Daily Analysis 20240724

July 24th, 2024

Good morning,

Stocks close slightly lower as Wall Street gears up for major tech earnings

The S&P 500
hovered near the flatline Tuesday as traders readied for earnings reports from major technology behemoths.

Dow……40358 -57.4 -0.14%
Nasdaq17997 -10.2 -0.06%
S&P 500.5556 -8.7 -0.16%

FTSE…..8167 -31.4 -0.38%
Dax……18558 +150.6 +0.82%
CAC……7589 -23.4 -0.31%

Nikkei..39594 -4.6 -0.01%
HSI……17469 -166.5 -0.94%
Shanghai.2915 -48.9 -1.65%

IDX….7313.86 -8.11 -0.11%
LQ45..923.26 +0.02 +0.00%
IDX30.460.95 -1.29 -0.28%

IDXEnergy..2467.96 -24.87 -1.00%
IDX BscMat1365.21 +5.83 +0.43%
IDX Indstrl.1023.64 -8.34 -0.81%
IDXNONCYC.712.97 -4.10 -0.57%
IDX Hlthcare1434.60+9.42 +0.66%
IDXCYCLIC…745.17 -3.06 -0.41%
IDXTechno3438.72 +149.72 +4.55%‼️
IDX Transp 1376.79 +5.67 +0.41%
IDX Infrast 1607.34 +5.47 +0.34%
IDX Finance1405.23 -2.37 -0.17%
IDX Banking1252.42 -8.09 -0.64%
IDX Property…..644 -0.10 -0.01%

Indo10Yr.7.0303 +0.0219 +0.31%
ICBI…382.4694 -0.1720 -0.04%
US2Yr.4.496 -0.025 -0.55%
US5Yr 4.166 -0.009 -0.22%
US10Yr4.261 +0.006 +0.14%
US30Yr.4.487 +0.014 +0.31%
VIX..14.72 -0.19 -1.27%

USDIndx 104.4470 +0.133 +0.13%
Como Indx….280.44 -2.65 -0.94%
BCOMIN…..139.67 -1.20 -0.85%

IndoCDS..76.19 -2.00 +2.70%
(5-yr INOCD5) (22/07)

IDR…..16213.50❗️ -6.50 -0.04%
Jisdor.16204.00❗️ -24.00 -0.15%

Euro…1.0850 -0.0041 -0.38%

TLKM…19.38 +0.01 +0.03%
( 3140)
EIDO…..20.24 -0.10 -0.47,%
EEM…..42.72 -0.38 -0.88%

Oil………..77.42‼️ -2.36 -2.96%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….81.01 -1.39 -1.69%
(Brent)
Gold…..2457.50 +12.60 +0.52%
(Comex)
Gold……2408.59 -1.05. -0.04%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..29418.00 -470.00‼️ -1.57%
(Closed 23/07)
Nickel..16213.00 -61.00 -0.37%
(Closed 23/07)
Silver……29.36 +0.08 +0.27%
Copper.415.45 -3.75. -0.89%

Iron Ore 62% 108.16 -0.29 -0.27%
(22/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.205 -0.074 -3.25%
Ammonia China 2833.33 +33.33 +1.19%
(Domestic Price)(23/07)

Coal price.134.70 -0.30 -0.22%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.20 -1.20 -0.86%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.40 -1.25 -0.90%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 138.40 -1.45 -1.04%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.105.25 +0.25 +0.24%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..109.60 +1.65 +1.53%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.109.95 +1.55 +1.43%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 110.35 +1.75 +1.61%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3953 -21 -0.53%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..417.25 +2.25. +0.54%
SoybeanOil 45.13 +0.28 +0.62%
Wheat…..542.75 -5.25 -0.96%

Wood pulp..5170 -26 -0.50%
(Closed 24/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

 

Semua index regional merah, USD bond yield pendeh down panjang up, mendingan sih buat saham, tapi memang masih cocoksama jadwal koreksi IHSG, masih kemungkinan besar merah

USD index up, Metal2 down kecuali gold silver, oil gas coal CPO down, asli ini sih lanjut merahnya, ga ada ganjel

IHSG – indicator masih bilang down, FNS juga, masih bagusan pegang cash, yang di saham hanya yang contrarian dan sektor consumer

melandai semua kecuali energy sama healthcare

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBCA MDKA SIDO MIKA SILO, big accum BBCA MIKA

MACD Buy Signal: ACES BBCA, big accum juga

Stochastic Continuation Signal and big accum: ERAA

BBCA – kemaren buy signal, tapi MACD nya bolak balik malah mau sell, ga tembus previous high bisa jadi malah double top dan longsor. Kalo liat index belum cukup dalem koreksinya, kayanya BBCA juga bakal dibawa longsor lagi koreksi wave 4 sampe fibo 50 an, skip dulu… Eh, emang ga akan beli juga sih sebenernya, buat acuan index aja

MIKA – BD FF acc, Stoch MACD buy, MFI up w% sw,triangle breakout ke atas tapi belum firm, ada freq spike, mungkin mau hajatan sih ini

Spike ok sih, di sideways, semoga bukan spike jual

Dari bandarmology, emang biggest holdernya lagi akum, harusnya jadi firm spike beli, cuma masalah average price nya aja yang dibawah harga sekarang,spec buy bisa jangan full siap cutloss kalo dibanting

Wah, baru ngeh PBV nya udah 7, PER 39, plus harga udah diatas average, saya skip ah

ACES – menarik, stoch up macd buy, MFI w% sw, BD acc FF dist, kaya mau bikin double bottom abis wave 5 reverse, masuk consumer cyclicals, harusnya ok sih ini

Udah ada spike baru

Average ok tapi biggest holdernya ternyata lagi dist, kalo secaraumum ok accum kaya data stockbit, ini ok buy tapi BOW, amannya nunggu dikit sampe biggest holdernya balik accum

ERAA – all good, harusnya lanjut, udah entry dari MACD buy signal. khawatir cuma tembusin Fibo 23 kuat apa nggak, harusnya sih kuat. Buat entry sekarang kurang bijak, kecuali dia koreksi dulu, baru nanti di 833 buy signal berikutnya re-entry