Daily Analysis 20251230

Daily Analysis 20251230

TKIM yang ok banget, TLKM menarik tapi belum firm…

US merah europe mostly ijo, asia mixed, US treasury bond yield down, masih mungkin ijo lagi ihsg tapi mungkin ga akan tebel.

USD index up, gold silver copper drop, iron ore up, oil up gas drop, coal down CPO down. Nanti kita cermati AKRA MEDC.

Good morning,

December 30th, 2025

S&P 500 closes lower Monday as investors sell tech names into year-end

Stocks fell on Monday, spurred by losses in technology, after the S&P 500 scaled to record levels last week.

Dow…..48462 -249.04 -0.51%
Nasdaq 23475 -118.7 -0.50%
S&P 500 6906 -24.2 -0.35%

FTSE….9867 -4.15 -0.04%
Dax…..24351 +10.66 +0.08%
CAC…..8112 +8.5 +0.10%

Nikkei..50527 -223.5 -0.44%
HSI……25635 -183.7 -0.71%
Shanghai 3965+1.6 +0.04%

IDX..8644.26 +106.35+1.25%
LQ45..852.05 +6.61 +0.78%
IDX30.439.40 +3.37 +0.77%

IDXEnergy.4461.62 +136.39 +3.17%
IDX BscMat.2082.60 +62.86 +3.11%
IDX Indstr..2150.91 +40.88 +1.94%
IDXNONCYC.795.75+3.68 +0.46%
IDX Hlthcare2096.34+3.55. +0.17%
IDXCYCLC.1190.30 +42.49 +3.70%
IDX Tech 9623.01 -113.78 -1.17%
IDX Transp1968.28 +50.38 +2.63%
IDX Infras 2617.70 +84.43 +3.33%
IDX Finance1535.16 +13.74 +0.90%
IDX Banking1030.55 +1.22 +0.12%
IDX Property.1168 +9.70 +0.84%

Indo10Yr 6.2193❗️-0.0066 -0.11%
ICBI….440.1927❗️+0.2674 +0.06%
US2Yr 3.457 -0.026 -0.75%
US5Yr3.670 -0.026 -0.75%
US10Yr4.113-0.021 -0.51%
US30Yr.4.799 -0.021 -0.44%
VIX..14.10 +0.60 +4.41%‼️

USDIndx.98.0270❗️+0.005 +0.01%
Como Indx.301.07 +0.64 +0.21%
BCOMIN…160.00 -3.27 -2.00%

IndoCDS 5yr70.42 unch +0%
(5-yr INOCD5) (2)/12)

IDR….16788.00‼️+43.00+0.26%
Jisdor16788.00‼️+21.00+0.13%

Euro.1.1771❗️-0.0001 -0.01%

TLKM.21.11 -0.10 -0.47%
(3544)
EIDO..18.67 +0.20 +1.08%
EEM….54.66 -0.14 -0.26%

Oil..57.81 +1.07 +1.87%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil..61.68 +1.04 +1.72%
(Brent)

Gold 4349.80‼️-202.90 -4.46%‼️
(Comex)
Gold 4329.14‼️-204.07 -4.50%‼️
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.43815.00‼️ closed +0%
(Closed 24/12)
Nickel.15737.63 +106.25 +0.68%
(Closed 29/12)
Silver…71.61 -5.59 -8.67%‼️
Copper.556.60 -27.35-4.68%‼️

Iron Ore 62%107.08 +0.09 +0.08%
(29/12)

Nturl Gas 3.942 -0.424 -9.71%‼️
Ammonia 2383.33 -6.67 -0.28%
(Domestic Price 29/12)

Coal price.107.95 -1.10 -1.01%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.107.60 -0.90 -0.83%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price 107.10 -1.90 -1.74%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 107.75 -2.05 -1.87%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price..96.25 +1.05 +1.10%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price..94.75 +0.55 +0.58%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..94.55 +0.65 +0.69%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..94.75 +0.55 +0.58%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar) 4049 -38.00 -0.93%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

.Corn…….442.25 -7.75 -1.72%
SoybeanOil 49.29+0.07 +0.14%
Wheat…..513.00 -6.00 -1.16%

Woodpulp5633.33 unch +0%
(Closed 29/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

IHSG – masih ga bagus bagus technically, stoch macd mfi down, memang w% rev up, BD FF rev acc, vol naik, belum firm reversal. Harusnya sih masih agenda beresin wave 3

Basic Materials, Financials, Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADMR TLKM DEWA MIKA PWON RAJA SMDR SSIA, big accum ADMR TLKM DEWA RAJA. Gorengan semua kecuali TLKM

MACD Buy Signal: INDF MDKA AVIA FILM GJTL LSIP MTEL SRTG TKIM MPMX, big accum MDKA AVIA TKIM

Supertrend Buy Signal: CPO and Coal price, semoga pertanda start pergerakan

ADMR – mumpung sepi di gas banget langsung 15%, stoch macd langsung jadi buy signal, MFI uo w uptrend, BD FF acc, breakout resistance, tapi ngejar2 yang ginian ga bijak sih, idealnya malah masuk yang belum gerak kaya ADRO. Walau ya ga akan lari2

Sudah done targetnya jangan dikejar

TLKM – memang tinggal tunggu kapan jalannya, bisa jadi beresin wave 3 atau bisa dianggap start wave 5, perkiraan awal akan jalan bareng index. Stoch buy macd mfi still down, BD FF acc, ada spike, bijaknya tunggu macd, walau spec buy juga ok technically

Belum ada spike baru, yang lama udah done, sabar dulu deh

MDKA – masih merah LK, masih belum boleh dibeli, kecuali ada insider info mau turnaround

AVIA – bisnis ok, tapi valuasi sudah rada tinggi buat saham lapis 2, stoch up macd buy MFI up w% uptrend, BD acc FNS, kena reg bear div, technical sebenernya rada ok tapi saya mah skip

TKIM – ok banget di banyak hal, valuasi ok, bisnis saingan dikit, stoch up macd buy mfi up w% sw, BD acc ada spike tapi last day FNS. Udah cukup lama konsol, harusnya sih mau lanjut wave 5

Spike cakep banget, hampir pasti mau hajatan ini, BUY TKIM

 

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