Daily Analysis 20250812

Daily Analysis 20250812

Good morning,

August 12th, 2025

Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq slump with key inflation report on deck

Stocks slipped on Monday as President Trump reportedly granted another 90-day extension for steeper China tariffs and as traders eyed a key inflation reading on Tuesday.

Dow…..43975 -199.7 -0.45%
Nasdaq 21385 -64.6 -0.30%
S&P 500 6374 -15.9 -0.25%

FTSE…..9130 +33.96 +0.37%
Dax…..24081 -81.5 -0.34%
CAC…..7689 -44.5 -0.57%

Nikkei….41820 closed +0%
HSI………24907 +47.99 +0.19%
Shanghai.3648 +12.4 +0.34%

IDX..7605.93 +72.54 +0.96%
LQ45..799.59 +6.71 +0.85%
IDX30.413.26 +4.37 +1.07%

IDXEnergy.3034.08 +10.48 +0.35%
IDX BscMat1650.255 -17.13 -1.03%
IDX Indstr…1073.49 +3.57 +0.33%
IDXNONCYC.704.39 +4.40 +0.63%
IDX Hlthcare1609.99 +7.71 +0.48%
IDXCYCLC..788.35 +5.09 +0.65%
IDX Techno.8828.91 -56.98 -0.64%
IDX Transp 1539.69 +40.26 +2.69%
IDX Infrast .1891.34 +18.17 +0.97%
IDX Finance 1416.55 +21.92 +1.57%
IDX Banking 1033.38 +26.39 +2.67%
IDX Property..813 +20.50 +2.59%

Indo10Yr.6.5583 +0.0079 +0.12%
ICBI….421.7441 -0.2227 -0.05%
US2Yr.3.766 +0.008 +0.21%
US5Yr 3.833 +0.005 +0.13%
US10Yr4.285 +0.002 +0.05%
US30Yr.4. 847 -0.007 -0.14%
VIX..16.25 +1.10 +7.26%

USDIndx..98.5200❗️+0.340 +0.35%
Como Indx.295.69 +1.62 +0.55%
BCOMIN..141.10 -0.53 -0.37%

IndoCDS 5yr.74.87 -0.15 -0.20%
(5-yr INOCD5) (11/08)

IDR…….16279.50❗️ -13.00 -0.08%
Jisdor…16253.00❗️ -46.00 -0.28%

Euro..1.1614❗️-0.0028 -0.24%

TLKM..18.31 -0.09 -1.60%
( 2976)
EIDO….17.98 +0.15 +0.84%
EEM…49.30 -0.14 -0.28%

Oil…64.14 +0.26 +0.41%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…66.63 +0.04 +0.06%
(Brent)

Gold.3394.40‼️-96.90 -2.78%‼️
(Comex)
Gold.3347.59‼️ -50.16 -1.48%‼️
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..33805.00 +181.00 +0.54%
(Closed 11/08)
Nickel…15279.63 +172.00 +1.14%
(Closed 11/08)
Silver……37.64 -0.90 -2.39%
Copper.444.95 -2.20 -0.49%

Iron Ore 62% 101.22 +0.74 +0.73%
(11/08)

Nturl Gas .2.984 -0.006 -0.20%

Ammonia China.2476.67 unch +0%
(Domestic Price 11/08)

Coal price112.25 -0.95 -0.84%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 113.55 -0.70 -0.61%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.114.15 -1.35 -1.17%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price..114.75 -1.75 -1.50%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price 101.35 +0.35 +0.35%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.102.60 +0.50 +0.49%
(Sep/Rotterdam)
Coal price.103.00 -0.15 -0.15%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.103.95 -0.05 -0.05%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct) 4384 +130 +3.06%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..407.75 +2.25 +0.55%
SoybeanOil 53.00 +0.47 +0.89%
Wheat…515.00 +0.50 +0.10%

Wood pulp..5883.33 unch +0%
(Closed 11/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah europe mostly merah, asia ijo, IHSG ijo tebel, US treasury bond yield naik, kemungkinan besar merah IHSG hari ini

USD index up, gold drop silver copper down, nickel tin iron ore up, oil up, gas down, coal down, CPO up, perlu dipantau ini AALI

IHSG – technical masih jelek walau stoch dan macd ada gerakan kaya may reversal up. MFI flat, w% up, BD abis buang flat, FNS udah 2 hari, itungan wave B minor nya belum sampe 7200, masih besar kemungkinan dibawa koreksi dulu

Masih mirip kemaren, tapi Basic Materials nya lesu, yang sudutnya terlihat ok Consumer Cyclicals Energy Healthcare Industrials Consumer Non-Cyclicals Property Transportation. Financials masih melempem

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMMN ARTO ITMG SIDO AUTO BTPS ERAA HMSP TINS, big accum ERAA HMSP

MACD Buy Signal: PTPP

Supertrend Buy Signal: CTRA

CTRA – seperti di analysis kemaren, CTRA udah ok buat buy, dan sekarang Supertrend Buy Signal, stoch up macd buy MFI up sw, w% uptrend, BD FF big acc, ada spike, tapi kalo sekarang agak telat sih, mending nunggu BOW di support. Mau nembus neckline IHNS biasanya ga sekali jalan, ada koreksinya dulu

Belum ada spike baru yang signifikan, yang lebih tinggi dari spike jual, semoga ini pertanda emang ada second chance untuk entry, WNS yang porto full dan play safe, yang rada berani bisa BOW tengah candle kemaren tapi pantau ketat

ERAA – stoch buy macd rev up, MFI up, w% up, BD FF rev acc, itungan fibo retracement 61 dah kena, deket area support puncak wave 1 walau agak kelewat (tapi emang jarang elliot wave sempurna sih), banyak faktor pendukung buat buy sih

Wah koq malah spike jual… Tunggu MACD deh

BTPS – biasanya menarik karena setiap bank jalan BTPS ikut jalan, mungkin karena pilihan bank syariah cuma dikit. stoch buy macd rev up, MFI sw, w% up, BD acc FNS, abis naik belum even sampe retrace nya ke fibo 38, belum sih technically

Target lama done, yang baru ga terlalu significant, wait MACD dulu deh

PTPP – stoch up macd buy, MFI up w% up, BD acc tapi FNS, dari rally terakhir udah retrace ke fibo 38, ketemu reg bull confirmed by 2 bull candle, MA10 and MACD buy signal, technically ok banget sih, khawatir cuma di index

Belum ada spike baru… Kalo porto kosong bisa spec buy sih dengan data technical bagus gini, tapi pantau ketat, duit gede belum masuk lagi, atau bisa jadi belum keluar juga sih

 

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