Daily Analysis 20240527

Daily Analysis 20240527

May 27th, 2024

Good morning,

Nasdaq closes Friday at record high as Nvidia and the AI trade rallies on

The Nasdaq closed Friday at a fresh record high as gains in chipmaker Nvidia outweighed worries that the Federal Reserve will delay interest rate cuts.

Dow……39070 +4.3 +0.01%
Nasdaq16921 +184.8 +1.10%
S&P 500.5305 +36.9 +0.70%

FTSE…..8318 -21.6 -0.26%
Dax……18693 +2.1 +0.01%
CAC……8095 -7.4 -0.09%

Nikkei..38646 -457.1 -1.17%
HSI…..18609 -259.8 -1.38%
Shanghai.3089 -27.5 -0.88%

IDX….7222.38 closed +0%
LQ45..895.84 closed +0%
IDX30..450.75 closed +0%

IDXEnergy..2292.57 closed +0%
IDX BscMat1438.10 closed +0%
IDX Indstrl..1023.14 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.701.53 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare1416.69closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC…738.50 closed +0%
IDXTechno3402.30 closed +0%
IDX Transp 1369.20 closed +0%
IDX Infrast 1618.96 closed +0%
IDX Finance1369.20 closed +0%
IDX Banking1174.72 closed +0%
IDX Property…..631 closed +0%

Indo10Yr.6.8787 closed +0%
ICBI…380.2554 closed +0%
US2Yr.4.948 +0.005 +0.09%
US5Yr 4.528 +0.003 +0.07%
US10Yr4.467 -0.006 -0.14%
US30Yr.4.573-0.004 -0.09%
VIX..11.93 -0.84 -6.58%👍

USDIndx 104.7240❗️ -0.38 -0.37%
Como Indx..294.28 +0.50 +0.17%
BCOMIN….164.28 +0.31 +0.19%

IndoCDS..72.25 +1.49 +2.11%
(5-yr INOCD5) (24/05)

IDR…..15995.00 closed +0%
Jisdor.15995.00 closed +0%

Euro….1.0847 +0.00 +0.30%

TLKM…18.31 +0.05 +0.27%
( 2947)
EIDO….20.50 +0.11 +0.54%
EEM…..43.01 +0.11 +0.24%

Oil…….77.72 +0.85 +1.11%
Gold..2356.90‼️ -2.80 -0.12%
Timah..33229.00 -222.00 -0.66%
(Closed 24/05)
Nickel..20318.00 +234.00 +1.17%
(Closed 24/05)
Silver…..30.50 +0.04 +0.14%
Copper.475.35 -3.90 -0.81%

Iron Ore 62% 117.66 +0.22 +0.19%
(24/05)
Nturl Gas..2.504 -0.154 -5.80%‼️
Ammonia China.3066.67 -100.00 -3.16% ‼️
(Domestic Price)(23/05)

Coal price 142.80 +0.05 +0.04%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.140.00 -1.40 -0.99%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.142.50 +0.30 +0.21%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.144.15 -2.20 -1.50%
(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price..105.10 -0.10 -0.10%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.111.95 -1.05 -0.93%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.116.60 -0.60 -0.51%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 118.05 -0.45 -0.38%
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Agt)..3886 -8 -0.21%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….464.75 +0.85 +0.16%
SoybeanOil 44.96 -0.24 -0.53%
Wheat…..697.25 -0.75 -0.11%

Wood pulp..5872 unch +0%
(Closed 26/05)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyr«ight: Phintraco Sekuritas

CLosing jum’at US DJI ijo tipis, Nasdaq ijo tebel karena Nvidia, Europe ijo, asia merah, US Bond yield pending naik tipis, panjang turun tipis, sideways kali ya IHSG hari ini, mungkin cenderung ijo malah

USD index down, tapi metal2 juga sebagian turun kecuali Nickel silver iron ore, oil up, gas drop, coal cenderung down, CPO down, belum ok ini…

IHSG – stoch up, macd up, MFI down, w% sw, BD sw FNS, masih nahan nahan… Tapi secara technical udah ok, udah tutup gap, tinggal rally nya aja

Basic Materials, Financials, Consumer Non-Cyclicals. Kalo bener Financials jalan, jadi IHSG start rally

Stochastic Buy Signal: ASII ESSA ANJT SGRO. Big accum and freq spike ASII

MACD Buy Signal: ITMG PTPP ANJT CEKA AALI. Menarik AALI kalo harga CPO firm reversal up

CPO price MACD udah buy sih, bisa ini AALI harusnya

Alligator Buy Signal: BMTR BSDE BTPS

Daily Analysis 20240515

Daily Analysis 20240515

May 15th, 2024 Good morning, Nasdaq jumps to record close, Dow adds more than 100 points ahead of consumer inflation report Stocks rose Tuesday following the release of fresh U.S.…
Daily Analysis 20240416

Daily Analysis 20240416

April 16th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq close 1% lower as yields jump, traders await Israel response to Iran

Stocks retreated on Monday as rising yields and worries over the conflict in the Middle East overshadowed strong Goldman Sachs
earnings and hot retail sales data.

Dow……37735 -248.1 -0.65%
Nasdaq15885 -290.1 -1.79%
S&P 500.5062 -61.6 -1.20%

FTSE…..7966 -30.1 -0.38%
Dax……18027 +96.3 +0.54%
CAC……8045 +34.3 +0.43%

Nikkei..39233 -290.8 -0.74%
HSI……16601 -121.2 -0.72%
Shanghai.3057+37.9 +1.26%

IDX…..7286.88 closed +0%
LQ45….963.73 closed +0%
IDX30…488.17 closed +0%

IDXEnergy..2155.81 closed +0%
IDX BscMat1359.61 closed. +0%
IDX Indstrl…1096.75 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.715.36 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare1371.58 closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC…815.23 closed +0%
IDXTechno3513.14 closed +0%
IDX Transp 1444.51 closed +0%
IDX Infrast 1600.91 closed +0%
IDX Finance.1475.65 closed +0%
IDX Banking.1317.47 closed +0%
IDX Property.. 652 closed +0%

Indo10Yr.6.7048 closed +0%
ICBI…379.8860 closed +0%
US2Yr.4.925‼️ +0.013 +0.27%
US5Yr 4.627‼️ +0.016 +0.39%
US10Yr4.601‼️ -0.028 -0.61%
US30Yr.4.724‼️+0.016 +0.34%
VIX………19.23 +1.92 +11.09%‼️

USDIndx 106.2080‼️+0.17 +0.16%
Como Indx..298.18 +0.31 +0.10%
BCOMIN..152.51‼️ +1.97 +1.31%

IndoCDS..75.23 +1.01 +1.36%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/04)

IDR…..15848.00‼️closed +0%
Jisdor.15873.00‼️closed +0%

Euro….1.0627‼️ +0.00 +0.03%

TLKM…20.85 +0.10 +0.48%
( 3309)
EIDO……21.48 +0.02 +0.09%
EEM……40.27 -0.27 -0.65%

Oil…….85.90 +0.49 +0.57%
Gold..2401.20 +94.30 +4.08%‼️
(04/04-15/04)
Timah..28935.00 +3418.00 +11.81%‼️
(03/04 ’til 12/04)
Nickel..17991.50 +194.5 +1.09%❗️
(Closed 04/04)
Silver….28.97 +2.03 +7.53%‼️
(04/04 – 15/04)
Copper.437.50 +16.10 +3.77%
(04/04 – 15/04)
Iron Ore 62% 106.05 +5.64 +5.61%‼️
(03/04-12/04)
Nturl Gas..1.686‼️ -0.002 -0.12%
Ammonia China.3216.67 +183.34 +6.04%‼️
(Domestic Price)(04/04 – 12/04)

Coal price.129.75 +0.50 +0.39%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 136.50 +2.75 +2.06%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.20 +3.20 +2.35%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.141.75 +2.50 +1.80%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price..120.70 -0.60 -0.49%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.118.00 -1.25 -1.05%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.118.50 -0.90 -0.75%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 118.55 -1.45 -1.21%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)..4202 -205.00 -4.88%‼️
(04/04 – 15/04)
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….444.25 -3.00 -0.67%
SoybeanOil 46.01 -0.44 -0.95%
Wheat…567.50 -3.00 -0.67%

Wood pulp..5700 unch +0%
(Closed 15/04)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Lama libur, ketemu serangan Iran ke Israel… DJI sudah beberapa hari trun terus, europe varied, asia kebanyakan merah kemaren, IHSG hari ini kayanya akan rada goncang…

Suasana perang, selalu USD naik, commodity terkait energy naik, Bond Yield dan interest rate biasanya naik biar orang keep dana di system. Belum pasti gimana dampak ke BEI, kemungkinan besar akan goyang dulu, baru nanti setelah shock nya lewat yang hubungan sama energy yang jalan

Semua precious metals naik, oil naik, gas turun, coal naik, CPO drop. Normally saya akan hold ANTM erat erat, dan ELSA, dan ADRO, tapi entahlah dengan kondisi sekarang

IHSG – kalo dari elliot wavenya sih, emang jadwal nerusin ABC correction… walau terakhir market closing stoch buy, macd revup, FF rev net buy, tapi kondisi global memanas di saat kita libur bisa jadi efeknya meledak di opening day hari ini

dari sini sih masih jadwalnya basic materials, dan kalo liat metal2 naik ya cocok, tapi masih unpredictable karena suasana global

Stochastic Buy Signal: ANTM BBCA INCO TLKM ELSA IMAS LPPF MIKA SGRO. Big accum ANTM INCO MIKA

MACD buy Signal: PGEO SIDO ADMR BSDE DOID JPFA. Big accum SIDO DOID

Daily Analysis 20240401

Daily Analysis 20240401

April 01st, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes at a fresh record, posts strongest first-quarter performance since 2019

The S&P 500
rose Thursday, registering its best first-quarter performance in five years.

Dow……39807 +47.3 +0.12%
Nasdaq16379 -20.2 -0.12%
S&P 500.5254 +5.9 +0.11%

FTSE…..7953 +20.64 +0.26%
Dax……18493 +15.4 +0.15%
CAC……8205 +1.0 +0.01%

Nikkei..40370 +201.4 +0.50%
HSI……16541 closed +0%
Shanghai.3041+30.5 +1.01%

IDX…..7262.54 closed +0%
LQ45….985.97 closed +0%
IDX30…501.16 closed +0%

IDXEnergy..2122.53 closed +0%
IDX BscMat1288.43 closed +0%
IDX Indstrl…1088.02 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.724.74 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare1343.34closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC…820.13 closed +0%
IDXTechno3580.27 closed +0%
IDX Transp 1468.77 closed. +0%
IDX Infrast 1559.62 closed +0%
IDX Finance.1529.62closed +0%
IDX Banking.1397.26closed +0%
IDX Property.. 670 closed +0%

Indo10Yr.6.7239❗️closed +0%
ICBI…378.8753 ❗️closed +0%
US2Yr.4.628 +0.060 +1.31%
US5Yr 4.220 +0.037 +0.88%
US10Yr4.210 +0.022 +0.53%
US30Yr.4.349 unch +0%
VIX………13.01 +0.23 +1.80%

USDIndx 104.4870 ❗️ -0.060 -0.06%
Como Indx..290.29 +3.53 +1.23%
BCOMIN…..139.75 +1.19 +0.86%

IndoCDS..73.25 +0.04 +0.05%
(5-yr INOCD5) (29/03)

IDR…..15856.50‼️closed +0%
Jisdor.15873.00‼️closed +0%

Euro….1.0790 +0.00 +0.01%

TLKM…22.26 -0.01 -0.04%
(3530)
EIDO……22.53 -0.12 -0.53%
EEM……41.08 +0.16 +0.39%

Oil…….83.17 +1.82 +2.24%
Gold..2238.40‼️ +25.70 +1.16%
Timah..27451.00 -73.00 -0.27%
(Closed 28/03)
Nickel..16682.50 +39.50 +0.24%
(Closed 29/03)
Silver…..24.92 +0.16 +0.66%
Copper.400.70 +0.70 +0.17%

Iron Ore 62% 109.53 -0.31 -0.28%
(28/03)
Nturl Gas..1.752 +0.034 +1.98%
Ammonia China.3373.33 -60 -1.75%
(Domestic Price)(28/03/24)

Coal price.132.00 +0.90 +0.69%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 133.00 +0.90 +0.68%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.134.00 +0.65 +0.49%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.05 +0.70 +0.52%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price..119.55 -0.90 -0.75%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.117.75 -1.20 -1.01%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.117.65 -0.65 -0.55%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 116.65 -0.70 -0.60%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)..4197 +62.00 +1.50%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn….442.00 +15.25 +3.57% ‼️
SoybeanOil 47.95 +0.28 +0.59%
Wheat…560.25 +12.75 +2.33%

Wood pulp..5690.00 unch +0%
(Closed 31/03)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Terakhir market open kamis, sebeum good friday, dan US mostly ijo walau ga tebel, nasdaq merah tipis, europe ijo, asia ijo, IHSG ngotot beresin ABC correction, yang belum kejadian aja, ini US udah naik naik terus IHSG jadi ga sejalan. US bond yield naik semua jadi umumnya ga bagus buat saham

USD index turun, gold dan precious metals pada naik kecuali timah dan iron ore, semoga ANTM mantul, ga ada apa apa dibanting simply karena big cap aja kayanya, ASII juga gitu. Oil up, gas up, coal up, CPO up, semoga saham terkait komoditi nya jalan lagi

IHSG – mungkin ga akan dibawa terjun sampe level situ, kayanya akan flat style ABC nya, kecuali US tau2 crash. stoch down macd down MFI sw, w% down, BD flat FNS terus, still downtrend minornya, semoga ga asal ngorbanin big caps lagi kaya kemaren

Masih banyak yang terlihat jalan, yang leading dan belum banyak gerak masih Consumer Non-Cyclicals, lanjut Helathcare dan Energy, Basic materials terlihat melemah tapi BRPT nya menarik banget. Technology Property Consumer Cyclicals terlihat bagus tapi kemaren keseret semua sama index

StochasticBuy SIgnal: ADRO BMRI BRPT MAPI MBMA INDY TRON CINT. Big accum MBMA INDY

MACD Buy Signal: BFIN SGRO… Skip. UNTR Sell signal, waduh mesti di check ini, siapa tau perlu cutloss

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: ESSA ICBP TINS

Daily Analysis 20240202

Daily Analysis 20240202

February 02nd, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 350 points higher, Nasdaq jumps 1% in rebound from Fed Day sell-off

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
rose Thursday, recovering from a brutal sell-off after the Federal Reserve held steady on rates but signaled that a March cut is unlikely

Dow……38520 +369.5 +0.97%
Nasdaq15362 +197.6 +1.30%
S&P 500.4906 +60.5 +1.25%

FTSE…..7622 -8.4 -0.11%
Dax……16859 -44.7 -0.26%
CAC……7589 -68.0 -0.89%

Nikkei..36011 -275.3 -0.76%
HSI……15566 +81.1 +0.52%
Shanghai.2771 -17.8 -0.64%

IDX…..7201.70 -6.24 -0.09%
LQ45….977.27 +3.05 +0.31%
IDX30…495.80 +1.09 +0.22%

IDXEnergy..2084.99 -21.36 -1.01%
IDX BscMat.1280.34 -3.72 -0.29%
IDX Indstrl…1087.06 -1.16 -0.11%
IDXNONCYC.696.28 -2.69 -0.38%
IDX Hlthcare1336.12 +19.55+1.48%
IDXCYCLIC…857.46 +0.12 +0.01%
IDX Techno4108.04. -20.01 -0.48%
IDX Transp 1587.04 +1.95 +0.12%
IDX Infrast 1526.25 -24.79 -1.56%
IDX Finance.1494.17 -19.73 -1.30%
IDX Banking.1324.99 -1.31 -0.10%
IDX Property.. 698 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.6205👍 -0.0215 -0.32%
ICBI…377.2193👍 +0.6214 +0.16%
US2Yr.4.205 -0.004 -0.10%
US5Yr 3.813 -0.026 -0.68%
US10Yr3.874 -0.037 -0.95%
US30Yr.4.118-0.055 -1.32%
VIX…13.88 -0.47 -3.28%‼️

USDIndx 103.0700❗️ -0.209 -0.20%
Como Indx..269.71 -2.70 -0.99%
BCOMIN……137.50 -1.76 -1.27%

IndoCDS..74.74 -1.96 -2.56%
(5-yr INOCD5) (31/01)

IDR…..15764.50‼️ -18.00 -0.11%
Jisdor.15775.00 ‼️-28.00 -0.18%

Euro….1.0873 +0.0059 +0.55%

TLKM…25.82 +0.66 +2.62%
(4073)
EIDO……22.03 +0.17 +0.78%
EEM……38.76 +0.37 +0.96%

Oil…….73.82 -2.03 -2.68%
Gold..2071.10 +3.70 +0.18%
Timah..26233.00 +228.00 +0.88%
(Closed 31/01)
Nickel..16242.00 -25.00 -0.15%
(Closed 31/01)
Silver……23.24 +0.07 +0.29%
Copper.385.35 -5.25 -1.34%

Iron Ore 62% 135.13 -0.48 -0.35%
(31/01)
Nturl Gas..2.047 -0.088 -4.12%‼️
Ammonia China.3236.67 – -%
(Domestic Price)(31/01/02)

Coal price 116.00 -0.50 -0.43%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.117.00 -1.10 -0.93%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 115.90 -1.80 -1.53%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice.116.55 -1.00 -0.85%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .97.80 -1.80 -1.81%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..94.20 -2.70 -2.78%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..93.00: -0.65 -0.69%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..90.50 -1.20 -1.31%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3795 +3 +0.08%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……447.25 -1.00 -0.22%
SoybeanOil 45.60 -0.42 -0.91%
Wheat….602.50 +6.25 +1.05%

Wood pulp..5092.00 +6 +0.12%
(Closed 01/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Nah… US ijo, europe merah, asia varied, bond rates turun semua, USD index turun, harusnya ijo IHSG hari ini…

Metal2 varied, gold tin, silver ijo, nickel copper iron ore merah. Goldprice MACD buy tapi MDKA dibanting, curiga ada bocoran LK masih merah. Oil gas coal merah, CPO ijo tipis, market belum jelas mau kemana, tapi banyak technical buy signal. Boleh belanja asal tertib cutloss

IHSG – technical masih jelek, stoch down macd down MFI w% sw, BD flat, bagusnya FNB terus minggu ini. Idealnya sih dapet flat style ABC correction, jadi ga dibanting sampe dibawah 6900, kita liat aja gimana jalannya market

Tinggal Healthcare sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Basic Materials kebanting MDKA kayanya, tapi semoga BRPT INKP masih tetep manggung sebagai saham2 contrarian sih

Stochastic Buy Signal: SRTG UNTR AUTO BMTR DOID TINS ISSP UNIC KKGI. Big Acc SRTG

MACD Buy Signal: ADRO BRPT GOTO TBIG SGRO

Stochastic Continuation Signal and big acc: SMGR

Daily Analysis 20230731

Daily Analysis 20230731

Selamat pagi🌻,

DJIA……….35459 +176. +0.50%
S&P 500……4582 +44.8 +0.99%
Nasdaq…..14316 +266. +1.90%
FTSE…………7694 +1.51 +0.02%
DAX………..16469 +63.7 +0.39%
CAC………….7476 +11.2 +0.15%
HSI…………19923 +257. +1.31%
Nikkei……..32766 -153. -0.47%
JCI……………6900 +3.57 +0.05%

Euro……….1.1016 +0.00 +0.39%
CNY………..7.1489 -0.02 -0.35%
IDR………….15105 +105. +0.70%
DXY………..101.62 -0.15 -0.15%
EIDO…………23.37 +0.04 +0.17%

Crudeoil…..80.58 +0.49 +0.61%
CPO Aug…..3874 -48.0 -1.22%
PulpPaper…..490 -4.09 -0.83%
Gold…………1959 +13.5 +0.69%
Nickel…….22326 +587. +2.70%
Tin…………29010 n.a.
Coal………139.50 +5.50 +4.10%
Coal Sep 23……………..142.25

RK/ CGS-CIMB Sekuritas Bandung

Jum’at closing ijo semua kecuali Nikkei, USD index turun, Gold Nickel up, OIl Up, Coal up, bagus buat saham terkait komoditi harusnya. CPO down, biar koreksinya puas dulu baru kita ambil AALI LSIP

IHSG – stoch buy, macd up rev, MFI down, w% down, BD flat, FNS, masih belum tembus resistance triple bottom, semoga minggu ini

Energy, Transportation

Stochastic Buy Signal: AGRO BBHI ISAT PNLF RMKE SGER

MACD Buy Signal: ASSA WIFI WINS

Alligator Buy Signal: AGRO SGRO IGAR