Daily Analysis 20250814

Daily Analysis 20250814

Good morning,

August 14th, 2025

Dow jumps 450 points as S&P 500, Nasdaq log back-to-back records on surging Fed rate cut bets

US stocks climbed on Wednesday with the benchmark S&P 500 and tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite notching back-to-back record highs as investors bet almost unanimously on a Federal Reserve rate cut at its next meeting following the latest inflation data.

Dow…..44923 +463.7 +1.04%
Nasdaq 21713 +31.2 +0.14%
S&P 500 6467 +20.8 +0.32%

FTSE…..9165 +17.4 +0.19%
Dax…..24185 +160.8 +0.67%
CAC…..7805 +51.6 +0.66%

Nikkei…..43275 +556.5 +1.30%
HSI……..25614 +643.99 +2.58%
Shanghai.3683 +17.6 +0.48%

IDX..7892.91 +101.2 +1.30%
LQ45..829.85 +6.60 +0.80%
IDX30.425.82 +12.56 +3.04%

IDXEnergy.3082.11 +20.13 +0.66%
IDX BscMat1636.83 +0.97 +0.06%
IDX Indstr..1136.11 +8.87 +0.79%
IDXNONCYC.704.54 -0.84 -0.12%
IDX Hlthcare1651.37 +25.39 +1.56%
IDXCYCLC..794.44 +8.89 +1.12%
IDX Techno.9686.28 +370.40 +3.98%‼
IDX Transp 1529.33 -10.45 -0.68%
IDX Infrast .1957.14 +28.12 +1.46%
IDX Finance 1460.71 +2.97 +1.46%
IDX Banking 1080.06 +2.58 +0.24%
IDX Property..823 +12.1 +1.49%

Indo10Yr.6.5173👍 -0.0022 -0.33%
ICBI….422.6241👍 +0.5796 +0.14%
US2Yr.3.733 -0.033 -0.88%
US5Yr 3.821 -0.011 -0.31%
US10Yr4.291 +0.006 +0.14%
US30Yr.4. 878 +0.031 +0.64%
VIX..14.49❗ -0.24 -1.63%

USDIndx..97.8400👍-0.257 -0.26£%
Como Indx.294.82 -0.54 -0.18%
BCOMIN..142.07 -0.71 -0.50%

IndoCDS 5yr.72.59👍 -1.34 -1.81%
(5-yr INOCD5) (13/08)

IDR…….16202.00❗ -87.50 -0.54%
Jisdor…16237.00❗ -61.00 -0.37%

Euro..1.1677❗+0.0063 +0.54%

TLKM..20.39 +1.08 +5.59%‼
( 3147)
EIDO….18.85 +0.24 +1.29%
EEM…50.50 +0.60 +1.20%

Oil…62.72 -0.40 -0.64%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…65.63 -0.49 -0.74%
(Brent)

Gold.3407.80 +4.50 +0.13%
(Comex)
Gold.3357.96 +7.17 +0.21%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..33730.00 -156.00 -0.46%
(Closed 13/08)
Nickel…15228.13 -65.50 -0.43%
(Closed 13/08)
Silver……38.57 +0.93 +2.47%
Copper..456.40 +11.45+2.57%

Iron Ore 62% 102.03 -0.38 -0.37%
(13/08)

Nturl Gas .2.815 -0.169 -5.66%‼

Ammonia China.2440.00 -10 -0.40%
(Domestic Price 13/08)

Coal price111.80 +0.10 +0.09%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 111.60 unch +0%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.112.75 -0.25 -0.22%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price..114.10 -0.15 -0.13%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price 100.30 -0.05 -0.05%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.100.40 +0.05 +0.05%
(Sep/Rotterdam)
Coal price.100.75 unch +0%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.101.55 unch +0%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct) 4435 +35 +0.80%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……397.25 +2.75 +0.70%
SoybeanOil 53.44 +0.30 +0.56%
Wheat…507.25 +2.25 +0.45%

Wood pulp..5876.67 unch +0%
(Closed 13/08)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Index semua ijo, IHSG ijo tebel banget dan gap up, US treasury bond yield down, theoritically lanjut ini index tudei

USD index down, gold silcer copper up, metal2 lain down, oil down, gas drop, coal spot up tipis future down, CPO up, masih belum aja ini energy

IHSG – stoch buy macd buy MFI flat w% uptrend, BD FF acc, banyak gap dibawah minor c wave dalam wave 3 sih ini firm, target ideal itungan elliot wave di 8900, ga pede bakal sampe segitu juga sih, mungkin kalo bukan fibo 1,618 tapi 100% nya wave 1 di 8097 pede sampe sekali swing ini

Weh koq RSI nya banyak yang melemah, sisa tinggal Consumer Cyclicals, Financials, Healthcare, Industrials

Stochastic Buy Signal: KLBF TOWR ELSA

MACD Buy Signal: BTPS TINS, both big accum

Supertrend Buy Signal: PWON

Daily Analysis 20250813

Daily Analysis 20250813

Good morning,

August 13th, 2025

S&P 500 closes above 6,400 for first time as rate cut bets jump after CPI inflation report

The S&P 500 closed above 6,400 for the first time ever amid a broad stock market rally on Tuesday as Wall Street digested fresh inflation data.

Dow…..44459 +483.6 +1.10%
Nasdaq 21682 +296.5 +1.39%
S&P 500 6446 +72.4 +1.14%

FTSE…..9148 +18.1 +0.14%
Dax…..24025 -56.6 -0.23%
CAC…..7753 +54.9 +0.71%

Nikkei…42718 +897.7 +2.15%
HSI………24970 +62.9 +0.25%
Shanghai.3666 +18.4 +0.50%

IDX..7791.70 +186.7 +2.44%‼️
LQ45..823.26 +23.67 +2.96%‼️
IDX30.425.82 +12.56 +3.04%‼️

IDXEnergy.3601.98 +27.90 +0.92%
IDX BscMat1635.85 -14.41 -0.87%
IDX Indstr..1127.24 +53.75 +5.01%‼️
IDXNONCYC.705.38 +0.99 +0.14%
IDX Hlthcare1625.99 +15.99+0.99%
IDXCYCLC..790.55 +2.21 +0.28%
IDX Techno.9315.88 +486.96 +5.52%‼️
IDX Transp 1539.78 +0.00. +0.01%
IDX Infrast .1929.302 +37.68 +1.99%
IDX Finance 1457.04 +41.19 +2.91%
IDX Banking 1077.47 +44.10 +4.27%
IDX Property..811 -2.90 -0.25%

Indo10Yr.6.5393 -0.0019 -0.29%
ICBI….422.0445 +0.3004 +0.07%
US2Yr.3.733 -0.033 -0.88%
US5Yr 3.821 -0.011 -0.31%
US10Yr4.291 +0.006 +0.14%
US30Yr.4. 878 +0.031 +0.64%
VIX..14.73 -1.52 -9.35%👍

USDIndx..98.0970❗️-0.423 -0.43%
Como Indx.295.36 -0.33 -0.11%
BCOMIN..142.78 +1.69 +1.19%

IndoCDS 5yr.73.93 -0.94 -1.26%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/08)

IDR…….16289.50❗️ +10.00 +0.06%
Jisdor…16298.00❗️ +45.00 +0.28%

Euro..1.1677❗️+0.0063 +0.54%

TLKM..19.31 +1.00 +5.46%‼️
( 3147)
EIDO….18.61 +0.63 +3.50%‼️
EEM…49.90 +0.60 +1.22%

Oil…63.10 -1.04 -1.62%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…66.12 -0.53 -0.77%
(Brent)

Gold.3403.30 +8.90 +0.26%
(Comex)
Gold.3350.79 +3.20 +0.10%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..33886.00 +81.00 +0.24%
(Closed 12/08)
Nickel…15293.63 +14.00 +0.09%
(Closed 12/08)
Silver……37.64 -0.90 -2.39%
Copper.444.95 -2.20 -0.49%

Iron Ore 62% 102.41 +1.19 +1.18%
(12/08)

Nturl Gas .2.984 -0.006 -0.20%

Ammonia China.2450.00 -50 -2.02%
(Domestic Price 12/08)

Coal price111.70 -0.55 -0.49%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 111.60 -1.95 -1.72%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.113.00 -1.15 -1.01%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price..114.25 -0.50 -0.44%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price 100.35 -1.00 -0.99%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.100.35 -2.25 -2.19%
(Sep/Rotterdam)
Coal price.100.75 -2.25 -2.18%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.101.55 -2.40 -2.31%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct) 4400 +16 +0.36%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……394.50 -13.25 -3.25%
SoybeanOil 53.14 +0.14 +0.26%
Wheat…505.00 -10.00 -1.94%

Wood pulp..5876.67 +33.33 +0.74%
(Closed 12/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Kemaren hampir semua index regional ijo kecuali german. US treasury bond yield down, cocok buat lanjut ijo hari ini

USD index down, metal2 up kecuali silver copper, oil lanjut down, gas down coal down, CPO up, kenapa ini energy belum jadi jalan?

IHSG – stoch buy macd rev buy, MFI flat, w% uptrend, bd acc FNB udah 2 hari, sayangnya nambah gap baru lagi, ketemu reg bear div, bisa jadi ga ketahan emang mau dibawa ke atas ini index, dengan kemaren big banks dan big caps lain pada di gas, secara umum yang buy signal bisa buy tapi jangan lupa trailing stop dan stop loss, euforia berlebihan berbahaya

Industrials, Consumer Cyclicals, Property (tapi sudutnya melemah), Healthcare, Transportation, Financials (finally!!!) Kalo firm Financials jalan berarti lanjut rally wave 3

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO BBRI BRIS ICBP JSMR MEDC PTBA BNGA GGRM GJTL PNLF PTRO, big accum ADRO BBRI PTBA GGRM PNLF

MACD Buy Signal: BBRI BBTN EXCL JSMR MAPA SIDO BNGA MIKA, big accum BBRI BBTN EXCL SIDO

Supertrend Buy Signal: BBCA BBNI BBTN BMRI AGRO, Big accum BBCA BBTN BMRI

Daily Analysis 20250812

Daily Analysis 20250812

Good morning,

August 12th, 2025

Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq slump with key inflation report on deck

Stocks slipped on Monday as President Trump reportedly granted another 90-day extension for steeper China tariffs and as traders eyed a key inflation reading on Tuesday.

Dow…..43975 -199.7 -0.45%
Nasdaq 21385 -64.6 -0.30%
S&P 500 6374 -15.9 -0.25%

FTSE…..9130 +33.96 +0.37%
Dax…..24081 -81.5 -0.34%
CAC…..7689 -44.5 -0.57%

Nikkei….41820 closed +0%
HSI………24907 +47.99 +0.19%
Shanghai.3648 +12.4 +0.34%

IDX..7605.93 +72.54 +0.96%
LQ45..799.59 +6.71 +0.85%
IDX30.413.26 +4.37 +1.07%

IDXEnergy.3034.08 +10.48 +0.35%
IDX BscMat1650.255 -17.13 -1.03%
IDX Indstr…1073.49 +3.57 +0.33%
IDXNONCYC.704.39 +4.40 +0.63%
IDX Hlthcare1609.99 +7.71 +0.48%
IDXCYCLC..788.35 +5.09 +0.65%
IDX Techno.8828.91 -56.98 -0.64%
IDX Transp 1539.69 +40.26 +2.69%
IDX Infrast .1891.34 +18.17 +0.97%
IDX Finance 1416.55 +21.92 +1.57%
IDX Banking 1033.38 +26.39 +2.67%
IDX Property..813 +20.50 +2.59%

Indo10Yr.6.5583 +0.0079 +0.12%
ICBI….421.7441 -0.2227 -0.05%
US2Yr.3.766 +0.008 +0.21%
US5Yr 3.833 +0.005 +0.13%
US10Yr4.285 +0.002 +0.05%
US30Yr.4. 847 -0.007 -0.14%
VIX..16.25 +1.10 +7.26%

USDIndx..98.5200❗️+0.340 +0.35%
Como Indx.295.69 +1.62 +0.55%
BCOMIN..141.10 -0.53 -0.37%

IndoCDS 5yr.74.87 -0.15 -0.20%
(5-yr INOCD5) (11/08)

IDR…….16279.50❗️ -13.00 -0.08%
Jisdor…16253.00❗️ -46.00 -0.28%

Euro..1.1614❗️-0.0028 -0.24%

TLKM..18.31 -0.09 -1.60%
( 2976)
EIDO….17.98 +0.15 +0.84%
EEM…49.30 -0.14 -0.28%

Oil…64.14 +0.26 +0.41%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…66.63 +0.04 +0.06%
(Brent)

Gold.3394.40‼️-96.90 -2.78%‼️
(Comex)
Gold.3347.59‼️ -50.16 -1.48%‼️
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..33805.00 +181.00 +0.54%
(Closed 11/08)
Nickel…15279.63 +172.00 +1.14%
(Closed 11/08)
Silver……37.64 -0.90 -2.39%
Copper.444.95 -2.20 -0.49%

Iron Ore 62% 101.22 +0.74 +0.73%
(11/08)

Nturl Gas .2.984 -0.006 -0.20%

Ammonia China.2476.67 unch +0%
(Domestic Price 11/08)

Coal price112.25 -0.95 -0.84%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 113.55 -0.70 -0.61%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.114.15 -1.35 -1.17%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price..114.75 -1.75 -1.50%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price 101.35 +0.35 +0.35%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.102.60 +0.50 +0.49%
(Sep/Rotterdam)
Coal price.103.00 -0.15 -0.15%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.103.95 -0.05 -0.05%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct) 4384 +130 +3.06%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..407.75 +2.25 +0.55%
SoybeanOil 53.00 +0.47 +0.89%
Wheat…515.00 +0.50 +0.10%

Wood pulp..5883.33 unch +0%
(Closed 11/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah europe mostly merah, asia ijo, IHSG ijo tebel, US treasury bond yield naik, kemungkinan besar merah IHSG hari ini

USD index up, gold drop silver copper down, nickel tin iron ore up, oil up, gas down, coal down, CPO up, perlu dipantau ini AALI

IHSG – technical masih jelek walau stoch dan macd ada gerakan kaya may reversal up. MFI flat, w% up, BD abis buang flat, FNS udah 2 hari, itungan wave B minor nya belum sampe 7200, masih besar kemungkinan dibawa koreksi dulu

Masih mirip kemaren, tapi Basic Materials nya lesu, yang sudutnya terlihat ok Consumer Cyclicals Energy Healthcare Industrials Consumer Non-Cyclicals Property Transportation. Financials masih melempem

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMMN ARTO ITMG SIDO AUTO BTPS ERAA HMSP TINS, big accum ERAA HMSP

MACD Buy Signal: PTPP

Supertrend Buy Signal: CTRA

Daily Analysis 20250729

Daily Analysis 20250729

Good morning,

July 29th, 2025

S&P 500, Nasdaq eke out records as markets kick off huge week for US economy

US stocks eked out records Monday in relatively muted trading the US and European Union struck a trade pact. The market action kicked off a packed week of Big Tech earnings, a Federal Reserve meeting, inflation data, the July jobs report, and President Trump’s Aug. 1 deadline to lock in key trade deals.

Dow…..44837 -64.4 -0.14%
Nasdaq 21179 +70.3 +0.33%
S&P 500 6390 +1.2 +0.02%

FTSE…..9081 -38.9 -0.43%
Dax…..23971 -247.1 -1.02%
CAC…..7801 -33.7 -0.43%

Nikkei….40998 -457.96 -1.10%
HSI………25562 +173.8 +0.68%
Shanghai.3598 +4.3 +0.12%

IDX..7614.77 +71.27 +0.94%
LQ45..803.22 +8.71 +1.10%
IDX30.415.53 +4.77 +1.16%

IDXEnergy.2984.26 +40.04 +1.36%
IDX BscMat1642.84 +36.23 +2.26%
IDX Indstr….1008.09 +3.50 +0.35%
IDXNONCYC.693.49 +1.70 +0.25%
IDX Hlthcare1555.74 -1.98 -0.13%
IDXCYCLC…717.15 +9.36 +1.32%
IDX Techno.8957.69+25.46 +0.29%
IDX Transp 1532.43 +15.43 +1.02%
IDX Infrast .1941.01 +49.36 +2.61%
IDX Finance.1446.10 +4.05 +0.28%
IDX Banking 1038.42 +10.59 +1.03%
IDX Property..770 +8.50 +1.12%

Indo10Yr.6.6180 +0.0198 +0.13%
ICBI….419.1082 -0.1793 -0.04%
US2Yr.3.930 +0.013 +0.33%
US5Yr 3.971 +0.019 +0.48%
US10Yr4.413 +0.027 +0.62%
US30Yr.4. 960 +0.031+0.63%
VIX..15.03 +0.10 +0.67%

USDIndx..98.6600‼️+1.015 +1.04%
Como Indx.303.48 +1.23 +0.41%
BCOMIN..155.53 -2.18 -1.38%

IndoCDS 5yr.70.88👍 unch +0%
(5-yr INOCD5) (28/07)

IDR…….16363.50❗️+43.50 +0.27%
Jisdor…16341.00❗️+16.00 +0.10%

Euro..1.1590 -0.0152 -1.29%❗️

TLKM..17.30 -0.06 -0.29%
( 2827)
EIDO….17.75 +0.15 +0.85%
EEM…49.18 -0.33 -0.67%

Oil…66.71 +1.55 +2.38%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…70.18 +1.74 +2.54%
(Brent)

Gold.3366.80 -25.70 -0.76%
(Comex)
Gold.3314.70 -22.69 -0.8/68%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..33713.00 -348.00 -1.02%
(Closed 28/07)
Nickel…15232.50 +46.00 +0.30%
(Closed 28/07)
Silver….38.22 -1.15 -2.92%
Copper.561.55 -16.95 -2.93%

Iron Ore 62% 98.67 -0.31 -0.31%
(28/07)

Nturl Gas .3.104 -0.006 -0.19%

Ammonia China.2533.33 +23.33 +0.93%
(Domestic Price 28/07)

Coal price115.75 +1.75 +1.54%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 115.50 +1.75 +1.54%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.119.25 +1.75 +1.49%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price..120.70 +1.50 +1.26%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price 104.50 +0.05 +0.05%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.104.40 +0.05 +0.05%
(Sep/Rotterdam)
Coal price.105.20 +0.05 +0.05%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price..106.05 +0.05 +0.05%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct) 4239 -37 -0.87%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..414.00 -5.00 -1.19%
SoybeanOil 55.99 +0.01 +0.02%
Wheat…538.50 +0.25 +0.05%

Wood pulp..5966.67 unch +0%
(Closed 28/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI turun dikit, nasdaq SP500 up, europe down, asia mostly up, IHSG jump, gap up, US treasury bond yield up, tutup gap dulu kayanya IHSG hari ini, atau sideways

USD index up, metal2 down kecuali nickel, oil up gas down coal up, CPO down, lanjut harusnya AKRA ADRO. AKRA LK release bagus pula, siap2 rally

IHSG – Kemaren gap up, bikin shooting star closing di bawah, argh, candle reversal bearish ini… MACD reg bear div, BD dist padahal foreign ngebalik jadi net buy, banyak banget gap jadi diabaikan aja lah, tapi rally tinggi cepat nya yang dikhawatirkan, stoch rev buy, macd still up, MFI up w% uptrend, target wave 3 masih jauh di atas, technical masih ok sih, tapi harus hati-hati aja pas orang euforia bandar profit taking gila gilaan

RSI quadrant udah mengkhawatirkan, kecuali Financials jalan, tinggal Technology doang yang gendong, dan isinya gorengan semua, Infrastructure udah naik lagi rada slow down

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBCA BBNI INDF MAPA BSDE HMSP INTP MARK, Big Accum BBNI SMRA SMIL

MACD Buy Signal: FILM MYOR, big accum&vol breakout MYOR

Supertrend Buy Signal: AKRA BSDE LPPF, big accum SMRA, vol spike BSDE SMRA