Good morning,
August 14th, 2025
Dow jumps 450 points as S&P 500, Nasdaq log back-to-back records on surging Fed rate cut bets
US stocks climbed on Wednesday with the benchmark S&P 500 and tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite notching back-to-back record highs as investors bet almost unanimously on a Federal Reserve rate cut at its next meeting following the latest inflation data.
Dow…..44923 +463.7 +1.04%
Nasdaq 21713 +31.2 +0.14%
S&P 500 6467 +20.8 +0.32%
FTSE…..9165 +17.4 +0.19%
Dax…..24185 +160.8 +0.67%
CAC…..7805 +51.6 +0.66%
Nikkei…..43275 +556.5 +1.30%
HSI……..25614 +643.99 +2.58%
Shanghai.3683 +17.6 +0.48%
IDX..7892.91 +101.2 +1.30%
LQ45..829.85 +6.60 +0.80%
IDX30.425.82 +12.56 +3.04%
IDXEnergy.3082.11 +20.13 +0.66%
IDX BscMat1636.83 +0.97 +0.06%
IDX Indstr..1136.11 +8.87 +0.79%
IDXNONCYC.704.54 -0.84 -0.12%
IDX Hlthcare1651.37 +25.39 +1.56%
IDXCYCLC..794.44 +8.89 +1.12%
IDX Techno.9686.28 +370.40 +3.98%‼
IDX Transp 1529.33 -10.45 -0.68%
IDX Infrast .1957.14 +28.12 +1.46%
IDX Finance 1460.71 +2.97 +1.46%
IDX Banking 1080.06 +2.58 +0.24%
IDX Property..823 +12.1 +1.49%
Indo10Yr.6.5173👍 -0.0022 -0.33%
ICBI….422.6241👍 +0.5796 +0.14%
US2Yr.3.733 -0.033 -0.88%
US5Yr 3.821 -0.011 -0.31%
US10Yr4.291 +0.006 +0.14%
US30Yr.4. 878 +0.031 +0.64%
VIX..14.49❗ -0.24 -1.63%
USDIndx..97.8400👍-0.257 -0.26£%
Como Indx.294.82 -0.54 -0.18%
BCOMIN..142.07 -0.71 -0.50%
IndoCDS 5yr.72.59👍 -1.34 -1.81%
(5-yr INOCD5) (13/08)
IDR…….16202.00❗ -87.50 -0.54%
Jisdor…16237.00❗ -61.00 -0.37%
Euro..1.1677❗+0.0063 +0.54%
TLKM..20.39 +1.08 +5.59%‼
( 3147)
EIDO….18.85 +0.24 +1.29%
EEM…50.50 +0.60 +1.20%
Oil…62.72 -0.40 -0.64%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…65.63 -0.49 -0.74%
(Brent)
Gold.3407.80 +4.50 +0.13%
(Comex)
Gold.3357.96 +7.17 +0.21%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..33730.00 -156.00 -0.46%
(Closed 13/08)
Nickel…15228.13 -65.50 -0.43%
(Closed 13/08)
Silver……38.57 +0.93 +2.47%
Copper..456.40 +11.45+2.57%
Iron Ore 62% 102.03 -0.38 -0.37%
(13/08)
Nturl Gas .2.815 -0.169 -5.66%‼
Ammonia China.2440.00 -10 -0.40%
(Domestic Price 13/08)
Coal price111.80 +0.10 +0.09%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 111.60 unch +0%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.112.75 -0.25 -0.22%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price..114.10 -0.15 -0.13%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price 100.30 -0.05 -0.05%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.100.40 +0.05 +0.05%
(Sep/Rotterdam)
Coal price.100.75 unch +0%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.101.55 unch +0%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
CPO(Oct) 4435 +35 +0.80%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……397.25 +2.75 +0.70%
SoybeanOil 53.44 +0.30 +0.56%
Wheat…507.25 +2.25 +0.45%
Wood pulp..5876.67 unch +0%
(Closed 13/08)
©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
Index semua ijo, IHSG ijo tebel banget dan gap up, US treasury bond yield down, theoritically lanjut ini index tudei
USD index down, gold silcer copper up, metal2 lain down, oil down, gas drop, coal spot up tipis future down, CPO up, masih belum aja ini energy
IHSG – stoch buy macd buy MFI flat w% uptrend, BD FF acc, banyak gap dibawah minor c wave dalam wave 3 sih ini firm, target ideal itungan elliot wave di 8900, ga pede bakal sampe segitu juga sih, mungkin kalo bukan fibo 1,618 tapi 100% nya wave 1 di 8097 pede sampe sekali swing ini
Weh koq RSI nya banyak yang melemah, sisa tinggal Consumer Cyclicals, Financials, Healthcare, Industrials
Stochastic Buy Signal: KLBF TOWR ELSA
MACD Buy Signal: BTPS TINS, both big accum
Supertrend Buy Signal: PWON
KLBF – stoch buy macd rev up MFI sw w% up BD rev dist, FF acc, reg bull div confirmed by 2 bull candle, kalo retracement pattern dan itungan fibo extension sih support nya pas di fibo 23, idealnya dapet BOW disitu, tapi bisa jadi ga kejemput, wait MACD kalo biar lebih confirm
Past spikes done, yang baru malah spike jual, WNS dulu deh
TOWR – mau nyusul TLKM kali, tapi di RSI quadrant infrastructure belum jalan, mungkin ketahan yang versi BUMN karya. stoch buy macd down rev MFI down, w% sw, reg bear div belum cancelled, BD rev dist, FF dist, belum meyakinkan
Spike done belum ada lagi, skip…
ELSA – Stoch buy macd down MFI down w% sw, BD dist, FF acc, reg bull div MFI belum confirmed, WNS dulu
Spike lama done, belum ada yang baru, oil price nya ga ok, skip deh
BTPS – stoch up macd buy MFI slowly up, w% up, reg bear div belum cancelled belum abc correction, belum sampe fibo 38, hid bull div jalan udah 3 bar, bd big accum, FF masih dist, kebawa bank lain aja sih, technicalnya masih meragukan ini BTPS, saya karena hold BBCA jelas skip
belum ada spike menarik lagi, skip
TINS – stoch up macd buy MFI down rev up, w% up, spike, bd ff acc, udah aga lama consol, ada unclosed gap, bisa jadi double bottom, reg bull div confirmed, wave 3 on the way ini harusnya
Sayangnya haircutnya 100% jadi saya ga bisa masuk. yang ga pake margin bisa full load buy di tengah candle kemaren
PWON – stoch macd mfi up w% keluar uptrend area, BD FF dist, kemaren supertrend buy tapi long upper shadow, hati2 udahan gerakannya pada profit taking dulu. Kayanya bukan saat yang baik untuk entry
Spike done, yang baru cenderungnya spike jual, skip dulu ah tunggu koreksi
