Daily Analysis 20250718

Daily Analysis 20250718

Good morning,

July 18th, 2025

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq finished deeper into record territory on Thursday as investors cheered steady economic data, calm in the bond market and healthy corporate earnings.

U.S. stocks finished higher Thursday each scoring fresh records — after a June retail sales report showed Americans were keeping their wallets open, even as President Donald Trump looks to pressure U.S. trade partners into quickly striking trade agreements through the threat of higher tariffs come Aug. 1.

Dow…..44485 +230.3 +0.52%
Nasdaq 20886 +155.2 +0.75%
S&P 500 6297 +33.8 +0.54%

FTSE…..8973 +46.1 +0.52%
Dax…..24371 +361.6 +1.51%
CAC…..7822 +99.9 +1.29%

Nikkei….39901 +237.8 +0.60%
HSI………24499 -18.8 -0.08%
Shanghai.3517 +13.1 +0.37%

IDX..7287.02 +95.00 +1.32%
LQ45..787.71 +8.41 +1.08%
IDX30.407.75 +5.59 +1.39%

IDXEnergy.2947.86 -2.78 -0.09%
IDX BscMat1571.54 +15.83 +1.02%
IDX Indstr…..941.06 -0.92 -0.10%
IDXNONCYC.688.52 +11.40 +1.68%
IDX Hlthcare1557.85 +14.86 +0.96%
IDXCYCLC…712.25 -0.28 -0.04%
IDX Techno.7467.53 +502.27 +7.21%‼️
IDX Transp 1536.94 +28.86 +1.91%
IDX Infrast .1709.33 +42.31 +2.54%
IDX Finance.1376.89 +2.02 +0.15%
IDX Banking 1029.80 +0.58 +0.06%
IDX Property..748 -1.90 -0.25%

Indo10Yr.6.6591 +0.0122 +0.18%
ICBI….417.0167 -0.1684 -0.04%
US2Yr.3.907❗️ +0.011 +0.28%
US5Yr 3.990❗️ -0.004 -0.10%
US10Yr4.454❗️-0.006 -0.13%
US30Yr.5. 008‼️-0.003 -0.06%
VIX..16.52 -0.64 -3.73%

USDIndx..98.7340‼️+0.342 +0.35%
Como Indx.304.23 +1.08 +0.36%
BCOMIN..152.51 +0.13 +0.09%

IndoCDS 5yr.75.12 -0.04 -0.05%
(5-yr INOCD5) (17/07)

IDR…….16340.50❗️+53.50 +0.33%
Jisdor…16329.00❗️+41.00 +0.25%

Euro..1.1615❗️ -0.0022 -0.19%

TLKM..17.00 +0.62 +3.79%‼️
( 2776)
EIDO….17.76 +0.06 +0.34%
EEM…49.19 +0.28 +0.57%

Oil…67.60 +0.95 +1.43%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…69.52 +1.00 +1.46%
(Brent)

Gold.3345.80❗️ -11.50 -0.34%
(Comex)
Gold.3342.18❗️ -7.51 -0.22%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..33014.00 +215.00 +0.66%
(Closed 17/07)
Nickel…15080.75 +96.37 +0.64%
(Closed 17/07)
Silver……38.44 +0.30 +0.79%
Copper.550.20 -0.85 -0.15%

Iron Ore 62% 97.06 +0.56 +0.58%
(17/07)

Nturl Gas .3.524 -0.034 -0.96%

Ammonia China.2290.00 -3.33 -0.15%
(Domestic Price 17/07)

Coal price.110.50 +0.50 +0.45%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price112.10 +0.60 +0.54%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 112.10 -0.05 -0.04%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.113.75 -0.40 -0.35%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.104.80 -0.35 -0.33%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 102.70 -0.70 -0.68%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.103.60 -0.75 -0.72%
(Sep/Rotterdam)
Coal price.104.45 -0.70 -0.67%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct) 4212 -13 -0.31%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..421.00 -3.00 -0.71%
SoybeanOil 56.15 +1.47 +2.69%
Wheat…533.50 -7.75 -1.43%

Wood pulp..5916.67 unch +0%
(Closed 17/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US new record high lagi, europe ijo, asia mostly ijo, us treasury bond yield pendek up, yang panjang2 down, bisa dong ijo lagi IHSG

USD index down, gold copper down metal2 lain up, oil up gas down coal spot up future down, cpo down. Lanjut AKRA

IHSG – euforia tinggi, stoch up macd up MFI up w% uptrend BD acc, akhirnya FNB, banyak bikin gap, jadi khawatir rawan bantingan, yang udah ijo inget trailing stop, better safe than sorry. Tertib technical aja

Infrastructure, Energy, Technology

Oil Price belum buy signal, tapi going towards the right direction lah

Stochastic Buy Signal: ISAT TLKM UNVR AUTO DSNG HEAL PTPP, big accum ISAT TLKM PTPP, infrastructure semua

MACD Buy Signal: ISAT TLKM GJTL HRUM, big accum ISAT TLKM HRUM

Supertrend Buy SIgnal: EMTK MDKA AUTO SCMA SMIL

ISAT – stoch almost buy, macd buy, MFI up tapi rada sideways, w% up, BD acc ada spike, FF rev dist, breakout resistance, sayangnya langsung ketemu reg bear div, dan target retracement pattern tinggal dikit lagi. Menarik tapi saya pilih TLKM yang masih relatif lebih di bawah

Spike tinggi target almost done, tapi spike nya emang lagi sideways tapi di atas, bisa jadi spike jual

TLKM – stoch macd buy mfi sw, w% up, BD FF rev acc, ada spike, retracement pattern jalan, harusnya bawa sekalian tutup gap di 3400 an, IHNS, udah beberapa kali bikin higer low, harusnya sih jalan ini, BOW di tengah candle kemaren

Spike gede done, ada lagi lebih kecil, tapi ok lah big cap jarang juga spike

PTPP – BUMN karya yang selamet ga di suspend, masih positif LK nya, valuasi ok wala prospek agak ngeri kecuali ada sentimen besar masalah IKN atau apa gitu. Kemaren udah profit taking dulu walau kecepetan, tapi untuk re-entry agak khawatir, retrace nta belum sampe fibo 50, tapi ok sih kalo porto kosong, kalo saya udah mepet dan prefer nambah TLKM dibanding new entry PTPP

spike done, belum ada lagi, WNS aja dulu

HRUM – sejak drop jauh ga overpriced lagi, stoch up macd rev buy MFI up w% sw BD FF rev acc masih tipis, retracement patern last swing down sesuai, theory nya bawa ke 1140

Coal Price masih sideways, HRUM relatif paling ketinggalan dibanding coal lain, tapi PBV PER dan size perusahaan jelas lah, milih ADRO

Ada spike tapi ga teralu tinggi, WNS aja tunggu coal price confirmed

SCMA – kemaren kena trailing stop, udah profit taking dulu, belum entry lagi. Stoch macd masih up, MFI sw, w% uptrend, lagi kejedot resistance, supertrend buy, BD acc FF dist, kalo yang porto kosong dan berani ngejar masih ok sih, saya karena udah masuk yang lain ga masuk lagi SCMA, tapi harus pantau ketat, bisi udahan swing nya

Spike cakep banget target 230

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