Daily Analysis 20240605

June 05th, 2024

Good morning,
Stocks eke out gains as labor market cools, rate-cut bets rise

US stocks flipped between negative and positive territory on Tuesday, finishing narrowly in the green as investors shifted their rate-cut expectations after more weaker-than-expected economic data.

Dow……38711 +140.3 +0.36%
Nasdaq16857 +28.4 +0.17%
S&P 500.5291 +7.9 +0.15%

FTSE…..8232 -30.7 -0.37%
Dax……18406 -202.5 -1.09%
CAC……7938 -60.1 -0.76⁴%

Nikkei..38837 -85.6 -0.01%
HSI…..18444 +41.1 +0.22%
Shanghai.3091+12.7 +0.41%

IDX….7099.31 +63.12 +0.90%
LQ45..895.80 +7.52 +0.85%
IDX30.443.12 +0.50 +0.11%

IDXEnergy..2300.50 -32.43 -1.39%
IDX BscMat1423.13 +6.65 +0.47%
IDX Indstrl. .975.51 -5.55 -0.57%
IDXNONCYC.696.60 +6.06 +0.88%
IDX Hlthcare1391.93 -21.64 +1.58%
IDXCYCLIC…701.30 +4.70 +0.67%
IDXTechno3349.92 -35.42 -1.05%
IDX Transp 1269.05 +4.00 +0.32%
IDX Infrast 1508.97 +15.15 +1.01%
IDX Finance1365.00 +9.55 +0.70%
IDX Banking1160.50 +0.97 +0.08%
IDX Property…..617 +6.30 +1.04%

Indo10Yr.6.8950 -0.0100 -0.14%
ICBI…380.9066 +0.2006 +0.05%
US2Yr.4.773👍 -0.039 -0.81%
US5Yr 4.347👍 -0.063 -1.43%
US10Yr4.326👍 -0.065 -1.48%
US30Yr.4.474👍 -0.066 -1.45%
VIX..13.16 +0.06 +0.38%

USDIndx 104.110❗️ -0.030 -0.03%
Como Indx….286.27 -2.82 -0.98%
BCOMIN…..158.48 -2.43 -1.51%

IndoCDS..72.24 -21.13 -22.63%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/06)

IDR…..16220.00‼️ -10.50 -0.06%
Jisdor.16220.00‼️ -5.00 -0.03%

Euro….1.0879 -0.0029 -0.27%

TLKM…18.51 +0.38 +2.10%
( 3002)
EIDO….20.12 +0.07 +0.35%
EEM…..41.64 -0.61 -1.43%

Oil…….72.83‼️ -1.25 -1.69%
Gold..2347.10 -23.90 -1.01%
Timah..31932.00 -418.00 -1.29%
(Closed 04/05)
Nickel..18888.50 -633.50 -3.26%‼️
(Closed 04/05)
Silver….29.69 -1.18 -3.82%
Copper.454.50 -13.85 -2.95%

Iron Ore 62% 110.10 -7.42 -6.31%‼️
(03/06)
Nturl Gas..2.620 -0.138 -5.03%‼️
Ammonia China.2950.00 -150.00 -4.84%‼️
(Domestic Price)(03/06)

Coal price.137.95 -.2.25 -1.60%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.80 -4.65 -3.20%‼️
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.141.95 -4.55 -3.11%‼️
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 142.70. -5.30 -3.58%‼️
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price.116.90 -2.10 -1.76%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.15 -3.20 -2.59%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 122.00 -3.55 -2.83%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 124.55 -1.55 -1.23%
(Sept/Rotterdam)

CPO(Agt)..4079 -159.00 -389%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….442.50 -1.00 -0.23%
SoybeanOil 43.62 -0.52 -1.18%
Wheat….658.25 -14.50 -2.16%

Wood pulp..5862 -18 -0.31%
(Closed 04/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo, europe merah, asia mostly ijo, US bond yield merah, harusnya ijo lagi IHSG hari ini

US index merah, tapi metal2 juga merah, oil gas coal merah juga, CPO juga merah, agak aneh ini… Tapi biar lah, mungkin giliran basic materials sama energy dan CPO bukan sekarang, ASII TLKM dan Bank bank dulu kayanya

IHSG – Stoch 833 udah buy, 1066 masih belum, MACD masih down, MFI sw, w% sw, BD belum banyak gerak, FNB tapi tipis, mantul dari LR juga, harapan bagus buat mulai gerak naik

Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Energy, FInancials,Consumer Cyclicals, Industrials

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak banget: ADRO ASII BBCA BRIS PTBA ABMM ADHI AUTO BMTR BTPS ERAA HEAL JSMR MAPA NISP PTPP SILO TBIG, BIg Accum ASII BBCA AUTO BMTR ERAA SILO TBIG

MACD Buy Signal: BMRI MAPI SMGR SRtG ADHI AUTO CTRA ERAA IMAS MyoR PTPP SSIA AALI. Big accum: BMRI MAPI AUTO. SMGR yang ditunggu kemaren naik tinggi, kita assess apakah bisa dikejar dan di level mana entry nya

ASII – stoch buy, macd almost buy, 833 up, MFI up, w% up, BD FF acc, ada gap di atas, yang belum punya bisa buy

Spike kecil, yang sebelumnya harus dianggap spike jual karena abis ada spike turun

YP sama YU nahan, tapi jelas average aman, kalo pegang panjang sih bisa merem, tapi ini terlihat belum akan langsung diangkat tinggi sih

BMTR – almost perfect, dijagain harga di 230 an kemaren, sekarang mulai jalan, udah bulan juni, jadi kemungkinan gorengan tinggi tahunan nya udah deket. Stoch MACD MFI w% ok, BD FF acc, harusnya sih lari ya

Spike ada, target 270 an

Biggest holder EP, pas turun dia akum massive, average aman, YP aja yang masih buang, BUY BMTR

SMGR – technically udah ok, stoch macd buy, MFI w% up, Reg Bull DIvergence confirmed, nah tapi BD FF balik dist, mungkin mau hold dulu biar ga lanjut jalan dan bawa muatan penumpang gelap banyak, tapi intinya secaa technical udah okbuy

Belum ada spike

YP yang nahan… CC NI firm accum. Buy SMGR, BOW hari ini, karena kemaren naik tinggi dan ternyata index merah dalem, mungkin bisa dapet dibawah harga closing kemaren

ERAA – dari regbul div firm, sempet kebanting ikut index turun, sideways sih, terus sekarang MACD nya udah rev buy lagi. Stoch buy, MFI up, w% up, FF udah accum, malah BD yang rev dist. Harusnya bisa buy lagi ini ERAA

Spike cakep banget

Average aman, biggest holder accum, stockbit aja yang bilangnya BD dist… BUY ERAA, udah pas juga abis fibo 38 balik ke area 23, harusnya lanjut fibo 61 ke 575 an