Daily Analysis 20250702

Daily Analysis 20250702

Good morning,

July 02nd, 2025

US stocks were mixed on Tuesday as President Trump’s massive budget bill passed in the Senate and Wall Street watched for progress on trade talks.

Dow…..44495 +400.2 +0.91%
Nasdaq 20203 -166.9 -0.82%
S&P 500 6198 -6.9 -0.11%

FTSE…..8785 +24.37 +0.28%
Dax…..23673 -236.3 -0.99%
CAC…..7663 -3.3 -0.04%

Nikkei….39987 -501.1 -1.24%
HSI………24072 closed +0%
Shanghai.3458 +13.3 +0.39%

IDX..6915.36 -12.32 -0.18%
LQ45..770.58 -2.07 -0.27%
IDX30.396.88 -1.97 -0.49%

IDXEnergy.2719.25 -10.47 -0.38%
IDX BscMat1485.44 +5.02 +0.34%
IDX Indstr…..909.44 -5.80 -0.63%
IDXNONCYC.667.29 -3.32 -0.50%
IDX Hlthcare1496.13 +1.05. +0.07%
IDXCYCLC…722.72 +4.93 +0.69%
IDX Techno.6552.32 +17.33 +0.27%
IDX Transp 1428.84 -27.33 -1.88%
IDX Infrast .1417.55 -0.95 -0.07%
IDX Finance.1349.89 -10.57 -0.78%
IDX Banking 1009.74 -13.80 -1.35%
IDX Property..721 -3.00 -0.42%

Indo10Yr.6.7090 -0.0274 -0.41%👍
ICBI….414.5355 +0.5360 +0.13%👍
US2Yr.3.773 +0.046 +1.23%
US5Yr 3.833 +0.032 +0.84%
US10Yr4.246 +0.017 +0.40%
US30Yr.4. 764 -0.014 -0.29%
VIX..16.83 +0.10 +0.60%

USDIndx..96.8190❗️+0.029 +0.03%
Como Indx.296.05 -1.23 -0.41%
BCOMIN..148.42 -0.09 -0.06%

IndoCDS 5yr.77.51 -1.01 -1.29%
(5-yr INOCD5) (01/07)

IDR…….16199.50👍 -38.50 -0.24%
Jisdor…16192.00👍 -39.00 -0.24%

Euro..1.1806❗️ +0.0025 +0.21%

TLKM..17.15 +0.21 +1.24%
( 2776)
EIDO….17.49 -0.14 -0.79%
EEM…48.33 +0.09 +0.19%

Oil…65.53❗️+0.58 +0.89%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…67.11❗️ -0.50 -0.74%
(Brent)

Gold.3348.00‼️ +32.90 +0.99%
(Comex)
Gold.3338.68 ‼️+35.54 +1.08%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..33661.00 -55.00 -0.16%
(Closed 01/07)
Nickel…15175.38 -20.75 -0.14%
(Closed 01/07)
Silver….36.20 -0.13 -0.36%
Copper.509.75 +1.50 +0.30%

Iron Ore 62% .93.41 -1.08 -1.14%
(01/07)

Nturl Gas .3.419 -0.035 -1.01%
Ammonia China.2370.00 – -%
(Domestic Price 01/07)

Coal price.111.80 +1.90 +1.73%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price113.40 +2.25 +2.02%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 114.55 +1.75 +1.55%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.116.15 +2.50 +2.20%
(Okt/Newcastle)

Coal price.107.50 +0.25 +0.23%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 107.95 +0.20 +0.19%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.108.30 unch +0%
(Sep/Rotterdam)
Coal price.108.70 unch +0%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep) 3970 -17 -0.43%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..409.25 -2.25 -0.55%
SoybeanOil 52.76 +0.14 +0.27%
Wheat…538.25 -2.50 -0.46%

Wood pulp…5950.00 unch +0%
(Closed 01/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI up nasdaq down, europe mostly down, asia varied, IHSG down, US treasury bond yield up, kayanya IHSG merah lagi hari ini

USD index up, gold copper juga up, metal2 lain down, oil up gas down coal up, kita lihat perkembangan energy

IHSG – stoch buy, yang lain belum ok, BD flat, FNS, ada 2 gap di bawah, jangan terburu2, kita tunggu big banks mantul

Mulai pada melemah, yang masih arahnya bagus Consumer Cyclicals, Consumer Non-Cyclicals sama Financials malah, semoga bener big banks mantul jadi index jalan

Oil Price – flat, macd masih down, masih wait and see, saya masih hold akra setengah, nunggu momentum masuk full load

Coal Price – alligator up, macd rev up, beberapa kali macd sell terus buy lagi, dengan posisi price naik terus pelan2, sepertinya sih akan lanjut ke atas

Stochastic Buy Signal: BRPT EXCL GOTO INDF MBMA MDKA SMGR BTPS HEAL KIJA NCKL SSIA TINS, big accum BTPS

MACD Buy Signal: ICBP SIDO UNTR MAPA MIKA SSMS, big accum UNTR MAPA MIKA

Daily Analysis 20250623

Daily Analysis 20250623

Good morning,

June 23th 2025

Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq futures slide, oil rises after US strikes on Iran

US stock futures opened lower Sunday evening, as President Trump’s decision to enter the US into the Israel-Iran conflict threw a fresh bout of uncertainty into a market rushing to grapple with the aftereffects.

Dow…..42207 +36.2 +0.08%
Nasdaq 19447 -98.9 -0.51%
S&P 500 5968 -13.03 -0.22%

Dow Fut 42.424 -91.00. -0.21%

FTSE…..8775 -17.2 -0.20%
Dax…..23351 +293.2 +1.27%
CAC…..7590 +36.2 +0.48%

Nikkei….38403 -85.1 -0.22%
HSI………23531 +292.7 +1.26%
Shanghai.3360 -2.2 -0.07%

IDX..6907.14 -61.50 -0.88%
LQ45..764.93 -9.88 -1.28%
IDX30.397.09 -4.54 -1.13%

IDXEnergy.2806.46 -26.39 -0.95%
IDX BscMat1454.83 -26.94 -1.82%
IDX Indstr…..914.25 -1.05 -0.11%
IDXNONCYC.659.11 -4.38 -0.66%
IDX Hlthcare1456.93-12.31 -0.84%
IDXCYCLC…712.56 -3.81 -0.53%
IDX Techno.6652.71 -10.44 -0.16%
IDX Transp 1425.57 +22.01 +1.57%
IDX Infrast .1393.23 -18.19 -1.29%
IDX Finance.1358.58 -7.78 -0.57%
IDX Banking 1023.77 -7.37 -0.71%
IDX Property..725 -9.30 -1.26%

Indo10Yr.6.7901+0.0158 +0.23%
ICBI….411.9429 -0.2517 -0.06%
US2Yr.3.904 -0.035 -0.88%
US5Yr 3.959 -0.027 -0.68%
US10Yr4.376 -0.012 -0.27%
US30Yr.4.889 -0.002 -0.04%
VIX..20.62 -1.55 -6.99%‼️

USDIndx..99.0620 -0.157 +0.16%
Como Indx.312.53 -1.87 -0.59%
BCOMIN..144.13 -0.32 -0.22%

IndoCDS 5yr.82.09‼️ +2.18 +2.73%
(5-yr INOCD5) (22/06)

IDR…….16.396.50❗️-9.50 -0.06%
Jisdor…16.399.00❗️+21.00 +0.13%

Euro..1.1486 -0.0090 -0.08%

TLKM..16.04 -0.60 -3.61%‼️
( 2630)
EIDO….17.18 -0.69 -3.86%‼️
EEM..46.33 -0.27 -0.58%

Oil…75.23 +1.09 +1.45%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…79.48 +0.63 +0.79%
(Brent)

Gold.3394.760 +11.10 +0.33%
(Comex)
Gold.3375.81 ; +10.63 +0.32%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..32683.00 +674.00 +2.11%
(Closed 20/06)
Nickel…14965.63 -37.75 -0.25%
(Closed 20/06)
Silver….36.28 -0.11 -0.30%
Copper.485.15 -1.20 -0.25%

Iron Ore 62% .94.77 +0.06 +0.06%
(20/06)

Nturl Gas .3.847 -0.229 -5.62%‼️
Ammonia China.2353.33 -6.67 -0.28%
(Domestic Price 20/06)

Coal price.106.60 -0.40 -0.37%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.112.25 unch +0%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price113.50 +0.20 +0.18%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 115.10 -0.10 -0.09%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price 103.75 +0.25 +0.24%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.107.05 +0.10 +0.09%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 107.80 +0.30 +0.28%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.108.45 +0.50 +0.51%
(Sep/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep) 4115 +11 +0.27%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..441.25 -2.75. -0.62%
SoybeanOil 55.10 -0.30 -0.54%
Wheat….583.50 -7.00 -1.19%

Wood pulp…6083.33 -6.67 -0.11%
(Closed 20/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Jum’at closing DJI up nasdaq down europe lebih banyak up, asia banyak down, israel-iran masih tegang, wave 2 masih lanjut, target 6538, US treasury bond yield down, tapi curiga berat buat stimulus IHSG ijo

USD index up gold tin iron ore up, nickel silver copper down, oil up, gas down, coal newcastle down, rotterdam up, tapi normalnya akan naik karena suasana perang, CPO up tapi saham CPO belum gerak

IHSG – all bad, vol naik sih tapi candle merah, exit beneran. Keliatannya target wave 2 di closing gap 6538

Koq bisa kebaca Financials ada gerakan, BBRI BBCA nyungsep, tapi emang sih ada BTPS sama apa lagi gitu naik. Consumer Cyclicals, Industrials, Infrastructure, Property, Technology

Daily Analysis 20250217

Daily Analysis 20250217

February 17th, 2025

The S&P 500 chugged to a record high last week as new inflation data signaled good news about the Federal Reserve’s rate cut plans.

For the week, the Nasdaq Composite rose more than 2.5%, while the S&P 500 added just under 1.5%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added about 0.5%.

Dow……44546 -165.4 -0.37%
Nasdaq 20027 +81.1 +0.41%
S&P 500 6115 -0.4 -0.01%

FTSE…..8732 -32.3 -0.37%
Dax……22513 -98.6 -0.44%
CAC……8179 +14.4 +0.18%

Nikkei…39149 -312.04 -0.79%
HSI…..22620 +805.96 +3.69%‼️
Shanghai.3347 +14.2 +0.43%

IDX…6638.46 +24.89 +0.38%
LQ45…772.41+2.68 +0.35%
IDX30.400.76 +1.73. +0.43%

IDXEnergy…..2574.90 +21.53 +0.84%
IDX BscMat..1137.73 +12.18 +1.08%
IDX Indstrl… .946.43 +10.79 +1.15%
IDXNONCYC.698.60 +0.75 +0.11%
IDX Hlthcare1372.47 -8.07 -0.58%
IDXCYCLC…806.05 +2.99 +0.37%
IDX Techno.4639.79 +41.52 +0.90%
IDX Transp ..1206.51 +20.26 +1.71%
IDX Infrast 1346.24. +2.94 +0.22%
IDX Finance1356.60 +8.03 +0.60%
IDX Banking1069.9) +4.82 +0.45%
IDX Property. 745 +8.8 +1.19%

Indo10Yr.6.8439❗️-0.0601 -0.87%
ICBI….400.8471👍+1.1492 +0.29%
US2Yr.4.309 +0.048 -1.10%
US5Yr 4.391 -0.078 -1.75%
US10Yr4.526 -0.101 -2.18%
US30Yr.4.741 -0.091 -1.88%
VIX..14.77❗️ -0.33 -2.19%

USDIndx 106.7100❗️-0.335 -0.31%
Como Indx..312.08 -1.11 -0.35%
BCOMIN..148.06 -0.73 -0.49%

IndoCDS…70.75👍-2.49 -3.40%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (14/02)

IDR…….16285.00❗️-110.00 -0.67%
Jisdor..16285.00❗️-80.00 -0.49%

Euro…1.0492 +0.0024 +0.23%

TLKM…15.52 +0.31 +2.01%
( 2527)
EIDO….17.67 +0.07 +0.37%
EEM…..44.07 +0.27 +0.62%

Oil………70.74 -0.55 -0.77%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………74.74 -0.59 -0.78%
(Brent)
Gold…2900.70‼️-45.70 -1.55%
(Comex)
Gold…2882.53‼️ -45.36 -1.55%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.32.66200‼️ +681.00 +2.13%
(Closed 14/02)
.Nickel.15487.63 +100.75 +0.67%
(Closed 14/02)
Silver……32.85 +0.12 +0.36%
Copper..471.30 -6.50 -1.36%

Iron Ore 62% 106.83 – -%
(14/02)
Nturl Gas ..3.725 +0.078 +2.14%
Ammonia China. 2376.67 + -%
(Domestic Price)(14/02)

Coal price.102.75 -1.55 -1.49%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.105.10 -1.20 -1.13%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 108.10 -1.35 -1.23%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 111.00 -2.05 -1.81%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price 101.45 -0.70 -0.69%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price .99.70 -0.65 -0.65%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 99.35 -0.75 -0.75%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price. 99.90 -0.40 -0.40%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(May) 4502 +45 +1.01%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………508.75 +2.75 +0.54%
SoybeanOil 46.52 -0.16 -0.34%
Wheat…..613.50 +21.50 +3.63%

Wood pulp…..6700 unch +0%
(Closed 14/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

SP500 gerak bikin record baru nyusul DJI, DJI nya sendiri merah nasdaq ijo, US treasury bond yield turun, kemungkinan index kita hijau hari ini

USD index down, gold copper down, metal2 lain up, oil down gas up coal down CPO up, beware saham energy masih ditarik2 kebawah

IHSG – masih belum aman, masih NFS, masih jelek indicatornya, stoch rev up, ada gap, dan ada reg bull div. Masih hold cash dulu kecuali yang yakin banget

Banyak yang siap dukung index jalan, Financials, Property, Healthcare, Industrials Basic Materials

Stochastic Buy Signal: ARTO BMRI ICBP INKP ITNP PTBA SMGR TLKM ADMR BSDE MNCN MPMX PTRO PWON, big accum PTBA SMGR TLKM BSDE

MACD buy signal: GGRM PGAS PTBA SMGR UNTR ABMM HMSP SRTG TINS VKTR, big accum GGRM PGAS PTBA SMGR UNTR SRTG TINS VKTR

Daily Analysis 20250214

Daily Analysis 20250214

February 14th, 2025

S&P 500 nears record, Dow, Nasdaq jump as Trump announces reciprocal tariffs, delays implementation

US stocks moved higher on Thursday after President Donald Trump said he plans to introduce reciprocal tariffs but delayed their implementation, while investors digested another report that suggested inflation is once again heating up.

Dow……44711 +342.9 +0.77%
Nasdaq 19946 +295.7 +1.50%
S&P 500 6115 +63.1 +1.04%

FTSE…..8765 -42.7 -0.49%
Dax……22612 +463.99 +2.09%
CAC……8164 +121.9 +1.52%

Nikkei…39461 +497.8 +1.28%
HSI……21814 -43.6 -0.20%
Shanghai.3332 -13.9 -0.42%

IDX…6613.57 -32.21 -0.48%
LQ45…769.73 -6.58 -0.85%
IDX30.399.02 -2.27 -0.57%

IDXEnergy…..2553.36 -0.36 -0.01%
IDX BscMat..1125.55 +8.98 +0.80%
IDX Indstrl… .935.64 +4.53 +0.49%
IDXNONCYC.697.85 -0.67 -0.10%
IDX Hlthcare1380.53 +13.72 +1.00%
IDXCYCLC…803.06 +6.69 +0.84%
IDX Techno.4598.27 -9.02 -0.20%
IDX Transp ..1186.25 -7.65 -0.64%
IDX Infrast 1343.30. +7.54 +0.56%
IDX Finance1348.57 -2.37 -0.18%
IDX Banking1065.77 -6.13 -0.57%
IDX Property. 736 +11.7 +1.61%

Indo10Yr.6.9040❗️+0.0059 +0.09%
ICBI….399.6979❗️-0.0778 +0.02%
US2Yr.4.309 +0.048 -1.10%
US5Yr 4.391 -0.078 -1.75%
US10Yr4.526 -0.101 -2.18%
US30Yr.4.741 -0.091 -1.88%
VIX..15.10 -0.79 -4.97%❗️

USDIndx 107.0450❗️-0.933 -0.86%
Como Indx..313.19 +1.61 +0.52%
BCOMIN..148.79 +0.46 +0.31%

IndoCDS…75.20❗️-0.99 -1.30%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/02)

IDR…….16361.00❗️-15.00 -0.09 %
Jisdor..16365.00❗️+1.00 +0.006%

Euro…1.0468 +0.0081 +0.78%

TLKM…15.21 unch +0%
( 2489)
EIDO….17.59 +0.13 +0.74%
EEM…..44.07 +0.27 +0.62%

Oil………71.29 +0.07 +0.10%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………75.33 +0.22 +0.29%
(Brent)
Gold…2946.40‼️+12.80 +0.44%
(Comex)
Gold…2927.89‼️ +24.15 +0.83%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.31.58100 +417.00 +1.34%
(Closed 12/02)
.Nickel.15427.38 -32.50 -0.21%
(Closed 13/02)
Silver……32.73 +0.04 +0.09%
Copper..477.80 +8.25 +1.76%

Iron Ore 62% 107.26 +0.94 +0.88%
(12/02)
Nturl Gas ..3.647 +0.207 +6.02%‼️
Ammonia China. 2376.67 +6.67 +0.28%
(Domestic Price)(13/02)

Coal price.104.30 -0.20 -0.19%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.106.30 -1.10 -1.02%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 109.45 -1.30 -1.17%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 113.05 -1.30 -1.14%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price 102.15 -0.95 -0.92%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 100.35 -1.90 -1.86%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 100.10 -1.70 -1.67%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price 100.30 -1.85 -1.81%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr) 4556 -68 -1.47%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………506.00 +2.00 +0.40%
SoybeanOil 46.68 +0.55 +1.19%
Wheat…..592.00 +4.00 +0.68%

Wood pulp…..6700 unch +0%
(Closed 13/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo, europe inggris merah, asia cuma jepang ijo, us treasury bond yield drop, harusnya sih ijo IHSG hari ini

USD index down, metal2 up kecuali nickel, oil up gas up coal down cpo down, semoga AKRA jalan lagi, kita tunggu momentum re-entry

IHSG – Masih jelek, cuma 833 buy, memang mantul dari support kuat tapi belum firm reversal, reg bull div belum confirmed, masih NFS, sabar jangan aggressive dulu walau harga udah pada menarik buat diborong

Technology gorengannya udahan dulu, consumer non-cyclicals juga mulai slow, kita tunggu financials

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBTN JSMR PGEO SIDO TOWR BMTR BNGA BTPS ERAA GJTL HMSP MIKA SILO SMRA SSIA ULTJ, Big accum PGEO BNGA BTPS GJTL MIKA

MACD Buy Signal: ANTM SIDO PANI SILO, big accum ANTM