Daily Analysis 20240709

Daily Analysis 20240709

July 09th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500, Nasdaq close at all-time highs ahead of inflation data and second-quarter earnings reports

The S&P 500
and Nasdaq closed at record highs on Monday as investors await key inflation data to provide further clues about whether this year’s market rally is sustainable. Earnings from some major financial giants and consumer companies are also on the docket.

Dow……39345 -31.1 -0.08%
Nasdaq18404 +50.98 +0.28%
S&P 500.5573 +5.7 +0.10%

FTSE…..8193 -10.4 -0.13%
Dax……18472 -3.4 -0.02%
CAC……7627 -48.2 -0.63%

Nikkei..40781 -131.8 -0.32%
HSI…..17524 -275.6 -1.55%
Shanghai.2922 -27.5 -0.93%

IDX….7250.98 -2.39 -0.03%
LQ45..904.33 -2.31 -0.25%
IDX30.452.34 +0.09 +0.02%

IDXEnergy..2440.14 -10.81 -0.44%
IDX BscMat1390.64 -3.10 -0.43%
IDX Indstrl. 997.72 +11.58 +1.17%
IDXNONCYC.708.69 +9.02 +1.29%
IDX Hlthcare1447.18+18.20 +1.27%
IDXCYCLIC…738.37 +0.82 +1.21%
IDXTechno3299.93 +39.60 +1.21%
IDX Transp 1303.39 +2.49 +0.19%
IDX Infrast 1572.48 +23.95 +1.55%
IDX Finance1372.13 -2.71 -0.20%
IDX Banking1205.14 -6.85 -0.57%
IDX Property…..613 +13.50 +2.26%

Indo10Yr.7.0484👍 -0.0174 -0.25%
ICBI…381.3072👍 +0.4719 +0.12%
US2Yr.4.635 +0.029 +0.63%
US5Yr 4.241 +0.014 +0.33%
US10Yr4.275 -0.003 -0.07%
US30Yr.4.463 -0.013 -0.29%
VIX..12.37 -0.11 -0.88%

USDIndx 105.00 +0.125 +0.12%
Como Indx….290.91 -2.52 -0.86%
BCOMIN…… 154.38 -0.81 -0.52%

IndoCDS..74.22👍 -0.49 -0.66%
(5-yr INOCD5) (05/07)

IDR…..16257.00❗️ -20.00 -0.12%
Jisdor.16265.00❗️ -47.00 -0.29%

Euro…1.0825 -0.0015 -0.14%

TLKM…18.69 +0.06 +0.30%
( 3040)
EIDO….19.87 +0.02 +0.10%
EEM…..43.64 +0.01 +0.41%

Oil…….82.22 -0.94 -1.13%
Gold…..2366.60 -31.10 -1.30%
Timah..34218.00 +344.00 +1.02%
(Closed 08/07)
Nickel..17441.00 +58.00 +0.33%
(Closed 08/07)
Silver….31.08 -0.61 -1.92%
Copper.461.60 -3.70 -0.80%

Iron Ore 62% 111.31 -1.75 -1.55%
(05/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.378 +0.048 +2.06%
Ammonia China 2846.67 -16.60 -0.58%
(Domestic Price)(05/07)

Coal price.135.70 -0.70 -0.52%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.00 -1.45 -1.05%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.35 -1.25 -0.90%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 138.10 -0.45 -0.32%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.104.50 -0.50 -0.48%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..106.05 -1.00 -0.93%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 107.70 -1.10 -1.01%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 108.75 -0.60 -0.55%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep)..4040 closed +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..407.75 -16.25 -3.83%‼️
SoybeanOil 48.26 -0.44 -0.90%
Wheat…570.50 -20.00 -3.39%‼️

Wood pulp..5420 unch +0%
(Closed 08/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI merah nasdaq ijo, europe merah, asia merah, US bond yield yang 2 dan 5 tahun naik yang panjang2 turun, masih jadwal koreksi dulu kalo gini

USD index up, metal2 down kecuali tin nickel, oil down gas up coal down, yups, jadwal koreksi dulu

IHSG – ini ada dua gap mengkhawatirkan, hari ini IHSG nya ijo tebel lagi, happy sih, tapi khawatir kapan koreksinya dan model gimana koreksinya bakal kejadian

Basic Materials, Industrials, Technology

Stochastic Buy Signal: BSDE

MACD Buy Signal: ACES ICBP INCO DNSG ERAA MIKA PWON TRON. Big accum ACES MIKA

Stochastic Continuation Signal dan Big Accum Banyak jg, ANTM, BBCA, ESSA, MDKA, MTEL, PGAS, PGEO, BTPS, CTRA, ISAT, SCMA, SMSM. diatas 50% PGAS

Daily Analysis 20240611

Daily Analysis 20240611

June 11th, 2024 Good morning, S&P 500 and Nasdaq close at fresh records, clinch first winning day in three as Fed decision approaches The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite closed…
Daily Analysis 20240416

Daily Analysis 20240416

April 16th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq close 1% lower as yields jump, traders await Israel response to Iran

Stocks retreated on Monday as rising yields and worries over the conflict in the Middle East overshadowed strong Goldman Sachs
earnings and hot retail sales data.

Dow……37735 -248.1 -0.65%
Nasdaq15885 -290.1 -1.79%
S&P 500.5062 -61.6 -1.20%

FTSE…..7966 -30.1 -0.38%
Dax……18027 +96.3 +0.54%
CAC……8045 +34.3 +0.43%

Nikkei..39233 -290.8 -0.74%
HSI……16601 -121.2 -0.72%
Shanghai.3057+37.9 +1.26%

IDX…..7286.88 closed +0%
LQ45….963.73 closed +0%
IDX30…488.17 closed +0%

IDXEnergy..2155.81 closed +0%
IDX BscMat1359.61 closed. +0%
IDX Indstrl…1096.75 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.715.36 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare1371.58 closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC…815.23 closed +0%
IDXTechno3513.14 closed +0%
IDX Transp 1444.51 closed +0%
IDX Infrast 1600.91 closed +0%
IDX Finance.1475.65 closed +0%
IDX Banking.1317.47 closed +0%
IDX Property.. 652 closed +0%

Indo10Yr.6.7048 closed +0%
ICBI…379.8860 closed +0%
US2Yr.4.925‼️ +0.013 +0.27%
US5Yr 4.627‼️ +0.016 +0.39%
US10Yr4.601‼️ -0.028 -0.61%
US30Yr.4.724‼️+0.016 +0.34%
VIX………19.23 +1.92 +11.09%‼️

USDIndx 106.2080‼️+0.17 +0.16%
Como Indx..298.18 +0.31 +0.10%
BCOMIN..152.51‼️ +1.97 +1.31%

IndoCDS..75.23 +1.01 +1.36%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/04)

IDR…..15848.00‼️closed +0%
Jisdor.15873.00‼️closed +0%

Euro….1.0627‼️ +0.00 +0.03%

TLKM…20.85 +0.10 +0.48%
( 3309)
EIDO……21.48 +0.02 +0.09%
EEM……40.27 -0.27 -0.65%

Oil…….85.90 +0.49 +0.57%
Gold..2401.20 +94.30 +4.08%‼️
(04/04-15/04)
Timah..28935.00 +3418.00 +11.81%‼️
(03/04 ’til 12/04)
Nickel..17991.50 +194.5 +1.09%❗️
(Closed 04/04)
Silver….28.97 +2.03 +7.53%‼️
(04/04 – 15/04)
Copper.437.50 +16.10 +3.77%
(04/04 – 15/04)
Iron Ore 62% 106.05 +5.64 +5.61%‼️
(03/04-12/04)
Nturl Gas..1.686‼️ -0.002 -0.12%
Ammonia China.3216.67 +183.34 +6.04%‼️
(Domestic Price)(04/04 – 12/04)

Coal price.129.75 +0.50 +0.39%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 136.50 +2.75 +2.06%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.20 +3.20 +2.35%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.141.75 +2.50 +1.80%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price..120.70 -0.60 -0.49%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.118.00 -1.25 -1.05%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.118.50 -0.90 -0.75%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 118.55 -1.45 -1.21%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)..4202 -205.00 -4.88%‼️
(04/04 – 15/04)
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….444.25 -3.00 -0.67%
SoybeanOil 46.01 -0.44 -0.95%
Wheat…567.50 -3.00 -0.67%

Wood pulp..5700 unch +0%
(Closed 15/04)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Lama libur, ketemu serangan Iran ke Israel… DJI sudah beberapa hari trun terus, europe varied, asia kebanyakan merah kemaren, IHSG hari ini kayanya akan rada goncang…

Suasana perang, selalu USD naik, commodity terkait energy naik, Bond Yield dan interest rate biasanya naik biar orang keep dana di system. Belum pasti gimana dampak ke BEI, kemungkinan besar akan goyang dulu, baru nanti setelah shock nya lewat yang hubungan sama energy yang jalan

Semua precious metals naik, oil naik, gas turun, coal naik, CPO drop. Normally saya akan hold ANTM erat erat, dan ELSA, dan ADRO, tapi entahlah dengan kondisi sekarang

IHSG – kalo dari elliot wavenya sih, emang jadwal nerusin ABC correction… walau terakhir market closing stoch buy, macd revup, FF rev net buy, tapi kondisi global memanas di saat kita libur bisa jadi efeknya meledak di opening day hari ini

dari sini sih masih jadwalnya basic materials, dan kalo liat metal2 naik ya cocok, tapi masih unpredictable karena suasana global

Stochastic Buy Signal: ANTM BBCA INCO TLKM ELSA IMAS LPPF MIKA SGRO. Big accum ANTM INCO MIKA

MACD buy Signal: PGEO SIDO ADMR BSDE DOID JPFA. Big accum SIDO DOID

Daily Analysis 20240313

Daily Analysis 20240313

March 13th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow jumps more than 200 points, S&P 500 pops 1% for new closing high as Nvidia resurges

Stocks jumped Tuesday after fresh U.S. inflation data was about in line with expectations, clearing the way for investors to resume buying high-flying tech names such as Nvidia and Meta Platforms.

Dow……39005 +235.8 +0.61%
Nasdaq16266 +246.4 +1.54%
S&P 500.5175 +57.3 +1.12%

FTSE…..7748 +78.6 +1.02%
Dax……17965 +218.8 +1.23%
CAC……8087 +67.8 +0.84%

Nikkei..38798 -22.98. O -0.23%
HSI……17093 +505.9 +3.05%
Shanghai.3055 -12.5 -0.41%

IDX…..7394.31 closed +0%
LQ45..1000.35 closed +0%
IDX30…508.41 closed +0%

IDXEnergy..2138.32 closed +0%
IDX BscMat.1271.69 closed +0%
IDX Indstrl…1105.02 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.707.85 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare1309.02closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC…828.54 closed +0%
IDX Techno3643.01 closed +0%
IDX Transp 1581.60 closed +0%
IDX Infrast 1587.87 closed +0%
IDX Finance.1534.80closed +0%
IDX Banking.1407.51closed +0%
IDX Property.. 676 cloeed +0%

Indo10Yr.6.6859 closed+0.08%
ICBI…378.3791 closed +0%
US2Yr.4.503 +0.015 +0.32%
US5Yr 4.148 +0.007 +0.17%
US10Yr4.153 -0.003 -0.07%
US30Yr.4.312+0.000 +0.01%
VIX………13.84 -1.38 -9.07%👍

USDIndx 102.9570 +0.090 +0.09%
Como Indx..278.32 +0.33 +0.12%
BCOMIN…..141.79 +0.37 +0.26%

IndoCDS..70.24 -0.01 -0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/03)

IDR…..15590.00 closed +0%
Jisdor.15603.00 closed +0%

Euro….1.0929 +0.00 +0.02%

TLKM…24.97 -0.09 -0.34(%
(3885-.)
EIDO……22.91 -0.03 -0.11%
EEM……41.36 +0.46 +1.11%

Oil…….77.96 +0.40 +0.52%
Gold..2162.00‼️ -4.10 -0.19%
Timah..27634.00❗️👍 +4.00 +0.01%
(Closed 11/03)
Nickel..18534.50❗️👍 +157.50 +0.86%
(Closed 12/03)
Silver……24.32 -0.07 -0.30%
Copper.393.75 +0.55 +0.14%

Iron Ore 62% 113.00 -4.05 -3.46%‼️
(11/03)&’
Nturl Gas..1.707 -0.001 -0.12%
Ammonia China.3260.00‼️ +16.67 +0.75%
(Domestic Price)(12/03/24)

Coal price.130.65 -2.35 -1.77%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 130.40 -2.95 -2.21%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.131.25 -3.10 -2.31%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.131.90 -2.95 -2.19%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price..109.40 +0.75 +0.69%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..106.05 +0.60 +0.57%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..104.50 -0.25 -0.24%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price..102.50 +0.10 +0.10%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)..4122+2.00 +0.05%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn….441.75 +0.00 +0.00%
SoybeanOil 47.82 +1.18 +2.53%
Wheat….547.50 +0.25 +0.05%

Wood pulp..5450.00❗️ unch +0%
(Closed 12/03)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US Europe ijo semua, asia kemaren jepang china merah, hongkong ijo tebel… US bond rate yang 2 tahun naik agak tinggi, yang lain rata2 naik juga, bisa jadi bikin koreksi globally hari ini, IHSG isa jadi ngejar kemaren ga ikut ijo, atau bisa jadi kebagian koreksinya doang. Tapi kalo liat chart, kemaren ijo tebel 2 hari, giliran turun sih

USD index naik dkit, gold silver iron ore merah, Tin Nickel Copper ijo, oil ijo, gas coal Newcastle merah, rotterdam Ijo, kayanya sih merah dulu hari ini saham Coal. CPO lanjut, kita pantau LSIP buat re-entry

IHSG – bikin new record high, 2 kali kejadian bikin record high terus dibanting abis abisan, hati-hati. Udah kena reg beaar div MACD sama RSI, jadi harus extra caution. oscillators pada buy, MFI sw, BD flat FF acc, trailing stop guys…

Tinggal Financials sama Basic Materials, yang lain udah lemes. Sekalinya big bank dibanting index ikut

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBRI CPIN HRTA LPPF MIKA SMRA INDS AALI. Lho AALI tertendang keluar Kompas 100 ternyata. Big accum CPIN BBRI

MACD Buy Signal: MDKA MNCN MTMH WIFI, big acc WIFI

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: SIDO TKIM

Daily Analysis 20240220

Daily Analysis 20240220

February 20th, 2024 Good morning, US markets on holiday due to Presidents' Day Dow......38628 closed +0% Nasdaq15776 closed +0% S&P 500.5006 closed +0% FTSE.....7729 +16.8 +0.22% Dax......17092 -25.2 -0.15% CAC......7769…
Daily Analysis 20240201

Daily Analysis 20240201

February 01st, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes 300 points lower, Nasdaq drops 2% after Fed indicates March rate cut unlikely

Stocks fell on Wednesday after Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell said the central bank likely wouldn’t be ready to cut rates in March.

Dow……38150 -317.01 -0.82%
Nasdaq15164 -345.9 -2.23%
S&P 500.4846 -79.3 -1.61%

FTSE…..7631 -35.7 -0.47%
Dax……16904 -68.6 -0.40%
CAC……7657 -20.7 -0.27%

Nikkei..36286 +19.3 +0.98%
HSI……15485 -218.4 -1.39%
Shanghai.2789 -41.98 -1.48%

IDX…..7207.94 +15.73 +0.22%
LQ45….974.22 +2.52 +0.26%
IDX30…494.71 +0.92 +0.19%

IDXEnergy..2106.35 +8.41 +0.40%
IDX BscMat.1284.06 -0.50 -0.04%
IDX Indstrl…1088.22 +0.41 +0.04%
IDXNONCYC.698.96 +5.21 +0.75%
IDX Hlthcare1316.57 -1.64. -0.12%
IDXCYCLIC…857.34 -1.73 -0.20%
IDX Techno4128.05. +24.13+0.59%
IDX Transp 1587.04 +1.95 +0.12%
IDX Infrast 1523.00 +7.96 +0.53%
IDX Finance.1513.90 +16.67+1.11%
IDX Banking.1326.30 +8.84 +0.67%
IDX Property.. 698 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.6420👍 -0.0135 -0.20%
ICBI…376.5979👍 +0.5122 +0.14%
US2Yr.4.209 -0.130 -2.99%👍
US5Yr 3.839 -0.135 -3.40%👍
US10Yr3.911 -0.125 -3.10%👍
US30Yr.4.173-0.078 -1.83%
VIX…14.35 +1.04 +7.81%‼️

USDIndx 103.2740❗️ -0.123 -0.12%
Como Indx.. – – -%
BCOMIN……139.27 -0.75 -0.54%

IndoCDS..76.70 -0.03 -0.04%
(5-yr INOCD5) (30/01)

IDR…..15782.50‼️ +2.50 +0.02%
Jisdor.15803.00 ‼️+7.00 +0.04%

Euro….1.0814 -0.0030 -0.28%

TLKM…25.16 -0.17 -0.67%
(3976)
EIDO……21.86 +0.11 +0.51%
EEM……38.39 -0.21 -0.54%

Oil…….75.85 -1.97 -2.53%
Gold..2067.40 +12.90 +0.63%
Timah..26006.00 -324.00 -1.22%
(Closed 30/01)
Nickel..16513.50 -246.00 -1.49%
(Closed 31/01)
Silver……23.17 -0.11 -0.47%
Copper.390.60 -0.55 -0.14%

Iron Ore 62% 135.61 +0.06 +0.04%
(30/01)
Nturl Gas..2.134 +0.043 +2.06%
Ammonia China.3236.67 -23.33 -0.72%
(Domestic Price)(29/01/02)

Coal price 116.50 -3.05 -2.55%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.118.10 -2.40 -1.99%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 117.70 -2.70 -2.24%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice.117.55 -2.25 -1.88%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .99.60 +3.45 +3.59%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..96.90 +3.25 +3.47%‼️
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..93.65 +2.55 +2.80%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..91.70 +0.95 +1.05%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3792 -47 -1.22%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……448.25 +0.50 +0.11%
SoybeanOil 46.02 +0.02 +0.04%
Wheat….595.50 -10.25 -1.69%

Wood pulp..5092.00 +16 +0.32%
(Closed 31/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah dalem, Europe merah, Asa china merah, jepang indo ijo. Bond rates turun jauh, USD index turun, bagus ini buat saham, tapi koq US merah ya

metal2 pada turun kecuali gold, aneh lagi, oil merah, gas ijo, coal newcastle merah, rotterdam ijo, CPO lanjut merah. AALI LSIP keluar dari LQ45 K100, wah rusak ini…

IHSG – lanjut NFB, stoch rev up, macd rev up, MFI sw, w%up,BD sw, ga tahu berapa panjang ini wave B mau jalan, minimum nya udah done sih sama upper shadow candle kemaren

Basic Materials, Healthcare, Infrastructure… Consumer Non-Cyclicals slown down

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBCA BBRI BMRI BRIS GOTO MEDC PGAS AGRO ENRG MNCN MYOR PTPP PWON TKIM. Big acc BBRI BRIS GOTO PGAS

MACD Buy Signal: BBNI ICBP MTEL PGAS, big accum semua

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: ICBP PGAS MIKA