Daily Analysis 20251125
Daily Analysis 20250814
Good morning,
August 14th, 2025
Dow jumps 450 points as S&P 500, Nasdaq log back-to-back records on surging Fed rate cut bets
US stocks climbed on Wednesday with the benchmark S&P 500 and tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite notching back-to-back record highs as investors bet almost unanimously on a Federal Reserve rate cut at its next meeting following the latest inflation data.
Dow…..44923 +463.7 +1.04%
Nasdaq 21713 +31.2 +0.14%
S&P 500 6467 +20.8 +0.32%
FTSE…..9165 +17.4 +0.19%
Dax…..24185 +160.8 +0.67%
CAC…..7805 +51.6 +0.66%
Nikkei…..43275 +556.5 +1.30%
HSI……..25614 +643.99 +2.58%
Shanghai.3683 +17.6 +0.48%
IDX..7892.91 +101.2 +1.30%
LQ45..829.85 +6.60 +0.80%
IDX30.425.82 +12.56 +3.04%
IDXEnergy.3082.11 +20.13 +0.66%
IDX BscMat1636.83 +0.97 +0.06%
IDX Indstr..1136.11 +8.87 +0.79%
IDXNONCYC.704.54 -0.84 -0.12%
IDX Hlthcare1651.37 +25.39 +1.56%
IDXCYCLC..794.44 +8.89 +1.12%
IDX Techno.9686.28 +370.40 +3.98%‼
IDX Transp 1529.33 -10.45 -0.68%
IDX Infrast .1957.14 +28.12 +1.46%
IDX Finance 1460.71 +2.97 +1.46%
IDX Banking 1080.06 +2.58 +0.24%
IDX Property..823 +12.1 +1.49%
Indo10Yr.6.5173👍 -0.0022 -0.33%
ICBI….422.6241👍 +0.5796 +0.14%
US2Yr.3.733 -0.033 -0.88%
US5Yr 3.821 -0.011 -0.31%
US10Yr4.291 +0.006 +0.14%
US30Yr.4. 878 +0.031 +0.64%
VIX..14.49❗ -0.24 -1.63%
USDIndx..97.8400👍-0.257 -0.26£%
Como Indx.294.82 -0.54 -0.18%
BCOMIN..142.07 -0.71 -0.50%
IndoCDS 5yr.72.59👍 -1.34 -1.81%
(5-yr INOCD5) (13/08)
IDR…….16202.00❗ -87.50 -0.54%
Jisdor…16237.00❗ -61.00 -0.37%
Euro..1.1677❗+0.0063 +0.54%
TLKM..20.39 +1.08 +5.59%‼
( 3147)
EIDO….18.85 +0.24 +1.29%
EEM…50.50 +0.60 +1.20%
Oil…62.72 -0.40 -0.64%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…65.63 -0.49 -0.74%
(Brent)
Gold.3407.80 +4.50 +0.13%
(Comex)
Gold.3357.96 +7.17 +0.21%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..33730.00 -156.00 -0.46%
(Closed 13/08)
Nickel…15228.13 -65.50 -0.43%
(Closed 13/08)
Silver……38.57 +0.93 +2.47%
Copper..456.40 +11.45+2.57%
Iron Ore 62% 102.03 -0.38 -0.37%
(13/08)
Nturl Gas .2.815 -0.169 -5.66%‼
Ammonia China.2440.00 -10 -0.40%
(Domestic Price 13/08)
Coal price111.80 +0.10 +0.09%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 111.60 unch +0%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.112.75 -0.25 -0.22%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price..114.10 -0.15 -0.13%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price 100.30 -0.05 -0.05%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.100.40 +0.05 +0.05%
(Sep/Rotterdam)
Coal price.100.75 unch +0%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.101.55 unch +0%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
CPO(Oct) 4435 +35 +0.80%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……397.25 +2.75 +0.70%
SoybeanOil 53.44 +0.30 +0.56%
Wheat…507.25 +2.25 +0.45%
Wood pulp..5876.67 unch +0%
(Closed 13/08)
©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
Index semua ijo, IHSG ijo tebel banget dan gap up, US treasury bond yield down, theoritically lanjut ini index tudei
USD index down, gold silcer copper up, metal2 lain down, oil down, gas drop, coal spot up tipis future down, CPO up, masih belum aja ini energy
IHSG – stoch buy macd buy MFI flat w% uptrend, BD FF acc, banyak gap dibawah minor c wave dalam wave 3 sih ini firm, target ideal itungan elliot wave di 8900, ga pede bakal sampe segitu juga sih, mungkin kalo bukan fibo 1,618 tapi 100% nya wave 1 di 8097 pede sampe sekali swing ini
Weh koq RSI nya banyak yang melemah, sisa tinggal Consumer Cyclicals, Financials, Healthcare, Industrials
Stochastic Buy Signal: KLBF TOWR ELSA
MACD Buy Signal: BTPS TINS, both big accum
Supertrend Buy Signal: PWON
Daily Analysis 20250728
Good morning,
July 28th, 2025
S&P 500 scores 5th straight record high ahead of Europe-U.S. trade meeting
Wall Street’s so-called fear gauge dropped this week as U.S. stocks continued to set record highs, with investors appearing encouraged in part by the White House’s progress on the global trade front.
Dow…..44902 +208.01+0.47%
Nasdaq 21108 +50.4 +0.24%
S&P 500 6389 +25.3 +0.40%
FTSE…..9120 -18.1 -0.20%
Dax…..24218 -78.4 -0.32%
CAC…..7835 +16.3 +0.21%
Nikkei….41456 -370.1 -0.88%
HSI………25388 -278.8 -1.09%
Shanghai.3594 -12.1 -0.33%
IDX..7543.50 +12.60 +0.17%
LQ45..794.51 -5.29 -0.66%
IDX30.410.76 -3.03 -0.73%
IDXEnergy.2944.21 -9.66 -0.33%
IDX BscMat1606.61 +13.97 +0.88%
IDX Indstr….1004.60 +7.47 +0.75%
IDXNONCYC.691.78 -0.38 -0.05%
IDX Hlthcare1557.71-11.44 -0.73%
IDXCYCLC…707.79 +1.09 +0.15%
IDX Techno.8932.23+20.52 +0.23%
IDX Transp 1516.90 -15.28 -1.00%
IDX Infrast .1891.66 +24.18 +1.29%
IDX Finance.1442.05 +23.48 +1.66%
IDX Banking 1027.84 -17.20 -1.65%
IDX Property..761 +3.50 +0.46%
Indo10Yr.6.5983 +0.0086 +0.13%
ICBI….419.1317 -0.0208 -0.00%
US2Yr.3.917 +0.001 +0.03%
US5Yr 3.952 -0.005 -0.23%
US10Yr4.386 -0.013 -0.30%
US30Yr.4. 929 -0.010 -0.20%
VIX..14.93 -0.46 -2.99%
USDIndx..97.6450❗️+0.268 +0.28%
Como Indx.302.25 -2.12 -0.70%
BCOMIN..157.70 -0.77 -0.48%
IndoCDS 5yr.70.88👍 -0.31 -0.44%
(5-yr INOCD5) (25/07)
IDR…….16320.00❗️+25.00 +0.15%
Jisdor…16325.00❗️+30.00 +0.18%
Euro..1.1742❗️-0.0009 -0.08%
TLKM..17.35 -0.05 -0.29%
( 2832)
EIDO….17.60 -0.21 -1.18%
EEM…49.51 -0.15 -0.30%
Oil…65.16 -0.99 -1.50%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…68.44 -0.74 -1.07%
(Brent)
Gold.3392.50 -33.30 -0.97%
(Comex)
Gold.3337.30 -30.03 -0.89%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..34061.00 -565.00 -1.63%
(Closed 25/07)
Nickel…15186.50 -226.38 -1.47%
(Closed 25/07)
Silver….39.37 +0.03 +0.08%
Copper.578.50 -3.50 -0.60%
Iron Ore 62% 98.58 -0.03 -0.03%
(25/07)
Nturl Gas .3.110 +0.003 +0.10%
Ammonia China.2510.00 +43.33 +1.76%
(Domestic Price 25/07)
Coal price113.75 +0.65 +0.57%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 115.50 +0.75 +0.65%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.117.50 +0.75 +0.64%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price..119.20 +0.75 +0.63%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price 103.60 +2.25 +2.22%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.104.35 +2.00 +1.95%
(Sep/Rotterdam)
Coal price.105.15 +1.80 +1.74%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price..106.00 +1.50 +1.44%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
CPO(Oct) 4276 -54 -1.26%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……..419.00 -1.75 -0.42%
SoybeanOil 55.98 -0.36 -0.64%
Wheat…538.25 -3.25 -0.60%
Wood pulp..5967.67 unch +0%
(Closed 25/07)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
US closing ijo jum’at, SP500 set new record high lagi, europe asia mostly merah, IHSG ijo walau banyak big caps merah. US treasury bond yield down, semoga senin ini bisa lanjut ijo IHSG, candle nya doji sih, agak mengkhawatirkan
USD index up, metal2 down kecuali silver, Oil down, gas up, coal up, CPO down, ayo rebound ADRO, koreksinya lumayan 3 hari kemaren. AKRA belum jalan lagi nih, sempet long lower shadow kamis, rada menakutkan pas kejadian tapi candle long lower shadow candle bullish sih
IHSG – stoch sell macd up mfi up w% uptrend, BD acc FNS, MACD reg bear div, doji, banyak gap, agak serem sih. Tapi semoga ikut sentimen US mau lanjut ke atas. Play safe, yang udah ijo pasang trailing stop, yang resiko pasang stop loss jangan digantung
Waduh habis, kalo cuma technology jelas ga mungkin nahan index, harus hati hati banget
Stochastic Buy Signal: ARTO BMRI ESSA MAPI SIDO TPIA UNIQ, big accum TPIA
MACD Buy Signal: PWON
Supertrend Buy Signal: SMRA
Daily Analysis 20250716
Daily Analysis 20250625
Good morning,
June 25th 2025
Wall St ends sharply higher, S&P 500 nears record high as Middle East tensions cool
U.S. stocks rallied more than 1% on Tuesday as investors welcomed a fragile truce with Israel and Iran while parsing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s congressional testimony for clues regarding the U.S. central bank’s path forward.
Dow…..43089 +507.2 +1.19%
Nasdaq 19913 +281.6 +1.43%
S&P 500 6092 +67.01 +1.11%
FTSE…..8759 +0.95 +0.01%
Dax…..23641 +372.6 +1.60%
CAC…..7615 +78.4 +1.04%
Nikkei….38791 +436.5 +1.14%
HSI……24177 +487.9 +2.06%
Shanghai.3421 +38.98 +1.15%
IDX..6869.17 +82.03 +1.21%
LQ45..764.41 +10.59 +1.40%
IDX30.395.16 +4.66 +1.19%
IDXEnergy.2729.57 -16.22 -0.59%
IDX BscMat1442.00 +3.98 +0.20%
IDX Indstr…..908.55 +8.89 +0.99%
IDXNONCYC.657.46 +12.28 +1.90%
IDX Hlthcare1461.75+29.04 +2.03%
IDXCYCLC…709.41 +20.80 +3.02%
IDX Techno.6518.52 +35.09 +0.54%
IDX Transp 1437.10 +12.28 +0.86%
IDX Infrast .1379.42 +10.66 +0.78%
IDX Finance.1351.37 +19.67+1.48%
IDX Banking 1031.08 +20.41 +2.02%
IDX Property..727 +22.60 +3.21%‼️
Indo10Yr.6.7903-0.0327 -0.48%
ICBI….412.3536 +0.8614 +0.21%
US2Yr.3.821 -0.042 -1.09%
US5Yr 3.861 -0.049 -1.25%
US10Yr4.296 -0.052 -1.20%
US30Yr.4.835 -0.039 -0.80%
VIX..17.48 -2.35 -11.85%👍
USDIndx..98.8580👍 -0.496 -0.50%
Como Indx.296.97 -8.08 -2.65%‼️
BCOMIN..145.39 +0.30 +0.20%
IndoCDS 5yr.82.09‼️+0.64 +0.78%
(5-yr INOCD5) (24/06)
IDR…….16.353.50❗️-138.50👍 -0.84%
Jisdor…16.370.00❗️-114.00👍 -0.69%
Euro..1.1609❗️ +0.0015 +0.13%
TLKM..16.06 +0.16 +1.01%
( 2629)
EIDO….16.38 +0.49 +2.90%
EEM…47.92 +1.21 +2.59%
Oil…65.10❗️-1.07 -1.61%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…67.14 -4.34 -6.07%‼️
(Brent)
Gold.3335.50‼️ -42.50 -1.26%
(Comex)
Gold.3322.42‼️ -34.63 -1.03%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..32319.00 -374.00 -1.14%
(Closed 24/06)
Nickel…14911.13 +113.88 +0.77%
(Closed 24/06)
Silver….36.22 -0.15 -0.41%
Copper.494.75 +0.10 +0.02%
Iron Ore 62% .94.75 -0.12 -0.13%
(24/06)
Nturl Gas .3.770 -0.076 -1.98%
Ammonia China.2316.67 +6.67 +0.29%
(Domestic Price 24/06)
Coal price.106.60 -0.65 -0.61%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.109.90 -3.05 -2.70%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price111.60 -2.60 -2.28%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 113.40 -2.60 -2.24%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 103.50 -0.95 -0.91%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.103.15 -4.80 -4.45%‼️
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.65 -5.00 -4.60%‼️
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.104.15 -5.10 -4.67%‼️
(Sep/Rotterdam)
CPO(Sep) 3986 -139 -3.37%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……..429.00 -4.75 -1.10%
SoybeanOil 52.61 -1.14 -2.12%
Wheat..552.00 -17.50 -3.07%‼️
Wood pulp…6066.67 -16.66 -0.27%
(Closed 24/06)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
US europe asia ijo semua, menyusul pengumuman cease fire Israel-Iran walau terus dilanggar… US treasury bond yield down, harusnya sih lanjut ijo, tapi mungkin tutup gap dulu. Apakah akan langsung lanjut wave 3, belum bisa ditebak, dari itungan sih mungkin saja, sudah sampe fibo 38, tapi biasanya sih sampe fibo 50
USD index down, metal2 down kecuali nickel copper, oil down gas down coal down, CPO down, tapi ancaman penutupan selat sama iran masih mungkin, walau sebenernya tanpa itu juga major nya keliatan mau ke atas, tapi minornya terlihat jadi dipaksa turun dulu
IHSG – MFI up, 833 buy, yang lain masih jelek, ada 2 gap di bawah, bahwa mungkin wave 2 nya berhenti di fibo 38 mungkin, tapi masih FNS dan BD dist agak berat untuk langsung ngangkat
Consumer Cyclicals, Financials (tapi big banks masih jelek), Healthcare, Industrials, UNTR LK bagus, Infrastructure, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Property. Masih belum meyakinkan, yang bahaya Energy sama basic materials melemah
Oil Price Chart – MACD sell signal, kecuali konflik memanas lagi sepertinya akan kebawah dulu, prepare buang dulu saham minyak, pantau ketat
Coal Price Chart – udah supertrend buy, 2 hari koreksi tapi ga terlalu besar, macd jadi terlihat mau rev down, ga terkait langsung sama konflik, harusnya sih tetep jalan
Stochastic Buy Signal: AMRT BBCA BBTN BRIS GGRM ICBP MAPI SIDO ERAA MNCN MYOR PWON, big accum cuma GGRM sama PWON
MACD Buy Signal WIFI nerusin stoch nya buy duluan kemaren, tapi overpriced jadi kita skip




















