February 20th, 2024

Good morning,

US markets on holiday due to Presidents’ Day

Dow……38628 closed +0%
Nasdaq15776 closed +0%
S&P 500.5006 closed +0%

FTSE…..7729 +16.8 +0.22%
Dax……17092 -25.2 -0.15%
CAC……7769 +0.4 +0.00%

Nikkei..38470 -16.9 -0.04%
HSI…….16156 -184.4 -1.13%
Shanghai..2911 +44.64 +1.56%

IDX…..7296.70 -38.84 -0.53%
LQ45….998.29 -8.35 -0.83%
IDX30…512.00 +2.43 +0.48%

IDXEnergy..2105.58 +8.94 +0.43%
IDX BscMat.1232.01 -18.61 -1.49%
IDX Indstrl…1079.81 -9.73 -0.89%
IDXNONCYC.702.98 -2.67 -0.38%
IDX Hlthcare1336.61 -0.09 -0.01%
IDXCYCLIC…832.63 -11.70 -1.39%
IDX Techno3940.00 +23.95 +0.61%
IDX Transp 1559.52 -7.26 -0.46%
IDX Infrast 1524.06 -10.66 -0.69%
IDX Finance.1514.12 -9.71 -0.64%
IDX Banking.1373.08 -18.09 -1.30%
IDX Property.. 696 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.6928 -0.0035 -0.05%
ICBI…377.1019 +0.0886 +0.02%
US2Yr.4.644 closed +0%
US5Yr 4.276 closed +0%
US10Yr4.281 closed +0%
US30Yr.4.437 closed +0%
VIX…14.71 +0.47 +3.30%

USDIndx 104.2750 -0.021 -0.02%
Como Indx..272.59 closed +0%
BCOMIN…..135.48 closed +0%

IndoCDS..71.72 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (16/02)

IDR…..15631.00 +7.50 +0.05%
Jisdor.15630.00 -24.00 -0.15%

Euro….1.0779 +0.0002 +0.02%

TLKM…26.61 closed +0%
(4166)
EIDO……22.74 closed +0%
EEM……40.08 closed +0%

Oil…….79.29 +0.10 +0.13%
Gold..2029.40 +5.30 +0.26%
Timah..26970.00 – -%
(Closed 16/03)
Nickel..16370.50 +138.50 +0.85%
(Closed 17/02)
Silver……23.04 +0.08 +0.37%
Copper.381.30 +5.50 +1.48%

Iron Ore 62% 129.29 – -%
(17/02)
Nturl Gas..1.559 -0.044 -2.74%
Ammonia China.2866.67 unch +0%
(Domestic Price)(16/02/02)

Coal price 119.60 +0.35 +0.29%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.120.75 -2.00 -1.63%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 120.75 -2.05 -1.67%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice..121.10 -2.30 -1.86%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .94.40 -0.10 -0.11%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price.90.00 -1.55 -1.69%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..86.90 -1.25 -1.42%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..85.65 -0.75 -0.87%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)..3863 +57.00 +1.50%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……429.50 closed +0%
SoybeanOil 46.08 closed +0%
Wheat….559.00 closed. +0%

Wood pulp..5124.00 unch +0%
(Closed 17/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US market closed, Europe kebanyakan lanjut ijo tipis, asia merah ikut US sebelumnya, harusnya rebound dikit lah hari ini IHSG

USD index turun dikit, metal2 ijo semua, oil ijo gas merah coal spot newcastle ijo, future merah, CPO ijo. Kita tunggu buy signal ADRO lagi

IHSG – masih jadwal koreksi, keliatannya wave B gedenya udahan, mau beresin wave C. stoch sell, macd uprev, MFI masih up, w% udah keluar dari uptrend area, masih FNB walau turun, BD flat, masih sabar, keep cash

Infrastructure, tapi ga firm ah, mending merhatiin energy sama transportation dan basic materials

Stochastic Buy Signal: PGEO LION CEKA, skip ah… TKIM malah sell signal, padahal harga Pulp And Paper naik

Harga PAP sempat naik tinggi INKP TKIM belum ikut, harusnya prospek, cuma momentumnya aja belum ini

MACD Buy Signal: AUTO SILO UNIC LTLS, skip lah…

Stochastic Continuation Signal: MIKA

MIKA – error sorting ini MIKA, skip…

February 01st, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes 300 points lower, Nasdaq drops 2% after Fed indicates March rate cut unlikely

Stocks fell on Wednesday after Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell said the central bank likely wouldn’t be ready to cut rates in March.

Dow……38150 -317.01 -0.82%
Nasdaq15164 -345.9 -2.23%
S&P 500.4846 -79.3 -1.61%

FTSE…..7631 -35.7 -0.47%
Dax……16904 -68.6 -0.40%
CAC……7657 -20.7 -0.27%

Nikkei..36286 +19.3 +0.98%
HSI……15485 -218.4 -1.39%
Shanghai.2789 -41.98 -1.48%

IDX…..7207.94 +15.73 +0.22%
LQ45….974.22 +2.52 +0.26%
IDX30…494.71 +0.92 +0.19%

IDXEnergy..2106.35 +8.41 +0.40%
IDX BscMat.1284.06 -0.50 -0.04%
IDX Indstrl…1088.22 +0.41 +0.04%
IDXNONCYC.698.96 +5.21 +0.75%
IDX Hlthcare1316.57 -1.64. -0.12%
IDXCYCLIC…857.34 -1.73 -0.20%
IDX Techno4128.05. +24.13+0.59%
IDX Transp 1587.04 +1.95 +0.12%
IDX Infrast 1523.00 +7.96 +0.53%
IDX Finance.1513.90 +16.67+1.11%
IDX Banking.1326.30 +8.84 +0.67%
IDX Property.. 698 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.6420👍 -0.0135 -0.20%
ICBI…376.5979👍 +0.5122 +0.14%
US2Yr.4.209 -0.130 -2.99%👍
US5Yr 3.839 -0.135 -3.40%👍
US10Yr3.911 -0.125 -3.10%👍
US30Yr.4.173-0.078 -1.83%
VIX…14.35 +1.04 +7.81%‼️

USDIndx 103.2740❗️ -0.123 -0.12%
Como Indx.. – – -%
BCOMIN……139.27 -0.75 -0.54%

IndoCDS..76.70 -0.03 -0.04%
(5-yr INOCD5) (30/01)

IDR…..15782.50‼️ +2.50 +0.02%
Jisdor.15803.00 ‼️+7.00 +0.04%

Euro….1.0814 -0.0030 -0.28%

TLKM…25.16 -0.17 -0.67%
(3976)
EIDO……21.86 +0.11 +0.51%
EEM……38.39 -0.21 -0.54%

Oil…….75.85 -1.97 -2.53%
Gold..2067.40 +12.90 +0.63%
Timah..26006.00 -324.00 -1.22%
(Closed 30/01)
Nickel..16513.50 -246.00 -1.49%
(Closed 31/01)
Silver……23.17 -0.11 -0.47%
Copper.390.60 -0.55 -0.14%

Iron Ore 62% 135.61 +0.06 +0.04%
(30/01)
Nturl Gas..2.134 +0.043 +2.06%
Ammonia China.3236.67 -23.33 -0.72%
(Domestic Price)(29/01/02)

Coal price 116.50 -3.05 -2.55%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.118.10 -2.40 -1.99%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 117.70 -2.70 -2.24%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice.117.55 -2.25 -1.88%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .99.60 +3.45 +3.59%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..96.90 +3.25 +3.47%‼️
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..93.65 +2.55 +2.80%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..91.70 +0.95 +1.05%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3792 -47 -1.22%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……448.25 +0.50 +0.11%
SoybeanOil 46.02 +0.02 +0.04%
Wheat….595.50 -10.25 -1.69%

Wood pulp..5092.00 +16 +0.32%
(Closed 31/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah dalem, Europe merah, Asa china merah, jepang indo ijo. Bond rates turun jauh, USD index turun, bagus ini buat saham, tapi koq US merah ya

metal2 pada turun kecuali gold, aneh lagi, oil merah, gas ijo, coal newcastle merah, rotterdam ijo, CPO lanjut merah. AALI LSIP keluar dari LQ45 K100, wah rusak ini…

IHSG – lanjut NFB, stoch rev up, macd rev up, MFI sw, w%up,BD sw, ga tahu berapa panjang ini wave B mau jalan, minimum nya udah done sih sama upper shadow candle kemaren

Basic Materials, Healthcare, Infrastructure… Consumer Non-Cyclicals slown down

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBCA BBRI BMRI BRIS GOTO MEDC PGAS AGRO ENRG MNCN MYOR PTPP PWON TKIM. Big acc BBRI BRIS GOTO PGAS

MACD Buy Signal: BBNI ICBP MTEL PGAS, big accum semua

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: ICBP PGAS MIKA

January 31st, 2024

Good morning,

Nasdaq 100 futures slide, Alphabet shares drop after results

Futures tied to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100
fell Tuesday night after a pair of mega-cap tech companies posted their quarterly results. Wall Street also looked toward the Federal Reserve’s decision on rate policy.

Dow……38467 +133.9 +0.35%
Nasdaq15510 -118.2 -0.76%
S&P 500.4925 -2.96 -0.06%

FTSE…..7666 +33.6 +0.44%
Dax……16972 +30.6 +0.18%
CAC……7677 +36.7 +0.48%

Nikkei..36066 +38.9 +0.11%
HSI……15703 -373.8 -2.33%
Shanghai.2831 -52.8 -1.83%

IDX…..7192.22 +35.04 +0.49%
LQ45….971.70 +9.78 +1.02%
IDX30…493.78 +5.93 +1.22%

IDXEnergy..2097.94 -7.30 -0.35%
IDX BscMat.1284.55 -5.74 -0.44%
IDX Indstrl…1087.81 +2.42 +0.22%
IDXNONCYC.693.75 -3.14 -0.45%
IDX Hlthcare1318.21+8.41. +0.64%
IDXCYCLIC…859.07 +7.60 +0.89%
IDX Techno4103.92 +118.31 +2.97%
IDX Transp 1515.04 -7.75 -0.51%
IDX Infrast 1497.23 -13.74 -0.91%
IDX Finance.1510.97 -8.20 -0.54%
IDX Banking.1300.04 +25.68 +2.02%
IDX Property.. 698 -2.30 -0.32%

Indo10Yr.6.6555 – 0.0229 -0.34%
ICBI…376.0857 +0.4541 +0.12%
US2Yr.4.339 +0.017 +0.39%
US5Yr 3.974 -0.012 -0.30%
US10Yr4.036 -0.036 -0.93%
US30Yr.4.251-0.064 -1.48%
VIX…13.31 -0.29 -2.13%

USDIndx 103.3970❗️ -0.212 -0.20%
Como Indx..274.00 +3.12 +1.15%
BCOMIN……140.02 +0.77 +0.55%

IndoCDS..76.73 +0.03 +0.04%
(5-yr INOCD5) (29/01)

IDR…..15780.00‼️ -30.00 -0.19%
Jisdor.15825.00 ‼️ -29.00 -0.18%

Euro….1.0844 +0.0008 +0.07%

TLKM…25.33 -0.22 -0.86%
(4008)
EIDO……21.75 +0.18 +0.83%
EEM……38.60 -0.31 -0.80%

Oil…….77.81 +0.85 +1.10%
Gold..2054.50 +3.30 +0.16%
Timah..26664.00 – -%
(Closed 29/01)
Nickel..16513.50 +54.00 +0.33%
(Closed 30/01)
Silver……23.28 -0.05 -0.21%
Copper.391.15 +2.55 +0.66%

Iron Ore 62% 135.55 unch +0%
(29/01)
Nturl Gas..2.091 +0.032 +1.55%
Ammonia China.3260.00 -83.00 -2.48%
(Domestic Price)(29/01/02)

Coal price 119.55 +3.15 +2.71%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.120.50 +5.00 +4.33%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 120.30 +4.40 +3.80%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice.119.80 +3.80 +3.28%‼️
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .96.15 +1.85 +1.96%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..93.65 +1.90 +2.07%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..91.10 +1.20 +1.33%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..90.75 +1.30 +1.45%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3842 -107 -2.71%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……447.75 +7.50 +1.70%
SoybeanOil 46.00 +0.45 +0.99%
Wheat…605.50 +12.20 +1.70%

Wood pulp..5076.00 +10 +0.20%
(Closed 30/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

REMINDER REBALANCING

UPDATE (29/01/2024)

EVALUASI INDEKS LQ45, IDX30, IDX80, KOMPAS100, PEFINDO25, INDEKS BUMN20, IDXSMC-LIQ, IDXSMC-COM, IDXHIDIV20, IDXV30, IDXG30, IDXQ30, IDXLQ45LCL

(Periode Efektif 01 Februari 2024 – 31 Juli 2024)

INDEKS LQ45
Baru : MBMA, MTEL, PGEO, PTMP
Keluar : INDY, SCMA, TBIG, TPIA

INDEKS IDX30
Baru : ACES, ICBP, INKP, PGEO
Keluar : EMTK, ESSA, HRUM, TOWR

INDEKS IDX80
Baru : AUTO, GJTL, MAPA, MBMA, PGEO, PTMP, SMIL, TRON, WIFI
Keluar : AVIA, DOID, HMSP, JKON, OMED, PNBN, RMKE, SMDR, WIKA

INDEKS KOMPAS100
Baru : AUTO, CFIN, DRMA, GTRA, HRTA, IMAS, MAPA, MARK, MBMA, NISP, PGEO, PTMP, PTRO, SILO, SMIL, SMSM, SSIA, TRON, WIIM
Keluar : AALI, AGII, AVIA, BBKP, BDMN, BELI, BSSR, HMSP, JKON, LSIP, MMIX, MSIN, OMED, PNBN, PNIN, RMKE, SMDR, TAPG, WIKA

INDEKS PEFINDO25
Baru : ADMR, AUTO, DILD, ESSA, GJTL, LPPF, LSIP, MAPA, MIDI, TAPG
Keluar : AKRA, BSSR, DSNG, HEXA, HRTA, MIKA, POWR, SIDO, SMSM, SSIA

(Periode Efektif 05 Februari 2024 – 02 Agustus 2024)

INDEKS BUMN20
Baru : BJTM, PGEO,
Keluar : JKON, WIKA

INDEKS IDXSMC-LIQ
Baru : AUTO, CMRY, GGRM, HEAL. INCO, MAPA, MIDI, TOWR
Keluar : ADMR, ARTO, BDMN, BEST, BJBR, LSIP, SSIA, TAPG, WIKA

INDEKS IDXSMC-COM
Baru : ARTA, AXIO, BEEF, GGRM, HOKI, INCO, JAWA, PDPP, TOWR
*zKeluar :*z ADMR, ARTO, BOLA, CUAN, DEFI, DSSA, FILM, GLVA, GSMF, HOMI, JIHD, MDLN, MREI, NIKL, PANI, PEGE, PGEO, PPRE, RONY, SMIL, SONA, TEBE, TFAS, TOPS, WEGE, WTON

INDEKS IDXHIDIV20
Baru : BRPT, ICBP, INKP, KLBF, SMGR, TPIA, UNVR
Keluar : BJBR, BJTM, BNGA, BSSR, HEXA, HMSP, MPMX

INDEKS IDXV30
Baru : AUTO, GJTL, JSMR, SMRA, WIFI
Keluar : DOID, JKON, PNBN, SMDR, TINS

INDEKS IDXG30
Baru : AUTO, BBTN, GJTL, MAPA
Keluar : ASSA, PNBN, SMDR, TINS

INDEKS IDXQ30
Baru : AKRA, AMRT, GGRM, MYOR, SMIL, TRON
Keluar : AVIA, EMTK, HMSP, RMKE, SRTG, TINS

INDEKS IDXLQ45LCL
Baru : MAPI, MBMA, MTEL, PGEO
Keluar : ASII, SCMA, TBIG, TPIA

(Listri. Source : IDX)

SP500 abis cetak new record koreksi dulu, DJI nya ijo, europe ijo, asia kebanyakan merah, IHSG sempet merah dulu tapi closing ijo, firm mau wave B

US bond rate pendek naik, panjang turun, semoga ga banyak pengaruh ke stock market, USD index merah, metal2 lanjut naik kecuali silver, oil gas coal ijo, coal ijonya tebel, CPO merah dalem, MDKA harusnya jalan, ELSA AKRA MEDC lanjut, coal apakah udah mau rebound? AALI LSIP agak kawatir ini

IHSG – dari ilmu elliot wave, wave B nya ga panjang ini keliatanya, daripada aggressive sekarang mending tunggu wave C beres… Udah 2 hari FNB, BD acc, big bank di push naik, GOTO di push naik, tapi in total saham yang turun lebih banyak dari saham yang naik. Masih keep cash

Terlihat Healthcare ngebalik nyusul basic materials, consumer non-cyclicals dan infrastructure… Padahal kemaren KLBF dibanting sampe cutloss

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO ASII BBNI ITMG PTBA SIDO ASSA BRMS CTRA HMSP LPPF MTEL SMRA. Big Acc ASII BBNI PTBA

MACD Buy Signal: JSMR PTPP BRAM

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big acc: BRIS

January 29th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq fall Friday to snap six-day win streak, but both notch weekly gains

The S&P 500
closed slightly lower Friday, but clinched weekly gains as the latest economic data added to a positive picture of the economy.

Dow……38109 +60.3 +0.16%
Nasdaq15455 -55.1 -0.36%
S&P 500.4891 -3.2 -0.07%

FTSE…..7635 +105.4 +1.40%
Dax……16961 +54.5 +0.32%
CAC……7434 +169.9 +2.28%

Nikkei..35751 -485.40 -1.34%
HSI……15952 -259.7 -1.60%
Shanghai.2910 +4.1 +0.14%

IDX…..7137.09 -40.95 -0.57%
LQ45….951.49 -8.31 -0.87%
IDX30…482.83 -3.96 -0.81%

IDXEnergy..2115.97 -20.83 -0.97%
IDX BscMat.1284.91 -4.10 -0.32%
IDX Indstrl…1084.62 -3.73 -0.34%
IDXNONCYC.696.55 -4.51 -0.64%
IDX Hlthcare1311.94 -4.73. -0.36%
IDXCYCLIC…848.85 -6.10 -0.71%
IDX Techno4074.19 -53.93 -1.31%
IDX Transp 1620.81 -15.05 -0.92%
IDX Infrast 1581.62 -39.19 -2.42%
IDX Finance.1519.17 +3.02 +0.20%
IDX Banking.1274.35 -12.27 -0.95%
IDX Property.. 701 +3.10 +0.44%

Indo10Yr.6.6901 +0.0083 +0.12%
ICBI…375.1719 -0.2428 -0.06%
US2Yr.4.357 +0.058 +1.35%
US5Yr 4.038 +0.036 +0.90%
US10Yr4.139 +0.018 +0.44%
US30Yr.4.372+0.002 +0.05%
VIX…13.26 -0.19 -1.41%

USDIndx 103.4330❗️ -0.141 -0.14%
Como Indx..273.57 +1.17 +0.43%
BCOMIN……139.82 +0.51 +0.36%

IndoCDS..76.21 +2.46 +3.34%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (26/01)

IDR…..15825.00‼️ -1.00 -0.01%
Jisdor.15829.00 ‼️+62.00 +0.39%

Euro….1.0853 +0.0008 +0.07%

TLKM…25.45 +0.33 +1.37%
(4028)
EIDO……21.34 -0.23 -1.07%
EEM……38.90 +0.03 +0.098%

Oil…….78.01 +0.96 +1.25%
Gold..2036.10 -3.00 -0.15%
Timah..26664.00 +16.00 +0.06%
(Closed 26/01)
Nickel..16595.50 -175.50 -1.04%
(Closed 26/01)
Silver……22.87 -0.15 -0.65%
Copper.385.20 -1.60 -0.41%

Iron Ore 62% 135.55 +0.01 +0.01%
(26/01)
Nturl Gas..2.180 -0.008 -0.37%
Ammonia China.3343.33. – -%
(Domestic Price)(26/01/02)

Coal price 119.00 +0.90 +0.76%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.117.15 +1.75 +1.52%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 118.15 +2.65 +2.29%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice.118.45 +2.85 +2.47%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .93.75 +1.50 +1.63%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..92.10 +2.55 +2.85%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..90.35 +2.15 +2.44%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..90.05 +2.65 +3.03%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..4021 +76 +1.93%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……446.25 -5.50 -1.22%
SoybeanOil 46.93 +0.40 +0.86%
Wheat…600.25 -12.00 -1.96%

Wood pulp..5066.00 unch +0%
(Closed 28/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI closing ijo jumat, tapi nasdaq dan sp500 merah, europe masih ijo, asia kebanyakan merah. Kemungkinan besar masih mau merah dulu IHSG hari ini, beresin ABC correction, mungkin juga sih mantul dulu karena kemaren merahnya dalem walau closing nya ditarik ke atas

US bond rates naik semua, jadi kayanya merah ini… USD index merah, tapi metal2 juga merah walau tipis, oil ijo das merah, coal mantul ijo, nanti kita liat apa udah waktunya masuk coal lagi. CPO ijo tebel, semoga ini dan IHSG beres ABC correction terus AALI LSIP berangkat

IHSG – masih FNS, BD flat, ABC correction belum beres, tapi mungkin aja minornya di wave A nya bikin abc kecil, kalo iya bisa jadi sekarang jadwal wave B. Tapi yang jelas masih berbahaya, masih mending banyak keep cash, masuk kecil di yang contrarian aja. MACD masih down, stoch tadinya up ini mau sell lagi, udah tembus EMA 50, kalo ikut pemain MA udah firm downtrend ini

Basic Materials, Infrastructure, Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Stochastic Buy Signal: HRUM INKP BSDE JSMR TKIM, ga ada yang big accum, malah HRUP TKIM big dist, BSDE spike

MACD buy signal: INTP MIKA OMED TAPG. healthcare mulai padagerak lagi ya, INTP big acc, TAPG spike

Stochastic Continuation Signal ga ada yang big accum, tapi keliatan Consumer Non-Cyclicals kompak gerak

Alligator Buy Signal: MTMH SSMS