Posts Tagged ‘Bond’

DAily Analysis 20240506

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

May 06th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes higher by more than 400 points as April jobs report bolsters Fed rate cut hopes

Stocks jumped sharply Friday after a softer-than-expected April jobs report boosted hopes that the Federal Reserve could start cutting interest rates soon.

Dow……38676 +450.02 +1.18%
Nasdaq16156 +315.4 +1.99%
S&P 500.5128 +63.6 +1.26%

FTSE…..8214 +41.3 +0.51%
Dax……18002 +105.1 +0.59%
CAC……7958 +42.9 +0.54%

Nikkei..38236 closed +0%
HSI…..18476 +268.8 +1.48%
Shanghai.3105 closed +0%

IDX….7134.72 +17.30 +0.24%
LQ45..903.33 +4.58 +0.51%
IDX30..457.92 +2.29 +0.50%

IDXEnergy..2199.06 -4.40 -0.20%
IDX BscMat1316.08 -7.73 -0.58%
IDX Indstrl..1061.54 -2.53 -0.24%
IDXNONCYC.691.68 +2.81 +0.41%
IDX Hlthcare1451.02+23.80 +0.41%
IDXCYCLIC…753.18 +2.31 +1.71%
IDXTechno3364.09 +36.02 +1.08%
IDX Transp 1298.73 -3.83 -0.29%
IDX Infrast 1617.93 -0.21 -0.01%
IDX Finance1395.14 +1.64 +0.12%
IDX Banking.1204.50+3.74 +0.31%
IDX Property.. 617 -0.10 -0.01%

Indo10Yr.7.0284 -0.0822👍 -1.16%
ICBI…376.5423 +2.0401 👍 +0.54%
US2Yr.4.806👍 -0.075 -1.54%
US5Yr 4.482 -0.095 -2.08👍%
US10Yr4.509 -0.150 -3.21%👍
US30Yr.4.660👍 -0.074 -1.56%
VIX..13.49👍 -1.19 -8.11%‼️

USDIndx 105.0300❗️-0.269 -0.26%
Como Indx..286.51 +1.77 +0.62%
BCOMIN..157.33 +2.33 +1.50%

IndoCDS..75.24👍 -0.40 -0.63%
(5-yr INOCD5) (02/05)

IDR…..16083.00 -102.00👍 -0.62%
Jisdor.16094.00 -108.00👍 -0.66%

Euro….1.0761 +0.0032 +0.30%

TLKM…19.47 +0.10 +0.52%
( 3151)
EIDO….20.95 +0.42 +2.02%
EEM…..42.49 +0.39 +0.91%

Oil…….78.11 -1.04 -1.31%
Gold..2308.60 -4.90 -0.21%
Timah..31983.00 +1013.00 +3.28%‼️
(Closed 03/05)
Nickel..18792.50 +453.50 +2.41%
(Closed 03/05)
Silver…….26.69 -0.04 -à
Copper…455.70 +5.80 +1.29%2

Iron Ore 62% 118.03 -0.05 -0.04%
(02/05)⅔
Nturl Gas..2.150 +0.113 +5.55%‼️
Ammonia China.2983.33 – -%
(Domestic Price)(29/04)

Coal price 145.15 -2.60 -1.76%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.40 -2.85 -1.92%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.60 -2.15 -1.46%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.85 -2.10 -1.42%
(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price..107.15 -0.75 -0.70%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.109.00 -1.40 -1.27%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.109.65 -1.25 -1.13%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 109.55 -1.50 -1.35%
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jul)..3842 -2 -0.05%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….460.25 +0.50 +0.11%
SoybeanOil 43.08 -0.16 -0.37%
Wheat..622.50 +18.25 +3.02%

Wood pulp..5860 unch +0%
(Closed 05/05)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Closing jum’at ijo semua, US Bond Yield down, harusnya sih lanjut ijo hari ini. USD index down, tapi gold silver iron ore juga down, WNS dulu ANTM, Tin Nickel Copper up. Oil gas coal down, masih belum jalan ini ELSA ADRO

IHSG – stoch up, macd buy, MFI down, w% sw, BD flat FNS, masih belum jalan sih… Tapi udah done koreksinya, tinggal hunting saham saham yang giliran jalan

Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Property, Technology

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO CPIN ENRG PNLF SILO

MACD Buy Signal: CTRA DRMA JPFA. Big Accum CTRA JPFA

Daily Analysis 20240429

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

April 29th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 posts best week since November, Nasdaq surges 2% Friday as Alphabet soars

Stocks jumped Friday, and the S&P 500
and Nasdaq Composite notched their best week since November as Big Tech names rallied on strong earnings and traders pored through fresh U.S. inflation data

Dow……38240 +153.9 +0.40%
Nasdaq15928 +316.1 +2.03%
S&P 500.5100 +51.5 +1.0%

FTSE…..8140 +60.97 +0.75%
Dax……18161 +243.7 +1.36%
CAC……8088 +71.6 +0.89%

Nikkei..37935 +307.3 +0.81%
HSI…..17651 +366.7 +2.12%
Shanghai.3088 +35.7 +1.17%

IDX…..7036.08 -119.22 -1.67%
LQ45..898.78 -24.72 -2.68%
IDX30..455.88 -12.58 -2.69%

IDXEnergy..2137.65 -29.50 -1.36%
IDX BscMat1299.02 -26.63 -2.01%
IDX Indstrl..1043.51 -11.73 -1.11%
IDXNONCYC.684.83 -12.14 -1.74%
$IDX Hlthcare1319.14-30.34 -2.25%*
IDXCYCLIC…756.20 -21.79 -2.80%
IDXTechno3281.74 -40.93 -1.23%
IDX Transp 1312.48 -8.89 -0.67%
IDX Infrast 1596.06 -7.13 -0.44%
IDX Finance.1406.19 -23.45 -1.57%
IDX Banking.1233.19 -41.04 -3.39%‼️
IDX Property.. 615 -.4.10 -0.66%

Indo10Yr.7.0845‼️ +0.0207 +0.29%
ICBI…373.8771‼️ -0.4467 -0.12%
US2Yr.4.993‼️ -0.007 -0.14%
US5Yr 4.687 -0.032 -0.68%
US10Yr4.663 -0.045 -0.96%
US30Yr.4.777 -0.036 -0.75%
VIX…….15.03 -0.34 -2.21%

USDIndx 105.9380❗️+0.361 +0.34%
Como Indx..296.84 -0.82 -0.29%
BCOMIN..157.30 +0.41 +0.26%

IndoCDS..79.19 -0.49 -0.61%
(5-yr INOCD5) (26/04)

IDR…..16210.00‼️+22.50 +0.14%
Jisdor.16208.00‼️+47.00 +0.29%

Euro….1.0693 -0.0036 -0.34%

TLKM…18.85 +0.14 +0.72%
( 3057)
EIDO……20.31 -0.55 -2.64%
EEM……41.17 +0.46 +1.12%

Oil…….83.85 +0.28 +0.34%
Gold..2347.20 +4.70 +0.20%
Timah..32411.00 -462.00 -1.40%
(Closed 26/04)
Nickel..19256.50 +65.00 +0.34%
(Closed 25/04)
Silver…….27.54 -0.10 -0.35%
Copper…457.43 +3.55 +0.78%

Iron Ore 62% 110.16 +0.48 +0.44%
(26/04)
Nturl Gas..2.285 +0.303 +15.29%‼️
Ammonia China.3000.00 +83.33 +2.85%
(Domestic Price)(26/04)

Coal price 135.50 -1.25 -0.92%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.50 -1.50 -1.08%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.65 -2.35 -1.65%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.142.15 -2.90 -2.00%

Coal price..106.25 -5.60 -5.01%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.107.10 -5.45 -4.84%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.107.55 -5.05 -4.48%‼️
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 107.80 -4.85 -4.31%‼️
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jul)..3896 +22.00 +0.57%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….450.00 -2.00 -0.44%
SoybeanOil 45.54 +0.11 +0.24%
Wheat…..622.25 +1.75 +0.28%

Wood pulp..5800 +40 +0.69%
(Closed 28/04)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua ijo kecuali IDX, ga beres ini…

US Bond Yield down, harusnya sih ijo hari ini, apalagi kemaren merah dalem sendirian. USD index up, tapi kebanyakan metal juga up, kecuali Tin dan SIlver. Oil up, gas jump, coal down, CPO up, Coal price udah relatif tinggi walau last day nya down. Bisa berharap mantul ANTM ELSA mungkin AALI LSIP juga

IHSG – harusnya udah beres koreksinya, walau masih mungkin ngejar fibo 61. Tapi dari fibo ext wave B udah done targetnya. Indicators masih jelek, BD FF masih dist, tapi semoga mulai reversal hari ini

Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: KLBF MTEL TPIA CEKA. Big accum MTEL, cocok sama sektor. TPIA buy signal kita tunggu BRPT jalan, entry lagi

MACD Buy Signal: ICBP UNVR SMRA, ICBP big accum

Daily Analysis 20240416

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

April 16th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq close 1% lower as yields jump, traders await Israel response to Iran

Stocks retreated on Monday as rising yields and worries over the conflict in the Middle East overshadowed strong Goldman Sachs
earnings and hot retail sales data.

Dow……37735 -248.1 -0.65%
Nasdaq15885 -290.1 -1.79%
S&P 500.5062 -61.6 -1.20%

FTSE…..7966 -30.1 -0.38%
Dax……18027 +96.3 +0.54%
CAC……8045 +34.3 +0.43%

Nikkei..39233 -290.8 -0.74%
HSI……16601 -121.2 -0.72%
Shanghai.3057+37.9 +1.26%

IDX…..7286.88 closed +0%
LQ45….963.73 closed +0%
IDX30…488.17 closed +0%

IDXEnergy..2155.81 closed +0%
IDX BscMat1359.61 closed. +0%
IDX Indstrl…1096.75 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.715.36 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare1371.58 closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC…815.23 closed +0%
IDXTechno3513.14 closed +0%
IDX Transp 1444.51 closed +0%
IDX Infrast 1600.91 closed +0%
IDX Finance.1475.65 closed +0%
IDX Banking.1317.47 closed +0%
IDX Property.. 652 closed +0%

Indo10Yr.6.7048 closed +0%
ICBI…379.8860 closed +0%
US2Yr.4.925‼️ +0.013 +0.27%
US5Yr 4.627‼️ +0.016 +0.39%
US10Yr4.601‼️ -0.028 -0.61%
US30Yr.4.724‼️+0.016 +0.34%
VIX………19.23 +1.92 +11.09%‼️

USDIndx 106.2080‼️+0.17 +0.16%
Como Indx..298.18 +0.31 +0.10%
BCOMIN..152.51‼️ +1.97 +1.31%

IndoCDS..75.23 +1.01 +1.36%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/04)

IDR…..15848.00‼️closed +0%
Jisdor.15873.00‼️closed +0%

Euro….1.0627‼️ +0.00 +0.03%

TLKM…20.85 +0.10 +0.48%
( 3309)
EIDO……21.48 +0.02 +0.09%
EEM……40.27 -0.27 -0.65%

Oil…….85.90 +0.49 +0.57%
Gold..2401.20 +94.30 +4.08%‼️
(04/04-15/04)
Timah..28935.00 +3418.00 +11.81%‼️
(03/04 ’til 12/04)
Nickel..17991.50 +194.5 +1.09%❗️
(Closed 04/04)
Silver….28.97 +2.03 +7.53%‼️
(04/04 – 15/04)
Copper.437.50 +16.10 +3.77%
(04/04 – 15/04)
Iron Ore 62% 106.05 +5.64 +5.61%‼️
(03/04-12/04)
Nturl Gas..1.686‼️ -0.002 -0.12%
Ammonia China.3216.67 +183.34 +6.04%‼️
(Domestic Price)(04/04 – 12/04)

Coal price.129.75 +0.50 +0.39%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 136.50 +2.75 +2.06%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.20 +3.20 +2.35%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.141.75 +2.50 +1.80%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price..120.70 -0.60 -0.49%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.118.00 -1.25 -1.05%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.118.50 -0.90 -0.75%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 118.55 -1.45 -1.21%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)..4202 -205.00 -4.88%‼️
(04/04 – 15/04)
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….444.25 -3.00 -0.67%
SoybeanOil 46.01 -0.44 -0.95%
Wheat…567.50 -3.00 -0.67%

Wood pulp..5700 unch +0%
(Closed 15/04)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Lama libur, ketemu serangan Iran ke Israel… DJI sudah beberapa hari trun terus, europe varied, asia kebanyakan merah kemaren, IHSG hari ini kayanya akan rada goncang…

Suasana perang, selalu USD naik, commodity terkait energy naik, Bond Yield dan interest rate biasanya naik biar orang keep dana di system. Belum pasti gimana dampak ke BEI, kemungkinan besar akan goyang dulu, baru nanti setelah shock nya lewat yang hubungan sama energy yang jalan

Semua precious metals naik, oil naik, gas turun, coal naik, CPO drop. Normally saya akan hold ANTM erat erat, dan ELSA, dan ADRO, tapi entahlah dengan kondisi sekarang

IHSG – kalo dari elliot wavenya sih, emang jadwal nerusin ABC correction… walau terakhir market closing stoch buy, macd revup, FF rev net buy, tapi kondisi global memanas di saat kita libur bisa jadi efeknya meledak di opening day hari ini

dari sini sih masih jadwalnya basic materials, dan kalo liat metal2 naik ya cocok, tapi masih unpredictable karena suasana global

Stochastic Buy Signal: ANTM BBCA INCO TLKM ELSA IMAS LPPF MIKA SGRO. Big accum ANTM INCO MIKA

MACD buy Signal: PGEO SIDO ADMR BSDE DOID JPFA. Big accum SIDO DOID

Daily Analysis 20240222

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

February 22nd, 2024

Good morning,

Nasdaq Composite closes lower for a 3rd day as investors brace for Nvidia earnings

The Nasdaq Composite slid for a third session in a row Wednesday as traders looked ahead to Nvidia’s latest quarterly earnings report

Dow……38612 +48.4 +0.13%
Nasdaq15581 -4899 -0.32%
S&P 500.4982 +6.3 +0.13%

FTSE…..7663 -56.7 -0.73%
Dax……17118 +49.7 +0.29%
CAC……7812 +16.9 +0.22%

Nikkei..38262 -101.5 -0.26%
HSI…….16503 +255.6 +1.57%
Shanghai..2950 +28.2 +0.97%

IDX…..7349.02 -3.58 -0.05%
LQ45..1008.41 -2.45 -0.24%
IDX30…512.30 -1.47 -0.29%

IDXEnergy..2087.89 +6.20 +0.30%
IDX BscMat.1229.47 -13.07 -1.05%
IDX Indstrl…1089.78 +0.02 +0.03%
IDXNONCYC.702.09 -4.04 -0.57%
IDX Hlthcare1347.61+13.86 +1.04%
IDXCYCLIC…849.59 +16.33 +1.96%
IDX Techno3891.25 -42.67 -1.08%
IDX Transp 1563.70 +3.66 +0.23%
IDX Infrast 1540.25 +3.28 +0.21%
IDX Finance.1530.50 -2.32 -0.15%
IDX Banking.1399.39+0.63 +0.04%
IDX Property.. 697 -2.40 -0.34%

Indo10Yr.6.6762 -0.0148 -0.22%
ICBI…377.3613 +0.2151 +0.06%
US2Yr.4.668 +0.054 +1.17%
US5Yr 4.304 +0.005 +1.18%
US10Yr4.320 +0.042 +0.98%
US30Yr.4.479+0.034 +0.76%
VIX…15.34 -0.08 -0.52%

USDIndx 103.9940 -0.281 -0.27%
Como Indx..274.01 +3.25 +1.20%
BCOMIN…..136.84 +1.65 +1.22%

IndoCDS..71.74 +0.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (20/02)

IDR…..15635.00 -25.00 -0.16%
Jisdor.15658.00 -1.00 -0.01%

Euro….1.0820 +0.0010 +0.09%

TLKM…26.56 -0.20 -0.75%
(4158)
EIDO……22.71 -0.08 -0.35%
EEM……40.21 +0.07 +0.16%

Oil…….77.91 -0.27 -0.35%
Gold..2034.30 -5.50 -0.27%
Timah..26421.00 -13.00 -0.05%
(Closed 20/03)
Nickel..16850.50 +387.00 +2.35%
(Closed 21/02)
Silver……23.09 -0.25 -1.10%
Copper.388.75 +1.20 +0.31%

Iron Ore 62% 127.92 -1.32 -1.06%
(20/02)
Nturl Gas..1.782 +0.082 +4.82%‼️
Ammonia China.2726.67 +20.00 +0.74%
(Domestic Price)(19/02/02)

Coal price 119.40 -0.20 -0.17%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.124.10 +1.85 +1.51%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 123.80 +1.75 +1.43%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice..124.45 +1.95. +1.59%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .95.25 +0.70 +0.74%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price.93.50 +1.65 +1.80%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..90.50 +1.95 +2.20%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..89.35 +2.10 +2.41%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)..3868 +8.00 +0.21%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……424.50 -8.25 -1.91%
SoybeanOil 45.42 -0.50 -1.09%
Wheat….578.00 -1.25 -0.22%

Wood pulp..5170.00 +42.00 +0.82%
(Closed 21/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Nasdaq merah gara2 Nvidia, Dow Jones ijo, europe mostly ijo, asia varied, US Bond Rate naik semua, USD index turun, kayanya jadwal IHSG merah lagi hari ini

gold silver tin iron ore down, nickel copper up, coal spot down, coal future up, CPO up, kayanya ADRO mau lanjut ini, LSIP semoga jadi jalan

IHSG – deket resistance, keliatannya mentok dan mau lanjut wave C, stok rev sell, MACD still up, MFI sw,w% masih uptrend, masih FNB tapi turun, BD acc, kecuali financials digenjot, yang udah pada overbought juga, harusnya ya turun

Hmm, mulai gerak, Transportation, Energy, Property, abis itu Financials mengintai

Stochastic Buy Signal: KLBF ASSA BMTR HRTA MAPA SCMA SILO TRON AMFG.Big acc BMTR SILO TRON

MACD Buy Signal: ASSA IMAS ISAT MAPA TBIG TRON ANJT AMFG CEKA AALI BRAM. Big acc TBIG

ASSA – stoch buy macd buy MFI up w% up, bd rev acc tapi last day dist, FF rev acc, baru bikin lower low, sektor jalan, reg bull div confirmed, checK spike

Ada spike walau ga tingi2 amat

Average aman, tapi KZ sama CC buang, udah berhenti sih. YP accum

Itungan di 90 hari YP LG NI biggest player dan accum, bisa spec buy ASSA, break low buang

KLBF – bolak balik terus, posisi terakhir BD FF dist, skip dulu, tunggu firm higher low

SILO – sektor belum jalan, signal bolak balik, bd acc FF dist, skip dulu

TBIG – stoch buy macd buy MFI sw w% up BD FF rev acc, udah bikin higher low, bisa spec buy ini harusnya, emang sektor belum jalan lagi sih tapi lagi ngintip ngintip bareng financials

Spike kecil

Average aman tapi emang lagi diem BD nya. Spec buy BOW tengah candle kemaren