.9 +1.52%

Nikkei…39461 +497.8 +1.28%
HSI……21814 -43.6 -0.20%
Shanghai.3332 -13.9 -0.42%

IDX…6613.57 -32.21 -0.48%
LQ45…769.73 -6.58 -0.85%
IDX30.399.02 -2.27 -0.57%

IDXEnergy…..2553.36 -0.36 -0.01%
IDX BscMat..1125.55 +8.98 +0.80%
IDX Indstrl… .935.64 +4.53 +0.49%
IDXNONCYC.697.85 -0.67 -0.10%
IDX Hlthcare1380.53 +13.72 +1.00%
IDXCYCLC…803.06 +6.69 +0.84%
IDX Techno.4598.27 -9.02 -0.20%
IDX Transp ..1186.25 -7.65 -0.64%
IDX Infrast 1343.30. +7.54 +0.56%
IDX Finance1348.57 -2.37 -0.18%
IDX Banking1065.77 -6.13 -0.57%
IDX Property. 736 +11.7 +1.61%

Indo10Yr.6.9040❗️+0.0059 +0.09%
ICBI….399.6979❗️-0.0778 +0.02%
US2Yr.4.309 +0.048 -1.10%
US5Yr 4.391 -0.078 -1.75%
US10Yr4.526 -0.101 -2.18%
US30Yr.4.741 -0.091 -1.88%
VIX..15.10 -0.79 -4.97%❗️

USDIndx 107.0450❗️-0.933 -0.86%
Como Indx..313.19 +1.61 +0.52%
BCOMIN..148.79 +0.46 +0.31%

IndoCDS…75.20❗️-0.99 -1.30%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/02)

IDR…….16361.00❗️-15.00 -0.09 %
Jisdor..16365.00❗️+1.00 +0.006%

Euro…1.0468 +0.0081 +0.78%

TLKM…15.21 unch +0%
( 2489)
EIDO….17.59 +0.13 +0.74%
EEM…..44.07 +0.27 +0.62%

Oil………71.29 +0.07 +0.10%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………75.33 +0.22 +0.29%
(Brent)
Gold…2946.40‼️+12.80 +0.44%
(Comex)
Gold…2927.89‼️ +24.15 +0.83%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.31.58100 +417.00 +1.34%
(Closed 12/02)
.Nickel.15427.38 -32.50 -0.21%
(Closed 13/02)
Silver……32.73 +0.04 +0.09%
Copper..477.80 +8.25 +1.76%

Iron Ore 62% 107.26 +0.94 +0.88%
(12/02)
Nturl Gas ..3.647 +0.207 +6.02%‼️
Ammonia China. 2376.67 +6.67 +0.28%
(Domestic Price)(13/02)

Coal price.104.30 -0.20 -0.19%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.106.30 -1.10 -1.02%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 109.45 -1.30 -1.17%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 113.05 -1.30 -1.14%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price 102.15 -0.95 -0.92%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 100.35 -1.90 -1.86%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 100.10 -1.70 -1.67%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price 100.30 -1.85 -1.81%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr) 4556 -68 -1.47%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………506.00 +2.00 +0.40%
SoybeanOil 46.68 +0.55 +1.19%
Wheat…..592.00 +4.00 +0.68%

Wood pulp…..6700 unch +0%
(Closed 13/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo, europe inggris merah, asia cuma jepang ijo, us treasury bond yield drop, harusnya sih ijo IHSG hari ini

USD index down, metal2 up kecuali nickel, oil up gas up coal down cpo down, semoga AKRA jalan lagi, kita tunggu momentum re-entry

IHSG – Masih jelek, cuma 833 buy, memang mantul dari support kuat tapi belum firm reversal, reg bull div belum confirmed, masih NFS, sabar jangan aggressive dulu walau harga udah pada menarik buat diborong

Technology gorengannya udahan dulu, consumer non-cyclicals juga mulai slow, kita tunggu financials

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBTN JSMR PGEO SIDO TOWR BMTR BNGA BTPS ERAA GJTL HMSP MIKA SILO SMRA SSIA ULTJ, Big accum PGEO BNGA BTPS GJTL MIKA

MACD Buy Signal: ANTM SIDO PANI SILO, big accum ANTM

PGEO – abis hype nya selesai, terjun bebas, jadi mulai masuk akal lagi harganya. Stoch buy macd belum, MFI down w% up BD acc FNS ada spike, regbulldiv belum confirmed, masih belum firm reversal sih ini, tapi kita liat dulu spike

nope, belum saatnya

BNGA – menarik, stoch buy macd rev up, MFI up, w% up, BD FF rev acc, ada spike, double bottom mantul, reg bull div confirmed by 2 bull candle and mungkin ma10 tudei

Spike ok ada 2 spike dengan target sama 1940

Tapi saya sudah masuk di BBCA, ga masuk lagi di BNGA deh, yang mau masuk tapi bisa spec buy di 1690

BTPS – menarik banget, dari kemaren udah diulas… Stoch buy macd buy bd acc ada spike tapi MFI masih down, masih FNS, belum breakout darvas box. belum bisa full load

Spike nya ok, bisa spec buy di 900 gitu tunggu breakout nambah, kalo failed dan break kebawah cutloss

GJTL – saham layak invest, stoch hari ini rev sell, belum closed sih, macd rev up, MFI sw, w% up, BD FF rev acc ada spike, IHSN, abc correctionn done, reg bull div jalan, almost perfect sih buat swing

Spike banyak dan cenderung masih sideways, pas buat cari hajatan breakout setelah spike

Average aman, berani swing