Good morning,
August 25th, 2025
Dow jumps 800 points to record, S&P 500, Nasdaq soar as Powell’s Jackson Hole finale fuels bets on September rate cut
US stocks soared on Friday as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell opened the door to a September rate cut during his highly anticipated speech at Jackson Hole.
Dow…..45632 +846.3 +1.89%
Nasdaq 21497 +396.2 +1.54%
S&P 500 6467 +96.7 +1.52%
FTSE…..9321 +12.2 +0.13%
Dax…..24363 +69.8 +0.29%
CAC…..7970 +31.4 +0.40%
Nikkei…..42633 +23.1 +0.05%
HSI……..25339 +234.5 +0.93%
Shanghai.3826 +54.7 +1.45%
IDX..7858.85 -31.86 -0.40%
LQ45..822.22 -6.76 -0.32%
IDX30.425.47 -3.33 -0.78%
IDXEnergy.3030.07 -10.20 -0.34%
IDX BscMat1633.74 -8.97 -0.55%
IDX Indstr..1182.69 +3.93 +0.33%
IDXNONCYC.722.40 -2.90 -0.40%
IDX Hlthcare1708.27 -9.27 -0.54%
IDXCYCLC..811.96 +8.14 +1.01%
IDX Techno10397.54 +162.53+1.59%
IDX Transp 1588.69 +29.34 +1.88%
IDX Infrast .1871.47 -4.58 -0.24%
IDX Finance 1461.19 -1.35. -0.09%
IDX Banking 1069.85 -11.33 -1.05%
DX Property..840 +0.5 +0.06%
Indo10Yr 6.489 +0.012 +0.19%
ICBI….424.1735 -0.3727 -0.09%
US2Yr.3.688 -0.064 -1.71%
US5Yr 3.757 -0.055 -1.44%
US10Yr4.258 -0.033 -0.77%
US30Yr.4.883 -0.062 -1.27%
VIX..14.22👍 -2.38 -14.34%‼️
USDIndx..97.7160❗️-0.925 -0.94%
Como Indx.300.00 +1.58 +0.53%
. BCOMIN..141.54 +1.52 +1.09%
IndoCDS 5yr.67.21 -0.44 -0.65%
(5-yr INOCD5) (22/08)
IDR…….16351.00❗️ +63.00 +0.39%
Jisdor…16340.00❗️ +57.00 +0.35%
Euro..1.1718❗️+0.0114 +0.98%
TLKM..19.91 +0.16 +0.81%
( 3253)
EIDO….18.65 +0.21 +1.14%
EEM…50.63 +0.99 +1.99%
Oil…63.66 +0.14 +0.22%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…67.73 +0.16 +0.24%
(Brent)
Gold.3418.50 +36.90 +1.09%
(Comex)
Gold.3371.86 +33.15 +0.99%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..33809.00 +389.00 +1.16%
(Closed 22/08)
Nickel…14997.63 +81.50 +0.55%
(Closed 22/08)
Silver……39.56 +0.98 +2.53%
Copper..452.75 +1.60 +0.35%
Iron Ore 62% 101.42 -0.15 -0.15%
(22/08)
Nturl Gas .2.689 -0.111 -3.95%‼️
Ammonia China.2300.00 – -%
(Domestic Price 22/08)
Coal price111.30 +0.70 +0.63%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 109.80 -0.30 -0.27%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.109.80 -0.30 -0.27%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price..112.25 -1.85 -1.62%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….99.85 -0.55 -0.55%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….98.85 -1.55 -1.54%
(Sep/Rotterdam)
Coal price….99.50 -1.75 -1.73%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.100.20 -1.85 -1.81%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
CPO(Oct) 4531 +69 +1.55%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……411.50 -0.25 -0.06%
SoybeanOil 55.32 +1.45 +2.69%
Wheat…527.25 -2.50 -0.3)47%
Wood pulp..5833.33 -16.33 -0.28%
(Closed 22/08)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
US jump karena indikasi fed rate cut by Jerome Powell, europe ijo, asia ijo, IHSG merah sendiri, us treasury bond yield drop, harusnya ijo tebel IHSG hari ini
USD index down, metal2 up, oil up gas drop, coal spot up future down, CPO up, ayo AKRA ELSA MEDC lanjut…
IHSG – sebenernya technicalnya hampir semua jelek, stoch buy macd rev down MFI down w% keluar area uptrend, banyak gap, ketemu reg bear div walau belum confirmed, bd juga dist, tapi FNB terus walau menipis. Issue Fed Cut Rate harusnya sih tetep ga kebendung dan bisa ngebalikin technical, kita liat aja, dan siap2 ikut buy di yang signalnya rev buy dan confirmed
Financials, Industrials, Transportation
Stochastic Buy Signal: BRPT MDKA PGAS AVIA DSNG EMTK, big accum BRPT PGAS EMTK
MACD Buy Signal: JPFA
BRPT – PBV overpriced, PER nya membaik walau masih relatif mahal, tapi buat trade doang jadi lumayan masih acceptible. Stoch buy macd still down, MFI down, BD FF rev acc, sebelum turun banyak reg bear, harusnya akan ABC correction, minimal sampe fibo 38 lah, belum saatnya entry sekarang
Spike done, nanti dulu
PGAS – value investing stock, stoch rev buy macd up MFI up w% sw, BD FF acc, gap gede belum ketutup tapi di bawah juga ada gap sih, porto kosong bisa spec buy ini jangan full load karena udah lumayan jauh jalan dalam 4 candle terakhir, dari rally pendek sebelumnya candle ijo panjang malah biasanya cuma satu terus konsol lagi
Belum ada spike baru, yang mau entry jangan full load
EMTK – kaya SCMA juga udah digoreng sampe 2 kali lipat, walau nilainya masih rada wajar buat saham dalam kompas 100 tapi masuk dalam harga udah rally panjang tanpa koreksi koq gimana gitu ya. stoch buy macd MFI still up w% uptrend, BD FF acc, kalo punya sih masih hold, new entry ga deh
JPFA – stoch up macd buy MFI w% sw, BD acc, FNS, CNH in the making, retracement pattern harusnya bawa ke 1900 an, ok buat spec buy sih
Yup ngepas spike target diatas 1900, spec buy JPFA, nambah kalo dah firm FNB
