Daily Analysis 20250702

Daily Analysis 20250702

Good morning,

July 02nd, 2025

US stocks were mixed on Tuesday as President Trump’s massive budget bill passed in the Senate and Wall Street watched for progress on trade talks.

Dow…..44495 +400.2 +0.91%
Nasdaq 20203 -166.9 -0.82%
S&P 500 6198 -6.9 -0.11%

FTSE…..8785 +24.37 +0.28%
Dax…..23673 -236.3 -0.99%
CAC…..7663 -3.3 -0.04%

Nikkei….39987 -501.1 -1.24%
HSI………24072 closed +0%
Shanghai.3458 +13.3 +0.39%

IDX..6915.36 -12.32 -0.18%
LQ45..770.58 -2.07 -0.27%
IDX30.396.88 -1.97 -0.49%

IDXEnergy.2719.25 -10.47 -0.38%
IDX BscMat1485.44 +5.02 +0.34%
IDX Indstr…..909.44 -5.80 -0.63%
IDXNONCYC.667.29 -3.32 -0.50%
IDX Hlthcare1496.13 +1.05. +0.07%
IDXCYCLC…722.72 +4.93 +0.69%
IDX Techno.6552.32 +17.33 +0.27%
IDX Transp 1428.84 -27.33 -1.88%
IDX Infrast .1417.55 -0.95 -0.07%
IDX Finance.1349.89 -10.57 -0.78%
IDX Banking 1009.74 -13.80 -1.35%
IDX Property..721 -3.00 -0.42%

Indo10Yr.6.7090 -0.0274 -0.41%👍
ICBI….414.5355 +0.5360 +0.13%👍
US2Yr.3.773 +0.046 +1.23%
US5Yr 3.833 +0.032 +0.84%
US10Yr4.246 +0.017 +0.40%
US30Yr.4. 764 -0.014 -0.29%
VIX..16.83 +0.10 +0.60%

USDIndx..96.8190❗️+0.029 +0.03%
Como Indx.296.05 -1.23 -0.41%
BCOMIN..148.42 -0.09 -0.06%

IndoCDS 5yr.77.51 -1.01 -1.29%
(5-yr INOCD5) (01/07)

IDR…….16199.50👍 -38.50 -0.24%
Jisdor…16192.00👍 -39.00 -0.24%

Euro..1.1806❗️ +0.0025 +0.21%

TLKM..17.15 +0.21 +1.24%
( 2776)
EIDO….17.49 -0.14 -0.79%
EEM…48.33 +0.09 +0.19%

Oil…65.53❗️+0.58 +0.89%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…67.11❗️ -0.50 -0.74%
(Brent)

Gold.3348.00‼️ +32.90 +0.99%
(Comex)
Gold.3338.68 ‼️+35.54 +1.08%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..33661.00 -55.00 -0.16%
(Closed 01/07)
Nickel…15175.38 -20.75 -0.14%
(Closed 01/07)
Silver….36.20 -0.13 -0.36%
Copper.509.75 +1.50 +0.30%

Iron Ore 62% .93.41 -1.08 -1.14%
(01/07)

Nturl Gas .3.419 -0.035 -1.01%
Ammonia China.2370.00 – -%
(Domestic Price 01/07)

Coal price.111.80 +1.90 +1.73%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price113.40 +2.25 +2.02%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 114.55 +1.75 +1.55%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.116.15 +2.50 +2.20%
(Okt/Newcastle)

Coal price.107.50 +0.25 +0.23%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 107.95 +0.20 +0.19%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.108.30 unch +0%
(Sep/Rotterdam)
Coal price.108.70 unch +0%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep) 3970 -17 -0.43%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..409.25 -2.25 -0.55%
SoybeanOil 52.76 +0.14 +0.27%
Wheat…538.25 -2.50 -0.46%

Wood pulp…5950.00 unch +0%
(Closed 01/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI up nasdaq down, europe mostly down, asia varied, IHSG down, US treasury bond yield up, kayanya IHSG merah lagi hari ini

USD index up, gold copper juga up, metal2 lain down, oil up gas down coal up, kita lihat perkembangan energy

IHSG – stoch buy, yang lain belum ok, BD flat, FNS, ada 2 gap di bawah, jangan terburu2, kita tunggu big banks mantul

Mulai pada melemah, yang masih arahnya bagus Consumer Cyclicals, Consumer Non-Cyclicals sama Financials malah, semoga bener big banks mantul jadi index jalan

Oil Price – flat, macd masih down, masih wait and see, saya masih hold akra setengah, nunggu momentum masuk full load

Coal Price – alligator up, macd rev up, beberapa kali macd sell terus buy lagi, dengan posisi price naik terus pelan2, sepertinya sih akan lanjut ke atas

Stochastic Buy Signal: BRPT EXCL GOTO INDF MBMA MDKA SMGR BTPS HEAL KIJA NCKL SSIA TINS, big accum BTPS

MACD Buy Signal: ICBP SIDO UNTR MAPA MIKA SSMS, big accum UNTR MAPA MIKA

BTPS – stoch buy macd almost buy, MFI sw, w% sw, BD FF rev acc, abis naik konsol udah cukup sih, belum sampe fibo 23 dari drop besar, PBV masih ok di 1, kemaren candle doji long bottom shadow, agak bahaya reversal, tunggu firm macd deh, dan idealnya nunggu big bank gerak juga

Spike target dah done, sabar dikit dulu

UNTR – banyak yang udah bilang ok, macd buy stoch almost buy, BD rev big acc, ada gap gede di atas, retracement pattern walau kebablasan kebawah fibo 23 tapi masih on track, udah ga mau dibawa kebawah lagi. Yang belum punya idealnya bow di closing gap bawah di 21.100, yang udah punya hold

Spike double tower, firm jalan ini harusnya, BOW UNTR di gap closing

MAPA – stoch up macd buy MFI up w% uptrend BD FF acc ada spike udah bikin higher low, technically perfect sih ini, cuma PBV agak tinggi aja di 2.7

Spike target 950, ok sih, kalo haircut nya ga gede bisa nih bow mid last candle, tapi stoploss ketat, kelakuannya sering kaya gorengan

MIKA – overpriced…

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