April 16th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq close 1% lower as yields jump, traders await Israel response to Iran

Stocks retreated on Monday as rising yields and worries over the conflict in the Middle East overshadowed strong Goldman Sachs
earnings and hot retail sales data.

Dow……37735 -248.1 -0.65%
Nasdaq15885 -290.1 -1.79%
S&P 500.5062 -61.6 -1.20%

FTSE…..7966 -30.1 -0.38%
Dax……18027 +96.3 +0.54%
CAC……8045 +34.3 +0.43%

Nikkei..39233 -290.8 -0.74%
HSI……16601 -121.2 -0.72%
Shanghai.3057+37.9 +1.26%

IDX…..7286.88 closed +0%
LQ45….963.73 closed +0%
IDX30…488.17 closed +0%

IDXEnergy..2155.81 closed +0%
IDX BscMat1359.61 closed. +0%
IDX Indstrl…1096.75 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.715.36 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare1371.58 closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC…815.23 closed +0%
IDXTechno3513.14 closed +0%
IDX Transp 1444.51 closed +0%
IDX Infrast 1600.91 closed +0%
IDX Finance.1475.65 closed +0%
IDX Banking.1317.47 closed +0%
IDX Property.. 652 closed +0%

Indo10Yr.6.7048 closed +0%
ICBI…379.8860 closed +0%
US2Yr.4.925‼️ +0.013 +0.27%
US5Yr 4.627‼️ +0.016 +0.39%
US10Yr4.601‼️ -0.028 -0.61%
US30Yr.4.724‼️+0.016 +0.34%
VIX………19.23 +1.92 +11.09%‼️

USDIndx 106.2080‼️+0.17 +0.16%
Como Indx..298.18 +0.31 +0.10%
BCOMIN..152.51‼️ +1.97 +1.31%

IndoCDS..75.23 +1.01 +1.36%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/04)

IDR…..15848.00‼️closed +0%
Jisdor.15873.00‼️closed +0%

Euro….1.0627‼️ +0.00 +0.03%

TLKM…20.85 +0.10 +0.48%
( 3309)
EIDO……21.48 +0.02 +0.09%
EEM……40.27 -0.27 -0.65%

Oil…….85.90 +0.49 +0.57%
Gold..2401.20 +94.30 +4.08%‼️
(04/04-15/04)
Timah..28935.00 +3418.00 +11.81%‼️
(03/04 ’til 12/04)
Nickel..17991.50 +194.5 +1.09%❗️
(Closed 04/04)
Silver….28.97 +2.03 +7.53%‼️
(04/04 – 15/04)
Copper.437.50 +16.10 +3.77%
(04/04 – 15/04)
Iron Ore 62% 106.05 +5.64 +5.61%‼️
(03/04-12/04)
Nturl Gas..1.686‼️ -0.002 -0.12%
Ammonia China.3216.67 +183.34 +6.04%‼️
(Domestic Price)(04/04 – 12/04)

Coal price.129.75 +0.50 +0.39%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 136.50 +2.75 +2.06%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.20 +3.20 +2.35%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.141.75 +2.50 +1.80%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price..120.70 -0.60 -0.49%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.118.00 -1.25 -1.05%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.118.50 -0.90 -0.75%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 118.55 -1.45 -1.21%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)..4202 -205.00 -4.88%‼️
(04/04 – 15/04)
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….444.25 -3.00 -0.67%
SoybeanOil 46.01 -0.44 -0.95%
Wheat…567.50 -3.00 -0.67%

Wood pulp..5700 unch +0%
(Closed 15/04)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Lama libur, ketemu serangan Iran ke Israel… DJI sudah beberapa hari trun terus, europe varied, asia kebanyakan merah kemaren, IHSG hari ini kayanya akan rada goncang…

Suasana perang, selalu USD naik, commodity terkait energy naik, Bond Yield dan interest rate biasanya naik biar orang keep dana di system. Belum pasti gimana dampak ke BEI, kemungkinan besar akan goyang dulu, baru nanti setelah shock nya lewat yang hubungan sama energy yang jalan

Semua precious metals naik, oil naik, gas turun, coal naik, CPO drop. Normally saya akan hold ANTM erat erat, dan ELSA, dan ADRO, tapi entahlah dengan kondisi sekarang

IHSG – kalo dari elliot wavenya sih, emang jadwal nerusin ABC correction… walau terakhir market closing stoch buy, macd revup, FF rev net buy, tapi kondisi global memanas di saat kita libur bisa jadi efeknya meledak di opening day hari ini

dari sini sih masih jadwalnya basic materials, dan kalo liat metal2 naik ya cocok, tapi masih unpredictable karena suasana global

Stochastic Buy Signal: ANTM BBCA INCO TLKM ELSA IMAS LPPF MIKA SGRO. Big accum ANTM INCO MIKA

MACD buy Signal: PGEO SIDO ADMR BSDE DOID JPFA. Big accum SIDO DOID

February 01st, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes 300 points lower, Nasdaq drops 2% after Fed indicates March rate cut unlikely

Stocks fell on Wednesday after Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell said the central bank likely wouldn’t be ready to cut rates in March.

Dow……38150 -317.01 -0.82%
Nasdaq15164 -345.9 -2.23%
S&P 500.4846 -79.3 -1.61%

FTSE…..7631 -35.7 -0.47%
Dax……16904 -68.6 -0.40%
CAC……7657 -20.7 -0.27%

Nikkei..36286 +19.3 +0.98%
HSI……15485 -218.4 -1.39%
Shanghai.2789 -41.98 -1.48%

IDX…..7207.94 +15.73 +0.22%
LQ45….974.22 +2.52 +0.26%
IDX30…494.71 +0.92 +0.19%

IDXEnergy..2106.35 +8.41 +0.40%
IDX BscMat.1284.06 -0.50 -0.04%
IDX Indstrl…1088.22 +0.41 +0.04%
IDXNONCYC.698.96 +5.21 +0.75%
IDX Hlthcare1316.57 -1.64. -0.12%
IDXCYCLIC…857.34 -1.73 -0.20%
IDX Techno4128.05. +24.13+0.59%
IDX Transp 1587.04 +1.95 +0.12%
IDX Infrast 1523.00 +7.96 +0.53%
IDX Finance.1513.90 +16.67+1.11%
IDX Banking.1326.30 +8.84 +0.67%
IDX Property.. 698 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.6420👍 -0.0135 -0.20%
ICBI…376.5979👍 +0.5122 +0.14%
US2Yr.4.209 -0.130 -2.99%👍
US5Yr 3.839 -0.135 -3.40%👍
US10Yr3.911 -0.125 -3.10%👍
US30Yr.4.173-0.078 -1.83%
VIX…14.35 +1.04 +7.81%‼️

USDIndx 103.2740❗️ -0.123 -0.12%
Como Indx.. – – -%
BCOMIN……139.27 -0.75 -0.54%

IndoCDS..76.70 -0.03 -0.04%
(5-yr INOCD5) (30/01)

IDR…..15782.50‼️ +2.50 +0.02%
Jisdor.15803.00 ‼️+7.00 +0.04%

Euro….1.0814 -0.0030 -0.28%

TLKM…25.16 -0.17 -0.67%
(3976)
EIDO……21.86 +0.11 +0.51%
EEM……38.39 -0.21 -0.54%

Oil…….75.85 -1.97 -2.53%
Gold..2067.40 +12.90 +0.63%
Timah..26006.00 -324.00 -1.22%
(Closed 30/01)
Nickel..16513.50 -246.00 -1.49%
(Closed 31/01)
Silver……23.17 -0.11 -0.47%
Copper.390.60 -0.55 -0.14%

Iron Ore 62% 135.61 +0.06 +0.04%
(30/01)
Nturl Gas..2.134 +0.043 +2.06%
Ammonia China.3236.67 -23.33 -0.72%
(Domestic Price)(29/01/02)

Coal price 116.50 -3.05 -2.55%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.118.10 -2.40 -1.99%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 117.70 -2.70 -2.24%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice.117.55 -2.25 -1.88%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .99.60 +3.45 +3.59%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..96.90 +3.25 +3.47%‼️
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..93.65 +2.55 +2.80%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..91.70 +0.95 +1.05%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3792 -47 -1.22%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……448.25 +0.50 +0.11%
SoybeanOil 46.02 +0.02 +0.04%
Wheat….595.50 -10.25 -1.69%

Wood pulp..5092.00 +16 +0.32%
(Closed 31/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah dalem, Europe merah, Asa china merah, jepang indo ijo. Bond rates turun jauh, USD index turun, bagus ini buat saham, tapi koq US merah ya

metal2 pada turun kecuali gold, aneh lagi, oil merah, gas ijo, coal newcastle merah, rotterdam ijo, CPO lanjut merah. AALI LSIP keluar dari LQ45 K100, wah rusak ini…

IHSG – lanjut NFB, stoch rev up, macd rev up, MFI sw, w%up,BD sw, ga tahu berapa panjang ini wave B mau jalan, minimum nya udah done sih sama upper shadow candle kemaren

Basic Materials, Healthcare, Infrastructure… Consumer Non-Cyclicals slown down

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBCA BBRI BMRI BRIS GOTO MEDC PGAS AGRO ENRG MNCN MYOR PTPP PWON TKIM. Big acc BBRI BRIS GOTO PGAS

MACD Buy Signal: BBNI ICBP MTEL PGAS, big accum semua

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: ICBP PGAS MIKA

January 17th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 200 points lower Tuesday after 10-year Treasury yield tops 4%

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell Tuesday as bond yields ticked higher and Wall Street pored through the latest batch of fourth-quarter earnings.

Dow……37361 -231.9 -0.62%
Nasdaq14944 -28.4 -0.19%
S&P 500.4766 -17.9 -0.37%

FTSE…..7558 -36.6 -0.48%
Dax……16572 -50.5 -0.30%
CAC……7398 -13.7 -0.18%

Nikkei..35619 -15.42 -0.78%
HSI…….15866 -350.4 -2.16%
Shanghai.2894 +7.7 +0.27%

IDX…..7242.79 +18.70 +0.26%
LQ45….975.39 +1.34 +0.14%
IDX30…502.80 -0.35 -0.07%

IDXEnergy..2194.91 .91 +1.06%
IDX BscMat.1249.83 +0.41 +0.03%
IDX Indstrl…1127.74 +11.77+1.06%
IDXNONCYC.707.91 +1.34 +0.19%
IDX Hlthcare1310.72 -25.74 -1.93%
IDXCYCLIC…864.61 +8.98 +1.05%
IDX Techno4310.93 -26.38 -0.61%
IDX Transp 1710.92 -0.81 -0.05%
IDX Infrast 1534.48 +2.42 +0.16%
IDX Finance.1512.23 -4.22 -0.28%
IDX Banking.1331.17 -1.46 -0.11%
IDX Property.. 714 +1.40 +0.19%

Indo10Yr.6.6805 +0.0229 +0.34%
ICBI…375.0189 +0.0247 -0.01%
US2Yr.4.222 +0.076 +1.83%
US5Yr 3.934 +0.102 +2.66%
US10Yr4.064 +0.078 +1.96%
US30Yr.4.297 +0.122 +2.92%
VIX….13.84 +0.59 +4.45%‼️

USDIndx 103.3570❗️ +0.953 +0.93%
Como Indx..264.30 -0.08 -0.03%
BCOMIN……136.24 +0.24 +1.29%

IndoCDS..74.21 -0.02 -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/01)

IDR…..15592.50 +37.50 +0.24%
Jisdor.15592.00 +37.00 +0.24%

Euro….1.0877 -0.0072 -0.66%

TLKM…25.80 -0.12 -0.43%
(4033)
EIDO……22.44 -0.21 -0.93%
EEM……38.25 -0.95 -2.42%

Oil……..72.40 -0.10 -0.14%
Gold..2030.20 -28.80 -1.40%
Timah..24781.00 +150.00 +0.61%
(Closed 15/01)
Nickel..16227.00 +59.5 +0.37%
(Closed 16/01)
Silver……23.09 -0.24 -1.01%
Copper.376.65 -1.75 -0.46%

Iron Ore 62% 137.22 – -%
(12/01)
Nturl Gas..2.829 -0.277 -8.92%‼️
Ammonia China.3183.33‼️ -66.67 -2.05%
(Domestic Price)(15/02)

Coal price.129.50 -0.35 -0.39%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 127.40 +1.15 +0.91%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.127.25: +1.00 +0.80%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 125.85 +0.85 +0.68%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.107.75 +0.25 +0.23%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.75 +2.25 +2.22%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price..100.85 +1.80 +1.82%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price…99.30 +1.80 +1.85%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3881 +61 +1.61%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……443.50 -3.50 -0.78%
SoybeanOil 48.25 -1.00 -2.07%
Wheat…582.00 -14.00 -2.35%

Wood pulp..5054.00+4.00 +0.10%
(Closed 16/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Weh, US lanjut merah, europe juga, asia cenderung merah, yang ijo tipis. IHSG kemaren ijo, jadi kemungkinan merah lagi hari ini.

US Bond rate up rada tingi, bad for stocks, USD index juga naik, bad for commodities in general. Kebanyakan metal down kecuali Tin and Nickel, Oil down, Gas Drop, tapi Coal and CPO up. Good for ADRO PTBA ITMG INDY AALI LSIP

IHSG – stoch down macd down MFI sw, w% sw, BD sw, FNB, hidden bullish divergence, 833 buy, semoga rada ada dorongannya minimal ga dibanting, sideways correction aja

Still financials, energy, yang ketangkep kemaren beli KLBF ini mulai keliatan healthcare mau bangun. Property yang kayanya udahan

January 15th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 100 points lower Friday, ekes out a weekly gain

The Dow Jones industrial Average
slipped Friday as traders parsed through the first batch of fourth-quarter earnings and digested the second in a pair of closely watched inflation reports this week.

Dow……37593 -118.04 -0.31%
Nasdaq14973 +2.6 +0.02%
S&P 500.4784 +3.6 +0.08%

FTSE…..7625 +48.3 +0.64%
Dax……16705 +157.5 +0.95%
CAC……7465 +77.5 +1.05%

Nikkei..35577 +527.3 +1.50%
HSI…….16245 -57.5 -0.35%
Shanghai.2882 -4.7 -0.16%

IDX…..7241.14 +21.17 +0.29%
LQ45….977.82 +7.88 +0.81%
IDX30…504.26 +5.06 +1.01%

IDXEnergy..2177.36 +16.81 +0.78%
IDX BscMat.1249.16 +9.25 +0.75%
IDX Indstrl…1115.97 +9.35 +0.84%
IDXNONCYC.704.84 -0.56 -0.08%
IDX Hlthcare1346.70 -2.44 -0.18%
IDXCYCLIC…858.20 -2.68 -0.31%
IDX Techno4336.56 -7.28 -0.17%
IDX Transp 1661.66 -17.61 -1.05%
IDX Infrast 1535.15 -14.66 -0.95%
IDX Finance.1524.48+1.99 +0.13%
IDX Banking.1334.79+12.45 +0.94%
IDX Property.. 717 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.6708 -0.0251 -0.37%
ICBI…374.6673 +0.5618 +0.15%
US2Yr.4.149 -0.103 -2.42%
US5Yr 3.832 -0.049 -1.26%
US10Yr3.939 -0.029 -0.73%
US30Yr.4.175-0.038 -0.85%
VIX….12.70 +0.26 +2.09%

USDIndx 102.4040 +0.092 +0.09%
Como Indx..264.38 +0.28 +0.11%
BCOMIN……136.00 -0.75 -0.55%

IndoCDS..74.23‼️ -0.03 -0.04%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/01)

IDR…..15550.00 +1.50 +0.01%
Jisdor.15559.00 +1.00 +0.01%

Euro….1.0951 -0.0023 -0.21%

TLKM…25.93 +0.26 +1.01%
(4034)
EIDO….22.64 +0.25 +1.12%
EEM….39.20 +0.14 +0.36%

Oil……..72.68 +0.67 +0.92%
Gold..2051.60 +32.40 +1.60%
Timah..24631.00 +77.00 +0.31%
(Closed 12/01)
Nickel..16310.00 -142 -0.86%
(Closed 12/01)
Silver……23.33 +0.62 +2.75%
Copper.374.05 -3.60 -0.95%

Iron Ore 62% 137.22 -1.63 -1.17%
(12/01)
Nturl Gas..3.331 +0.301 +9.93%‼️
Ammonia China.3250.00‼️ -56.67 -1.71%
(Domestic Price)(12/02)

Coal price.130.85 +0.10 +0.08%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 127.25 +1.00 +0.79%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.125.75 +0.50 +0.40%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 125.20 +0.50 +0.40%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.108.80 +2.30 +2.16%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 105.25 +2.95 +2.88%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price.102.95 +2.75 +2.74%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price.101.00 +2.95 +3.01%‼️
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)..3854 +58 +1.53%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……447.00 -10.75 -2.35%
SoybeanOil 48.25 -0.47 -0.96%
Wheat…596.00 -7.75 -1.28%

Wood pulp..5050.00 unch +0%
(Closed 14/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US DJI merah nasdaq S&P500 ijo tipis, europe ijo, asia varied. US bond rates turun, USD index naik dikit, masih bisa kemana mana hari ini, kalo ikut closing US merah, tapi bond turun biasanya saham naik

Gold akhirnya ijo rada tebel, tin silver ijo, nickel copper iron ore merah, oil up gas jump, coal naik dikit, CPO lanjut ijo lagi. Kayanya udah harusnya AALI LSIP lari ini. ANTM MDKA chartnya masih belum ok, semoga mulai turnaround dengan harga emas yang naik

IHSG – Stoch down macd down,833 buy, MFI sw,w% sw, bd dist, FNB, minor sih up kayanya, tapi belum beres ABC correction, mungkin sekarang di wave B, belum firm… Keliatannya akan test support 7046, area belanja pas mantul dari situ

Arahnya menarik Financials, Consumer Cyclicals, Energy, Technology.

ADRO terlihat mau nyusul,kita check later, coal yang lain terlihat jenuh

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO KLBF MEDC AVIA BTPS HEAL JPFA PNLF, yang big accum ADRO AVIA BTPS, spike AVIA

MACD Buy Signal: ASII BBRI GOTO DSNG OMED UNIC, ASII spike, BBRI big accum

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: BBCA BMRI INCO MEDC UNTR AVIA ELSA, spike INCO

Supertrend Buy Signal: ESSA BTPS