Daily Analysis 20250116

January 16th, 2024

Dow jumps 700 points, Nasdaq soars 2.5% after cool CPI reading

US stocks ripped higher on Wednesday as high hopes for bank earnings paid off and a crucial consumer inflation update showed key prices increased less than expected in December.

Dow……43221 +703.1 +1.65%
Nasdaq 19511 +466.8 +2.45%
S&P 500 5950 +107.0 +1.83%

FTSE…..8301 +99.6 +1.21%
Dax……20575 +303.4 +1.50%
CAC……7475 +50.9 +0.69%

Nikkei…38445 -29.7 -0.08%
HSI……..19286 +66.3 +0.34%
Shanghai.3227 -13.8 -0.43%

IDX…7079.56 +122.90 +1.77%
LQ45…827.11+25.88 +3.23%‼️
IDX30.425.04 +13.62 +3.31%‼️

IDXEnergy…2807.40 +16.09 +0.58%
IDX BscMat 1237.21 -6.84. -0.55%
IDX Indstrl… ..987.40 -1.79 -0.18%
IDXNONCYC.706.06 +7.15 +1.02%
IDX Hlthcare1417.18 +7.57 +0.54%
IDXCYCLC…817.05 +10.38 +1.29%
IDX Techno.4181.17 +45.56 +1.10%
IDX Transp 1280.02 +9.84 +0.77%
IDX Infrast 1471.64 +14.70 +1.01%
IDX Finance1397.69 +42.24 +3.12%‼️
IDX Banking1139.49+57.00 +5.27%‼️
IDX Property. 747 +2.50 +0.34%

Indo10Yr.7.2617‼️+0.0319 +0.44%
ICBI….390.2582‼️-0.2243 -0.06%
US2Yr.4.268 -0.101 -2.31%
US5Yr 4.451 -0.148 -3.21%‼️
US10Yr4.655 -0.140 -2.91%
US30Yr.4.880 -0.098 -1.97%
VIX..16.12 -2.59 -13.84%‼️

USDIndx 109.0930❗️-0.120 -0.11%
Como Indx..312.17 +4.35 +1.58%
BCOMIN..145.04 +0.94 +0.65%

IndoCDS…81.16 -0.97 -1.16%
(5-yr INOCD5) (14/01)

IDR…….16311.00‼️+46.00 +0.28%
Jisdor.. 16325.00‼️+55.00 +0.34%

Euro…1.0293 -0.0015 -0.15%

TLKM…16.41 +0.02 +0.09%
( 2679)
EIDO….18.50 +0.48 +2.66%
EEM…41.81 +0.52 +1.26%

Oil………80.04 +1.22 +1.55%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………82.43 +2.01 +2.50%
(Brent)
Gold…2717.80 +34.50 +1.29%
(Comex)
Gold…2694.21 +22.04 +0.82%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.29771.00 -95.00 -0.32%
(Closed 14/01)
.Nickel.15825.00 -105.00 -0.66%
(Closed 15/01)
Silver……31.53 +1.18 +3.89%
Copper.438.90 +4.65 +1.07%

Iron Ore 62% 99.99 +1.27 +1.29%
(13/01)
Nturl Gas ..4.135 +0.168 +4.23%‼️
Ammonia China. 2506.67 – -%
(Domestic Price)(15/01)

Coal price.114.45 -0.95 -0.82%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.114.60 -1.70 -1.46%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.117.15 -1.75 -1.47%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 118.85 -1.45 -1.21%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.106.35 +1.00 +0.95%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 104.25 +0.50 +0.48%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.10 +0.20 +0.19%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.35 +0.05 +0.05%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar) 4362 -81 -1.82%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………478.75 +4.25 +0.90%
SoybeanOil 46.27 +0.05 +0.11%
Wheat……547.00 +0.75 +0.14%

Wood pulp…..6540 +40 +0.61%
(Closed 15/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo tebel, europe varied, Asia ijo tebel, treasury bond yield turun jauh, harusnya lanjut ijo IHSG hari ini, palling dip dikit lah ya ada yang pofit taking

USD index down, metal2 up kecuali tin nickel, oil up gas up coal down, hayo lanjut AKRA MEDC, CPO down, masih belum aja nih

IHSG – akhirnya FNB, MFI up, stoch masih down, w% up, BD flat, harusnya lanjut rally lah

Energy, Technology, Basic materials, dan karena suku bunga BI turun ya Bank dan Property

Stochastic Buy Signal: ANTM ASII BBCA BBRI BMRI BUKA ESSA INKP SMGR UNTR BSDE JPFA VKTR, big accum ANTM ASII BBRI BUKA ESSA UNTR BSDE JPFA

MACD Buy Signal BBCA BBNI BMRI BRIS EXCL HRUM INDF INKP UNTR BBYB BTPS CTRA EMTK PNLF, big accum BBNI HRUM INDF UNTR BBYB

Supertrend Buy Signal: AKRA

ANTM – stoch buy macd buy MFI up w% uptrend, BD FF acc, ada spike, reg bull div confirmed, gold price naik, index mantul, almost perfect sih

Spike, target 1625, yang lama masih belum closed 1725

Area terakhir masih aman average sekarang, 2 biggest holders accum, ok ini buat buy, tapi idealnya BOW sih

ASII – biasanya selalu rally ketika index jalan, stoch up macd buy (screener mansek) MFI up w% up BD FF acc, ada spike, mantul dari lower channel LR, reg bull div RSI confirmed by MA 10 & macd buy signal, retracement pattern pas area fibo 23 target bawa ke fibo 61 @5975

Wah acak acakan, ga bisa dibaca

Average aman, bd pada belum aggresssive. Bisa ini spec buy buat yang porto masih ada slot. Idealnya BOW tengah candle kemaren

BBRI – ditunggu tunggu banget mantulnya, eh kemaren loncat 7% karena penurunan suku bunga BI. Stoch buy macd buy (screener mansek) MFI up w% up, BD FF rev acc, semoga panjang ini rally nya nanti, tapi big banks jaran gbanget loncat jadi kemungkinan besar banyak yang profit taking dulu hari ini.

Kegedean transaksinya, ga ada spike, hihihi

average aman, tinggal nunggu mantul sambil technicalnya diperbaiki

UNTR – sama kaya ASII, tiap abis index drop UNTR rally, stoch macd buy, MFI up, w% up, BD FF acc, mantul di lower channel, reg bull div confirmed, agak udah telat karena dah jalan sih baru 4% juga, masih ok, dan jelas technical says ok

belum ada spike baru, yang lama sih udah done keliatannya

BSDE – efek BI rate cut, stoch buy macd buy MFI up w% sw, BD FF masih dist kemaren, ada spike, mantul dari support abis terjun bebas, menarik sih

Aih spike tinggi twin tower, jadi ini hajatan kayanya

Average aman, AN yang dist, ga ada yang aku, ngapain dia buang ya, bukan tukeran barang, tapi dia yang buang bikin harga turun berarti. Spec Buy ok BSDE, di tengah candle kemaren, kalo BD FF udah rev acc nambah

JPFA – abis wave 5, jangan dulu deh

INDF – sama abis wave 5, tar dulu ah

INKP – menarik dari value, tapi abis drop jauh belum putus trend nya, kita tunggu bikin higher low dulu