Good morning,
July 04th, 2025
Dow…..44829 +344.1 +0.77%
Nasdaq 20601 +207.97 +1.02%
S&P 500 6279 +51.9 +0.83%
FTSE…..8823 +48.5 +0.55%
Dax…..23934 +144.02+0.61%
CAC…..7755 +16.1 +0.21%
Nikkei….39786 +23.4 +0.6%
HSI………24070 -151.5 -0.63%
Shanghai.3461 +6.4 +0.18%
IDX..6878.05 -3.19 -0.05%
LQ45..765.59 -0.64 -0.08%
IDX30.394.24 -0.39 -0.10%
IDXEnergy.2689.43 +6.73 +0.25%
IDX BscMat1476.68 +17.10 +1.17%
IDX Indstr…..910.15 -0.64 -0.07%
IDXNONCYC.676.76 +8.94 +1.34%
IDX Hlthcare1514.90 +8.49 +0.56%
IDXCYCLC…728.56 +0.04 +0.01%
IDX Techno.6446.59 -10.38 -0.16%
IDX Transp 1441.68 +17.90 +1.26%
IDX Infrast .1418.93 +0.37 +0.03%
IDX Finance.1337.67 -4.12 -0.31%
IDX Banking 1001.21 -4.96 -0.49%
IDX Property..718 +1.80 +0.25%
Indo10Yr.6.6893👍 -0.0082 -0.12%
ICBI….414.9288👍 +0.2596 +0.06%
US2Yr.3.886 +0.095 +2.51%‼️
US5Yr 3.939 +0.071 +1.84%‼️
US10Yr4.337 +0.056 +1.31%
US30Yr.4. 862 +0.057 +1.19%
VIX..16.38 -0.26 -1.56%
USDIndx..97.1130❗️+0.329 +0.34%
Como Indx.299.93 -0.78 -0.26%
BCOMIN..149.68 -0.72 -0.48%
IndoCDS 5yr.76.61👍 +0.89 +1.15%
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/07)
IDR…….16195.50❗️-51.00 -0.32%
Jisdor…16209.00❗️ -27.00 -0.17%
Euro..1.1755❗️ -0.0038 -0.32%
TLKM..16.83 -0.19 -1.12%
( 2728)
EIDO….17.47 -0.01 -0.06%
EEM…48.76 +0.22 +0.45%
Oil…67.00 -0.45 -0.67%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…68.90 -0.24 -0.35%
(Brent)
Gold.3342.90 -16.80 -0.50%
(Comex)
Gold.3326.12 -31.33 -0.93%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..33848.00 +134.00 +0.40%
(Closed 03/07)
Nickel…15375.88 +70.75 +0.46%
(Closed 03/07)
Silver….37.08 +0.35 +0.95%
Copper.514.15 -5.60 -1.08%
Iron Ore 62% .96.24 +2.83 +3.03%‼️
(03/07)
Nturl Gas .3.405 -0.093 -2.66%
Ammonia China.2350.00 -20 -0.84%
(Domestic Price 03/07)
Coal price.111.25 -1.25 -1.11%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price112.25 -1.75 -1.54%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 115.50 +0.10 +0.09%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.115.60 -1.60 -1.37%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.108.45 -0.55 -0.73%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 108.05 -1.30 -1.19%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.108.50 -1.25 -1.14%
(Sep/Rotterdam)
Coal price.111.75 +1.65 +1.50%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
CPO(Sep) 4093 +30 +0.74%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……..420.25 +2.25 +0.54%
SoybeanOil 54.67 -0.40 -0.73%
Wheat…556.75 -7.25 -1.29%
Wood pulp…5950.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/07)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
US non farm payroll higher than expected, langsung disambut positif US market. US ijo europe ijo asia varied, IHSG merah tipis karena banyak yang jalan tapi big banks masih tenggelam, harusnya sih naik ya hari ini. US Treasury bond yield juga naik tapi harusnya sentimen US NFP lebih berpengaruh
USD index up, gold copper down, tin nickel silver iron ore up, oil down gas down coal down, padahal kemaren udah nongol buy signal lagi MACD. CPO up kita tunggu buy signal AALI LSIP
IHSG – baru stochastic yang ok, yang lain masih jelek, FNS tapi sudah menipis, technical belum confirm beres wave 2 dan mau wave 3, tapi dari banyaknya buy signal dan sentimen positif US, kemungkinan besar akan jalan wave 3 soon
Oil Price – macd masih down, tapi sudah bottoming dan mulai naik, pas Iran ga sepakat sama UN masalah nuklir oil naik lagi, tapi last day merah, masih pede bahwa oil price akan naik sih
Coal Price – MACD rev buy, supertrend kemaren udah sell, masih WNS
Yang arahnya bagus Consumer Cyclicals, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Healthcare, Financials
Stochastic Buy Signal: ANTM PGEO FILM HRUM SCMA SSIA, big accum ANTM HRUM SSIA
MACD Buy Signal: UNVR AVIA PNLF, big accum UNVR AVIA, TLKM rev sell, beware, kalo beneran buang exit, kalo hanya dip terus rev buy lagi nambah
Supertrend buy signal: TOWR UNVR
ANTM – lesson learned, sedia cash pas crash, tau harus beli tapi ga ada cash nya jadi cuma bisa nonton. Tapi ga sekarang, sekarang udah naik tinggi dan koreksinya belum cukup dalem, ada 2 unclosed gap, macd masih down, saya sih skip
Spike done, belum ada yang baru
HRUM – stoch buy macd down MFI down w% sw, BD acc, FNS, ada spike, udah bikin higher low, sepertinya pada saatnya akan jalan bareng coal lain, tapi saya pegang ADRO
spike gede done, spike baru ada menarik tapi belum sih, wns dulu
SSIA – gerakannya gorengan gitu, PER udah ketinggian, saya sih skip, kalopun mau masuk ga FOMO di harga atas juga kan
Spike bisa dianggap done
UNVR – PBV overpriced, skip
AVIA – agak overpriced sih, stoch up macd buy MFI sw w% baru keluar uptrend area, ada spike, BD acc, foreign exit terus di harga relatif atas, saya sih agak males masuk second layer ya, tapi masih relatif ok sih ini, walau belum tembus fibo 23 nya dari terjunan terakhir tapi udah 2 kali swing up. Bisa juga dianggap udah mau abis elliot wave kecil, tapi kalo ga kenal banget mah jangan lah
Kayanya koq siap terjun… saya sih skip
TOWR – menarik, kurang FNS aja, lebih menarik TLKM sih, tapi sesama infrastructure, TLKM JSMR TOWR menarik, baru terlihat mau jalan. I put moy money on TLKM though
Spike lama done, yang baru kecil, belum sih
