Daily Analysis 20250718
Good morning,
July 18th, 2025
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq finished deeper into record territory on Thursday as investors cheered steady economic data, calm in the bond market and healthy corporate earnings.
U.S. stocks finished higher Thursday each scoring fresh records — after a June retail sales report showed Americans were keeping their wallets open, even as President Donald Trump looks to pressure U.S. trade partners into quickly striking trade agreements through the threat of higher tariffs come Aug. 1.
Dow…..44485 +230.3 +0.52%
Nasdaq 20886 +155.2 +0.75%
S&P 500 6297 +33.8 +0.54%
FTSE…..8973 +46.1 +0.52%
Dax…..24371 +361.6 +1.51%
CAC…..7822 +99.9 +1.29%
Nikkei….39901 +237.8 +0.60%
HSI………24499 -18.8 -0.08%
Shanghai.3517 +13.1 +0.37%
IDX..7287.02 +95.00 +1.32%
LQ45..787.71 +8.41 +1.08%
IDX30.407.75 +5.59 +1.39%
IDXEnergy.2947.86 -2.78 -0.09%
IDX BscMat1571.54 +15.83 +1.02%
IDX Indstr…..941.06 -0.92 -0.10%
IDXNONCYC.688.52 +11.40 +1.68%
IDX Hlthcare1557.85 +14.86 +0.96%
IDXCYCLC…712.25 -0.28 -0.04%
IDX Techno.7467.53 +502.27 +7.21%‼️
IDX Transp 1536.94 +28.86 +1.91%
IDX Infrast .1709.33 +42.31 +2.54%
IDX Finance.1376.89 +2.02 +0.15%
IDX Banking 1029.80 +0.58 +0.06%
IDX Property..748 -1.90 -0.25%
Indo10Yr.6.6591 +0.0122 +0.18%
ICBI….417.0167 -0.1684 -0.04%
US2Yr.3.907❗️ +0.011 +0.28%
US5Yr 3.990❗️ -0.004 -0.10%
US10Yr4.454❗️-0.006 -0.13%
US30Yr.5. 008‼️-0.003 -0.06%
VIX..16.52 -0.64 -3.73%
USDIndx..98.7340‼️+0.342 +0.35%
Como Indx.304.23 +1.08 +0.36%
BCOMIN..152.51 +0.13 +0.09%
IndoCDS 5yr.75.12 -0.04 -0.05%
(5-yr INOCD5) (17/07)
IDR…….16340.50❗️+53.50 +0.33%
Jisdor…16329.00❗️+41.00 +0.25%
Euro..1.1615❗️ -0.0022 -0.19%
TLKM..17.00 +0.62 +3.79%‼️
( 2776)
EIDO….17.76 +0.06 +0.34%
EEM…49.19 +0.28 +0.57%
Oil…67.60 +0.95 +1.43%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…69.52 +1.00 +1.46%
(Brent)
Gold.3345.80❗️ -11.50 -0.34%
(Comex)
Gold.3342.18❗️ -7.51 -0.22%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..33014.00 +215.00 +0.66%
(Closed 17/07)
Nickel…15080.75 +96.37 +0.64%
(Closed 17/07)
Silver……38.44 +0.30 +0.79%
Copper.550.20 -0.85 -0.15%
Iron Ore 62% 97.06 +0.56 +0.58%
(17/07)
Nturl Gas .3.524 -0.034 -0.96%
Ammonia China.2290.00 -3.33 -0.15%
(Domestic Price 17/07)
Coal price.110.50 +0.50 +0.45%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price112.10 +0.60 +0.54%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 112.10 -0.05 -0.04%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.113.75 -0.40 -0.35%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.104.80 -0.35 -0.33%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 102.70 -0.70 -0.68%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.103.60 -0.75 -0.72%
(Sep/Rotterdam)
Coal price.104.45 -0.70 -0.67%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
CPO(Oct) 4212 -13 -0.31%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……..421.00 -3.00 -0.71%
SoybeanOil 56.15 +1.47 +2.69%
Wheat…533.50 -7.75 -1.43%
Wood pulp..5916.67 unch +0%
(Closed 17/07)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
US new record high lagi, europe ijo, asia mostly ijo, us treasury bond yield pendek up, yang panjang2 down, bisa dong ijo lagi IHSG
USD index down, gold copper down metal2 lain up, oil up gas down coal spot up future down, cpo down. Lanjut AKRA
IHSG – euforia tinggi, stoch up macd up MFI up w% uptrend BD acc, akhirnya FNB, banyak bikin gap, jadi khawatir rawan bantingan, yang udah ijo inget trailing stop, better safe than sorry. Tertib technical aja
Infrastructure, Energy, Technology
Oil Price belum buy signal, tapi going towards the right direction lah
Stochastic Buy Signal: ISAT TLKM UNVR AUTO DSNG HEAL PTPP, big accum ISAT TLKM PTPP, infrastructure semua
MACD Buy Signal: ISAT TLKM GJTL HRUM, big accum ISAT TLKM HRUM
Supertrend Buy SIgnal: EMTK MDKA AUTO SCMA SMIL
Daily Analysis 20250704
Good morning,
July 04th, 2025
Dow…..44829 +344.1 +0.77%
Nasdaq 20601 +207.97 +1.02%
S&P 500 6279 +51.9 +0.83%
FTSE…..8823 +48.5 +0.55%
Dax…..23934 +144.02+0.61%
CAC…..7755 +16.1 +0.21%
Nikkei….39786 +23.4 +0.6%
HSI………24070 -151.5 -0.63%
Shanghai.3461 +6.4 +0.18%
IDX..6878.05 -3.19 -0.05%
LQ45..765.59 -0.64 -0.08%
IDX30.394.24 -0.39 -0.10%
IDXEnergy.2689.43 +6.73 +0.25%
IDX BscMat1476.68 +17.10 +1.17%
IDX Indstr…..910.15 -0.64 -0.07%
IDXNONCYC.676.76 +8.94 +1.34%
IDX Hlthcare1514.90 +8.49 +0.56%
IDXCYCLC…728.56 +0.04 +0.01%
IDX Techno.6446.59 -10.38 -0.16%
IDX Transp 1441.68 +17.90 +1.26%
IDX Infrast .1418.93 +0.37 +0.03%
IDX Finance.1337.67 -4.12 -0.31%
IDX Banking 1001.21 -4.96 -0.49%
IDX Property..718 +1.80 +0.25%
Indo10Yr.6.6893👍 -0.0082 -0.12%
ICBI….414.9288👍 +0.2596 +0.06%
US2Yr.3.886 +0.095 +2.51%‼️
US5Yr 3.939 +0.071 +1.84%‼️
US10Yr4.337 +0.056 +1.31%
US30Yr.4. 862 +0.057 +1.19%
VIX..16.38 -0.26 -1.56%
USDIndx..97.1130❗️+0.329 +0.34%
Como Indx.299.93 -0.78 -0.26%
BCOMIN..149.68 -0.72 -0.48%
IndoCDS 5yr.76.61👍 +0.89 +1.15%
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/07)
IDR…….16195.50❗️-51.00 -0.32%
Jisdor…16209.00❗️ -27.00 -0.17%
Euro..1.1755❗️ -0.0038 -0.32%
TLKM..16.83 -0.19 -1.12%
( 2728)
EIDO….17.47 -0.01 -0.06%
EEM…48.76 +0.22 +0.45%
Oil…67.00 -0.45 -0.67%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…68.90 -0.24 -0.35%
(Brent)
Gold.3342.90 -16.80 -0.50%
(Comex)
Gold.3326.12 -31.33 -0.93%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..33848.00 +134.00 +0.40%
(Closed 03/07)
Nickel…15375.88 +70.75 +0.46%
(Closed 03/07)
Silver….37.08 +0.35 +0.95%
Copper.514.15 -5.60 -1.08%
Iron Ore 62% .96.24 +2.83 +3.03%‼️
(03/07)
Nturl Gas .3.405 -0.093 -2.66%
Ammonia China.2350.00 -20 -0.84%
(Domestic Price 03/07)
Coal price.111.25 -1.25 -1.11%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price112.25 -1.75 -1.54%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 115.50 +0.10 +0.09%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.115.60 -1.60 -1.37%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.108.45 -0.55 -0.73%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 108.05 -1.30 -1.19%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.108.50 -1.25 -1.14%
(Sep/Rotterdam)
Coal price.111.75 +1.65 +1.50%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
CPO(Sep) 4093 +30 +0.74%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……..420.25 +2.25 +0.54%
SoybeanOil 54.67 -0.40 -0.73%
Wheat…556.75 -7.25 -1.29%
Wood pulp…5950.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/07)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
US non farm payroll higher than expected, langsung disambut positif US market. US ijo europe ijo asia varied, IHSG merah tipis karena banyak yang jalan tapi big banks masih tenggelam, harusnya sih naik ya hari ini. US Treasury bond yield juga naik tapi harusnya sentimen US NFP lebih berpengaruh
USD index up, gold copper down, tin nickel silver iron ore up, oil down gas down coal down, padahal kemaren udah nongol buy signal lagi MACD. CPO up kita tunggu buy signal AALI LSIP
IHSG – baru stochastic yang ok, yang lain masih jelek, FNS tapi sudah menipis, technical belum confirm beres wave 2 dan mau wave 3, tapi dari banyaknya buy signal dan sentimen positif US, kemungkinan besar akan jalan wave 3 soon
Oil Price – macd masih down, tapi sudah bottoming dan mulai naik, pas Iran ga sepakat sama UN masalah nuklir oil naik lagi, tapi last day merah, masih pede bahwa oil price akan naik sih
Coal Price – MACD rev buy, supertrend kemaren udah sell, masih WNS
Yang arahnya bagus Consumer Cyclicals, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Healthcare, Financials
Stochastic Buy Signal: ANTM PGEO FILM HRUM SCMA SSIA, big accum ANTM HRUM SSIA
MACD Buy Signal: UNVR AVIA PNLF, big accum UNVR AVIA, TLKM rev sell, beware, kalo beneran buang exit, kalo hanya dip terus rev buy lagi nambah
Supertrend buy signal: TOWR UNVR
Daily Analysis 20250624
Good morning,
June 24th 2025
Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq jump, oil slides on Iran’s restrained response to US strikes
US stocks closed near session highs on Monday while oil prices tanked after Iran launched missiles at a US air base in Qatar in what appeared to be a limited retaliation for US strikes against Iranian nuclear sites.
Dow…..42582 +374.96 +0.88%
Nasdaq 19631 +183.6 +0.94%
S&P 500 6025 +57.3 +0.96%
FTSE…..8758 -16.6 -0.19%
Dax…..23269 -81.5 -0.35%
CAC…..7538 -52.1 -0.69%
Nikkei….38354 -49.1 -0.13%
HSI………23689 +158.7 +0.67%
Shanghai.3382 +21.7 +0.65%
IDX..6787.14 -120.00 -1.74%
LQ45..753.83 -11.11 -1.45%
IDX30.390.50 -6.58 -1.66%
IDXEnergy.2745.79 -60.67 -2.16%
IDX BscMat1438.02 -16.81 -1.18%
IDX Indstr…..899.66 -14.60 -1.60%
IDXNONCYC.645.17 -13.94 -2.11%
IDX Hlthcare1432.71-24.22 -1.66%
IDXCYCLC…688.61 -23.96 -3.36%
IDX Techno.6483.43 -169.29 -2.54%
IDX Transp 1424.82 -0.75 -0.05%
IDX Infrast .1368.76 -24.47 -1.76%
IDX Finance.1331.70 -18.89 -1.40%
IDX Banking 1010.67 -13.09 -1.28%
IDX Property..705 -21.60 -2.97%
Indo10Yr.6.8230+0.0329 +0.48%
ICBI….411.4922 -0.6063 -0.15%
US2Yr.3.863 -0.041 -1.05%
US5Yr 3.910 -0.049 -1.24%
US10Yr4.348 -0.028 -0.64%
US30Yr.4.874 -0.015 -0.31%
VIX..19.83 -0.79 -3.83%
USDIndx..98.3540❗️ -0.708 -0.71%
Como Indx.305.05 -7.48 -2.39%
BCOMIN..145.09 +0.96 +0.67%
IndoCDS 5yr.82.09‼️ unch +0%
(5-yr INOCD5) (23/06)
IDR…….16.492.00‼️+95.50 +0.58%
Jisdor…16.484.00❗️+85.00 +0.52%
Euro..1.1594 +0.0108 +0.94%
TLKM..15.90 -0.14 -0.87%
( 2621)
EIDO….16.89 -0.29 -1.69%
EEM..46.71 +0.38 +0.82%
Oil…66.17‼️-9.06 -12.04%‼️
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…71.48‼️ -8.00 -10.07%‼️
(Brent)
Gold.3378.00 -16.50 -0.49%
(Comex)
Gold.3357.05 -18.76 -0.56%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..32693.00 +10.00 +0.03%
(Closed 23/06)
Nickel…14797.25 -168.38 -1.13%
(Closed 23/06)
Silver….36.37 +0.09 +0.25%
Copper.494.65 +9.50 +5.13%
Iron Ore 62% .94.75 -0.02 -0.02%
(23/06)
Nturl Gas .3.770 -0.076 -1.98%
Ammonia China.2310.00 -43.33 -1.84%
(Domestic Price 23/06)
Coal price.107.25 +0.45 +0.61%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.112.95 +0.70 +0.62%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price114.20 +0.72 +0.62%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 116.00 +0.90 +0.70%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 104.45 +0.70 +0.67%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.107.95 +0.90 +0.84%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 108.65 +0.85 +0.79%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.109.25 +0.80 +0.74%
(Sep/Rotterdam)
CPO(Sep) 4125 +10 +0.24%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……..433.75 -7.50 -1.70%
SoybeanOil 53.75 -1.35 -2.45%
Wheat..569.50 -14.00 -2.40%
Wood pulp…6083.33 unch +0%
(Closed 23/06)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
US ijo europe merah asia varied, selain IHSG yang merah dalem cuma nikkei yang merah tipis. Padahal iran nyerang US base di qatar, tapi US market pede karena di intercept 6 6 nya mungkin. US treasury bond yield turun, harusnya sih IHSG rada mantul dulu hari ini, gap down kemaren, mungkin akan tutup gap dulu hari ini
USD index down, metal2 down kecuali tin copper, oil drop gas drop coal up cpo up, agak aneh ini oil drop padahal konflik belum selesai, dan energy price chart nya emang terlihat giliran jalan
Oil Price Chart – dibanting kemaren, lanjut running market hari ini masih merah jadi signal mau ngebalik, beware permainan global untuk make harga minyak buat jadi alat tekan geopolitik
Coal Price Chart – supertrend buy macd up, malah kemaren dibanting harga saham coal ikut index, PTBA malah 13% karena deviden nya 13%, rusak banget sih market maker indonesia ini
IHSG – masih all bad kecuali gap down kemaren yang mungkin ditutup dulu sebelum lanjut koreksi, atau bisa jadi akan berhenti di fibo 38. Kita tunggu saja
Masih kebaca arahnya bagus Financials, Industrials, Infrastructure, Property, Technology, Transportation, tapi kemaren bantingan abis abisan ikut index semua, kita pantau ketat
Stochastic Buy Signal: ACES BBRI MTEL UNVR MAPA WIFI, wifi big accum
MACD ga ada buy signal, malah sell signal ITMG UNTR SCMA, UNTR udah pasang stoploss, kalo kena kita tunggu next buy signal
























