Posts Tagged ‘inflation’

Daily Analysis 20230614

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

June 14th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks rise after inflation report, S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit fresh 13-month highs

Stocks rose Tuesday after new inflation data showed price pressures slowed again in May, adding to investor optimism that the Federal Reserve could skip a rate hike when it next decides on policy this week.

Dow……34212 +145.8 +0.43%
Nasdaq13573 +111.4 +0.83%
S&P 500.4369 +30.1 +0.69%

FTSE…..7595 +24.1 +0.32%
Dax……16231 +132.8 +0.83%
CAC……7291 +40.5 +0.56%

Nikkei…..33019 +584.7 +1.80%
HSI………19521 +117.1 +0.60%
Shanghai.3234 +4.8 +0.15%

IDX…..6719.01 -3.36 -0.05%
LQ45….952.58 -0.14 -0.01%
IDX30…496.11 -0.14 -0.03%

IDXEnergy…1777.30 -7.14 -0.40%
IDX BscMat…985.27 -9.18 -0.92%
IDX Indstrl…1168.69 -1.37 -0.12%
IDXNONCYC.748.08 -5.91 -0.78%
IDX Hlthcare1526.32 +3.42 +0.22%
IDXCYCLIC…888.71 +3.47 +0.39%
IDX Techno..4933.63 -10.40 -0.21%
IDX Transp..1957.65 -25.04 -1.21%
IDX Infrast…..852.76 -2.39 -0.28%
IDX Finance.1404.88 -1.19 -0.08%
IDX Banking.1180.00 +2.33 +0.20%
IDX Property..744 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.3541 -0.0476 -0.74%đź‘Ť
ICBI..366.7342 +1.1445 +0.31%đź‘Ť
US2Yr.4.669 +0.089 +1.94%
US5Yr 4.001 +0.099 +2.54%
US10Yr3.8150+0.072 +1.92%
US30Yr.3.9260+0.039 +1.00%
VIX……14.61 -0.40 -2.66%

USDIndx103.3380 -0.3160 -0.30%
Como Indx.260.81 +3.87 +1.50%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……145.23 +2.66 +1.86%

IndoCDS.84.19đź‘Ť – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/06)

IDR…..14863.50 +0.50 +0.00%
Jisdor.14868.00 -6.00 -0.04%

Euro……1.0792 +0.0031 +0.29%

TLKM…27.93 -0.15 -0.53%
(4152)
EIDO….23.48 -0.03 -0.13%
EEM…..40.34 +0.40 +0.30%

Oil……69.16 +1.76 +2.61%
Gold…1957.90 -15.00 -0.76%
Timah..25901.00 -601.00 -2.27%
(Closed 02/06)
Nickel..22047.50 +1098.00 +5.24%‼
(Closed 13/06)
Silver……23.75 -0.40 -1.66%
Copper..382.90 +7.70 +2.05%

Iron Ore 62% 111.14 -1.82 -1.61%
(12/06)
Nturl Gas.2.328 +0.049 +2.15%

Coal price.132.25 -1.75 -1.31%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.25 -2.75 -1.96%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.65 -2.35 -1.65%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.142.50 -2.35 -1.62%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price117.50 +2.85 +2.49%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.115.80 +3.80 +3.39%‼
(Jul/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.112.60 +4.00 +3.68%‼
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.111.45 +3.95 +3.67%‼
(Sept/Rotterdam)

CPO(Agt)..3422 +74 +2.21%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……561.25 +2.00 +0.36%
SoybeanOil 53.55 +1.63 +3.14%
Wheat…636.25 +2.50 +0.39%

Wood pulp..4334.00 -10 -0.23%
(Closed 13/06)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Lanjut ijo semua index regional, IHSG merah tipis, siap lanjut today

Oil gas rebound, coal newcastle merah rotterdam ijo, gold silver merah, copper ijo, timah iron ore merah nikel ijo, CPO ijo. Kayanya MDKA mau dibawa koreksi dulu ini…

IHSG – masih ok semua kecuali FF yang masih dist, tapi kayanya bandar lokal compensate dengan akum gede

Masih Energy, Basic Materials, yang leading Technology, Transportation, Healthcare, Industrials

Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA BMRI CPIN INTP JPFA TPIA BSSR

MACD Buy Signal: MYOR TAPG

Alligator Buy Signal: BBNI HRUM TLKM ANJT

Supertrend Buy Signal: AGRO

Daily Analysis 20230609

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

June 09th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow rises more than 160 points to notch third straight day of gains, S&P 500 hits new closing high for 2023

Stocks climbed Thursday as the market built on its recent gains, and traders looked ahead to key inflation data next week as well as the Federal Reserve’s latest policy announcement

Dow……33833 +168.6 +0.50%
Nasdaq13239 +133.6 +1.02%
S&P 500.4294 +26.4 +0.62%

FTSE…..7600 -24.6 -0.32%
Dax……15990 +29.4 +0.18%
CAC……7222 +19.4 +0.27%

Nikkei…..31641 -272.5 -0.85%
HSI………19299 +47.2 +0.25%
Shanghai.3214 +15.8 +0.49%

IDX…..6666.33 +46.58 +0.70%
LQ45….953.39 +7.99 +0.85%
IDX30…496.99 +4.62 +0.94%

IDXEnergy…1761.68 +20.16 +1.16%
IDX BscMat…998.54 -3.70 -0.37%
IDX Indstrl…1167.97 +5.88 +0.51%
IDXNONCYC.747.16 +3.69 +0.50%
IDX Hlthcare1495.80 +11.56 +0.78%
IDXCYCLIC…878.92 +0.84 +0.10%
IDX Techno..4887.38 +102.46 +2.14%
IDX Transp..1932.01 +14.82 +0.77%
IDX Infrast…..854.13 +3.40 +0.40%
IDX Finance.1382.31 +10.49 +0.76%
IDX Banking.1166.04 +10.45 +0.90%
IDX Property..740 -5.30 -0.71%

Indo10Yr.6.4376+0.0160 +0.25%
ICBI..364.3492 -0.1981 -0.05%
US2Yr.4.5240 -0.032 -0.70%
US5Yr 3.8580 -0.070 -1.96%
US10Yr3.7210 -0.079 -2.08%
US30Yr.3.8888 -0.065 -1.64%
VIX……13.65đź‘Ť -0.29 -2.08%

USDIndx103.3430đź‘Ť-0.7560 -0.73%
Como Indx.262.32 +0.88 +0.34%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……144.45 +0.91 +0.64%

IndoCDS.85.19đź‘Ť -0.49 -0.57%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/06)

IDR…..14895.00 +17.50 +0.12%
Jisdor.14903.00 +28.00 +0.19%

Euro……1.0784 +0.0085 +0.79%

TLKM…28.21 +0.29 +1.04%
(4196)
EIDO….23.45 +0.23 +0.99%
EEM…..39.68 +0.28 +0.71%

Oil……71.00 -1.50 -2.06%
Gold…1980.70 +23.60 +1.21%
Timah..25650.00 +32.00 +0.12%
(Closed 07/06)
Nickel..21077.50 -383.00 -1.78%
(Closed 07/06)
Silver……24.35 +0.82 +3.48%
Copper..378.70 +3.50 +0.93%

Iron Ore 62% 109.18 +0.59 +0.54%
(07/06)
Nturl Gas.2.322 -0.006 -0.26%

Coal price.136.25 +0.25 +0.18%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.144.50 +2.65 +1.87%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.147.75 +2.90 +2.00%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.150.75 +3.75 +2.55%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price112.90 +2.90 +2.64%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.107.70 +2.20 +2.09%
(Jul/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.105.90 +1.65 +1.58%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.107.70 +0.80 +0.77%
(Sept/Rotterdam)

CPO(Agt)..3263 -55 -1.66%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……608.00 +10.50 +1.76%
SoybeanOil 50.92 +1.66 +3.37%
Wheat…627.75 +3.75 +0.60%

Wood pulp..4370.00 -10 -0.23%
(Closed 08/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Index regional rata2 ijo semua kecuali Inggris sama Jepang

Oil gas merah coal ijo lagi

Gold Silver Copper ijo, ANTM MDKA ngacir lagi harusnya. TImah ijo nikel merah iron ore merah INCO masih ketahan dulu nih. CPO masih lanjut merah, belum ok

IHSG – stoch buy, macd almost buy,MFI up w% up, BD acc, FNS 2 hari, reg bull div confirmed by MA10 and 2 bull candle, triple bottom, ok sih, tinggal FNB terus lari

Banyak yang jalan, saya pilih Basic Materials dan Energy yang kemungkinan masih panjang gerakannya…

 

Banyak banget yang Stochastic nya buy, yang big accum UNTR, kita check juga INKP SMGR ERAA JSMR TKIM

MACD buy signal: SRTG ERAA JSMR

Alligator buy signal: PGAS AMFG

Daily Analysis 20230511

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

May 11th, 2023

Good morning,

Nasdaq closes 1% higher Wednesday after inflation data is cooler than anticipated

The Nasdaq Composite
closed higher Wednesday as investors fled to tech stocks after a tamer-than-expected inflation report.

Dow……33531 -30.5 -0.09%
Nasdaq12206 +126.9 +1.04%
S&P 500.4138 +18.5 +0.49%

FTSE…..7741 -22.8 -0.29%
Dax……15896 -59.3 -0.37%
CAC……7361 -35.97 -0.49%

Nikkei…..29122 -120.6 -0.41%
HSI………19762 -106.4 -0.53%
Shanghai.3319 -38.5 -1.15%

IDX…..6811.90 +31.92 +0.47%
LQ45….947.49 +7.01 +0.75%
IDX30…493.49 +4.27 +0.87!%

IDXEnergy…1972.36 -0.07 -0.06%
IDX BscMat 1112.34 -5.27 -0.47%
IDX Indstrl…1172.49 +6.14 +0.53%
IDXNONCYC.738.28 +2.77 +0.38%
IDX Hlthcare1469.15 -1.59 -0.11%
IDXCYCLIC…838.15 -1.87 -0.22%
IDX Techno..5038.27 +77.38 +1.56%
IDX Transp..1856.87 +8.74 +0.47%
IDX Infrast…..829.64 +3.87 +0.47%
IDX Finance.1382.83 +2.95 +0.21%
IDX Banking.1143.56 +3.89 +0.34%
IDX Property…..728 -4.60 -0.64%

Indo10Yr.6.5976đź‘Ť -0.0389 -0.59%
ICBI….359.2373đź‘Ť +0.4745 +0.13%
US2Yr.3.9098 -0.1165 -2.89%
US5Yr 3.3794 -0.1187 -3.39%
US10Yr3.4390 -0.0830 -2.36%
US30Yr.3.7960 -0.0470 -1.22%
VIX……16.94đź‘Ť -0.77 -4.35%

USDIndx101.4770 -0.1280 -0.13%
Como Indx.262.22 -1.90 -0.73%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…149.50 -3.27 -2.14%

IndoCDS.97.53 +1.49 +1.55%
(5-yr INOCD5) (08/05)

IDR…..14732.00 -10.00 -0.07%
Jisdor.14746.00 -11.00 -0.07%

Euro……1.0984 +0.0018 +0.16%

TLKM..28.31 +0.51 +1.83%
(4174)
EIDO….24.23 +0.18 +0.75%
EEM…..39.15 -0.02 -0.05%

Oil……72.81 -0.74 -1.01%
Gold…2036.60 -6.70 -0.33%
Timah..25995.00 -69.00 -0.26%
(Closed 09/05)
Nickel..22509.50 -1019.00 -4.33%‼
(Closed 10/05)
Silver……25.58 -0.32 -1.24%
Copper…385.90 -5.55 -1.42%
Iron Ore 62% 106.05 -1.35 -1.26%
(09/05)
Nturl Gas.2.186 -0.071 -3.14%

Coal price.166.95 -2.05 -1.21%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.164.95 -2.70 -1.61%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.167.00 -5.85 -3.38%‼
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.170.45 -7.55 -4.24%‼
(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price.122.45 -2.55 -2.04%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.113.45 -4.35 -3.69%‼
(Jun/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 111.80 -6.00 -5.09%‼
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 112.40 -6.15 -5.19%‼
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jul)…3701 -103.00 -2.71%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..594.00 +9.25 +1.58%
SoybeanOil52.05 -0.99 -1.87%
Wheat…..641.25 -2.25 -0.35%

Wood pulp..4040.00 +10 +0.25%
(Closed 10/05)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI merah tipis, Nasdaq ijo tebel, Europe merah asia merah kecuali IDX, ini belum kebaca mau kemana hari ini, kemaren dikira mau merah ikut asia dan US kemarennya tapi malah ijo. Tapi emang rebound dari support sih, so mungkin jalan lag tudei, walau kemungkinan besar sideways doang hari ini

USD index turun, vix turun,which is good, tapi anehnya semua commodity turun. Saat aneh kaya gini fundamental analysis ga jalan, kita patokan tetep technical aja…

US interest rate turun, bagus buat saham sih…

IHSG – stoch masih down, macd flattening, 833 buy, BD acc, last day NFB, MFI w% sw, regbull div MACD confirmed by 2 bull candle, pas mantul di support dan fibo 23,supposedly lanjut…

Property Transportation Infrastructure Consumer Cyclicals Consumer Non-Cyclicals Technology. Tapi yang menggembirakan Financials mulai ada gerakan

Stochastic Buy Signal: ANTM MTMH TOBA ANJT IGAR

MACD Buy Signal: SRTG BBHI BSSR

Alligator Buy Signal: LMSH

Daily Analysis 20230509

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

May 09th, 2023

Good morning,

S&P 500 ends Monday little changed as investors look ahead to key inflation reports

The S&P 500
closed near the flat line on Monday as investors looked ahead to pivotal inflation readings, including April’s consumer price index report.

Dow……33619 -55.7 -0.17%
Nasdaq12257 +21.5. +0.18%
S&P 500.4138 +1.9 +0.05%

FTSE…..7778 closed +0%
Dax……15953 -8.2 -0.05%
CAC……7441 +7.88 +0.11%

Nikkei…..28959 -199.5 -0.68%
HSI………20297 +247.7 +1.24%
Shanghai.3395 +60.5 +1.81%

IDX…..6769.63 -18.00 -0.27%
LQ45….938.05 -7.00 -0.74%
IDX30…488.17 -4.19 -0.85%

IDXEnergy…1975.57 +21.21 +1.09%
IDX BscMat 1120.00 +5.15 +0.46%
IDX Indstrl…1156.37 +11.07 +0.97%
IDXNONCYC.736.71 +2.68 +0.37%
IDX Hlthcare1476.23 -9.40 -0.63%
IDXCYCLIC….821.69 +5.27 +0.65%
IDX Techno..4866.67 -7.07 -0.15%
IDX Transp..1830.38 +20.74 +1.15%
IDX Infrast…..817.59 -0.15 -0.02%
IDX Finance.1379.11 +0.92 +0.07%
IDX Banking.1141.65 -8.54 -0.74%
*IDX Property…722 +18.90 +2.69%*

Indo10Yr.6.6543 +0.0005 +0.007%
ICBI….358.4588 -0.0580 -0.02%
*US2Yr.4.0012 +0.0831 +2.12%*
*US5Yr 3.4878 +0.0774 +2.27%*
*US10Yr3.5070 +0.0720 +2.10%*
*US30Yr.3.8230* +0.0730 +1.95%
*VIX……16.98đź‘Ť -0.21 -1.22%*

*USDIndx101.3770 +0.1630 +0.16%*
Como Indx.264.00 +2.40 +0.92%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…154.19 +0.63 +0.41%

*IndoCDS.100.00 -0.49 -0.49%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(08/05)*

*IDR…..14710.50 +32.50 +0.22%*
*Jisdor.14709.00 +35.00 +0.24%*

*Euro……1.1003 -0.0016 -0.15%*

*TLKM..27.83 -0.77 -2.69%*
*(4094)*
EIDO….24.02 -0.27 -1.11%
EEM…..39.41 +0.02 +0.05%

*Oil……72.99 +1.65 +2.31%*
Gold…2028.40 +3.60 +0.18%
Timah..26064.00 closed +0%
*(Closed 05/05)*
Nickel..24712.50 closed +0%
(Closed 05/05)
Silver……25.79 -0.14 -0.54%
Copper…392.00 +3.70 +0.95%
*Iron Ore 62% 103.55 -0.32 -0.31%*
(05/05)
*Nturl Gas.2.245 +0.130 +6.15%‼️*

Coal price.169.65 closed +0%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.168.50 closed +0%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.174.60 closed +0%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.182.60 closed +0%
(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price.127.15 unch +0%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.50 +0.45 +0.37%
(Jun/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 123.10 +1.90 +1.57%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 123.60 +2.05 +1.69%
(Agt/Rotterdam)

*CPO(Jul)…3758 +167.00 +4.48%‼️*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..596.50 unch +0%
SoybeanOil53.65 -0.68 -1.25%
Wheat…..654.00 -6.25 -0.95%

*Wood pulp..4010.00 +10 +0.25%*
(Closed 08/05)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US ijo tebel, Europe masih tipis2, asia kemaren ijo, IHSG ijo tebel, lanjut ah…

 

IHSG – stoch buy, macdup, MFI flat, w% uptrend, BD FF acc, alligator buy, double bottom formed, semoga breakout

 

Industrials, Infrastructure, disusul Basic Materials dan Consumer Non-Cyclicals

 

Stochastic Buy Signal: ACES BUKA ESSA PTBA SRTG UNVR AVIA LSIP MLPL

 

MACD Buy Signal: AMRT KLBF UNVR GGRM

 

Alligator Buy Signal: AGRO TAPG

 

Supertrend Buy Signal: UNVR ADHI

Oil Gas Ijo, Coal Merah, Gold merah, metal2 lain ijo, nikel ijo tebel lagi, GO GO INCO, CPO drop lagi

 

ACES – tunggu macd assess lagi, BD FF masih dist

 

BUKA – big accumulation, FNB, stoch buy macd up, MFI upw% up, udah bikin higher low, bisa spec buy sih…

 

Spike nya meyakinkan

 

UNVR – stoch buy macd buy, MFI up, w% uptrend, double bottom, adagap di atas, tapi PBV 31, PER 35, saya mah skip… Yang pegang hold

 

Spike lumayan

 

KLBF – stoch up, macd buy, MFI up, w% down, BD FF acc, abis wave 5 Belum beres abc correction, baru koreksi ke sekitar fibo 23, Belum beres sih keliatannya WNS