Daily Analysis 20250124

January 24th, 2024

S&P 500 clinches first record close of 2025, Dow pops after Trump takes spotlight at Davos

US stocks closed in the green on Thursday with the S&P 500 nabbing a fresh record close as investors stayed attuned to remarks from President Donald Trump, who addressed the World Economic Forum in Davos

Dow……44565 +408.3 +0.92%
Nasdaq 20054 +44.3 +0.22%
S&P 500 6119 +32.4 +0.53%

FTSE…..8565 +20.1 +0.23%
Dax……21412 +157.3 +0.74%
CAC……7893 +55.2 +0.70%

Nikkei…39959 +312.6 +0.79%
HSI…….19701 -78.2 -0.40%
Shanghai.3230 +16.5 +0.51%

IDX…7232.64 -24.49 -0.34%
LQ45…843.59 -2.59 -0.31%
IDX30.434.23 -1.19 -0.27%

IDXEnergy…2892.80 +6.03 +0.21%
IDX BscMat 1234.96 -13.23 -1.06%
IDX Indstrl… ..978.06 -7.35 -0.75%
IDXNONCYC.705.84 -4.48 -0.63%
IDX Hlthcare1383.94 -10.48 -0.75%
IDXCYCLC…830.46 +1.35 +0.16%
IDX Techno.4380.20 +24.43 +0.56%
IDX Transp 1278.97 +2.10 +0.16%
IDX Infrast 1531.30 +5.05 +0.33%
IDX Finance1425.44 -2.87 -0.20%
IDX Banking1178.43 -4.58 -0.39%
IDX Property. 750 -22.8 -2.95%

Indo10Yr.7.1562❗-0.00193 -0.27%
ICBI….394.0210❗+0.4446 +0.11%
US2Yr.4.289 -0.013 -0.30%
US5Yr 4.453 +0.024 +0.54%
US10Yr4.646 +0.033 +0.72%
US30Yr.4.871+0.044 +0.91%
VIX..15.02 -0.08 -0.53%

USDIndx 108.1350❗-0.105 -0.10%
Como Indx..309.36 -0.02 -0.01%
BCOMIN..144.25 -0.33 -0.23%

IndoCDS…74.22 -2.00 -2.62%👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (22/01)

IDR…….16283.00❗+4.00 +0.02%
Jisdor..16276.00❗-51.00 -0.31%

Euro…1.0418 +0.0011 -0.20%

TLKM…16.96 -0.03 -0.18%
( 2760)
EIDO….18.86 +0.03 +0.16%
EEM…42.67 +0.12 +0.27%

Oil………74.62 -0.82 -1.09%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………77.88 -1.09 -1.38%
(Brent)
Gold…2765.00 -0.70 -0.03%
(Comex)
Gold…2754.87 +0.08 +0.002%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.30272.00 +39.00 +0.13%
(Closed 22/01)
.Nickel.15660.00 -60.00 -0.38%
(Closed 22/01)
Silver……31.39 -0.11 -0.35%
Copper.429.40 -4.70 -1.08%

Iron Ore 62% 101.40 +0.19 +0.19%
(22/01)
Nturl Gas ..3.960 -0.020 -0.51%
Ammonia China. 2393.33 _ -%
(Domestic Price)(23/01)

Coal price.116.50 -0.25 -0.21%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.119.10 -2.90 -2.38%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.121.80 -1.65 -1.34%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 123.70 -1.95 -1.55%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.109.10 +0.60 +0.55%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 106.75 -1.65 -1.52%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 107.00 -1.50 -1.38%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 107.65 -1.45 -1.33%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr) 4191 -17 -0.40%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………489.75 +5.50 +1.14%
SoybeanOil 45.04 +0.62 +1.42%
Wheat……554.00 unch +0%

Wood pulp…..6580 +36 +0.55%
(Closed 23/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo europe ijo asia kebanyakan ijo, IHSG merah walau opening gap up, ada gap sih dibawah, kayanya hari ini tutup gap dulu dip sebentar baru jalan lagi, itu juga kalau BBCA ga langsung di gas karena LK nya. US treasury bond yang 2 tahun turunm yang panjang2 naik, ga terlalu gimana2 harusnya

USD index down, metal kebanyakan down kecuali tins sama iron ore, oil gas coal down, cpo down, lesu dulu ini, tapi bisa jadi kesempatan untuk buy ADRO. selama coal price nya masih bullish

IHSG – tech indicators masih ok, dari retracement pattern bisa jadi mau bawa ke fibo 23 dulu sebelum ke fibo 61, plus ada gap di bawah jadi makin besar kemungkinannya, semoga ga sampe fibo 23, dip aja tutup gap terus lanjut. kemaren FNS lagi, merah deh… Semoga FNB hari ini

Financials nya melemah, Energy slow down, Basic Materials Consumer Cyclicals sama Infrastructure

Coal Price – abis supertrend buy signal dia slow down, tapi ga sejauh oil, semoga lanjut rally seperti biasanya pas winter

Stochastic Buy Signal: JSMR SSIA SSMS, big accum JSMR

MACD Buy Signal: CMRY

Alligator Buy Signal: AKRA AVIA GJTL tapi malah big dist

JSMR – stoch buy macd buy MFI up w% up, retracement pattern jalan udah mantul dari fibo 23, cnh in the making, BD big acc sayangnya FNS. Reg bull div jalan, udah bikin higher low, harusnya sih jalan ya, apalagi menuju lebaran biasanya jalan tol penuh dan JSMR harganya naik

Belum ada spike baru, terakhir yang spike jual

Average aman, semua accum, yang belum punya bisa BOW yang udah punya hold

CMRY – overpriced, skip

AKRA – macd masih up tapi stoch sell, 833 udah down, MFI masih up, bd acc tips, FNS, oil price nya g asik, saya exit setengah… Kl istilah group sebelah “top slice” dulu

Oil Price nya sell signal dan turunnya teratur begitu, kita tunggu buy signal AKRA selanjutnya, sepertinya akan bareng oil price reversal

AVIA – menarik kalo breakout neckline

GJTL – value investing stock, stock up rev, macd up mfi up w% keluar uptrend area, bd rev dist, ff rev acc, kemungkinan retracement bawa ke fibo 38 atau 23, bisa masuk setengah setengah di 2 level itu, 38 nya deket sama neckline IHNS kalo ditarik lurus, kalo sesuai garis neckline aslinya jadi ketemu fibo 23

Wuih ok banget ini spike nya, target 1370

Average aman, tapi idealnya itu, BOW di fibo 38 setengah 23 setengah, kalo breakout nambah