Daily Analysis 20251117

Daily Analysis 20251117

ANTM menarik, ELSA juga tapi belum firm US mix, europe down, asia down, IHSG slightly down, US treasury bond yield up, masih kurang ok buat IHSG hari ini. USD index…
Daily Analysis 20250124

Daily Analysis 20250124

January 24th, 2024

S&P 500 clinches first record close of 2025, Dow pops after Trump takes spotlight at Davos

US stocks closed in the green on Thursday with the S&P 500 nabbing a fresh record close as investors stayed attuned to remarks from President Donald Trump, who addressed the World Economic Forum in Davos

Dow……44565 +408.3 +0.92%
Nasdaq 20054 +44.3 +0.22%
S&P 500 6119 +32.4 +0.53%

FTSE…..8565 +20.1 +0.23%
Dax……21412 +157.3 +0.74%
CAC……7893 +55.2 +0.70%

Nikkei…39959 +312.6 +0.79%
HSI…….19701 -78.2 -0.40%
Shanghai.3230 +16.5 +0.51%

IDX…7232.64 -24.49 -0.34%
LQ45…843.59 -2.59 -0.31%
IDX30.434.23 -1.19 -0.27%

IDXEnergy…2892.80 +6.03 +0.21%
IDX BscMat 1234.96 -13.23 -1.06%
IDX Indstrl… ..978.06 -7.35 -0.75%
IDXNONCYC.705.84 -4.48 -0.63%
IDX Hlthcare1383.94 -10.48 -0.75%
IDXCYCLC…830.46 +1.35 +0.16%
IDX Techno.4380.20 +24.43 +0.56%
IDX Transp 1278.97 +2.10 +0.16%
IDX Infrast 1531.30 +5.05 +0.33%
IDX Finance1425.44 -2.87 -0.20%
IDX Banking1178.43 -4.58 -0.39%
IDX Property. 750 -22.8 -2.95%

Indo10Yr.7.1562❗-0.00193 -0.27%
ICBI….394.0210❗+0.4446 +0.11%
US2Yr.4.289 -0.013 -0.30%
US5Yr 4.453 +0.024 +0.54%
US10Yr4.646 +0.033 +0.72%
US30Yr.4.871+0.044 +0.91%
VIX..15.02 -0.08 -0.53%

USDIndx 108.1350❗-0.105 -0.10%
Como Indx..309.36 -0.02 -0.01%
BCOMIN..144.25 -0.33 -0.23%

IndoCDS…74.22 -2.00 -2.62%👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (22/01)

IDR…….16283.00❗+4.00 +0.02%
Jisdor..16276.00❗-51.00 -0.31%

Euro…1.0418 +0.0011 -0.20%

TLKM…16.96 -0.03 -0.18%
( 2760)
EIDO….18.86 +0.03 +0.16%
EEM…42.67 +0.12 +0.27%

Oil………74.62 -0.82 -1.09%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………77.88 -1.09 -1.38%
(Brent)
Gold…2765.00 -0.70 -0.03%
(Comex)
Gold…2754.87 +0.08 +0.002%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.30272.00 +39.00 +0.13%
(Closed 22/01)
.Nickel.15660.00 -60.00 -0.38%
(Closed 22/01)
Silver……31.39 -0.11 -0.35%
Copper.429.40 -4.70 -1.08%

Iron Ore 62% 101.40 +0.19 +0.19%
(22/01)
Nturl Gas ..3.960 -0.020 -0.51%
Ammonia China. 2393.33 _ -%
(Domestic Price)(23/01)

Coal price.116.50 -0.25 -0.21%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.119.10 -2.90 -2.38%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.121.80 -1.65 -1.34%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 123.70 -1.95 -1.55%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.109.10 +0.60 +0.55%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 106.75 -1.65 -1.52%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 107.00 -1.50 -1.38%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 107.65 -1.45 -1.33%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr) 4191 -17 -0.40%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………489.75 +5.50 +1.14%
SoybeanOil 45.04 +0.62 +1.42%
Wheat……554.00 unch +0%

Wood pulp…..6580 +36 +0.55%
(Closed 23/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo europe ijo asia kebanyakan ijo, IHSG merah walau opening gap up, ada gap sih dibawah, kayanya hari ini tutup gap dulu dip sebentar baru jalan lagi, itu juga kalau BBCA ga langsung di gas karena LK nya. US treasury bond yang 2 tahun turunm yang panjang2 naik, ga terlalu gimana2 harusnya

USD index down, metal kebanyakan down kecuali tins sama iron ore, oil gas coal down, cpo down, lesu dulu ini, tapi bisa jadi kesempatan untuk buy ADRO. selama coal price nya masih bullish

IHSG – tech indicators masih ok, dari retracement pattern bisa jadi mau bawa ke fibo 23 dulu sebelum ke fibo 61, plus ada gap di bawah jadi makin besar kemungkinannya, semoga ga sampe fibo 23, dip aja tutup gap terus lanjut. kemaren FNS lagi, merah deh… Semoga FNB hari ini

Financials nya melemah, Energy slow down, Basic Materials Consumer Cyclicals sama Infrastructure

Coal Price – abis supertrend buy signal dia slow down, tapi ga sejauh oil, semoga lanjut rally seperti biasanya pas winter

Stochastic Buy Signal: JSMR SSIA SSMS, big accum JSMR

MACD Buy Signal: CMRY

Alligator Buy Signal: AKRA AVIA GJTL tapi malah big dist

Daily Analysis 20240104

Daily Analysis 20240104

January 04th, 2024
Good morning,
Dow tumbles nearly 300 points Wednesday, Nasdaq closes lower for a 2nd straight day in 2024
The Nasdaq Composite
 fell for a second session Wednesday to start the year, building on its worst daily performance in nearly three months.
Dow……37430   -284.9   -0.76%
Nasdaq14592   -173.7   -1.18%
S&P 500.4705   -38.02   -0.80%
FTSE…..7682  -39.2     -0.51%
Dax……16538 -230.97 -1.38%
CAC……7412  -119.0    -1.58%
Nikkei..33464    closed   +0%
HSI…….16646   -142.1    -0.85%
Shanghai.2967 +4.97     +0.17%
IDX…..7379.09 -44.50    -0.61%
LQ45….973.38 -6.05       -0.38%
IDX30…494.25 -4.17       -0.84%
IDXEnergy..2134.80   -8.16     -0.38%
IDX BscMat.1326.31 -5.83     -0.44%
IDX Indstrl…1103.81 -1.70     -0.15%
IDXNONCYC.718.44 -5.97     -0.82%
IDX Hlthcare1341.16 -12.40  -0.92%
IDXCYCLIC…825.24  +3.63    +0.44%
IDX Techno4418.00  +0.19    +0.02%
IDX Transp 1656.97 +2.01     +0.12%
IDX Infrast  1577.29. +0.98   +0.06%
IDX Finance.1448.02 -4.07.   -0.28%
IDX Banking.1267.99 -1.01    -0.08%
IDX Property.. 709      -0.90    -0.12%
Indo10Yr.6.6494+0.0333 +0.50%
ICBI…374.1959  -0.4937  -0.13%
US2Yr.4.333  +0.009   +0.21%
US5Yr 3.905  -0.017    -0.43%
US10Yr3.920 -0.021    -0.53%
US30Yr.4.070-0.013    -0.32%
VIX….14.04  +0.84  +6.36%‼️
USDIndx 102.4570 +0.221 +0.22%
Como Indx..265.25  +2.62    +1.00%
BCOMIN……139.93   -1.24     -0.88%
 IndoCDS..69.23    -0.06    -0.09%
  (5-yr INOCD5) (02/01)
IDR…..15481.00 +11.00 +0.07%
Jisdor.15495.00 +22.00 +0.14%
Euro….1.0920  -0.0022  -0.20%
TLKM…25.62  -0.28   -1.08%
(3970)
EIDO….22.05   -0.16   -0.72%
EEM….39.52   -0.22    -0.55%
Oil……..72.70  +2.32  +3.30%‼️
Gold..2042.80 -30.60 -1.48%
Timah..25184.00 -231   -0.91%
(Closed 02/01)
Nickel..16425.00 -140   -0.85%
(Closed 03/01)
Silver……23.16   -0.80     -3.32%
Copper.386.15   -1.90     -0.49%
Iron Ore 62% 136.37   –        -%
 (02/01)
Nturl Gas..2.687  +0.113  +4.39%‼️
Ammonia China.3656.67 +33.34 +0.92%
(Domestic Price)(02/02)
Coal price.128.50  +0.75  +0.59%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 127.09  +0.15  +0.67%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.125.75  +0.90  +0.72%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 124.40  +0.50  +0.40%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.108.95 +2.80   +2.64%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.75 +2.20  +2.17%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price. 99.25  +2.15  +2.21%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price .97.20  +2.00  +2.10%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
CPO(Mar)..3624   -36        -0.98%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……465.25     +1.50    +0.32%
SoybeanOil 48.60 +0.31    +0.64%
Wheat….600.25    -6.50      -1.07%
Wood pulp..5050.00 +10  +0.20%
(Closed 02/01)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia

Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Update Global Economic Calendar
3 Jan 2023

GERMANY MARKET :
Unemployment Change (Dec)
Actual : 5K
Forecast : 20K
Previous : 22K

Unemployment Rate (Dec)
Actual : 5.9%
Forecast : 5.9%
Previous : 5.9%

Unemployment Persons (Dec)
Actual : 2.703M
Forecast : –
Previous : 2.702M

U.S MARKET :
MBA Mortgage Applications (Dec/29)
Actual : -10.7%
Forecast : –
Previous : -1.5%

MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Dec/29)
Actual : 6.76%
Forecast : –
Previous : 6.83%

ISM Manufacturing PMI (Dec)
Actual : 47.4
Forecast : 47.1
Previous : 46.7

ISM Manufacturing Employment (Dec)
Actual : 48.1
Forecast : 46.1
Previous : 45.8

ISM Manufacturing New Orders (Dec)
Actual : 47.1
Forecast : –
Previous : 48.3

By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research
– Disclaimer On –

US merah dalem, keliatanya karena release berita ISM manufacturing unemployment dan new order turun. europe merah, asia juga, IHSG kemaren memang sudah diduga jadwal turun, sekarang diharap naik tapi kalo global merah semua rada berat. Semoga hanya sideways atau koreksi kecil

US bond rates ga banyak rubah, USD index naik, metal turun semua, oil gas coal naik, CPO masih turun. Kayanya belum jalan ini ANTM INCO TINS MDKA, tapi harusnya major udah uptrend. AALI LSIP juga

IHSG – stoch up flattening OB, MACD up flattening, MFI sw, w% masih uptrend, BD mulai dist, FNS, udah di wave 5, agak mengkhawatirkan…

Cacing RSI malah all good, Consumer Non-Cyclicals sama Consumer Cyclicals yang arahnya paling bagus

Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA ARTO GOTO TOWR ADHI HEAL ISAT JSMR PTPP. yang big accum cuma TOWR

MACD Buy Signal: BRIS BBKP BRMS Big accum BRIS BBKP

Stochastic Continuation Signal: INCO big acc MPMX spike

Daily Analysis 20240103

Daily Analysis 20240103

January 03rd, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes lower to begin 2024, Nasdaq notches worst day since October

The S&P 500
fell Tuesday, the first trading day of the year, as bond yields inched higher and investors took some money off the table following a surprisingly strong 2023.

Dow……37715 +25.5 +0.07%
Nasdaq14766 -245.4 -1.63%
S&P 500.4743 -27.00 -0.57%

FTSE…..7722 -11.7 -0.16%
Dax……16769 +17.7 +0.11%
CAC……7531 -12.3 -0.16%

Nikkei..33464 closed +0%
HSI…….16789 -258.8 -1.52%
Shanghai.2962 -12.66 -0.43%

IDX…..7323.59 +50.79 +0.70%
LQ45….979.43 +8.86 +0.91%
IDX30…498.42 +3.21 +0.65%

IDXEnergy..2142.96 +42.+2.00%
IDX BscMat.1332.14 +26.67 +1.89%}
IDX Indstrl…1105.51 +11.74 +1.07%
IDXNONCYC.724.41 +2.01 +0.28%
IDX Hlthcare1353.56 -22.40 -1.64%
IDXCYCLIC…825.05. +3.63 +0.44%
IDX Techno4418.00 -17.60 -0.40%
IDX Transp 1654.96 +53.45 +3.34%‼️
IDX Infrast 1576.31. +6.28 +0.40%
IDX Finance.1452.08 -6.24. -0.43%
IDX Banking.1269.00 -0.55 -0.04%
IDX Property.. 710 -3.60 -0.50%

Indo10Yr.6.6161+0.017 +0.26%
ICBI…374.6896 -0.1294 -0.03&%
US2Yr.4.324 +0.074 +1.74%
US5Yr 3.922 +0.082 +2.14%
US10Yr3.941 +0.075 +1.94%
US30Yr.4.083+0.064 +1.59%
VIX….13.20 +0.75 +6.02%‼️

USDIndx 102.2360 +0.903 +0.89%
Como Indx..262.63 -1.19 -0.45%
BCOMIN……141.17 -1.48 -1.04%

IndoCDS..69.29 +0.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (01/01)

IDR…..15470.00 +71.00 +0.46%
Jisdor.15473.00 +34.00 +0.22%

Euro….1.0942 – -%

TLKM…25.90 +0.14 +0.54%
(4008)
EIDO….22.21 -0.11 -0.49%
EEM….39.74 -0.47 -1.17%

Oil……..70.38 -1.27 -1.77%
Gold..2073.40 +1.60 +0.08%
Timah..25415.00 – -%
(Closed 29/12)
Nickel..16565.00 -106 -0.64%
(Closed 02/01)
Silver……23.95 -0.13 -0.55%
Copper.388.05 -1.00 -0.26%

Iron Ore 62% 136.37 – -%
(29/12)
Nturl Gas..2.574 +0.077 +3.08%
Ammonia China.3623.33-183.34 -3.81%‼️
(Domestic Price)(01/02)

Coal price.127.75 -9.2 -6.72%‼️
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 126.15 -7.65 -5.72%‼️
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.124.85 -7.10 -5.38%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 123.90 -6.55 -5.02%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.106.15 -2.15 -1.99%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 101.55 -2.30 -2.21%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price. 97.10 -2.75 -2.75%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price .95.20 -3.35 -3.40%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)..3660 -60 -1.61%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……463.75 -7.50 -1.59%
SoybeanOil 48.29 +0.11 +0.23%
Wheat….606.75 -21.25 -3.38%

Wood pulp..5040.00 unch +0%
(Closed 02/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Kemaren IHSG ijo, asia merah europe merah US merah, so hari ini kemungkinan merah… Kalo mau belanja sore lebih ok kayanya

Update Global Economic Calendar
2 Jan 2023

INDONESIA MARKET :
Inflation Rate YoY (Dec)
Actual : 2.61%
Forecast : 2.85%
Previous : 2.86%

Core Inflation Rate YoY (Dec)
Actual : 1.8%
Forecast : 1.85%
Previous : 1.87%

Inflation Rate MoM (Dec)
Actual : 0.41%
Forecast : –
Previous : 0.38%

Tourist Arrivals YoY (Nov)
Actual : 30.17%
Forecast : –
Previous : 33.27%

GERMANY MARKET :
HCOB Manufacturing PMI Final (Dec)
Actual : 43.3
Forecast : 43.1
Previous : 42.6

EURO AREA MARKET :
HCOB Manufacturing PMI Final (Dec)
Actual : 44.4
Forecast : 44.2
Previous : 44.2

UNITED KINGDOM MARKET :
S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI Final (Dec)
Actual : 46.2
Forecast : 46.4
Previous : 47.2

U.S MARKET :
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Final (Dec)
Actual : 47.9
Forecast : 48.2
Previous : 49.4

By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research
– Disclaimer On –

Visit our website :
www.phintracosekuritas.com
www.profits.co.id
www.taspro.co.id

Angka Inflasi indonesia lebih baik dari forecast, makanya ijo sendiri kemaren, nah, Europe dan US index manufacture nya dibawah forecast, wajarnya merah, dan hari ini masih pengaruh…

Berita jelek selalu disusul sama naiknya suku bunga, USD index juga naik jadi lengkap untuk bikin merah saham. metal2 merah semua kecuali emas yang ijo tipisoil merah gas ijo, coal DROP, CPO merah, wah masih berantakan ini, semoga ANTM MDKA keganjel harga emas yang lagi tinggi

IHSG – stoch OB, MACD up, MFI sw, w% uptrend, BD FF acc, wave 5, hati hati koreksi, curigany mah akan kejedot level all time high baru merosot ABC correction

Index jalan hampir semua sektor jalan,yang arahnya paling deket 45 Consumer Cyclicals, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Transportation

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBKP TAPG

 

MACD Buy Signal banyak banget, yang big acc cuma ASSA, yang ada Spike EMTK, layak dipantau ICBP TBIG AALI

Stochastic Continuation Signal banyak, tapi ga ada yang big accum, malah INKP big dist. Paling SMDR yang ada spike