Daily Analysis 20240812

August 12th, 2024

Dow…….39497 +51.1 +0.13%
Nasdaq. 16745 +85.3 +0.51x%
S&P 500 5344 +24.9 +0.47%

FTSE..8168.10 +23.1 +0.28%
Dax……17722 +42.5 +0.24%
CAC……7270 +22.3 +0.31%

Nikkei..35025 +193.9 +0.56%
HSI……..17090 +198.4 +1.17%
Shanghai.2862 -7.7 -0.27%

IDX….7257.12 +61.88 +0.86%
LQ45…908.13 +9.23 +1.03%
IDX30.455.86 +1.74 +0.38%

IDXEnergy.2425.17 +12.00. +0.50%
IDX BscMat1318.38 +20.96 +1.62%
IDX Indstrl..1025.97 +11.31 +1.11%
IDXNONCYC.702.16 +2.36 +0.34%
IDX Hlthcare1452.22 +6.21 +0.43%
IDXCYCLIC…759.82 +6.04 +0.80%
IDXTechno.3224.77 +18.76 +0.59%
IDX Transp 1357.38. +10.91 +0.81%
IDX Infrast 1546.82 +13.02 +0.85%
IDX Finance1406.97 +6.99 +0.48%
IDX Banking1257.44 +8.18 +0.65%
IDX Property…..661 +5.20 +0.79%

Indo10Yr.6.8349 -0.0186 -0.27%
ICBI…387.2557 +0.3148 +0.08%
US2Yr.4.057 +0.021 +0.52%
US5Yr 3.796 -0.030 -0.78%
US10Yr3.959 -0.030 -0.75%
US30Yr.4.220 -0.056 -1.31%
VIX..20.37 -3.42 -14.38%‼️

USDIndx 103.2150 +0.006 +0.01%
Como Indx….275.97 +1.97 +0.72%
BCOMIN…..138.06 +1.93 +1.42%

IndoCDS..80.17 -0.02 -0.02%
(5-yr INOCD5) (09/08)

IDR…..15924.50 +31.00 +0.19%
Jisdor.15914.00 -38.00 -0.24%

Euro…1.0913 -0.0005 -0.05%

TLKM…17.86 +0.04 +0.20%
( 2836)
EIDO.20.48 -0.02 -0.10%
EEM..42.06 +0.21 +0.50%

Oil………..76.94 +0.90 +1.18%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….79.16 +0.83 +1.06%
(Brent)
Gold…..2468.50 +3.70 +0.15%
(Comex)
Gold……2430.02 +4.07 +0.17%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..31304.00 +810.00 +2.66%
(Closed 09/08)
Nickel..16298.00 +97.50 +0.60%
(Closed 09/08)
Silver….27.49 -0.08 -0.29%
Copper.397.85 +0.15 +0.04%

Iron Ore 62% 101.26 +0.51 +0.51%
(09/08)
Nturl Gas 2.161 +0.072 +3.45%
Ammonia China 2463.33 – -%
(Domestic Price)(09/08)

Coal price.146.00 +0.50 +0.34%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.150.50 +1.50 +1.01%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 151.95 +1.75 +1.17%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.153.20 +2.00 +1.32%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.122.10 +0.70 +0.58%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.124.00 +1.10 +0.90%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 124.90 +1.60 +1.30%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.125.75 +1.65 +1.33%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3717 +41 +1.12%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..395.00 -2.00 -0.50%
SoybeanOil 41.12 +0.26 +0.64%
Wheat…..542.50 +5.00 +0.93%

Wood pulp..5100 unch +0%
(Closed 11/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Closing Jum’at semua ijo kecuali China. US Bond Yield hampir semua turun, keliatannya beneran udah beres wave 2, lanjut wave 3 IHSG

USD index up tpis, metal2 ijo kecuali silver, harusnya INCO ANTM TINS dkk jalan lagi, Oil Gas Coal up, PTBA ITMG ADRO menarik diliat… Oil kita liat dulu.CPO up juga, semoga nganter AALI LSIP rally juga

IHSG – Stoch up, MACD rev up tapi belum sempet nyeberang kebawa histogram, MFI sw, w% up, FNB, walau belum tutup gap tapi deket banget kemaren, bisa jadi sudah dianggap done, dari itungan fibonacci wave 2 udah bisa dianggap done, semoga memang sepakat untuk rally wave 3

Property yang terlihat kenceng, tapi kemaren di check masing2nya BD pada jualan, very careful buat yang mau ngejar issue bunga bank turun

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMRT INDF AVIA BMTR INDY MAHA MYOR PTPP, big accum AMRT INDF INDY PTPP

MACD Buy Signal: BRIS BUKA UNVR CMRY GJTL KIJA MIKA BRAM, big accum UNVR GJTL

INDF – BD FF acc, stoch buy, macd up, MFI sw w%uptrend,udah naik 6% dari bottom, belum jauh jauh amat sih, uneven triple bottom, breakout neckline bareng sama supertrend buy signal, ada gap diatas, tapi jeleknya ada reg bear div, check dulu spike dan bandarmology

Ada spike tapi ga terlalu tinggi

Biggest holder buang, yang 2 lebih kecil akum, apa tukeran barang doang? Average udah kena, suka jadi resistance itu harga average bandar, yang punya bisa hold, yang belum kayanya mending entry di yang lain deh

INDY – stoch buy macd almost buy, MFI down, w% up,BD FF acc, abis reg bull div jalan, udah bikin higher low, ada gap di atas, coal price up, harusnya jalan sih ini

Coal Price tren nya naik, dan secara relatif INDY paling ketinggalan dibanding ADRO ITMG PTBA. PBV 0.37, PER 8, bisa masuk value investing juga ini, harusnya bisa buy

Spike ok

Price Ok, biggest holder accum, 2 lagi flat, bisa buy sih ini, BOW di average nya NI di 1405

PTPP – LK nya paling bener dibanding karya karya lain, ikutan turun terjun bebas, tapi masih positif dari 2022 sampe sekarang dengan trend meningkat. Issue IKN, technical ok, stoch buy MACD mau rev up, MFI slightly up, w% up, BD FF rev ACC big, mungkin mau digoreng sampe akhir tahun. Reg bull div jalan, udah bikin higher low, masih dibawah modus vol profile, harusnya ok ini

BIg Spike, double tower, firm harusnya ini digoreng

Harga aman tapi YP buang, biggest holder GR lagi diem, kemaren spike siapa yang gerak ya? mungkin YP tukeran sama AK. Tapi bisa ini spec buy, banyak faktor mendukung

GJTL – keluar dari saham value investing karena 2022 sempet rugi, tapi abis itu trend nya naik. PBV masih 0.47 PER 2.94, stoch down, macd buy but SW, MFI up, w% up, BD FF big accum, reg bull div jalan, udah bikin higher low, lagi ada di modus vol profile, bisa buy ini harusnya

Sudah jauh membaik, dan ratio nya masih ok

Ada spike udah agak lama, belum done

ZP udah beres buang, masih biggest holder. Historically mantulnya di modal RX tapi… Bisa masuk tapi setengah aja, kalo ditarik kebawah sampe harga RX baru berani full load

BRIS – stoch macd buy tapi sw, MFI flat, w% masih uptrend, BD FF acc tipis, abis reg bull jalan udah bikin higher low tapi masih fase sideways, IHNS in the making belum confirmed.

Short term nya pada naik sih Bank… Tapi belum firm rally lagi

Spike ok

Historically mantul di average KZ. 2biggest holder accum, harusnya ok sih ini, tapi idealnya BOW di 2425