Daily Analysis 20251205
Daily Analysis 20251112
Daily Analysis 20250904
Daily Analysis 20250812
Good morning,
August 12th, 2025
Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq slump with key inflation report on deck
Stocks slipped on Monday as President Trump reportedly granted another 90-day extension for steeper China tariffs and as traders eyed a key inflation reading on Tuesday.
Dow…..43975 -199.7 -0.45%
Nasdaq 21385 -64.6 -0.30%
S&P 500 6374 -15.9 -0.25%
FTSE…..9130 +33.96 +0.37%
Dax…..24081 -81.5 -0.34%
CAC…..7689 -44.5 -0.57%
Nikkei….41820 closed +0%
HSI………24907 +47.99 +0.19%
Shanghai.3648 +12.4 +0.34%
IDX..7605.93 +72.54 +0.96%
LQ45..799.59 +6.71 +0.85%
IDX30.413.26 +4.37 +1.07%
IDXEnergy.3034.08 +10.48 +0.35%
IDX BscMat1650.255 -17.13 -1.03%
IDX Indstr…1073.49 +3.57 +0.33%
IDXNONCYC.704.39 +4.40 +0.63%
IDX Hlthcare1609.99 +7.71 +0.48%
IDXCYCLC..788.35 +5.09 +0.65%
IDX Techno.8828.91 -56.98 -0.64%
IDX Transp 1539.69 +40.26 +2.69%
IDX Infrast .1891.34 +18.17 +0.97%
IDX Finance 1416.55 +21.92 +1.57%
IDX Banking 1033.38 +26.39 +2.67%
IDX Property..813 +20.50 +2.59%
Indo10Yr.6.5583 +0.0079 +0.12%
ICBI….421.7441 -0.2227 -0.05%
US2Yr.3.766 +0.008 +0.21%
US5Yr 3.833 +0.005 +0.13%
US10Yr4.285 +0.002 +0.05%
US30Yr.4. 847 -0.007 -0.14%
VIX..16.25 +1.10 +7.26%
USDIndx..98.5200❗️+0.340 +0.35%
Como Indx.295.69 +1.62 +0.55%
BCOMIN..141.10 -0.53 -0.37%
IndoCDS 5yr.74.87 -0.15 -0.20%
(5-yr INOCD5) (11/08)
IDR…….16279.50❗️ -13.00 -0.08%
Jisdor…16253.00❗️ -46.00 -0.28%
Euro..1.1614❗️-0.0028 -0.24%
TLKM..18.31 -0.09 -1.60%
( 2976)
EIDO….17.98 +0.15 +0.84%
EEM…49.30 -0.14 -0.28%
Oil…64.14 +0.26 +0.41%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…66.63 +0.04 +0.06%
(Brent)
Gold.3394.40‼️-96.90 -2.78%‼️
(Comex)
Gold.3347.59‼️ -50.16 -1.48%‼️
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..33805.00 +181.00 +0.54%
(Closed 11/08)
Nickel…15279.63 +172.00 +1.14%
(Closed 11/08)
Silver……37.64 -0.90 -2.39%
Copper.444.95 -2.20 -0.49%
Iron Ore 62% 101.22 +0.74 +0.73%
(11/08)
Nturl Gas .2.984 -0.006 -0.20%
Ammonia China.2476.67 unch +0%
(Domestic Price 11/08)
Coal price112.25 -0.95 -0.84%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 113.55 -0.70 -0.61%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.114.15 -1.35 -1.17%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price..114.75 -1.75 -1.50%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price 101.35 +0.35 +0.35%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.102.60 +0.50 +0.49%
(Sep/Rotterdam)
Coal price.103.00 -0.15 -0.15%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.103.95 -0.05 -0.05%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
CPO(Oct) 4384 +130 +3.06%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……..407.75 +2.25 +0.55%
SoybeanOil 53.00 +0.47 +0.89%
Wheat…515.00 +0.50 +0.10%
Wood pulp..5883.33 unch +0%
(Closed 11/08)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
US merah europe mostly merah, asia ijo, IHSG ijo tebel, US treasury bond yield naik, kemungkinan besar merah IHSG hari ini
USD index up, gold drop silver copper down, nickel tin iron ore up, oil up, gas down, coal down, CPO up, perlu dipantau ini AALI
IHSG – technical masih jelek walau stoch dan macd ada gerakan kaya may reversal up. MFI flat, w% up, BD abis buang flat, FNS udah 2 hari, itungan wave B minor nya belum sampe 7200, masih besar kemungkinan dibawa koreksi dulu
Masih mirip kemaren, tapi Basic Materials nya lesu, yang sudutnya terlihat ok Consumer Cyclicals Energy Healthcare Industrials Consumer Non-Cyclicals Property Transportation. Financials masih melempem
Stochastic Buy Signal: AMMN ARTO ITMG SIDO AUTO BTPS ERAA HMSP TINS, big accum ERAA HMSP
MACD Buy Signal: PTPP
Supertrend Buy Signal: CTRA
Daily Analysis 20250625
Good morning,
June 25th 2025
Wall St ends sharply higher, S&P 500 nears record high as Middle East tensions cool
U.S. stocks rallied more than 1% on Tuesday as investors welcomed a fragile truce with Israel and Iran while parsing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s congressional testimony for clues regarding the U.S. central bank’s path forward.
Dow…..43089 +507.2 +1.19%
Nasdaq 19913 +281.6 +1.43%
S&P 500 6092 +67.01 +1.11%
FTSE…..8759 +0.95 +0.01%
Dax…..23641 +372.6 +1.60%
CAC…..7615 +78.4 +1.04%
Nikkei….38791 +436.5 +1.14%
HSI……24177 +487.9 +2.06%
Shanghai.3421 +38.98 +1.15%
IDX..6869.17 +82.03 +1.21%
LQ45..764.41 +10.59 +1.40%
IDX30.395.16 +4.66 +1.19%
IDXEnergy.2729.57 -16.22 -0.59%
IDX BscMat1442.00 +3.98 +0.20%
IDX Indstr…..908.55 +8.89 +0.99%
IDXNONCYC.657.46 +12.28 +1.90%
IDX Hlthcare1461.75+29.04 +2.03%
IDXCYCLC…709.41 +20.80 +3.02%
IDX Techno.6518.52 +35.09 +0.54%
IDX Transp 1437.10 +12.28 +0.86%
IDX Infrast .1379.42 +10.66 +0.78%
IDX Finance.1351.37 +19.67+1.48%
IDX Banking 1031.08 +20.41 +2.02%
IDX Property..727 +22.60 +3.21%‼️
Indo10Yr.6.7903-0.0327 -0.48%
ICBI….412.3536 +0.8614 +0.21%
US2Yr.3.821 -0.042 -1.09%
US5Yr 3.861 -0.049 -1.25%
US10Yr4.296 -0.052 -1.20%
US30Yr.4.835 -0.039 -0.80%
VIX..17.48 -2.35 -11.85%👍
USDIndx..98.8580👍 -0.496 -0.50%
Como Indx.296.97 -8.08 -2.65%‼️
BCOMIN..145.39 +0.30 +0.20%
IndoCDS 5yr.82.09‼️+0.64 +0.78%
(5-yr INOCD5) (24/06)
IDR…….16.353.50❗️-138.50👍 -0.84%
Jisdor…16.370.00❗️-114.00👍 -0.69%
Euro..1.1609❗️ +0.0015 +0.13%
TLKM..16.06 +0.16 +1.01%
( 2629)
EIDO….16.38 +0.49 +2.90%
EEM…47.92 +1.21 +2.59%
Oil…65.10❗️-1.07 -1.61%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…67.14 -4.34 -6.07%‼️
(Brent)
Gold.3335.50‼️ -42.50 -1.26%
(Comex)
Gold.3322.42‼️ -34.63 -1.03%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..32319.00 -374.00 -1.14%
(Closed 24/06)
Nickel…14911.13 +113.88 +0.77%
(Closed 24/06)
Silver….36.22 -0.15 -0.41%
Copper.494.75 +0.10 +0.02%
Iron Ore 62% .94.75 -0.12 -0.13%
(24/06)
Nturl Gas .3.770 -0.076 -1.98%
Ammonia China.2316.67 +6.67 +0.29%
(Domestic Price 24/06)
Coal price.106.60 -0.65 -0.61%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.109.90 -3.05 -2.70%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price111.60 -2.60 -2.28%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 113.40 -2.60 -2.24%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 103.50 -0.95 -0.91%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.103.15 -4.80 -4.45%‼️
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.65 -5.00 -4.60%‼️
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.104.15 -5.10 -4.67%‼️
(Sep/Rotterdam)
CPO(Sep) 3986 -139 -3.37%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……..429.00 -4.75 -1.10%
SoybeanOil 52.61 -1.14 -2.12%
Wheat..552.00 -17.50 -3.07%‼️
Wood pulp…6066.67 -16.66 -0.27%
(Closed 24/06)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
US europe asia ijo semua, menyusul pengumuman cease fire Israel-Iran walau terus dilanggar… US treasury bond yield down, harusnya sih lanjut ijo, tapi mungkin tutup gap dulu. Apakah akan langsung lanjut wave 3, belum bisa ditebak, dari itungan sih mungkin saja, sudah sampe fibo 38, tapi biasanya sih sampe fibo 50
USD index down, metal2 down kecuali nickel copper, oil down gas down coal down, CPO down, tapi ancaman penutupan selat sama iran masih mungkin, walau sebenernya tanpa itu juga major nya keliatan mau ke atas, tapi minornya terlihat jadi dipaksa turun dulu
IHSG – MFI up, 833 buy, yang lain masih jelek, ada 2 gap di bawah, bahwa mungkin wave 2 nya berhenti di fibo 38 mungkin, tapi masih FNS dan BD dist agak berat untuk langsung ngangkat
Consumer Cyclicals, Financials (tapi big banks masih jelek), Healthcare, Industrials, UNTR LK bagus, Infrastructure, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Property. Masih belum meyakinkan, yang bahaya Energy sama basic materials melemah
Oil Price Chart – MACD sell signal, kecuali konflik memanas lagi sepertinya akan kebawah dulu, prepare buang dulu saham minyak, pantau ketat
Coal Price Chart – udah supertrend buy, 2 hari koreksi tapi ga terlalu besar, macd jadi terlihat mau rev down, ga terkait langsung sama konflik, harusnya sih tetep jalan
Stochastic Buy Signal: AMRT BBCA BBTN BRIS GGRM ICBP MAPI SIDO ERAA MNCN MYOR PWON, big accum cuma GGRM sama PWON
MACD Buy Signal WIFI nerusin stoch nya buy duluan kemaren, tapi overpriced jadi kita skip















