Daily Analysis 20230727

Daily Analysis 20230727

July 27th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow rises for a 13th straight day, posting its best winning streak since 1987

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose Wednesday, notching its best winning streak since 1987 as traders digested a Federal Reserve rate hike and major corporate earnings.

Dow……35520 +82.1 +0.23%
Nasdaq14127 -17.3 -0.12%
S&P 500.4567 -0.7 -0.02%

FTSE…..7677 -14.9 -0.19%
Dax……16131 -80.1 -0.49%
CAC……7315 -100.4 -1.35%

Nikkei…32668 -14.2 -0.04%
HSI…….19365 -69.3 -0.36%
Shanghai.3223 -8.5 -0.26%

IDX…..6948.28 +30.57 +0.44%
LQ45….969.29 +5.44 +0.56%
IDX30…504.10 +2.87 +0.57%

IDXEnergy…1973.90 +27.87 +1.43%
IDX BscMat.1065.99 -1.50 -0.14%
IDX Indstrl…1212.34 +8.97 +0.75%
IDXNONCYC.748.95 -1.33 -0.18%
IDX Hlthcare1543.08 -9.00 -0.58%
IDXCYCLIC….930.97 +4.22 +0.46%
IDX Techno.4768.08 -13.98 -0.29%
IDX Transp..1956.84 +22.99 +1.19%
IDX Infrast… .852.03 +0.99 +0.12%
IDX Finance.1434.25 +4.28 +0.30%
IDX Banking.1211.96 +6.23 +0.53%
IDX Property..756 -6.30 -0.82%

Indo10Yr.6.3408+0.0138 +0.22%
*ICBI….369.0492* -0.2372 -0.06%
US2Yr.4.8500 -0.029 -0.59%
US5Yr 4.1160 -0.052 -1.25%
US10Yr3.8750 -0.022 -0.56%
US30Yr.3.9320 -0.015 -0.38%
VIX…….13.19 -0.67 -4.83%👍

USDIndx 100.8870👍 -0.4620 -0.46%
Como Indx…280.87 -1.02 -0.3%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….146.18 -1.82 -1.23%

IndoCDS.80.21 -2.49 -3.01%👍
(5-yr INOCD5) *(25/07)*I

IDR…..15022.50‼ +24.50 +0.16%
Jisdor.15032.00 ‼+25.00 +0.17%

Euro……1.1088 +0.0025 +0.23%

TLKM…25.63 unch +0%
(3853)
EIDO….23.82 +0.19 +0.80%
EEM…..41.45 +0.24 +0.58%

Oil…..78.97 -0.36 -0.45%
*Gold…2013.40* +6.90 +0.34%
Timah..28899.00 +298.00 +1.04%
(Closed 25/07)
Nickel..21563.00 -939.50 -4.18%‼
(Closed 26/07)
Silver…. 25.09 +0.16 +0.64%
Copper.390.70 -1.15 -0.29%

Iron Ore 62% 112.72 +0.21 +0.19%
(25/07)
Nturl Gas.2.6810 -0.0490 -1.79%
Ammonia China..3000.00 +3.45%‼
(Domestic Price)(26/07)

Coal price..134.00 unch +0%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.147.65 +0.15 +0.10%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.150.95 -0.15 -0.10%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.154.15 -0.40 -0.26%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price111.25 +0.10 +0.09%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price.115.05 -3.15 -2.66%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.117.50 -3.55 -2.93%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.20 -3.70 -2.99%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)..4063 -7 -0.17%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….548.25 -17.00 -3.01%‼
SoybeanOil 64.19 -1.07 -1.67%
Wheat……720.00 -40.25 -5.29%‼

*Wood pulp..4410.00* +30 +0.68%
(Closed 25/07)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI lanjut ijo, walau nasdaq dan SP500 merah tipis setelah rate fed naik 25 basis point

Yang lain merah, IHSG masih ijo, beware koreksi sekarang atau besok, antisipasi kenaikan minggu ini yang signifikan

USD index drop, Gold Silver ijo, copper merah, timah ijo nickel merah iron ore ijo, oil merah, coal tipis tipis, CPO juga

Harusnya bagus buat ANTM MDKA,yang lain keliatannya akan sideways or minor pullback dulu

Energy Technology Transportation

IHSG – stoch almost buy, macd up, mfi sw, w%uptrend, BD FF acc, testing neckline triple bottom, semoga tembus kenceng

Stochastic Buy Signal: ASII EXCL INDY SRTG AALI ASSA AVIA JSMR MTEL INCI

MACD Buy Signal: HRUM TPIA PNBN AMFG IGAR

Aligator Buy Signal: GOTO MEDC SMDR

Supertrend Buy Signal: INCO IGAR

Daily Analysis 20230509

Daily Analysis 20230509

May 09th, 2023 Good morning, S&P 500 ends Monday little changed as investors look ahead to key inflation reports The S&P 500 closed near the flat line on Monday as…
Daily Analysis 20230428

Daily Analysis 20230428

April 28th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow and S&P 500 post best day since January; Nasdaq climbs 2% as Big Tech rallies

Stocks finished Thursday higher as strong results from Meta Platforms
boosted tech-related names.

Dow……33826 +524.3 +1.67%
Nasdaq12142 +287.9 +2.43%
S&P 500.4135 +79.4 +1.96%

FTSE…..7832 -21.1 -0.27%
Dax……15800 +4.7 +0.03%
CAC……7484 +17.2 +0.23%

Nikkei…..28458 +41.2 +0.14%
HSI………19840 +83.01 +0.42%
Shanghai.3286 +21.8 +0.67%

IDX…..6945.48 +35.33 +0.51%
LQ45….965.08 +1.88 +0.19%
IDX30…503.31 +1.15 +0.23%

IDXEnergy…2100.78 +3.53 +0.17%
IDX BscMat 1161.15 -2.62 -0.23%
IDX Indstrl…1226.68 -1.00 -0.08%
IDXNONCYC.719.96 +4.19 +0.58%
IDX Hlthcare1523.84 -7.28 -0.48%
IDXCYCLIC…..809.15 -0.85 -0.10%
IDX Techno..4879.94 +48.81 +1.01%
IDX Transp..1791.17 +13.25 +0.75%
IDX Infrast…..823.92 +5.29. +0.65%
IDX Finance.1387.17 -3.44 -0.25%
IDX Banking.1159.12 +0.73 +0.06%
IDX Property…694 +1.40 +0.21%

Indo10Yr.6.7221 +0.0059 +0.09%
ICBI….356.8889 +0.1975 +0.06%👍
US2Yr.4.0806 +0.1326 +3.36%
US5Yr 3.5981 +0.1040 +2.98%
US10Yr3.5280+0.0830 +2.40%
US30Yr.3.7560+0.0510 +1.37%
VIX…… 17.03 -1.81 -9.61%👍

USDIndx101.5030 +0.0360 +0.04%
Como Indx.265.22 +0.27 +0.10%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…152.53 +0.33 +0.22%

IndoCDS..97.530 +2.460 +2.59%
(5-yr INOCD5) (26/04)

IDR…..14706.50 -129.50 -0.87%👍
Jisdor.14751.00 -131.00 -0.88%👍

Euro……1.1027 -0.0013 -0.12%

TLKM..29.31 +0.15 +0.51%
(4324)
EIDO….24.71 +0.45 +1.85%
EEM….38.93 +0.52 +1.35%

Oil……74.77 +0.43 +0.62%
Gold.1996.70 -3.20 -0.16%
Timah..25754.00 +170.00 +0.66%
(Closed 26/04)
Nickel..24131.50 +473.00 +1.99%
(Closed 27/04)
Silver……25.19 +0.01 +0.04%
Copper…388.70 +3.00 +0.78%

Nturl Gas.2.356 +0.0450 +1.94%

Coal price.189.95 -0.20 -0.11%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.185.90 -4.10 -2.16%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.188.50 -4.50 -2.33%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.192.50 -3.60 -1.84%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price.140.00 -0.15 -0.11%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.136.00 +1.10 +0.82%
(May/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 132.50 +1.50 +1.15%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 131.10 +1.20 +0.92%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jul)…3455 -116 -3.25%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..581.50 -19.50 -3.24%‼
SoybeanOil50.83 -1.67 -3.18%‼
Wheat…..629.25 -12.75 -1.99%

Wood pulp..4050.00‼ -60.00 -1.46%
(Closed 26/04)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo tebel, Europe masih tipis2, asia kemaren ijo, IHSG ijo tebel, lanjut ah…

Oil Gas Ijo, Coal Merah, Gold merah, metal2 lain ijo, nikel ijo tebel lagi, GO GO INCO, CPO drop lagi

IHSG – stoch buy, macdup, MFI flat, w% uptrend, BD FF acc, alligator buy, double bottom formed, semoga breakout

Industrials, Infrastructure, disusul Basic Materials dan Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Stochastic Buy Signal: ACES BUKA ESSA PTBA SRTG UNVR AVIA LSIP MLPL

MACD Buy Signal: AMRT KLBF UNVR GGRM

Alligator Buy Signal: AGRO TAPG

Supertrend Buy Signal: UNVR ADHI

Daily Analysis 20230427

Daily Analysis 20230427

April 27th, 2023 Good morning, Dow, S&P 500 close lower Wednesday as First Republic woes eclipse Big Tech earnings The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost more than 200 points as…
Daily Analysis 20230411

Daily Analysis 20230411

April 11th, 2023 Good morning, The S&P 500 ticked slightly higher Monday as investors looked ahead to key inflation data this week. Dow......33587 +101.2 +0.30% Nasdaq12084 -3.60 -0.03% S&P 500.4109…
Daily Analysis 20220919

Daily Analysis 20220919

Global update:

September 19th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close lower on Friday, extending sell off for worst week since June for S&P 500 and Nasdaq

Stocks fell Friday as Wall Street wrapped up one of its worst weeks in months and traders reacted to an ugly earnings warning from FedEx about the global economy.

Dow…….30822 -139.4 -0.45%
Nasdaq.11448 -103.95 -0.90%
S&P 500..3873 -28.02 -0.72%

FTSE…….7237 -45.4 -0.62%
Dax……..12741 -215.4 -1.66%
CAC……..6077 -80.5 -1.31%

Nikkei….27568 -308.3 -1.11%
HSI……..18762 -168.7 -0.89%
Shanghai..3126 -73.5 -2.30%
ST Times..3268 +0.31 +0.01%

IDX…….7168.87 -136.73 -1.87%
LQ45…1016.01 -25.04 -2.40%

IDX Energy..2034.77 -44.48 -2.14%
IDX Bsc Mat.1304.13 +0.83 +0.06%
IDX Industrl..1363.44 -22.00 -1.59%
IDXNONCYC..702.55 -3.61 -0.51%
IDX Hlthcare.1449.21 -5.57 -0.38%
IDXCYCLIC…..880.03 -2.12 -0.24%
IDX Techno..7483.50 -35.58 -0.47%
IDX Transp…1903.48 -13.70 -0.71%
IDX Infrast…..1027.23 -3.55 -0.34%
IDX Finance 1512.67 -29.05 -1.88%
IDX Banking..1167.49 -33.02 -2.75%bangbang
IDX Property….737 -8.50 -1.14%

Indo10Yr….7.2394 +0.0326 +0.45%
ICBI……..335.6762 -0.6426 -0.19%
US10Yr……3.4480 -0.0110 -0.32%
VIX……….26.30 +0.03 +0.11%

USDIndx 109.7640 +0.0250 +0.02%
Como Indx..278.88 -2.12 -0.75%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..153.24 +1.24 +0.82%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14954.50 +57.00 +0.38%bangbang
Jisdor..14939.00 +40.00 +0.16%bangbang

Euro……..1.0016 +0.0022 +0.22%

TLKM……..29.20 -0.60 -2.01%
(4362)
EIDO………24.27 -0.48 -1.94%
EEM………37.79 -0.35 -0.92%
Oil…………..85.11 +0.38 +0.45%
Gold ……..1683.50 +11.80 +0.71%
Timah. .21137.00 +327.00 +1.57%
( Closed 16/9)
Nickel…24395.50 +1091.00 +4.68%bangbang
(Closed 16/9)
Silver…….19.38 +0.32 +1.68%
Copper….351.65 +4.96 +1.43%

Nturl Gas…..7.817 -0.475 -5.73%bangbang

Ammonia..4256.67 +66.67 +1.59%bangbang
China
(Domestic Price)(15/9)

Coal price….439.00 -6.50 -1.46%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….428.00 -10.00 -2.28%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….423.50 -11.00 -2.53%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….331.00 -6.20 -1.84%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….304.30 -13.70 -4.30%bangbang
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price..305.55 -12.45 -3.92%bangbang
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3801 -116 -2.96%bangbang
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..677.25 -0.25 -0.04%
SoybeanOil…65.96 +1.66 +2.58%
Wheat……..859.75 +14.75 +1.75%

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 18/9)

copyrightPhintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Closing jum’at kompak merah semua, IHSG dalem banget dan ada opening gap down, membuka harapan rebound kecil hari ini… Energy dan Banking yang drop paling besar, udahan dulu emang keliatannya dari sisi sektornya.

Komoditas hampir semua naik kecuali natural gas sama coal dan  cpo, metal2 naik bisa berarti basic materials naik. Kita check chart sektornya later ya.

Keliatannya sesuai prediksi, sebelum santa claus rally akan drop dulu, bikin wave 3. Cocok nanti sama jadwal window dressing akhir tahun sekalian wave 3.

IHSG – stoch macd bilang sell, bandar dan foreign buang, MFI SW, ada banyak gap dibawah, LR bisa kemana aja, PSAR sell. Jelek banget ini…

IHSG kena regular bearish divergence MACD line dan MACD histogram, confirmed by MA10. So technically ngeri ini… Dan kemaren hype nya new ATH cuma segitu aja. Prepare buat terjunan wave 2. Kita liat sektor mana yang bakal jadi ganjel index

Bersih bersih dulu, mulai belanja lagi amannya setelah gap 6911 udah ketutup, kalo gap 6740 udah ketutup berani buy sambil merem, hehehe…

FTSE GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX SERIES ASIA PACIFIC EX JAPAN EX CHINA SEPTEMBER 2022 SEMI ANNUAL REVIEW

(The changes will be effective after the close of business on Friday, 16 September 2022 (i.e. on Monday, 19 September 2022)

INDONESIA

• LARGE CAP

Inclusions :
-ADRO (Adaro Energy PT) – Mid to Large
-AMRT (Sumber Alfaria Trijaya) – Large Cap Addition

Exclusions :
-BRIS (Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk) – Large to Mid

• MID CAP

Inclusions :
-AVIA (Avia Avian) – Small to Mid
-BRIS (Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk) – Large to Mid
-ISAT (Indosat) – Small to Mid
-MSIN (MNC Studios International) – Mid Cap Addition

Exclusions :
-ADRO (Adaro Energy PT) – Mid to Large

• SMALL CAP

Inclusions :
-SIDO (Industri Jamu Dan Farmasi Sido Muncul)
-HEAL (Medikaloka Hermina)

Exclusions :
-AVIA (Avia Avian) – Small to Mid
-ISAT (Indosat) – Small to Mid
*
(Listri Samudra | Phintraco Sekuritas (AT), Source : FTSE – Disclaimer On)

Highlight di:

Inclusions :
-ADRO (Adaro Energy PT) – Mid to Large
-AMRT (Sumber Alfaria Trijaya) – Large Cap Addition

-AVIA (Avia Avian) – Small to Mid

-ISAT (Indosat) – Small to Mid
-MSIN (MNC Studios International) – Mid Cap Addition

Inclusions :
-SIDO (Industri Jamu Dan Farmasi Sido Muncul)
-HEAL (Medikaloka Hermina)

Harusnya efek rebalancing akan bikin naik saham-saham ini karena akan diborong para Manager Investasi.

Cuma Property yang firm, tanda tanda perlawanan ada di basic materials, transportation, sama consumer cyclicals. Infra ada dikit tapi ok lah kita liat detailnya