April 16th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq close 1% lower as yields jump, traders await Israel response to Iran

Stocks retreated on Monday as rising yields and worries over the conflict in the Middle East overshadowed strong Goldman Sachs
earnings and hot retail sales data.

Dow……37735 -248.1 -0.65%
Nasdaq15885 -290.1 -1.79%
S&P 500.5062 -61.6 -1.20%

FTSE…..7966 -30.1 -0.38%
Dax……18027 +96.3 +0.54%
CAC……8045 +34.3 +0.43%

Nikkei..39233 -290.8 -0.74%
HSI……16601 -121.2 -0.72%
Shanghai.3057+37.9 +1.26%

IDX…..7286.88 closed +0%
LQ45….963.73 closed +0%
IDX30…488.17 closed +0%

IDXEnergy..2155.81 closed +0%
IDX BscMat1359.61 closed. +0%
IDX Indstrl…1096.75 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.715.36 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare1371.58 closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC…815.23 closed +0%
IDXTechno3513.14 closed +0%
IDX Transp 1444.51 closed +0%
IDX Infrast 1600.91 closed +0%
IDX Finance.1475.65 closed +0%
IDX Banking.1317.47 closed +0%
IDX Property.. 652 closed +0%

Indo10Yr.6.7048 closed +0%
ICBI…379.8860 closed +0%
US2Yr.4.925‼️ +0.013 +0.27%
US5Yr 4.627‼️ +0.016 +0.39%
US10Yr4.601‼️ -0.028 -0.61%
US30Yr.4.724‼️+0.016 +0.34%
VIX………19.23 +1.92 +11.09%‼️

USDIndx 106.2080‼️+0.17 +0.16%
Como Indx..298.18 +0.31 +0.10%
BCOMIN..152.51‼️ +1.97 +1.31%

IndoCDS..75.23 +1.01 +1.36%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/04)

IDR…..15848.00‼️closed +0%
Jisdor.15873.00‼️closed +0%

Euro….1.0627‼️ +0.00 +0.03%

TLKM…20.85 +0.10 +0.48%
( 3309)
EIDO……21.48 +0.02 +0.09%
EEM……40.27 -0.27 -0.65%

Oil…….85.90 +0.49 +0.57%
Gold..2401.20 +94.30 +4.08%‼️
(04/04-15/04)
Timah..28935.00 +3418.00 +11.81%‼️
(03/04 ’til 12/04)
Nickel..17991.50 +194.5 +1.09%❗️
(Closed 04/04)
Silver….28.97 +2.03 +7.53%‼️
(04/04 – 15/04)
Copper.437.50 +16.10 +3.77%
(04/04 – 15/04)
Iron Ore 62% 106.05 +5.64 +5.61%‼️
(03/04-12/04)
Nturl Gas..1.686‼️ -0.002 -0.12%
Ammonia China.3216.67 +183.34 +6.04%‼️
(Domestic Price)(04/04 – 12/04)

Coal price.129.75 +0.50 +0.39%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 136.50 +2.75 +2.06%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.20 +3.20 +2.35%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.141.75 +2.50 +1.80%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price..120.70 -0.60 -0.49%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.118.00 -1.25 -1.05%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.118.50 -0.90 -0.75%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 118.55 -1.45 -1.21%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)..4202 -205.00 -4.88%‼️
(04/04 – 15/04)
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….444.25 -3.00 -0.67%
SoybeanOil 46.01 -0.44 -0.95%
Wheat…567.50 -3.00 -0.67%

Wood pulp..5700 unch +0%
(Closed 15/04)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Lama libur, ketemu serangan Iran ke Israel… DJI sudah beberapa hari trun terus, europe varied, asia kebanyakan merah kemaren, IHSG hari ini kayanya akan rada goncang…

Suasana perang, selalu USD naik, commodity terkait energy naik, Bond Yield dan interest rate biasanya naik biar orang keep dana di system. Belum pasti gimana dampak ke BEI, kemungkinan besar akan goyang dulu, baru nanti setelah shock nya lewat yang hubungan sama energy yang jalan

Semua precious metals naik, oil naik, gas turun, coal naik, CPO drop. Normally saya akan hold ANTM erat erat, dan ELSA, dan ADRO, tapi entahlah dengan kondisi sekarang

IHSG – kalo dari elliot wavenya sih, emang jadwal nerusin ABC correction… walau terakhir market closing stoch buy, macd revup, FF rev net buy, tapi kondisi global memanas di saat kita libur bisa jadi efeknya meledak di opening day hari ini

dari sini sih masih jadwalnya basic materials, dan kalo liat metal2 naik ya cocok, tapi masih unpredictable karena suasana global

Stochastic Buy Signal: ANTM BBCA INCO TLKM ELSA IMAS LPPF MIKA SGRO. Big accum ANTM INCO MIKA

MACD buy Signal: PGEO SIDO ADMR BSDE DOID JPFA. Big accum SIDO DOID

March 13th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow jumps more than 200 points, S&P 500 pops 1% for new closing high as Nvidia resurges

Stocks jumped Tuesday after fresh U.S. inflation data was about in line with expectations, clearing the way for investors to resume buying high-flying tech names such as Nvidia and Meta Platforms.

Dow……39005 +235.8 +0.61%
Nasdaq16266 +246.4 +1.54%
S&P 500.5175 +57.3 +1.12%

FTSE…..7748 +78.6 +1.02%
Dax……17965 +218.8 +1.23%
CAC……8087 +67.8 +0.84%

Nikkei..38798 -22.98. O -0.23%
HSI……17093 +505.9 +3.05%
Shanghai.3055 -12.5 -0.41%

IDX…..7394.31 closed +0%
LQ45..1000.35 closed +0%
IDX30…508.41 closed +0%

IDXEnergy..2138.32 closed +0%
IDX BscMat.1271.69 closed +0%
IDX Indstrl…1105.02 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.707.85 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare1309.02closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC…828.54 closed +0%
IDX Techno3643.01 closed +0%
IDX Transp 1581.60 closed +0%
IDX Infrast 1587.87 closed +0%
IDX Finance.1534.80closed +0%
IDX Banking.1407.51closed +0%
IDX Property.. 676 cloeed +0%

Indo10Yr.6.6859 closed+0.08%
ICBI…378.3791 closed +0%
US2Yr.4.503 +0.015 +0.32%
US5Yr 4.148 +0.007 +0.17%
US10Yr4.153 -0.003 -0.07%
US30Yr.4.312+0.000 +0.01%
VIX………13.84 -1.38 -9.07%👍

USDIndx 102.9570 +0.090 +0.09%
Como Indx..278.32 +0.33 +0.12%
BCOMIN…..141.79 +0.37 +0.26%

IndoCDS..70.24 -0.01 -0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/03)

IDR…..15590.00 closed +0%
Jisdor.15603.00 closed +0%

Euro….1.0929 +0.00 +0.02%

TLKM…24.97 -0.09 -0.34(%
(3885-.)
EIDO……22.91 -0.03 -0.11%
EEM……41.36 +0.46 +1.11%

Oil…….77.96 +0.40 +0.52%
Gold..2162.00‼️ -4.10 -0.19%
Timah..27634.00❗️👍 +4.00 +0.01%
(Closed 11/03)
Nickel..18534.50❗️👍 +157.50 +0.86%
(Closed 12/03)
Silver……24.32 -0.07 -0.30%
Copper.393.75 +0.55 +0.14%

Iron Ore 62% 113.00 -4.05 -3.46%‼️
(11/03)&’
Nturl Gas..1.707 -0.001 -0.12%
Ammonia China.3260.00‼️ +16.67 +0.75%
(Domestic Price)(12/03/24)

Coal price.130.65 -2.35 -1.77%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 130.40 -2.95 -2.21%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.131.25 -3.10 -2.31%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.131.90 -2.95 -2.19%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price..109.40 +0.75 +0.69%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..106.05 +0.60 +0.57%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..104.50 -0.25 -0.24%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price..102.50 +0.10 +0.10%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)..4122+2.00 +0.05%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn….441.75 +0.00 +0.00%
SoybeanOil 47.82 +1.18 +2.53%
Wheat….547.50 +0.25 +0.05%

Wood pulp..5450.00❗️ unch +0%
(Closed 12/03)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US Europe ijo semua, asia kemaren jepang china merah, hongkong ijo tebel… US bond rate yang 2 tahun naik agak tinggi, yang lain rata2 naik juga, bisa jadi bikin koreksi globally hari ini, IHSG isa jadi ngejar kemaren ga ikut ijo, atau bisa jadi kebagian koreksinya doang. Tapi kalo liat chart, kemaren ijo tebel 2 hari, giliran turun sih

USD index naik dkit, gold silver iron ore merah, Tin Nickel Copper ijo, oil ijo, gas coal Newcastle merah, rotterdam Ijo, kayanya sih merah dulu hari ini saham Coal. CPO lanjut, kita pantau LSIP buat re-entry

IHSG – bikin new record high, 2 kali kejadian bikin record high terus dibanting abis abisan, hati-hati. Udah kena reg beaar div MACD sama RSI, jadi harus extra caution. oscillators pada buy, MFI sw, BD flat FF acc, trailing stop guys…

Tinggal Financials sama Basic Materials, yang lain udah lemes. Sekalinya big bank dibanting index ikut

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBRI CPIN HRTA LPPF MIKA SMRA INDS AALI. Lho AALI tertendang keluar Kompas 100 ternyata. Big accum CPIN BBRI

MACD Buy Signal: MDKA MNCN MTMH WIFI, big acc WIFI

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: SIDO TKIM

February 20th, 2024

Good morning,

US markets on holiday due to Presidents’ Day

Dow……38628 closed +0%
Nasdaq15776 closed +0%
S&P 500.5006 closed +0%

FTSE…..7729 +16.8 +0.22%
Dax……17092 -25.2 -0.15%
CAC……7769 +0.4 +0.00%

Nikkei..38470 -16.9 -0.04%
HSI…….16156 -184.4 -1.13%
Shanghai..2911 +44.64 +1.56%

IDX…..7296.70 -38.84 -0.53%
LQ45….998.29 -8.35 -0.83%
IDX30…512.00 +2.43 +0.48%

IDXEnergy..2105.58 +8.94 +0.43%
IDX BscMat.1232.01 -18.61 -1.49%
IDX Indstrl…1079.81 -9.73 -0.89%
IDXNONCYC.702.98 -2.67 -0.38%
IDX Hlthcare1336.61 -0.09 -0.01%
IDXCYCLIC…832.63 -11.70 -1.39%
IDX Techno3940.00 +23.95 +0.61%
IDX Transp 1559.52 -7.26 -0.46%
IDX Infrast 1524.06 -10.66 -0.69%
IDX Finance.1514.12 -9.71 -0.64%
IDX Banking.1373.08 -18.09 -1.30%
IDX Property.. 696 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.6928 -0.0035 -0.05%
ICBI…377.1019 +0.0886 +0.02%
US2Yr.4.644 closed +0%
US5Yr 4.276 closed +0%
US10Yr4.281 closed +0%
US30Yr.4.437 closed +0%
VIX…14.71 +0.47 +3.30%

USDIndx 104.2750 -0.021 -0.02%
Como Indx..272.59 closed +0%
BCOMIN…..135.48 closed +0%

IndoCDS..71.72 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (16/02)

IDR…..15631.00 +7.50 +0.05%
Jisdor.15630.00 -24.00 -0.15%

Euro….1.0779 +0.0002 +0.02%

TLKM…26.61 closed +0%
(4166)
EIDO……22.74 closed +0%
EEM……40.08 closed +0%

Oil…….79.29 +0.10 +0.13%
Gold..2029.40 +5.30 +0.26%
Timah..26970.00 – -%
(Closed 16/03)
Nickel..16370.50 +138.50 +0.85%
(Closed 17/02)
Silver……23.04 +0.08 +0.37%
Copper.381.30 +5.50 +1.48%

Iron Ore 62% 129.29 – -%
(17/02)
Nturl Gas..1.559 -0.044 -2.74%
Ammonia China.2866.67 unch +0%
(Domestic Price)(16/02/02)

Coal price 119.60 +0.35 +0.29%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.120.75 -2.00 -1.63%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 120.75 -2.05 -1.67%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice..121.10 -2.30 -1.86%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .94.40 -0.10 -0.11%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price.90.00 -1.55 -1.69%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..86.90 -1.25 -1.42%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..85.65 -0.75 -0.87%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)..3863 +57.00 +1.50%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……429.50 closed +0%
SoybeanOil 46.08 closed +0%
Wheat….559.00 closed. +0%

Wood pulp..5124.00 unch +0%
(Closed 17/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US market closed, Europe kebanyakan lanjut ijo tipis, asia merah ikut US sebelumnya, harusnya rebound dikit lah hari ini IHSG

USD index turun dikit, metal2 ijo semua, oil ijo gas merah coal spot newcastle ijo, future merah, CPO ijo. Kita tunggu buy signal ADRO lagi

IHSG – masih jadwal koreksi, keliatannya wave B gedenya udahan, mau beresin wave C. stoch sell, macd uprev, MFI masih up, w% udah keluar dari uptrend area, masih FNB walau turun, BD flat, masih sabar, keep cash

Infrastructure, tapi ga firm ah, mending merhatiin energy sama transportation dan basic materials

Stochastic Buy Signal: PGEO LION CEKA, skip ah… TKIM malah sell signal, padahal harga Pulp And Paper naik

Harga PAP sempat naik tinggi INKP TKIM belum ikut, harusnya prospek, cuma momentumnya aja belum ini

MACD Buy Signal: AUTO SILO UNIC LTLS, skip lah…

Stochastic Continuation Signal: MIKA

MIKA – error sorting ini MIKA, skip…

February 01st, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes 300 points lower, Nasdaq drops 2% after Fed indicates March rate cut unlikely

Stocks fell on Wednesday after Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell said the central bank likely wouldn’t be ready to cut rates in March.

Dow……38150 -317.01 -0.82%
Nasdaq15164 -345.9 -2.23%
S&P 500.4846 -79.3 -1.61%

FTSE…..7631 -35.7 -0.47%
Dax……16904 -68.6 -0.40%
CAC……7657 -20.7 -0.27%

Nikkei..36286 +19.3 +0.98%
HSI……15485 -218.4 -1.39%
Shanghai.2789 -41.98 -1.48%

IDX…..7207.94 +15.73 +0.22%
LQ45….974.22 +2.52 +0.26%
IDX30…494.71 +0.92 +0.19%

IDXEnergy..2106.35 +8.41 +0.40%
IDX BscMat.1284.06 -0.50 -0.04%
IDX Indstrl…1088.22 +0.41 +0.04%
IDXNONCYC.698.96 +5.21 +0.75%
IDX Hlthcare1316.57 -1.64. -0.12%
IDXCYCLIC…857.34 -1.73 -0.20%
IDX Techno4128.05. +24.13+0.59%
IDX Transp 1587.04 +1.95 +0.12%
IDX Infrast 1523.00 +7.96 +0.53%
IDX Finance.1513.90 +16.67+1.11%
IDX Banking.1326.30 +8.84 +0.67%
IDX Property.. 698 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.6420👍 -0.0135 -0.20%
ICBI…376.5979👍 +0.5122 +0.14%
US2Yr.4.209 -0.130 -2.99%👍
US5Yr 3.839 -0.135 -3.40%👍
US10Yr3.911 -0.125 -3.10%👍
US30Yr.4.173-0.078 -1.83%
VIX…14.35 +1.04 +7.81%‼️

USDIndx 103.2740❗️ -0.123 -0.12%
Como Indx.. – – -%
BCOMIN……139.27 -0.75 -0.54%

IndoCDS..76.70 -0.03 -0.04%
(5-yr INOCD5) (30/01)

IDR…..15782.50‼️ +2.50 +0.02%
Jisdor.15803.00 ‼️+7.00 +0.04%

Euro….1.0814 -0.0030 -0.28%

TLKM…25.16 -0.17 -0.67%
(3976)
EIDO……21.86 +0.11 +0.51%
EEM……38.39 -0.21 -0.54%

Oil…….75.85 -1.97 -2.53%
Gold..2067.40 +12.90 +0.63%
Timah..26006.00 -324.00 -1.22%
(Closed 30/01)
Nickel..16513.50 -246.00 -1.49%
(Closed 31/01)
Silver……23.17 -0.11 -0.47%
Copper.390.60 -0.55 -0.14%

Iron Ore 62% 135.61 +0.06 +0.04%
(30/01)
Nturl Gas..2.134 +0.043 +2.06%
Ammonia China.3236.67 -23.33 -0.72%
(Domestic Price)(29/01/02)

Coal price 116.50 -3.05 -2.55%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.118.10 -2.40 -1.99%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 117.70 -2.70 -2.24%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice.117.55 -2.25 -1.88%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .99.60 +3.45 +3.59%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..96.90 +3.25 +3.47%‼️
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..93.65 +2.55 +2.80%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..91.70 +0.95 +1.05%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3792 -47 -1.22%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……448.25 +0.50 +0.11%
SoybeanOil 46.02 +0.02 +0.04%
Wheat….595.50 -10.25 -1.69%

Wood pulp..5092.00 +16 +0.32%
(Closed 31/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah dalem, Europe merah, Asa china merah, jepang indo ijo. Bond rates turun jauh, USD index turun, bagus ini buat saham, tapi koq US merah ya

metal2 pada turun kecuali gold, aneh lagi, oil merah, gas ijo, coal newcastle merah, rotterdam ijo, CPO lanjut merah. AALI LSIP keluar dari LQ45 K100, wah rusak ini…

IHSG – lanjut NFB, stoch rev up, macd rev up, MFI sw, w%up,BD sw, ga tahu berapa panjang ini wave B mau jalan, minimum nya udah done sih sama upper shadow candle kemaren

Basic Materials, Healthcare, Infrastructure… Consumer Non-Cyclicals slown down

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBCA BBRI BMRI BRIS GOTO MEDC PGAS AGRO ENRG MNCN MYOR PTPP PWON TKIM. Big acc BBRI BRIS GOTO PGAS

MACD Buy Signal: BBNI ICBP MTEL PGAS, big accum semua

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: ICBP PGAS MIKA