Daily Analysis 20250716
July 16th, 2025 S&P 500 stumbles after hitting intraday high — the downside of a narrow rally Nontech and cyclical stocks sat out Tuesday’s earlier rally, underscoring how narrow the…
Daily Analysis 20250625
Good morning,
June 25th 2025
Wall St ends sharply higher, S&P 500 nears record high as Middle East tensions cool
U.S. stocks rallied more than 1% on Tuesday as investors welcomed a fragile truce with Israel and Iran while parsing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s congressional testimony for clues regarding the U.S. central bank’s path forward.
Dow…..43089 +507.2 +1.19%
Nasdaq 19913 +281.6 +1.43%
S&P 500 6092 +67.01 +1.11%
FTSE…..8759 +0.95 +0.01%
Dax…..23641 +372.6 +1.60%
CAC…..7615 +78.4 +1.04%
Nikkei….38791 +436.5 +1.14%
HSI……24177 +487.9 +2.06%
Shanghai.3421 +38.98 +1.15%
IDX..6869.17 +82.03 +1.21%
LQ45..764.41 +10.59 +1.40%
IDX30.395.16 +4.66 +1.19%
IDXEnergy.2729.57 -16.22 -0.59%
IDX BscMat1442.00 +3.98 +0.20%
IDX Indstr…..908.55 +8.89 +0.99%
IDXNONCYC.657.46 +12.28 +1.90%
IDX Hlthcare1461.75+29.04 +2.03%
IDXCYCLC…709.41 +20.80 +3.02%
IDX Techno.6518.52 +35.09 +0.54%
IDX Transp 1437.10 +12.28 +0.86%
IDX Infrast .1379.42 +10.66 +0.78%
IDX Finance.1351.37 +19.67+1.48%
IDX Banking 1031.08 +20.41 +2.02%
IDX Property..727 +22.60 +3.21%‼️
Indo10Yr.6.7903-0.0327 -0.48%
ICBI….412.3536 +0.8614 +0.21%
US2Yr.3.821 -0.042 -1.09%
US5Yr 3.861 -0.049 -1.25%
US10Yr4.296 -0.052 -1.20%
US30Yr.4.835 -0.039 -0.80%
VIX..17.48 -2.35 -11.85%👍
USDIndx..98.8580👍 -0.496 -0.50%
Como Indx.296.97 -8.08 -2.65%‼️
BCOMIN..145.39 +0.30 +0.20%
IndoCDS 5yr.82.09‼️+0.64 +0.78%
(5-yr INOCD5) (24/06)
IDR…….16.353.50❗️-138.50👍 -0.84%
Jisdor…16.370.00❗️-114.00👍 -0.69%
Euro..1.1609❗️ +0.0015 +0.13%
TLKM..16.06 +0.16 +1.01%
( 2629)
EIDO….16.38 +0.49 +2.90%
EEM…47.92 +1.21 +2.59%
Oil…65.10❗️-1.07 -1.61%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…67.14 -4.34 -6.07%‼️
(Brent)
Gold.3335.50‼️ -42.50 -1.26%
(Comex)
Gold.3322.42‼️ -34.63 -1.03%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..32319.00 -374.00 -1.14%
(Closed 24/06)
Nickel…14911.13 +113.88 +0.77%
(Closed 24/06)
Silver….36.22 -0.15 -0.41%
Copper.494.75 +0.10 +0.02%
Iron Ore 62% .94.75 -0.12 -0.13%
(24/06)
Nturl Gas .3.770 -0.076 -1.98%
Ammonia China.2316.67 +6.67 +0.29%
(Domestic Price 24/06)
Coal price.106.60 -0.65 -0.61%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.109.90 -3.05 -2.70%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price111.60 -2.60 -2.28%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 113.40 -2.60 -2.24%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 103.50 -0.95 -0.91%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.103.15 -4.80 -4.45%‼️
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.65 -5.00 -4.60%‼️
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.104.15 -5.10 -4.67%‼️
(Sep/Rotterdam)
CPO(Sep) 3986 -139 -3.37%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……..429.00 -4.75 -1.10%
SoybeanOil 52.61 -1.14 -2.12%
Wheat..552.00 -17.50 -3.07%‼️
Wood pulp…6066.67 -16.66 -0.27%
(Closed 24/06)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
US europe asia ijo semua, menyusul pengumuman cease fire Israel-Iran walau terus dilanggar… US treasury bond yield down, harusnya sih lanjut ijo, tapi mungkin tutup gap dulu. Apakah akan langsung lanjut wave 3, belum bisa ditebak, dari itungan sih mungkin saja, sudah sampe fibo 38, tapi biasanya sih sampe fibo 50
USD index down, metal2 down kecuali nickel copper, oil down gas down coal down, CPO down, tapi ancaman penutupan selat sama iran masih mungkin, walau sebenernya tanpa itu juga major nya keliatan mau ke atas, tapi minornya terlihat jadi dipaksa turun dulu
IHSG – MFI up, 833 buy, yang lain masih jelek, ada 2 gap di bawah, bahwa mungkin wave 2 nya berhenti di fibo 38 mungkin, tapi masih FNS dan BD dist agak berat untuk langsung ngangkat
Consumer Cyclicals, Financials (tapi big banks masih jelek), Healthcare, Industrials, UNTR LK bagus, Infrastructure, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Property. Masih belum meyakinkan, yang bahaya Energy sama basic materials melemah
Oil Price Chart – MACD sell signal, kecuali konflik memanas lagi sepertinya akan kebawah dulu, prepare buang dulu saham minyak, pantau ketat
Coal Price Chart – udah supertrend buy, 2 hari koreksi tapi ga terlalu besar, macd jadi terlihat mau rev down, ga terkait langsung sama konflik, harusnya sih tetep jalan
Stochastic Buy Signal: AMRT BBCA BBTN BRIS GGRM ICBP MAPI SIDO ERAA MNCN MYOR PWON, big accum cuma GGRM sama PWON
MACD Buy Signal WIFI nerusin stoch nya buy duluan kemaren, tapi overpriced jadi kita skip
Daily Analysis 20250217
February 17th, 2025
The S&P 500 chugged to a record high last week as new inflation data signaled good news about the Federal Reserve’s rate cut plans.
For the week, the Nasdaq Composite rose more than 2.5%, while the S&P 500 added just under 1.5%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added about 0.5%.
Dow……44546 -165.4 -0.37%
Nasdaq 20027 +81.1 +0.41%
S&P 500 6115 -0.4 -0.01%
FTSE…..8732 -32.3 -0.37%
Dax……22513 -98.6 -0.44%
CAC……8179 +14.4 +0.18%
Nikkei…39149 -312.04 -0.79%
HSI…..22620 +805.96 +3.69%‼️
Shanghai.3347 +14.2 +0.43%
IDX…6638.46 +24.89 +0.38%
LQ45…772.41+2.68 +0.35%
IDX30.400.76 +1.73. +0.43%
IDXEnergy…..2574.90 +21.53 +0.84%
IDX BscMat..1137.73 +12.18 +1.08%
IDX Indstrl… .946.43 +10.79 +1.15%
IDXNONCYC.698.60 +0.75 +0.11%
IDX Hlthcare1372.47 -8.07 -0.58%
IDXCYCLC…806.05 +2.99 +0.37%
IDX Techno.4639.79 +41.52 +0.90%
IDX Transp ..1206.51 +20.26 +1.71%
IDX Infrast 1346.24. +2.94 +0.22%
IDX Finance1356.60 +8.03 +0.60%
IDX Banking1069.9) +4.82 +0.45%
IDX Property. 745 +8.8 +1.19%
Indo10Yr.6.8439❗️-0.0601 -0.87%
ICBI….400.8471👍+1.1492 +0.29%
US2Yr.4.309 +0.048 -1.10%
US5Yr 4.391 -0.078 -1.75%
US10Yr4.526 -0.101 -2.18%
US30Yr.4.741 -0.091 -1.88%
VIX..14.77❗️ -0.33 -2.19%
USDIndx 106.7100❗️-0.335 -0.31%
Como Indx..312.08 -1.11 -0.35%
BCOMIN..148.06 -0.73 -0.49%
IndoCDS…70.75👍-2.49 -3.40%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (14/02)
IDR…….16285.00❗️-110.00 -0.67%
Jisdor..16285.00❗️-80.00 -0.49%
Euro…1.0492 +0.0024 +0.23%
TLKM…15.52 +0.31 +2.01%
( 2527)
EIDO….17.67 +0.07 +0.37%
EEM…..44.07 +0.27 +0.62%
Oil………70.74 -0.55 -0.77%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………74.74 -0.59 -0.78%
(Brent)
Gold…2900.70‼️-45.70 -1.55%
(Comex)
Gold…2882.53‼️ -45.36 -1.55%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.32.66200‼️ +681.00 +2.13%
(Closed 14/02)
.Nickel.15487.63 +100.75 +0.67%
(Closed 14/02)
Silver……32.85 +0.12 +0.36%
Copper..471.30 -6.50 -1.36%
Iron Ore 62% 106.83 – -%
(14/02)
Nturl Gas ..3.725 +0.078 +2.14%
Ammonia China. 2376.67 + -%
(Domestic Price)(14/02)
Coal price.102.75 -1.55 -1.49%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.105.10 -1.20 -1.13%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 108.10 -1.35 -1.23%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 111.00 -2.05 -1.81%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price 101.45 -0.70 -0.69%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price .99.70 -0.65 -0.65%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 99.35 -0.75 -0.75%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price. 99.90 -0.40 -0.40%
(May/Rotterdam)
CPO(May) 4502 +45 +1.01%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………508.75 +2.75 +0.54%
SoybeanOil 46.52 -0.16 -0.34%
Wheat…..613.50 +21.50 +3.63%
Wood pulp…..6700 unch +0%
(Closed 14/02)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
SP500 gerak bikin record baru nyusul DJI, DJI nya sendiri merah nasdaq ijo, US treasury bond yield turun, kemungkinan index kita hijau hari ini
USD index down, gold copper down, metal2 lain up, oil down gas up coal down CPO up, beware saham energy masih ditarik2 kebawah
IHSG – masih belum aman, masih NFS, masih jelek indicatornya, stoch rev up, ada gap, dan ada reg bull div. Masih hold cash dulu kecuali yang yakin banget
Banyak yang siap dukung index jalan, Financials, Property, Healthcare, Industrials Basic Materials
Stochastic Buy Signal: ARTO BMRI ICBP INKP ITNP PTBA SMGR TLKM ADMR BSDE MNCN MPMX PTRO PWON, big accum PTBA SMGR TLKM BSDE
MACD buy signal: GGRM PGAS PTBA SMGR UNTR ABMM HMSP SRTG TINS VKTR, big accum GGRM PGAS PTBA SMGR UNTR SRTG TINS VKTR
Daily Analysis 20250117
January 17th, 2024 Nasdaq slide leads stocks lower with earnings, Bessent confirmation hearing in focus US stocks closed lower Thursday, as the major indexes struggled to build on the previous…
Daily Analysis 20241206
December 06th, 2024
Dow leads losses as stock rally hits pause, bitcoin pulls back from record above $100,000
US stocks drifted lower on Thursday as investors waited for Friday’s crucial jobs report and bitcoin slid after reaching a new high of over $103,000
Dow……44766 -248.3 -0 55%
Nasdaq. 19700 -34.9. -0.18%
S&P 500 6075 -11.4 -0.30%
FTSE…..8349 +13.5 +0.16%
Dax……20359 +126.7 +0.63%
CAC……7331 +27.3 +0.37%
Nikkei….39396 +119.2 +0.30%
HSI……..19560 -182.02 -0.92%
Shanghai.3369 +4.2 +0.13%
IDX…7313.31 -13.45 -0.16%
LQ45…874.45 -13.45 -0.18%
IDX30.446.58 -5.44 -1.20%
IDXEnergy…2661.27 +13.05 +0.49%
IDX BscMat 1349.55 +2.93 +0.22%
IDX Indstrl..1076.88 +2.19 +0.20%
IDXNONCYC.736.98 -0.59 -0.08%
IDX Hlthcare1471.14 +6.26. +0.36%
IDXCYCLC…834.66 +2.73 +0.33%
IDX Techno..4198.11 -9.51 -0.23%
IDX Transp 1385.64 +2.67 +0.19%
IDX Infrast 1465.90 +4.73 . +0.46%
IDX Finance1458.57 -13.54 -0.92%
IDX Banking1206.51 -20.13 -1.64%
IDX Property..777 +5.20 +0.68%
Indo10Yr.6.9714 +0.0077 +0.11%
ICBI….392.8888 +0.0900 +0.02%
US2Yr.4.146 +0.014 +0.34%
US5Yr 4.078 +0.007 +0.17%
US10Yr4.178 -0.011 -0.26%
US30Yr.4.336 -0.014 -0.32%
VIX..13.54 +0.09 +0.67%
USDIndx 105.7260👍 -0.616 -0.58%
Como Indx….286.43 +1.08 +0.38%
BCOMIN….146.58 -0.29 -0.20%
IndoCDS..73.22 -0.49 -0.66%
(5-yr INOCD5) (04/12)
IDR…….15862.00❗️-75.50 -0.47%
Jisdor..15892.00❗️-65.00 -0.41%
Euro…1.0588❗️ +0.0078 +0.74%
TLKM.17.16 -0.34 -1.91%
( 2727)
EIDO…20.39 +0.03 +0.15%
EEM…43.92 +0.29 +0.66%
Oil………68.30 -0.39 -0.57%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………72.17 -0.14 -0.19%
(Brent)
Gold…2648.40 -24.90 -0.93%
(Comex)
Gold…2631.91 -18.64 -0.70%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.29034.00 +210.00 +0.73%
(Closed 04/12)
Nickel.15962.00 -1118.50 -0.74%
(Closed 05/12)
Silver…..31.54 -0.30 -0.94%
Copper.419.25 -0.35 -0.08%
Iron Ore 62% 106.29 +0.21 +0.20%
(03/12)
Nturl Gas 3.084 +0.021 +0.36%
Ammonia China 2820.00 – -%
(Domestic Price)(05/12)
Coal price.133.25 -0.15 -0.11%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price.132.75 -1.40 -1.04%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.133.75 -1.00 -0.74%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price 134.50 -1.00 -0.74%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.114.50 -0.70 -0.61%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price.112.90 -1.80 -1.57%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal Price 113.10 -1.75 -1.52%
(Feb/Rotterdam),
Coal/Price 113.35 -1.65 -1.43%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
CPO(Feb) 5138 +101 +2.01%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………435.00 +5.00 +1.16%
SoybeanOil 42.31 +0.89 +2.15%
Wheat……558.25 +10.00 +1.82%
Wood pulp.4502.00 unch +0%
(Closed 04/12)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Be loomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
US merah, europe ijo, asia varied, IHSG turun tipis, US treasury bond up, masih merah dulu kayanya IHSG hari ini
USD index ddown tapi metal2 juga kebanyakan down kecuali tin dan iron ore, oil slightly down, gas up, coal down CPO up
IHSG – stoch up macd up MFI up w% uptrend, BD masih acc, kemaren FNS, ketemu resistance, wjar ngeden dulu, masih optimis jalan tapi dengan US market sekarang kayanya belum langsung lanjut
Property lagi… Basic Materials mulai ngintip2
Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO AMMN ANTM HRUM MDKA ADMR BMTR PWON SMSM WIFI, big accum ANTM ADMR BMTR PWON WIFI
MACD Buy Signal: AKRA ANTM INCOPO PTBA ADMR BMTR MARK PNLF PWON SMRA, big accum AKRA ANTM ADMR BMTR PWON SMRA
Daily Analysis 20240927
September 27th, 2024
Dow…….42175 +260.4 +0.62%
Nasdaq. 18190 +108.1 +0.60%
S&P 500 5745 +23.1 +0.40%
FTSE…8285 +16.2 +0.20%
Dax……19238 +319.9 +1.69%
CAC……7742 +176.5 +2.33%
Nikkei..38925 +1055.4 +2.79%
HSI…..19924 +795.5 +4.16%‼️
Shanghai.3001+104.6 +3.61%‼️
IDX…7744.52 +3.62 +0.05%
LQ45…970.55 -6.61 -0.68%
IDX30.497.08 -2.70 -0.56%
IDXEnergy. 2733.11 +20.79 +0.77%
IDX BscMat1381.37 +17.43 +1.28%
IDX Indstrl..1082.30 +1.72 +0.16%
IDXNONCYC.752.77 +4.81 +0.64%
IDX Hlthcare1585.01 +35.42 +2.29%
IDXCYCLIC…891.05 -3.68 -0.41%
IDXTechno 3899.70 +60.68 +1.58%
IDX Transp 1499.64 -11.92 -0.79%
IDX Infrast 1582.60 +7.96 +0.51%
IDX Finance1547.22 -6.29 -0.40%
IDX Banking1360.31 -16.13 -1.17%
IDX Property..799 +15.30 +0.15%
Indo10Yr.6.4968 +0.0182+0.28%
ICBI….396.9007 -0.3972 -0.10%
US2Yr.3.627 +0.066 +1.85%
US5Yr 3.565 +0.036 +1.02%
US10Yr3.802 +0.014 +0.37%
US30Yr.4.131 -0.014 -0.34%
VIX..15.37 -0.04 -0.26%
USDIndx 100.5620❗️-0.350 -0.35%
Como Indx….284.63 -1.53 -0.53%
BCOMIN….153.98 +3.87 +2.58%‼️
IndoCDS..69.75 -0.53 -0.75%
(5-yr INOCD5) (24/09)
IDR…….15165.00 +63.00 +0.42%
Jisdor..15171.00 +79.00 +0.52%
Euro…1.1177❗️ +0.0044 +0.40%
TLKM.20.66 +0.05 +0.25%
( 3134)
EIDO…23.20 +0.01 +0.04%
EEM..46.70 +1.66 +3.69%‼️
Oil………..67.55 -2.00 -2.88%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..71.60 -1.86 -2.53%
(Brent)
Gold…2695.00 ‼️ +12.10 +0.45%
(Comex)
Gold…2672.56 +14.28 +0.54%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..32435.00 +333.00 +1.04%
(Closed 26/09)
Nickel..16806.00 -12.00 -0.07%
(Closed 26/09)
Silver… ..32.30 +0.16 +0.50%
Copper.464.40 +15.50 +3.45%‼️
Iron Ore 62% 92.25 +0.37 +0.40%
(25/09)
Nturl Gas 2.742 -0.085 -3.01%
Ammonia China 2800.00* -10.00 +0.36%
(Domestic Price)(25/09)
Coal price.139.60 -0.15 -0.11%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.143.45 +0.55 +0.38%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.00 +0.60 +0.42%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.146.65 +0.90 +0.62%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price.114.95 unch +0%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price..116.50: +0.75 +0.65%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price..117.05 +1.10 +0.95%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price..117.35 +1.20 +1.03%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
CPO(Des) 4052 +108 +2.67%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………413.25 -2.00 -0.48%
SoybeanOil 42.)0 -1.25 -2.83%
Wheat……584.25 -5.00 -0.85%
Wood pulp.4790.00 -10 -0.21%
(Closed 25/09)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
Index regional ijo semua, IHSG sempet merah dalem closing ijo tipis. China Hongong masih ijo tebel dengan stimulusnya. US T-bond yield up, masih berbahaya
USD index down, metal2 lanjut up, oil down lagi, prepare traiilng stop kena di AKRA MEDC, gss down coal up, congrats yang pegang coal, CPO lanjut up tinggi, bisa jadi ini Basic Materials versi tambang mineral dan CPO yang jalan even index wave 4
IHSG – technical nya ngeri banget, Stoch MACD down, itungan wave 4 agak dalem, udah 2 hari FNS dan vol besar, brace for impact
Technology, awas udah jalan jauh, Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Energy, Basic Materials, Industrials
Oil prepare exit
Stochastic Buy Signal: GGRM GOTO INDF INKP ISAT TOWR HMSP MYOR PWON. Big Accum cuma PWON, beware technical trap
MACD buy Signal: EXCL CTRA TPIA, CTRA TPIA big accum