Daily Analysis 20250825

Daily Analysis 20250825

Good morning,

August 25th, 2025

Dow jumps 800 points to record, S&P 500, Nasdaq soar as Powell’s Jackson Hole finale fuels bets on September rate cut

US stocks soared on Friday as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell opened the door to a September rate cut during his highly anticipated speech at Jackson Hole.

Dow…..45632 +846.3 +1.89%
Nasdaq 21497 +396.2 +1.54%
S&P 500 6467 +96.7 +1.52%

FTSE…..9321 +12.2 +0.13%
Dax…..24363 +69.8 +0.29%
CAC…..7970 +31.4 +0.40%

Nikkei…..42633 +23.1 +0.05%
HSI……..25339 +234.5 +0.93%
Shanghai.3826 +54.7 +1.45%

IDX..7858.85 -31.86 -0.40%
LQ45..822.22 -6.76 -0.32%
IDX30.425.47 -3.33 -0.78%

IDXEnergy.3030.07 -10.20 -0.34%
IDX BscMat1633.74 -8.97 -0.55%
IDX Indstr..1182.69 +3.93 +0.33%
IDXNONCYC.722.40 -2.90 -0.40%
IDX Hlthcare1708.27 -9.27 -0.54%
IDXCYCLC..811.96 +8.14 +1.01%
IDX Techno10397.54 +162.53+1.59%
IDX Transp 1588.69 +29.34 +1.88%
IDX Infrast .1871.47 -4.58 -0.24%
IDX Finance 1461.19 -1.35. -0.09%
IDX Banking 1069.85 -11.33 -1.05%
DX Property..840 +0.5 +0.06%

Indo10Yr 6.489 +0.012 +0.19%
ICBI….424.1735 -0.3727 -0.09%
US2Yr.3.688 -0.064 -1.71%
US5Yr 3.757 -0.055 -1.44%
US10Yr4.258 -0.033 -0.77%
US30Yr.4.883 -0.062 -1.27%
VIX..14.22👍 -2.38 -14.34%‼️

USDIndx..97.7160❗️-0.925 -0.94%
Como Indx.300.00 +1.58 +0.53%
. BCOMIN..141.54 +1.52 +1.09%

IndoCDS 5yr.67.21 -0.44 -0.65%
(5-yr INOCD5) (22/08)

IDR…….16351.00❗️ +63.00 +0.39%
Jisdor…16340.00❗️ +57.00 +0.35%

Euro..1.1718❗️+0.0114 +0.98%

TLKM..19.91 +0.16 +0.81%
( 3253)
EIDO….18.65 +0.21 +1.14%
EEM…50.63 +0.99 +1.99%

Oil…63.66 +0.14 +0.22%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…67.73 +0.16 +0.24%
(Brent)

Gold.3418.50 +36.90 +1.09%
(Comex)
Gold.3371.86 +33.15 +0.99%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..33809.00 +389.00 +1.16%
(Closed 22/08)
Nickel…14997.63 +81.50 +0.55%
(Closed 22/08)
Silver……39.56 +0.98 +2.53%
Copper..452.75 +1.60 +0.35%

Iron Ore 62% 101.42 -0.15 -0.15%
(22/08)

Nturl Gas .2.689 -0.111 -3.95%‼️

Ammonia China.2300.00 – -%
(Domestic Price 22/08)

Coal price111.30 +0.70 +0.63%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 109.80 -0.30 -0.27%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.109.80 -0.30 -0.27%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price..112.25 -1.85 -1.62%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price….99.85 -0.55 -0.55%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….98.85 -1.55 -1.54%
(Sep/Rotterdam)
Coal price….99.50 -1.75 -1.73%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.100.20 -1.85 -1.81%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct) 4531 +69 +1.55%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……411.50 -0.25 -0.06%
SoybeanOil 55.32 +1.45 +2.69%
Wheat…527.25 -2.50 -0.3)47%

Wood pulp..5833.33 -16.33 -0.28%
(Closed 22/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US jump karena indikasi fed rate cut by Jerome Powell, europe ijo, asia ijo, IHSG merah sendiri, us treasury bond yield drop, harusnya ijo tebel IHSG hari ini

USD index down, metal2 up, oil up gas drop, coal spot up future down, CPO up, ayo AKRA ELSA MEDC lanjut…

IHSG – sebenernya technicalnya hampir semua jelek, stoch buy macd rev down MFI down w% keluar area uptrend, banyak gap, ketemu reg bear div walau belum confirmed, bd juga dist, tapi FNB terus walau menipis. Issue Fed Cut Rate harusnya sih tetep ga kebendung dan bisa ngebalikin technical, kita liat aja, dan siap2 ikut buy di yang signalnya rev buy dan confirmed

Financials, Industrials, Transportation

Stochastic Buy Signal: BRPT MDKA PGAS AVIA DSNG EMTK, big accum BRPT PGAS EMTK

MACD Buy Signal: JPFA

Daily Analysis 20250704

Daily Analysis 20250704

Good morning,

July 04th, 2025

Dow…..44829 +344.1 +0.77%
Nasdaq 20601 +207.97 +1.02%
S&P 500 6279 +51.9 +0.83%

FTSE…..8823 +48.5 +0.55%
Dax…..23934 +144.02+0.61%
CAC…..7755 +16.1 +0.21%

Nikkei….39786 +23.4 +0.6%
HSI………24070 -151.5 -0.63%
Shanghai.3461 +6.4 +0.18%

IDX..6878.05 -3.19 -0.05%
LQ45..765.59 -0.64 -0.08%
IDX30.394.24 -0.39 -0.10%

IDXEnergy.2689.43 +6.73 +0.25%
IDX BscMat1476.68 +17.10 +1.17%
IDX Indstr…..910.15 -0.64 -0.07%
IDXNONCYC.676.76 +8.94 +1.34%
IDX Hlthcare1514.90 +8.49 +0.56%
IDXCYCLC…728.56 +0.04 +0.01%
IDX Techno.6446.59 -10.38 -0.16%
IDX Transp 1441.68 +17.90 +1.26%
IDX Infrast .1418.93 +0.37 +0.03%
IDX Finance.1337.67 -4.12 -0.31%
IDX Banking 1001.21 -4.96 -0.49%
IDX Property..718 +1.80 +0.25%

Indo10Yr.6.6893👍 -0.0082 -0.12%
ICBI….414.9288👍 +0.2596 +0.06%
US2Yr.3.886 +0.095 +2.51%‼️
US5Yr 3.939 +0.071 +1.84%‼️
US10Yr4.337 +0.056 +1.31%
US30Yr.4. 862 +0.057 +1.19%
VIX..16.38 -0.26 -1.56%

USDIndx..97.1130❗️+0.329 +0.34%
Como Indx.299.93 -0.78 -0.26%
BCOMIN..149.68 -0.72 -0.48%

IndoCDS 5yr.76.61👍 +0.89 +1.15%
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/07)

IDR…….16195.50❗️-51.00 -0.32%
Jisdor…16209.00❗️ -27.00 -0.17%

Euro..1.1755❗️ -0.0038 -0.32%

TLKM..16.83 -0.19 -1.12%
( 2728)
EIDO….17.47 -0.01 -0.06%
EEM…48.76 +0.22 +0.45%

Oil…67.00 -0.45 -0.67%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…68.90 -0.24 -0.35%
(Brent)

Gold.3342.90 -16.80 -0.50%
(Comex)
Gold.3326.12 -31.33 -0.93%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..33848.00 +134.00 +0.40%
(Closed 03/07)
Nickel…15375.88 +70.75 +0.46%
(Closed 03/07)
Silver….37.08 +0.35 +0.95%
Copper.514.15 -5.60 -1.08%

Iron Ore 62% .96.24 +2.83 +3.03%‼️
(03/07)

Nturl Gas .3.405 -0.093 -2.66%
Ammonia China.2350.00 -20 -0.84%
(Domestic Price 03/07)

Coal price.111.25 -1.25 -1.11%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price112.25 -1.75 -1.54%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 115.50 +0.10 +0.09%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.115.60 -1.60 -1.37%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.108.45 -0.55 -0.73%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 108.05 -1.30 -1.19%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.108.50 -1.25 -1.14%
(Sep/Rotterdam)
Coal price.111.75 +1.65 +1.50%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep) 4093 +30 +0.74%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..420.25 +2.25 +0.54%
SoybeanOil 54.67 -0.40 -0.73%
Wheat…556.75 -7.25 -1.29%

Wood pulp…5950.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US non farm payroll higher than expected, langsung disambut positif US market. US ijo europe ijo asia varied, IHSG merah tipis karena banyak yang jalan tapi big banks masih tenggelam, harusnya sih naik ya hari ini. US Treasury bond yield juga naik tapi harusnya sentimen US NFP lebih berpengaruh

USD index up, gold copper down, tin nickel silver iron ore up, oil down gas down coal down, padahal kemaren udah nongol buy signal lagi MACD. CPO up kita tunggu buy signal AALI LSIP

IHSG – baru stochastic yang ok, yang lain masih jelek, FNS tapi sudah menipis, technical belum confirm beres wave 2 dan mau wave 3, tapi dari banyaknya buy signal dan sentimen positif US, kemungkinan besar akan jalan wave 3 soon

Oil Price – macd masih down, tapi sudah bottoming dan mulai naik, pas Iran ga sepakat sama UN masalah nuklir oil naik lagi, tapi last day merah, masih pede bahwa oil price akan naik sih

Coal Price – MACD rev buy, supertrend kemaren udah sell, masih WNS

Yang arahnya bagus Consumer Cyclicals, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Healthcare, Financials

Stochastic Buy Signal: ANTM PGEO FILM HRUM SCMA SSIA, big accum ANTM HRUM SSIA

MACD Buy Signal: UNVR AVIA PNLF, big accum UNVR AVIA, TLKM rev sell, beware, kalo beneran buang exit, kalo hanya dip terus rev buy lagi nambah

Supertrend buy signal: TOWR UNVR

Daily Analysis 20250124

Daily Analysis 20250124

January 24th, 2024

S&P 500 clinches first record close of 2025, Dow pops after Trump takes spotlight at Davos

US stocks closed in the green on Thursday with the S&P 500 nabbing a fresh record close as investors stayed attuned to remarks from President Donald Trump, who addressed the World Economic Forum in Davos

Dow……44565 +408.3 +0.92%
Nasdaq 20054 +44.3 +0.22%
S&P 500 6119 +32.4 +0.53%

FTSE…..8565 +20.1 +0.23%
Dax……21412 +157.3 +0.74%
CAC……7893 +55.2 +0.70%

Nikkei…39959 +312.6 +0.79%
HSI…….19701 -78.2 -0.40%
Shanghai.3230 +16.5 +0.51%

IDX…7232.64 -24.49 -0.34%
LQ45…843.59 -2.59 -0.31%
IDX30.434.23 -1.19 -0.27%

IDXEnergy…2892.80 +6.03 +0.21%
IDX BscMat 1234.96 -13.23 -1.06%
IDX Indstrl… ..978.06 -7.35 -0.75%
IDXNONCYC.705.84 -4.48 -0.63%
IDX Hlthcare1383.94 -10.48 -0.75%
IDXCYCLC…830.46 +1.35 +0.16%
IDX Techno.4380.20 +24.43 +0.56%
IDX Transp 1278.97 +2.10 +0.16%
IDX Infrast 1531.30 +5.05 +0.33%
IDX Finance1425.44 -2.87 -0.20%
IDX Banking1178.43 -4.58 -0.39%
IDX Property. 750 -22.8 -2.95%

Indo10Yr.7.1562❗-0.00193 -0.27%
ICBI….394.0210❗+0.4446 +0.11%
US2Yr.4.289 -0.013 -0.30%
US5Yr 4.453 +0.024 +0.54%
US10Yr4.646 +0.033 +0.72%
US30Yr.4.871+0.044 +0.91%
VIX..15.02 -0.08 -0.53%

USDIndx 108.1350❗-0.105 -0.10%
Como Indx..309.36 -0.02 -0.01%
BCOMIN..144.25 -0.33 -0.23%

IndoCDS…74.22 -2.00 -2.62%👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (22/01)

IDR…….16283.00❗+4.00 +0.02%
Jisdor..16276.00❗-51.00 -0.31%

Euro…1.0418 +0.0011 -0.20%

TLKM…16.96 -0.03 -0.18%
( 2760)
EIDO….18.86 +0.03 +0.16%
EEM…42.67 +0.12 +0.27%

Oil………74.62 -0.82 -1.09%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………77.88 -1.09 -1.38%
(Brent)
Gold…2765.00 -0.70 -0.03%
(Comex)
Gold…2754.87 +0.08 +0.002%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.30272.00 +39.00 +0.13%
(Closed 22/01)
.Nickel.15660.00 -60.00 -0.38%
(Closed 22/01)
Silver……31.39 -0.11 -0.35%
Copper.429.40 -4.70 -1.08%

Iron Ore 62% 101.40 +0.19 +0.19%
(22/01)
Nturl Gas ..3.960 -0.020 -0.51%
Ammonia China. 2393.33 _ -%
(Domestic Price)(23/01)

Coal price.116.50 -0.25 -0.21%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.119.10 -2.90 -2.38%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.121.80 -1.65 -1.34%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 123.70 -1.95 -1.55%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.109.10 +0.60 +0.55%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 106.75 -1.65 -1.52%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 107.00 -1.50 -1.38%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 107.65 -1.45 -1.33%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr) 4191 -17 -0.40%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………489.75 +5.50 +1.14%
SoybeanOil 45.04 +0.62 +1.42%
Wheat……554.00 unch +0%

Wood pulp…..6580 +36 +0.55%
(Closed 23/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo europe ijo asia kebanyakan ijo, IHSG merah walau opening gap up, ada gap sih dibawah, kayanya hari ini tutup gap dulu dip sebentar baru jalan lagi, itu juga kalau BBCA ga langsung di gas karena LK nya. US treasury bond yang 2 tahun turunm yang panjang2 naik, ga terlalu gimana2 harusnya

USD index down, metal kebanyakan down kecuali tins sama iron ore, oil gas coal down, cpo down, lesu dulu ini, tapi bisa jadi kesempatan untuk buy ADRO. selama coal price nya masih bullish

IHSG – tech indicators masih ok, dari retracement pattern bisa jadi mau bawa ke fibo 23 dulu sebelum ke fibo 61, plus ada gap di bawah jadi makin besar kemungkinannya, semoga ga sampe fibo 23, dip aja tutup gap terus lanjut. kemaren FNS lagi, merah deh… Semoga FNB hari ini

Financials nya melemah, Energy slow down, Basic Materials Consumer Cyclicals sama Infrastructure

Coal Price – abis supertrend buy signal dia slow down, tapi ga sejauh oil, semoga lanjut rally seperti biasanya pas winter

Stochastic Buy Signal: JSMR SSIA SSMS, big accum JSMR

MACD Buy Signal: CMRY

Alligator Buy Signal: AKRA AVIA GJTL tapi malah big dist

Daily Analysis 20240919

Daily Analysis 20240919

September 19th, 2024

Dow closes lower, giving up 375-point pop after big Fed rate cut

Stocks closed lower Wednesday in a volatile session as the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates in a half-percentage-point move. The outsized rate cut was cheered initially by traders, though it did raise concerns the Fed was trying to get ahead of potential economic weakness.

Dow…….41503 -103.08 -0.25%
Nasdaq. 17573 -54.8 -0.31%
S&P 500 5618 -16.3 -0.29%

FTSE…8254 -56.2 -0.68%
Dax……18712 -14.59 -0.08%
CAC……7445 -42.5 -0.57%

Nikkei….36380 +176.95 +0.49%
HSI……..17660 closed +0%
Shanghai.2717 +13.2 +0.49%

IDX….7829.14 -2.64 -0.03%
LQ45…970.25 +3.33 +0.34%
IDX30.495.10 +1.66 +0.34%

IDXEnergy. 2661.86 -5.08 -0.19%
IDX BscMat1321.61 -7.26 -0.55%
IDX Indstrl..1091.40 +9.31 +0.86%
IDXNONCYC.733.61 +0.73 +0.10%
IDX Hlthcare1543.11 +27.84+1.84%
IDXCYCLIC…904.06 -14.29 -1.66%
IDXTechno 3829.37 -101.65 -2.59%
IDX Transp 1501.09 +2.70 +0.18%
IDX Infrast 1624.68 -21.95 -1.33%
IDX Finance1557.49 +9.72 +1.63%
IDX Banking1385.86 +11.67 +0.85%
IDX Property….758 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.6155👍-0.0014 -0.02%
ICBI….393.4510👍+0.1994 +0.05%
US2Yr.3.628 +0.021 +0.58%
US5Yr 3.493 +0.050 +1.45%
US10Yr3.715 +0.068 +1.86%
US30Yr.4.031 +0.071 +1.79%
VIX..18.23 +0.62 +3.52%‼️

USDIndx 100.9500❗️ +0.056 +0.06%
Como Indx….279.82 +1.16 +0.42%
BCOMIN….145.99 +0.30 +0.21%

IndoCDS..70.27 -0.94 -1.32%
(5-yr INOCD5) (13/09)

IDR…….15335.00 unch +0%
Jisdor..15350.00 +12.00 +0.08%

Euro…1.1118❗️ -0.0001 -0.01%

TLKM.20.50 +0.33 +1.61%
( 3144)
EIDO…22.76 +0.12 +0.51%
EEM….42.87 -0.17 -0.38%

Oil………..70.91 -0.24 -0.34%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..72.88 -0.82 -1.11%
(Brent)
Gold…2598.60 +2.00 +0.08%
(Comex)
Gold…2558.54 -12.93 -0.48%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..31594.00 -261.00 -0.82%
(Closed 18/09)
Nickel..16228.00 +92.00 +0.57%
(Closed 18/09)
Silver… ..30.69 -0.35 -1.13%
Copper.429.90 +2.05 +0.48%

Iron Ore 62% 91.94 -0.32 -0.35%
(16/09)
Nturl Gas 2.295 -0.021 -0.91%
Ammonia China 2710.00 +33.33 +1.25%
(Domestic Price)(18/09)

Coal price.139.00 -0.65 -0.47%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.25 -1.10 -0.81%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.30 -0.30 -0.22%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.85 -0.35 -0.25%
(Dec/Newcastle)

Coal price.114.25 -0.40 -0.35%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price..112.60 -1.65 -1.44%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price 112.45 -1.30 -1.14%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.112.45 -1.55 -1.36%
(Dec/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des) 3848 +113 +3.03%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………412.75 +0.25 +0.06%
SoybeanOil 40.31 +0.43 +1.08%
Wheat……575.75 unch +0%

Wood pulp.4850.00 -4.00 -0.08%
(Closed 18/09)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah europe merah, asia kebanyakan ijo, IHSG merah tipis, US T bond yield naik lagi, ini bau baunya merah lagi ISHG hari ini, padahal harusnya efek fed dan BI cut rate bagus

USD index up, metal2 kebanyakan down kecuali nickel copper, oil down gas down coal down, CPO jump. Giliran AALI lanjut lari lagi nih. Yang lain keliatannya akan koreksi tipis2 dulu

IHSG – 833 sell, macd mulai rev down, hati hati yang big caps bisa mulai rontok

Property bangun dengan issue BI cut rate, Financials, Technology, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Healthcare

Stochastic Buy Signal: ACES ASII TLKM AVIA BBYB BRMS BTPS ULTJ, big accum ACES ASII BBYB

MACD Buy Signal: ARTO BBRI BMRI INCO BBYB MARK MPMX TINS AMFG, big accum ARTO BBYB

Daily Analysis 20240812

Daily Analysis 20240812

August 12th, 2024

Dow…….39497 +51.1 +0.13%
Nasdaq. 16745 +85.3 +0.51x%
S&P 500 5344 +24.9 +0.47%

FTSE..8168.10 +23.1 +0.28%
Dax……17722 +42.5 +0.24%
CAC……7270 +22.3 +0.31%

Nikkei..35025 +193.9 +0.56%
HSI……..17090 +198.4 +1.17%
Shanghai.2862 -7.7 -0.27%

IDX….7257.12 +61.88 +0.86%
LQ45…908.13 +9.23 +1.03%
IDX30.455.86 +1.74 +0.38%

IDXEnergy.2425.17 +12.00. +0.50%
IDX BscMat1318.38 +20.96 +1.62%
IDX Indstrl..1025.97 +11.31 +1.11%
IDXNONCYC.702.16 +2.36 +0.34%
IDX Hlthcare1452.22 +6.21 +0.43%
IDXCYCLIC…759.82 +6.04 +0.80%
IDXTechno.3224.77 +18.76 +0.59%
IDX Transp 1357.38. +10.91 +0.81%
IDX Infrast 1546.82 +13.02 +0.85%
IDX Finance1406.97 +6.99 +0.48%
IDX Banking1257.44 +8.18 +0.65%
IDX Property…..661 +5.20 +0.79%

Indo10Yr.6.8349 -0.0186 -0.27%
ICBI…387.2557 +0.3148 +0.08%
US2Yr.4.057 +0.021 +0.52%
US5Yr 3.796 -0.030 -0.78%
US10Yr3.959 -0.030 -0.75%
US30Yr.4.220 -0.056 -1.31%
VIX..20.37 -3.42 -14.38%‼️

USDIndx 103.2150 +0.006 +0.01%
Como Indx….275.97 +1.97 +0.72%
BCOMIN…..138.06 +1.93 +1.42%

IndoCDS..80.17 -0.02 -0.02%
(5-yr INOCD5) (09/08)

IDR…..15924.50 +31.00 +0.19%
Jisdor.15914.00 -38.00 -0.24%

Euro…1.0913 -0.0005 -0.05%

TLKM…17.86 +0.04 +0.20%
( 2836)
EIDO.20.48 -0.02 -0.10%
EEM..42.06 +0.21 +0.50%

Oil………..76.94 +0.90 +1.18%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….79.16 +0.83 +1.06%
(Brent)
Gold…..2468.50 +3.70 +0.15%
(Comex)
Gold……2430.02 +4.07 +0.17%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..31304.00 +810.00 +2.66%
(Closed 09/08)
Nickel..16298.00 +97.50 +0.60%
(Closed 09/08)
Silver….27.49 -0.08 -0.29%
Copper.397.85 +0.15 +0.04%

Iron Ore 62% 101.26 +0.51 +0.51%
(09/08)
Nturl Gas 2.161 +0.072 +3.45%
Ammonia China 2463.33 – -%
(Domestic Price)(09/08)

Coal price.146.00 +0.50 +0.34%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.150.50 +1.50 +1.01%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 151.95 +1.75 +1.17%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.153.20 +2.00 +1.32%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.122.10 +0.70 +0.58%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.124.00 +1.10 +0.90%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 124.90 +1.60 +1.30%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.125.75 +1.65 +1.33%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3717 +41 +1.12%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..395.00 -2.00 -0.50%
SoybeanOil 41.12 +0.26 +0.64%
Wheat…..542.50 +5.00 +0.93%

Wood pulp..5100 unch +0%
(Closed 11/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Closing Jum’at semua ijo kecuali China. US Bond Yield hampir semua turun, keliatannya beneran udah beres wave 2, lanjut wave 3 IHSG

USD index up tpis, metal2 ijo kecuali silver, harusnya INCO ANTM TINS dkk jalan lagi, Oil Gas Coal up, PTBA ITMG ADRO menarik diliat… Oil kita liat dulu.CPO up juga, semoga nganter AALI LSIP rally juga

IHSG – Stoch up, MACD rev up tapi belum sempet nyeberang kebawa histogram, MFI sw, w% up, FNB, walau belum tutup gap tapi deket banget kemaren, bisa jadi sudah dianggap done, dari itungan fibonacci wave 2 udah bisa dianggap done, semoga memang sepakat untuk rally wave 3

Property yang terlihat kenceng, tapi kemaren di check masing2nya BD pada jualan, very careful buat yang mau ngejar issue bunga bank turun

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMRT INDF AVIA BMTR INDY MAHA MYOR PTPP, big accum AMRT INDF INDY PTPP

MACD Buy Signal: BRIS BUKA UNVR CMRY GJTL KIJA MIKA BRAM, big accum UNVR GJTL

Daily Analysis 20240131

Daily Analysis 20240131

January 31st, 2024

Good morning,

Nasdaq 100 futures slide, Alphabet shares drop after results

Futures tied to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100
fell Tuesday night after a pair of mega-cap tech companies posted their quarterly results. Wall Street also looked toward the Federal Reserve’s decision on rate policy.

Dow……38467 +133.9 +0.35%
Nasdaq15510 -118.2 -0.76%
S&P 500.4925 -2.96 -0.06%

FTSE…..7666 +33.6 +0.44%
Dax……16972 +30.6 +0.18%
CAC……7677 +36.7 +0.48%

Nikkei..36066 +38.9 +0.11%
HSI……15703 -373.8 -2.33%
Shanghai.2831 -52.8 -1.83%

IDX…..7192.22 +35.04 +0.49%
LQ45….971.70 +9.78 +1.02%
IDX30…493.78 +5.93 +1.22%

IDXEnergy..2097.94 -7.30 -0.35%
IDX BscMat.1284.55 -5.74 -0.44%
IDX Indstrl…1087.81 +2.42 +0.22%
IDXNONCYC.693.75 -3.14 -0.45%
IDX Hlthcare1318.21+8.41. +0.64%
IDXCYCLIC…859.07 +7.60 +0.89%
IDX Techno4103.92 +118.31 +2.97%
IDX Transp 1515.04 -7.75 -0.51%
IDX Infrast 1497.23 -13.74 -0.91%
IDX Finance.1510.97 -8.20 -0.54%
IDX Banking.1300.04 +25.68 +2.02%
IDX Property.. 698 -2.30 -0.32%

Indo10Yr.6.6555 – 0.0229 -0.34%
ICBI…376.0857 +0.4541 +0.12%
US2Yr.4.339 +0.017 +0.39%
US5Yr 3.974 -0.012 -0.30%
US10Yr4.036 -0.036 -0.93%
US30Yr.4.251-0.064 -1.48%
VIX…13.31 -0.29 -2.13%

USDIndx 103.3970❗️ -0.212 -0.20%
Como Indx..274.00 +3.12 +1.15%
BCOMIN……140.02 +0.77 +0.55%

IndoCDS..76.73 +0.03 +0.04%
(5-yr INOCD5) (29/01)

IDR…..15780.00‼️ -30.00 -0.19%
Jisdor.15825.00 ‼️ -29.00 -0.18%

Euro….1.0844 +0.0008 +0.07%

TLKM…25.33 -0.22 -0.86%
(4008)
EIDO……21.75 +0.18 +0.83%
EEM……38.60 -0.31 -0.80%

Oil…….77.81 +0.85 +1.10%
Gold..2054.50 +3.30 +0.16%
Timah..26664.00 – -%
(Closed 29/01)
Nickel..16513.50 +54.00 +0.33%
(Closed 30/01)
Silver……23.28 -0.05 -0.21%
Copper.391.15 +2.55 +0.66%

Iron Ore 62% 135.55 unch +0%
(29/01)
Nturl Gas..2.091 +0.032 +1.55%
Ammonia China.3260.00 -83.00 -2.48%
(Domestic Price)(29/01/02)

Coal price 119.55 +3.15 +2.71%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.120.50 +5.00 +4.33%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 120.30 +4.40 +3.80%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice.119.80 +3.80 +3.28%‼️
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .96.15 +1.85 +1.96%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..93.65 +1.90 +2.07%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..91.10 +1.20 +1.33%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..90.75 +1.30 +1.45%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3842 -107 -2.71%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……447.75 +7.50 +1.70%
SoybeanOil 46.00 +0.45 +0.99%
Wheat…605.50 +12.20 +1.70%

Wood pulp..5076.00 +10 +0.20%
(Closed 30/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

REMINDER REBALANCING

UPDATE (29/01/2024)

EVALUASI INDEKS LQ45, IDX30, IDX80, KOMPAS100, PEFINDO25, INDEKS BUMN20, IDXSMC-LIQ, IDXSMC-COM, IDXHIDIV20, IDXV30, IDXG30, IDXQ30, IDXLQ45LCL

(Periode Efektif 01 Februari 2024 – 31 Juli 2024)

INDEKS LQ45
Baru : MBMA, MTEL, PGEO, PTMP
Keluar : INDY, SCMA, TBIG, TPIA

INDEKS IDX30
Baru : ACES, ICBP, INKP, PGEO
Keluar : EMTK, ESSA, HRUM, TOWR

INDEKS IDX80
Baru : AUTO, GJTL, MAPA, MBMA, PGEO, PTMP, SMIL, TRON, WIFI
Keluar : AVIA, DOID, HMSP, JKON, OMED, PNBN, RMKE, SMDR, WIKA

INDEKS KOMPAS100
Baru : AUTO, CFIN, DRMA, GTRA, HRTA, IMAS, MAPA, MARK, MBMA, NISP, PGEO, PTMP, PTRO, SILO, SMIL, SMSM, SSIA, TRON, WIIM
Keluar : AALI, AGII, AVIA, BBKP, BDMN, BELI, BSSR, HMSP, JKON, LSIP, MMIX, MSIN, OMED, PNBN, PNIN, RMKE, SMDR, TAPG, WIKA

INDEKS PEFINDO25
Baru : ADMR, AUTO, DILD, ESSA, GJTL, LPPF, LSIP, MAPA, MIDI, TAPG
Keluar : AKRA, BSSR, DSNG, HEXA, HRTA, MIKA, POWR, SIDO, SMSM, SSIA

(Periode Efektif 05 Februari 2024 – 02 Agustus 2024)

INDEKS BUMN20
Baru : BJTM, PGEO,
Keluar : JKON, WIKA

INDEKS IDXSMC-LIQ
Baru : AUTO, CMRY, GGRM, HEAL. INCO, MAPA, MIDI, TOWR
Keluar : ADMR, ARTO, BDMN, BEST, BJBR, LSIP, SSIA, TAPG, WIKA

INDEKS IDXSMC-COM
Baru : ARTA, AXIO, BEEF, GGRM, HOKI, INCO, JAWA, PDPP, TOWR
*zKeluar :*z ADMR, ARTO, BOLA, CUAN, DEFI, DSSA, FILM, GLVA, GSMF, HOMI, JIHD, MDLN, MREI, NIKL, PANI, PEGE, PGEO, PPRE, RONY, SMIL, SONA, TEBE, TFAS, TOPS, WEGE, WTON

INDEKS IDXHIDIV20
Baru : BRPT, ICBP, INKP, KLBF, SMGR, TPIA, UNVR
Keluar : BJBR, BJTM, BNGA, BSSR, HEXA, HMSP, MPMX

INDEKS IDXV30
Baru : AUTO, GJTL, JSMR, SMRA, WIFI
Keluar : DOID, JKON, PNBN, SMDR, TINS

INDEKS IDXG30
Baru : AUTO, BBTN, GJTL, MAPA
Keluar : ASSA, PNBN, SMDR, TINS

INDEKS IDXQ30
Baru : AKRA, AMRT, GGRM, MYOR, SMIL, TRON
Keluar : AVIA, EMTK, HMSP, RMKE, SRTG, TINS

INDEKS IDXLQ45LCL
Baru : MAPI, MBMA, MTEL, PGEO
Keluar : ASII, SCMA, TBIG, TPIA

(Listri. Source : IDX)

SP500 abis cetak new record koreksi dulu, DJI nya ijo, europe ijo, asia kebanyakan merah, IHSG sempet merah dulu tapi closing ijo, firm mau wave B

US bond rate pendek naik, panjang turun, semoga ga banyak pengaruh ke stock market, USD index merah, metal2 lanjut naik kecuali silver, oil gas coal ijo, coal ijonya tebel, CPO merah dalem, MDKA harusnya jalan, ELSA AKRA MEDC lanjut, coal apakah udah mau rebound? AALI LSIP agak kawatir ini

IHSG – dari ilmu elliot wave, wave B nya ga panjang ini keliatanya, daripada aggressive sekarang mending tunggu wave C beres… Udah 2 hari FNB, BD acc, big bank di push naik, GOTO di push naik, tapi in total saham yang turun lebih banyak dari saham yang naik. Masih keep cash

Terlihat Healthcare ngebalik nyusul basic materials, consumer non-cyclicals dan infrastructure… Padahal kemaren KLBF dibanting sampe cutloss

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO ASII BBNI ITMG PTBA SIDO ASSA BRMS CTRA HMSP LPPF MTEL SMRA. Big Acc ASII BBNI PTBA

MACD Buy Signal: JSMR PTPP BRAM

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big acc: BRIS