Daily Analysis 20230713

July 13th, 2023

Good morning,

Stock closes higher in after the S&P 500 closed at its highest level in over a year. Markets also looked ahead to another key inflation reading.

Dow……34347 +86.01 +0.25%
Nasdaq13981 +158.3 +1.18%
S&P 500.4472 +32.9 +0.74%

FTSE…..7416 +133.6 +1.83%
Dax……16203 +232.7 +1.47%
CAC……7333 +113.0 +1.57%

Nikkei…31943 -259.6 -0.81%
HSI…….18861 +201.1 +1.08%
Shanghai.3196 -25.2 -0.78%

IDX…..6808.21 +11.28 +0.17%
LQ45….957.99 +3.03 +0.32%
IDX30…497.19 +1.71 +0.35%

IDXEnergy…1840.99 -17.48 -0.94%
IDX BscMat.1036.93 -3.01 -0.29%
IDX Indstrl…1194.84 -2.03 -0.17%
IDXNONCYC.761.67 -0.10 -0.01%
IDX Hlthcare1523.16 +0.76 +2.88%
IDXCYCLIC….921.48 +0.00 +0.01%
IDX Techno.4815.68 +67.71 +1.43%
IDX Transp..1924.05 -0.29 -0.01%
IDX Infrast… .856.79 +0.16 +0.02%
IDX Finance.1425.15 +2.86 +0.20%
IDX Banking.1188.03 +3.53 +0.47%
IDX Property..751 +4.20 +0.56%

Indo10Yr.6.3102👍 -0.0270 -0.43%
ICBI….368.5678👍 +04692 +0.13%
US2Yr.4.8870 -0.139 -2.84%👍
US5Yr 4.0750 -0.164 -3.86%👍
US10Yr3.8620 -0.111 -2.79%👍
US30Yr.4.0110-0.062 -1.55%
VIX…….13.54 -1.30 -8.76%👍

USDIndx100.5210👍 -1.2110 -1.19%
Como Indx…268.30 +0.70 +0.26%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……145.40 +4.19 +2.97%

IndoCDS.87.66 -0.98 -1.11%
(5-yr INOCD5) (11/07)
IDR…..15074.50 -78.50 -0.52%
Jisdor.15084.00 -78.00 -0.51%

Euro……1.1136 +0.0126 +1.14%

TLKM…26.41 +0.33 +1.27%
(3983)
EIDO….23.67 +0.63 +2.73%
EEM…..40.71 +0.89 +2.24%

Oil…..74.80 +1.08 +1.44%
Gold…1962.40‼ +24.50 +1.26%
Timah..27956.00 +6.00 +0.02%
(Closed 11/07)
Nickel..21628.00 +918.00 +4.43%‼
(Closed 12/07)
Silver…. 24.34 +1.01 +4.33%‼
Copper.385.65 +8.60 +2.28%

Iron Ore 62% 109.34 +0.13 +0.12%
(11/07)
Nturl Gas.2.6490 -0.083 -3.04%

Coal price.129.05 -1.95 -1.49%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.128.05 -5.95 -4.44%‼
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.129.25 -6.60 -4.86%‼
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.132.70 -7.10 -5.08%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price104.05 -1.85 -1.70%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..94.45 -5.40 -5.41%‼
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…94.10 -5.50 -5.52%‼
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price..94.90 -5.00 -5.00%‼
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)..3928 +40 +1.02%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…483.75 -17.75 -3.54%‼
SoybeanOil 59.36 -0.57 -0.95%
Wheat…632.75 -27.75 -4.20%‼

Wood pulp..4380.00 +20 +0.46%
(Closed 10/07)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia

Index regional hampir semua ijo kecuali nikkei, kayanya lanjut rally ini IHSG

USD index drop, automatically precious metals naik tinggi semua. Oil ijo Gas drop, coal drop, cpo ijo. Consider exit yang coal coal ya, bahaya ini udha 3 hari berturut2 coal price turun, ini ketahan index jalan makanya masih bertahan emiten coal

IHSG – lanjut FNB, SUpertrend Buy, Alligator up, tembus cloud ichimoku ke atas, IHNS jalan, stoch up, macd up, harusnya lanjut rally sih

Malah property sama Consumer Cyclicals yang kebaca arahnya bagus, tapi dengan harga komoditi naik tinggi gini sih, basic materials harusnya jalan lagi

Stochastic Buy Signal: ACES GOTO KLBF ADHI MIKA MBSS

MACD Buy SIgnal: ICBP MIKA LMSH SGRO

Alligator Buy Signal: MEDC

Supertrend Buy Signal: BABP

ACES – swing nya udahan dulu kayanya sih ini, udah ketemu reg bear MACD, BD FF dist, walau masih inside, tapi jadi ada kemungkinan dibanting pas mereka massive exit, WNS dulu deh

GOTO – BD FF dist, inside sih, stoch buy, MACD rev up, MFI down, w% up, belum sih, wait MACD

KLBF – stoch buy, macd buy, MFI sw,w%up, BD FF acc, abis wave 5 terus ABC correction, belum sampe 1.68 tapi ok lah ya… Slope LR masih down, relatively masih ok buat buy, kita check spike

Spike tinggi terus harga turun, belum tentu mau exit sih, tapi KLBF udah sempet rally kemaren, masih banyak saham lain yang harga masih dibawah, skip ah mending yang lain aja

MIKA – 3 white soldiers, alligator almost buy, supertrend tunggu konfirmasi, dulu stoch buy macd buy, BD FF rev acc, w% uptrend, MFI up, BD FF rev acc, CNH breakout, menarik sih, tapi ga suka ngejar2 ah. Tunggu pullback aja sama 833 buy baru

Spike ada tapi ga istimewa, keliatannya spike buy sih

ADHI – BD FF rev acc, MFI down, w% up, stoch buy, MACD down, retrace belum sampe fibo 38, kaya yang ok technically, tapi lapkeu masih jelek, harus hati2 banget. tunggu macd assess lagi

Spike target udah done, skip dulu

MEDC – ada kemungkinan terpaksa cutloss hari ini, technical nya ngebalik padahal oil lagi naik. alligator sell, macd mau sell, stoch sell, BD FF dist. Kalo closing MACD sell cutloss dulu