Daily Analysis 20250814

Daily Analysis 20250814

Good morning,

August 14th, 2025

Dow jumps 450 points as S&P 500, Nasdaq log back-to-back records on surging Fed rate cut bets

US stocks climbed on Wednesday with the benchmark S&P 500 and tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite notching back-to-back record highs as investors bet almost unanimously on a Federal Reserve rate cut at its next meeting following the latest inflation data.

Dow…..44923 +463.7 +1.04%
Nasdaq 21713 +31.2 +0.14%
S&P 500 6467 +20.8 +0.32%

FTSE…..9165 +17.4 +0.19%
Dax…..24185 +160.8 +0.67%
CAC…..7805 +51.6 +0.66%

Nikkei…..43275 +556.5 +1.30%
HSI……..25614 +643.99 +2.58%
Shanghai.3683 +17.6 +0.48%

IDX..7892.91 +101.2 +1.30%
LQ45..829.85 +6.60 +0.80%
IDX30.425.82 +12.56 +3.04%

IDXEnergy.3082.11 +20.13 +0.66%
IDX BscMat1636.83 +0.97 +0.06%
IDX Indstr..1136.11 +8.87 +0.79%
IDXNONCYC.704.54 -0.84 -0.12%
IDX Hlthcare1651.37 +25.39 +1.56%
IDXCYCLC..794.44 +8.89 +1.12%
IDX Techno.9686.28 +370.40 +3.98%‼
IDX Transp 1529.33 -10.45 -0.68%
IDX Infrast .1957.14 +28.12 +1.46%
IDX Finance 1460.71 +2.97 +1.46%
IDX Banking 1080.06 +2.58 +0.24%
IDX Property..823 +12.1 +1.49%

Indo10Yr.6.5173👍 -0.0022 -0.33%
ICBI….422.6241👍 +0.5796 +0.14%
US2Yr.3.733 -0.033 -0.88%
US5Yr 3.821 -0.011 -0.31%
US10Yr4.291 +0.006 +0.14%
US30Yr.4. 878 +0.031 +0.64%
VIX..14.49❗ -0.24 -1.63%

USDIndx..97.8400👍-0.257 -0.26£%
Como Indx.294.82 -0.54 -0.18%
BCOMIN..142.07 -0.71 -0.50%

IndoCDS 5yr.72.59👍 -1.34 -1.81%
(5-yr INOCD5) (13/08)

IDR…….16202.00❗ -87.50 -0.54%
Jisdor…16237.00❗ -61.00 -0.37%

Euro..1.1677❗+0.0063 +0.54%

TLKM..20.39 +1.08 +5.59%‼
( 3147)
EIDO….18.85 +0.24 +1.29%
EEM…50.50 +0.60 +1.20%

Oil…62.72 -0.40 -0.64%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…65.63 -0.49 -0.74%
(Brent)

Gold.3407.80 +4.50 +0.13%
(Comex)
Gold.3357.96 +7.17 +0.21%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..33730.00 -156.00 -0.46%
(Closed 13/08)
Nickel…15228.13 -65.50 -0.43%
(Closed 13/08)
Silver……38.57 +0.93 +2.47%
Copper..456.40 +11.45+2.57%

Iron Ore 62% 102.03 -0.38 -0.37%
(13/08)

Nturl Gas .2.815 -0.169 -5.66%‼

Ammonia China.2440.00 -10 -0.40%
(Domestic Price 13/08)

Coal price111.80 +0.10 +0.09%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 111.60 unch +0%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.112.75 -0.25 -0.22%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price..114.10 -0.15 -0.13%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price 100.30 -0.05 -0.05%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.100.40 +0.05 +0.05%
(Sep/Rotterdam)
Coal price.100.75 unch +0%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.101.55 unch +0%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct) 4435 +35 +0.80%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……397.25 +2.75 +0.70%
SoybeanOil 53.44 +0.30 +0.56%
Wheat…507.25 +2.25 +0.45%

Wood pulp..5876.67 unch +0%
(Closed 13/08)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Index semua ijo, IHSG ijo tebel banget dan gap up, US treasury bond yield down, theoritically lanjut ini index tudei

USD index down, gold silcer copper up, metal2 lain down, oil down, gas drop, coal spot up tipis future down, CPO up, masih belum aja ini energy

IHSG – stoch buy macd buy MFI flat w% uptrend, BD FF acc, banyak gap dibawah minor c wave dalam wave 3 sih ini firm, target ideal itungan elliot wave di 8900, ga pede bakal sampe segitu juga sih, mungkin kalo bukan fibo 1,618 tapi 100% nya wave 1 di 8097 pede sampe sekali swing ini

Weh koq RSI nya banyak yang melemah, sisa tinggal Consumer Cyclicals, Financials, Healthcare, Industrials

Stochastic Buy Signal: KLBF TOWR ELSA

MACD Buy Signal: BTPS TINS, both big accum

Supertrend Buy Signal: PWON

Daily Analysis 20250728

Daily Analysis 20250728

Good morning,

July 28th, 2025

S&P 500 scores 5th straight record high ahead of Europe-U.S. trade meeting

Wall Street’s so-called fear gauge dropped this week as U.S. stocks continued to set record highs, with investors appearing encouraged in part by the White House’s progress on the global trade front.

Dow…..44902 +208.01+0.47%
Nasdaq 21108 +50.4 +0.24%
S&P 500 6389 +25.3 +0.40%

FTSE…..9120 -18.1 -0.20%
Dax…..24218 -78.4 -0.32%
CAC…..7835 +16.3 +0.21%

Nikkei….41456 -370.1 -0.88%
HSI………25388 -278.8 -1.09%
Shanghai.3594 -12.1 -0.33%

IDX..7543.50 +12.60 +0.17%
LQ45..794.51 -5.29 -0.66%
IDX30.410.76 -3.03 -0.73%

IDXEnergy.2944.21 -9.66 -0.33%
IDX BscMat1606.61 +13.97 +0.88%
IDX Indstr….1004.60 +7.47 +0.75%
IDXNONCYC.691.78 -0.38 -0.05%
IDX Hlthcare1557.71-11.44 -0.73%
IDXCYCLC…707.79 +1.09 +0.15%
IDX Techno.8932.23+20.52 +0.23%
IDX Transp 1516.90 -15.28 -1.00%
IDX Infrast .1891.66 +24.18 +1.29%
IDX Finance.1442.05 +23.48 +1.66%
IDX Banking 1027.84 -17.20 -1.65%
IDX Property..761 +3.50 +0.46%

Indo10Yr.6.5983 +0.0086 +0.13%
ICBI….419.1317 -0.0208 -0.00%
US2Yr.3.917 +0.001 +0.03%
US5Yr 3.952 -0.005 -0.23%
US10Yr4.386 -0.013 -0.30%
US30Yr.4. 929 -0.010 -0.20%
VIX..14.93 -0.46 -2.99%

USDIndx..97.6450❗️+0.268 +0.28%
Como Indx.302.25 -2.12 -0.70%
BCOMIN..157.70 -0.77 -0.48%

IndoCDS 5yr.70.88👍 -0.31 -0.44%
(5-yr INOCD5) (25/07)

IDR…….16320.00❗️+25.00 +0.15%
Jisdor…16325.00❗️+30.00 +0.18%

Euro..1.1742❗️-0.0009 -0.08%

TLKM..17.35 -0.05 -0.29%
( 2832)
EIDO….17.60 -0.21 -1.18%
EEM…49.51 -0.15 -0.30%

Oil…65.16 -0.99 -1.50%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…68.44 -0.74 -1.07%
(Brent)

Gold.3392.50 -33.30 -0.97%
(Comex)
Gold.3337.30 -30.03 -0.89%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..34061.00 -565.00 -1.63%
(Closed 25/07)
Nickel…15186.50 -226.38 -1.47%
(Closed 25/07)
Silver….39.37 +0.03 +0.08%
Copper.578.50 -3.50 -0.60%

Iron Ore 62% 98.58 -0.03 -0.03%
(25/07)

Nturl Gas .3.110 +0.003 +0.10%

Ammonia China.2510.00 +43.33 +1.76%
(Domestic Price 25/07)

Coal price113.75 +0.65 +0.57%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 115.50 +0.75 +0.65%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.117.50 +0.75 +0.64%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price..119.20 +0.75 +0.63%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price 103.60 +2.25 +2.22%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.104.35 +2.00 +1.95%
(Sep/Rotterdam)
Coal price.105.15 +1.80 +1.74%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price..106.00 +1.50 +1.44%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct) 4276 -54 -1.26%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..419.00 -1.75 -0.42%
SoybeanOil 55.98 -0.36 -0.64%
Wheat…538.25 -3.25 -0.60%

Wood pulp..5967.67 unch +0%
(Closed 25/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US closing ijo jum’at, SP500 set new record high lagi, europe asia mostly merah, IHSG ijo walau banyak big caps merah. US treasury bond yield down, semoga senin ini bisa lanjut ijo IHSG, candle nya doji sih, agak mengkhawatirkan

USD index up, metal2 down kecuali silver, Oil down, gas up, coal up, CPO down, ayo rebound ADRO, koreksinya lumayan 3 hari kemaren. AKRA belum jalan lagi nih, sempet long lower shadow kamis, rada menakutkan pas kejadian tapi candle long lower shadow candle bullish sih

IHSG – stoch sell macd up mfi up w% uptrend, BD acc FNS, MACD reg bear div, doji, banyak gap, agak serem sih. Tapi semoga ikut sentimen US mau lanjut ke atas. Play safe, yang udah ijo pasang trailing stop, yang resiko pasang stop loss jangan digantung

Waduh habis, kalo cuma technology jelas ga mungkin nahan index, harus hati hati banget

Stochastic Buy Signal: ARTO BMRI ESSA MAPI SIDO TPIA UNIQ, big accum TPIA

MACD Buy Signal: PWON

Supertrend Buy Signal: SMRA

Daily Analysis 20250716

Daily Analysis 20250716

July 16th, 2025 S&P 500 stumbles after hitting intraday high — the downside of a narrow rally Nontech and cyclical stocks sat out Tuesday’s earlier rally, underscoring how narrow the…
Daily Analysis 20250625

Daily Analysis 20250625

Good morning,

June 25th 2025

Wall St ends sharply higher, S&P 500 nears record high as Middle East tensions cool

U.S. stocks rallied more than 1% on Tuesday as investors welcomed a fragile truce with Israel and Iran while parsing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s congressional testimony for clues regarding the U.S. central bank’s path forward.

Dow…..43089 +507.2 +1.19%
Nasdaq 19913 +281.6 +1.43%
S&P 500 6092 +67.01 +1.11%

FTSE…..8759 +0.95 +0.01%
Dax…..23641 +372.6 +1.60%
CAC…..7615 +78.4 +1.04%

Nikkei….38791 +436.5 +1.14%
HSI……24177 +487.9 +2.06%
Shanghai.3421 +38.98 +1.15%

IDX..6869.17 +82.03 +1.21%
LQ45..764.41 +10.59 +1.40%
IDX30.395.16 +4.66 +1.19%

IDXEnergy.2729.57 -16.22 -0.59%
IDX BscMat1442.00 +3.98 +0.20%
IDX Indstr…..908.55 +8.89 +0.99%
IDXNONCYC.657.46 +12.28 +1.90%
IDX Hlthcare1461.75+29.04 +2.03%
IDXCYCLC…709.41 +20.80 +3.02%
IDX Techno.6518.52 +35.09 +0.54%
IDX Transp 1437.10 +12.28 +0.86%
IDX Infrast .1379.42 +10.66 +0.78%
IDX Finance.1351.37 +19.67+1.48%
IDX Banking 1031.08 +20.41 +2.02%
IDX Property..727 +22.60 +3.21%‼️

Indo10Yr.6.7903-0.0327 -0.48%
ICBI….412.3536 +0.8614 +0.21%
US2Yr.3.821 -0.042 -1.09%
US5Yr 3.861 -0.049 -1.25%
US10Yr4.296 -0.052 -1.20%
US30Yr.4.835 -0.039 -0.80%
VIX..17.48 -2.35 -11.85%👍

USDIndx..98.8580👍 -0.496 -0.50%
Como Indx.296.97 -8.08 -2.65%‼️
BCOMIN..145.39 +0.30 +0.20%

IndoCDS 5yr.82.09‼️+0.64 +0.78%
(5-yr INOCD5) (24/06)

IDR…….16.353.50❗️-138.50👍 -0.84%
Jisdor…16.370.00❗️-114.00👍 -0.69%

Euro..1.1609❗️ +0.0015 +0.13%

TLKM..16.06 +0.16 +1.01%
( 2629)
EIDO….16.38 +0.49 +2.90%
EEM…47.92 +1.21 +2.59%

Oil…65.10❗️-1.07 -1.61%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…67.14 -4.34 -6.07%‼️
(Brent)

Gold.3335.50‼️ -42.50 -1.26%
(Comex)
Gold.3322.42‼️ -34.63 -1.03%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..32319.00 -374.00 -1.14%
(Closed 24/06)
Nickel…14911.13 +113.88 +0.77%
(Closed 24/06)
Silver….36.22 -0.15 -0.41%
Copper.494.75 +0.10 +0.02%

Iron Ore 62% .94.75 -0.12 -0.13%
(24/06)

Nturl Gas .3.770 -0.076 -1.98%
Ammonia China.2316.67 +6.67 +0.29%
(Domestic Price 24/06)

Coal price.106.60 -0.65 -0.61%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.109.90 -3.05 -2.70%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price111.60 -2.60 -2.28%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 113.40 -2.60 -2.24%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price 103.50 -0.95 -0.91%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.103.15 -4.80 -4.45%‼️
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.65 -5.00 -4.60%‼️
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.104.15 -5.10 -4.67%‼️
(Sep/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep) 3986 -139 -3.37%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..429.00 -4.75 -1.10%
SoybeanOil 52.61 -1.14 -2.12%
Wheat..552.00 -17.50 -3.07%‼️

Wood pulp…6066.67 -16.66 -0.27%
(Closed 24/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US europe asia ijo semua, menyusul pengumuman cease fire Israel-Iran walau terus dilanggar… US treasury bond yield down, harusnya sih lanjut ijo, tapi mungkin tutup gap dulu. Apakah akan langsung lanjut wave 3, belum bisa ditebak, dari itungan sih mungkin saja, sudah sampe fibo 38, tapi biasanya sih sampe fibo 50

USD index down, metal2 down kecuali nickel copper, oil down gas down coal down, CPO down, tapi ancaman penutupan selat sama iran masih mungkin, walau sebenernya tanpa itu juga major nya keliatan mau ke atas, tapi minornya terlihat jadi dipaksa turun dulu

IHSG – MFI up, 833 buy, yang lain masih jelek, ada 2 gap di bawah, bahwa mungkin wave 2 nya berhenti di fibo 38 mungkin, tapi masih FNS dan BD dist agak berat untuk langsung ngangkat

Consumer Cyclicals, Financials (tapi big banks masih jelek), Healthcare, Industrials, UNTR LK bagus, Infrastructure, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Property. Masih belum meyakinkan, yang bahaya Energy sama basic materials melemah

Oil Price Chart – MACD sell signal, kecuali konflik memanas lagi sepertinya akan kebawah dulu, prepare buang dulu saham minyak, pantau ketat

Coal Price Chart – udah supertrend buy, 2 hari koreksi tapi ga terlalu besar, macd jadi terlihat mau rev down, ga terkait langsung sama konflik, harusnya sih tetep jalan

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMRT BBCA BBTN BRIS GGRM ICBP MAPI SIDO ERAA MNCN MYOR PWON, big accum cuma GGRM sama PWON

MACD Buy Signal WIFI nerusin stoch nya buy duluan kemaren, tapi overpriced jadi kita skip

Daily Analysis 20250217

Daily Analysis 20250217

February 17th, 2025

The S&P 500 chugged to a record high last week as new inflation data signaled good news about the Federal Reserve’s rate cut plans.

For the week, the Nasdaq Composite rose more than 2.5%, while the S&P 500 added just under 1.5%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added about 0.5%.

Dow……44546 -165.4 -0.37%
Nasdaq 20027 +81.1 +0.41%
S&P 500 6115 -0.4 -0.01%

FTSE…..8732 -32.3 -0.37%
Dax……22513 -98.6 -0.44%
CAC……8179 +14.4 +0.18%

Nikkei…39149 -312.04 -0.79%
HSI…..22620 +805.96 +3.69%‼️
Shanghai.3347 +14.2 +0.43%

IDX…6638.46 +24.89 +0.38%
LQ45…772.41+2.68 +0.35%
IDX30.400.76 +1.73. +0.43%

IDXEnergy…..2574.90 +21.53 +0.84%
IDX BscMat..1137.73 +12.18 +1.08%
IDX Indstrl… .946.43 +10.79 +1.15%
IDXNONCYC.698.60 +0.75 +0.11%
IDX Hlthcare1372.47 -8.07 -0.58%
IDXCYCLC…806.05 +2.99 +0.37%
IDX Techno.4639.79 +41.52 +0.90%
IDX Transp ..1206.51 +20.26 +1.71%
IDX Infrast 1346.24. +2.94 +0.22%
IDX Finance1356.60 +8.03 +0.60%
IDX Banking1069.9) +4.82 +0.45%
IDX Property. 745 +8.8 +1.19%

Indo10Yr.6.8439❗️-0.0601 -0.87%
ICBI….400.8471👍+1.1492 +0.29%
US2Yr.4.309 +0.048 -1.10%
US5Yr 4.391 -0.078 -1.75%
US10Yr4.526 -0.101 -2.18%
US30Yr.4.741 -0.091 -1.88%
VIX..14.77❗️ -0.33 -2.19%

USDIndx 106.7100❗️-0.335 -0.31%
Como Indx..312.08 -1.11 -0.35%
BCOMIN..148.06 -0.73 -0.49%

IndoCDS…70.75👍-2.49 -3.40%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (14/02)

IDR…….16285.00❗️-110.00 -0.67%
Jisdor..16285.00❗️-80.00 -0.49%

Euro…1.0492 +0.0024 +0.23%

TLKM…15.52 +0.31 +2.01%
( 2527)
EIDO….17.67 +0.07 +0.37%
EEM…..44.07 +0.27 +0.62%

Oil………70.74 -0.55 -0.77%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………74.74 -0.59 -0.78%
(Brent)
Gold…2900.70‼️-45.70 -1.55%
(Comex)
Gold…2882.53‼️ -45.36 -1.55%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.32.66200‼️ +681.00 +2.13%
(Closed 14/02)
.Nickel.15487.63 +100.75 +0.67%
(Closed 14/02)
Silver……32.85 +0.12 +0.36%
Copper..471.30 -6.50 -1.36%

Iron Ore 62% 106.83 – -%
(14/02)
Nturl Gas ..3.725 +0.078 +2.14%
Ammonia China. 2376.67 + -%
(Domestic Price)(14/02)

Coal price.102.75 -1.55 -1.49%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.105.10 -1.20 -1.13%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 108.10 -1.35 -1.23%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 111.00 -2.05 -1.81%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price 101.45 -0.70 -0.69%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price .99.70 -0.65 -0.65%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 99.35 -0.75 -0.75%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price. 99.90 -0.40 -0.40%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(May) 4502 +45 +1.01%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………508.75 +2.75 +0.54%
SoybeanOil 46.52 -0.16 -0.34%
Wheat…..613.50 +21.50 +3.63%

Wood pulp…..6700 unch +0%
(Closed 14/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

SP500 gerak bikin record baru nyusul DJI, DJI nya sendiri merah nasdaq ijo, US treasury bond yield turun, kemungkinan index kita hijau hari ini

USD index down, gold copper down, metal2 lain up, oil down gas up coal down CPO up, beware saham energy masih ditarik2 kebawah

IHSG – masih belum aman, masih NFS, masih jelek indicatornya, stoch rev up, ada gap, dan ada reg bull div. Masih hold cash dulu kecuali yang yakin banget

Banyak yang siap dukung index jalan, Financials, Property, Healthcare, Industrials Basic Materials

Stochastic Buy Signal: ARTO BMRI ICBP INKP ITNP PTBA SMGR TLKM ADMR BSDE MNCN MPMX PTRO PWON, big accum PTBA SMGR TLKM BSDE

MACD buy signal: GGRM PGAS PTBA SMGR UNTR ABMM HMSP SRTG TINS VKTR, big accum GGRM PGAS PTBA SMGR UNTR SRTG TINS VKTR

Daily Analysis 20250117

Daily Analysis 20250117

January 17th, 2024 Nasdaq slide leads stocks lower with earnings, Bessent confirmation hearing in focus US stocks closed lower Thursday, as the major indexes struggled to build on the previous…