Good morning,
August 13th, 2025
S&P 500 closes above 6,400 for first time as rate cut bets jump after CPI inflation report
The S&P 500 closed above 6,400 for the first time ever amid a broad stock market rally on Tuesday as Wall Street digested fresh inflation data.
Dow…..44459 +483.6 +1.10%
Nasdaq 21682 +296.5 +1.39%
S&P 500 6446 +72.4 +1.14%
FTSE…..9148 +18.1 +0.14%
Dax…..24025 -56.6 -0.23%
CAC…..7753 +54.9 +0.71%
Nikkei…42718 +897.7 +2.15%
HSI………24970 +62.9 +0.25%
Shanghai.3666 +18.4 +0.50%
IDX..7791.70 +186.7 +2.44%‼️
LQ45..823.26 +23.67 +2.96%‼️
IDX30.425.82 +12.56 +3.04%‼️
IDXEnergy.3601.98 +27.90 +0.92%
IDX BscMat1635.85 -14.41 -0.87%
IDX Indstr..1127.24 +53.75 +5.01%‼️
IDXNONCYC.705.38 +0.99 +0.14%
IDX Hlthcare1625.99 +15.99+0.99%
IDXCYCLC..790.55 +2.21 +0.28%
IDX Techno.9315.88 +486.96 +5.52%‼️
IDX Transp 1539.78 +0.00. +0.01%
IDX Infrast .1929.302 +37.68 +1.99%
IDX Finance 1457.04 +41.19 +2.91%
IDX Banking 1077.47 +44.10 +4.27%
IDX Property..811 -2.90 -0.25%
Indo10Yr.6.5393 -0.0019 -0.29%
ICBI….422.0445 +0.3004 +0.07%
US2Yr.3.733 -0.033 -0.88%
US5Yr 3.821 -0.011 -0.31%
US10Yr4.291 +0.006 +0.14%
US30Yr.4. 878 +0.031 +0.64%
VIX..14.73 -1.52 -9.35%👍
USDIndx..98.0970❗️-0.423 -0.43%
Como Indx.295.36 -0.33 -0.11%
BCOMIN..142.78 +1.69 +1.19%
IndoCDS 5yr.73.93 -0.94 -1.26%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/08)
IDR…….16289.50❗️ +10.00 +0.06%
Jisdor…16298.00❗️ +45.00 +0.28%
Euro..1.1677❗️+0.0063 +0.54%
TLKM..19.31 +1.00 +5.46%‼️
( 3147)
EIDO….18.61 +0.63 +3.50%‼️
EEM…49.90 +0.60 +1.22%
Oil…63.10 -1.04 -1.62%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…66.12 -0.53 -0.77%
(Brent)
Gold.3403.30 +8.90 +0.26%
(Comex)
Gold.3350.79 +3.20 +0.10%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..33886.00 +81.00 +0.24%
(Closed 12/08)
Nickel…15293.63 +14.00 +0.09%
(Closed 12/08)
Silver……37.64 -0.90 -2.39%
Copper.444.95 -2.20 -0.49%
Iron Ore 62% 102.41 +1.19 +1.18%
(12/08)
Nturl Gas .2.984 -0.006 -0.20%
Ammonia China.2450.00 -50 -2.02%
(Domestic Price 12/08)
Coal price111.70 -0.55 -0.49%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 111.60 -1.95 -1.72%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.113.00 -1.15 -1.01%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price..114.25 -0.50 -0.44%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price 100.35 -1.00 -0.99%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.100.35 -2.25 -2.19%
(Sep/Rotterdam)
Coal price.100.75 -2.25 -2.18%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.101.55 -2.40 -2.31%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
CPO(Oct) 4400 +16 +0.36%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……394.50 -13.25 -3.25%
SoybeanOil 53.14 +0.14 +0.26%
Wheat…505.00 -10.00 -1.94%
Wood pulp..5876.67 +33.33 +0.74%
(Closed 12/08)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
Kemaren hampir semua index regional ijo kecuali german. US treasury bond yield down, cocok buat lanjut ijo hari ini
USD index down, metal2 up kecuali silver copper, oil lanjut down, gas down coal down, CPO up, kenapa ini energy belum jadi jalan?
IHSG – stoch buy macd rev buy, MFI flat, w% uptrend, bd acc FNB udah 2 hari, sayangnya nambah gap baru lagi, ketemu reg bear div, bisa jadi ga ketahan emang mau dibawa ke atas ini index, dengan kemaren big banks dan big caps lain pada di gas, secara umum yang buy signal bisa buy tapi jangan lupa trailing stop dan stop loss, euforia berlebihan berbahaya
Industrials, Consumer Cyclicals, Property (tapi sudutnya melemah), Healthcare, Transportation, Financials (finally!!!) Kalo firm Financials jalan berarti lanjut rally wave 3
Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO BBRI BRIS ICBP JSMR MEDC PTBA BNGA GGRM GJTL PNLF PTRO, big accum ADRO BBRI PTBA GGRM PNLF
MACD Buy Signal: BBRI BBTN EXCL JSMR MAPA SIDO BNGA MIKA, big accum BBRI BBTN EXCL SIDO
Supertrend Buy Signal: BBCA BBNI BBTN BMRI AGRO, Big accum BBCA BBTN BMRI
ADRO – stoch buy, macd masih down, MFI down, w% up, BD FF rev acc, ada spike, CNH in the making, ada gap gede di 3600, ada yang kecil di 2100, target panjang ke 3600 pastinya, target swing awal ke 2100, tapi sayangnya coal price nya bareng oil lagi ga asik
Ada spike lama target 2350 belum done, ada kecil2 setelahnya, ok sih
Coal Price nya turun, macd sell signal juga, supertrend sell juga, keliatannya ADRO belum ikutan dulu hajatan IHSG sekarang, wait MACD
BBRI – stoch buy macd buy MFI up w% uptrend, BD FF acc gan terus naik, ada spike, retracement pattern target 4730. CNH target 4300, sayangnya bikin gap kemaren, tapi ya kalo euforia nya kenceng sih ditinggal ini gap kaya gap index
multiple spikes target 4400, ok sih, ayo yang belum pegang bank BOW, saya hold BBCA
PTBA – stoch buy macd up mfi down w% up, BD FF rev acc, ada gap gede di atas, retracement pattern waktunya wave C ke 3460, technical says waktunya jalan tapi coal price nya ga dukung, tapi bisa spec buy pantau ketat, kadang2 technical mendahului fundamental
Spike done terus belum ada lagi, belum bisa full load
BBTN – ikut loncat sama bank bank lain, tapi anehnya Foreign nya net sell, jadi relatif mending ambil yang lain kalo gitu kan, yang ga ada ragu2. Tapi sah juga mau buy, technical ok semua, memang ketemu reg bear tapi kalo naik kenceng emang selalu gitu, asal hati2 kalo jadi confirmed reg bear nya
Spike terget 1300, ga terlalu jauh, mungkin nanti akan ada lagi seiring rally wave 3
EXCL – abis merger terus hype, stoch up macd buy, MFI up w% uptrend, BD big accum tapi FNS, udah break fibo 61 bisa kita asumsi udah jalan elliot wave, saya sih ga berani FOMO, tunggu pullback dulu
Spike done, WNS
BMRI – supertrend buy, stoch up macd up MFI up w% uptrend, BD FF acc, ada spike, udah tinggal jalan sih ini, retracement pattern harusnya bawa ke 6300, CNH nya juga malah taergetnya lebih tinggi, mungkin ga akan sekali swing, tapi secara umum arahnya kesana
spike target 5500 pas deket neckline, kena kayanya sekali swing itu, yang belum punya bank bisa BOW BMRI tengah candle kemaren
