Daily Analysis 20230411

Daily Analysis 20230411

April 11th, 2023 Good morning, The S&P 500 ticked slightly higher Monday as investors looked ahead to key inflation data this week. Dow......33587 +101.2 +0.30% Nasdaq12084 -3.60 -0.03% S&P 500.4109…
Daily Analysis 20230404

Daily Analysis 20230404

April 04th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes 300 points higher to begin April’s trading, S&P 500 notches fourth day of gains

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
added more than 300 points on Monday, as Wall Street shows resilience despite an oil output cut from OPEC+ that threatens to stoke inflation and recession fears.

Dow……33601 +327.0 +0.98%
Nasdaq12189 -32.5 -0.27%
S&P 500.4125 +15.2. +0.37%

FTSE…..7673 +41.3 +0.54%
Dax…..15581. -47.9 -0.31%
CAC……7346 +23.6 +0.32%

Nikkei…..28188 +146.7 +0.52%
HSI………20409 +9.1. +0.04%
Shanghai.3296 +23.5 +0.72%

IDX…..6827.17 +21.90 +0.32%
LQ45….943.07 +5.39 +0.57%
IDX30…491.28 +3.00 +0.61%

IDXEnergy…2108.29 +4.65 +0.22%
IDX BscMat 1181.75 -2.00 -0.17%
IDX Indstrl…1182.25 -3.32 -0.28%
IDXNONCYC.724.49 -7.15 -0.98%
IDX Hlthcare1536.07 -4.58 -0.30%
IDXCYCLIC…..824.72 +2.40 -0.40%
IDX Techno..5077.11 -23.62 -0.46%
IDX Transp..1784.53 -4.82. -0.27%
IDX Infrast…..812.58 +3.74 +0.46%
IDX Finance.1393.10 +7.27 +0.52%
IDX Banking.1145.11 +8.98 +0.79%
IDX Property…686 -0.9 -0.13%

Indo10Yr.6.7978 +0.0022 +0.03%
ICBI…..353.5184 +0.1977 +0.06%👍
US2Yr.3.9696 -0.0680 -1.68%
US5Yr 3.5079 -0.0757 -2.11%
US10Yr 3.4150 -0.0580 -1.67%
US30Yr.3.6330 +0.1600 +4.61%👍
VIX…… 18.55 -0.15 -0.88%

USDIndx102.1660 -0.4899 -0.47%
Como Indx.271.34 +3.61 +1.35%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…158.29 -1.69 -1.06%

IndoCDS..95.060 -3.950 -3.99%👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/31)

IDR…..14971.50 -24.50 -0.16%👍
Jisdor.14990.00 +13.00 +0.09%👍

Euro……1.0902 +0.0063 +0.58%

TLKM….27.50 +0.23 +0.84%
(4122)
EIDO……23.75 +0.22 +0.94%
EEM……39.54 +0.08 +0.20%

Oil……80.42 +4.75 +6.28%‼️
Gold.2000.40 +14.20 +0.71%
Timah 25835.00 -81.00 -0.31%
(Closed 03/31)
Nickel..23060.50 -684.00 -2.88%
(Closed 04/03)
Silver…..24.02 -0.13 -0.56%
Copper..404.55 -4.90 -1.20%

Nturl Gas.2.117 -0.049 -2.26%

Ammonia 3966.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/29)

Coal price.200.00 +7.00 +3.63%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.212.00 +12.50 +6.27%‼️
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.234.00 +28.30 +13.76%‼️
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.234.25 +26.10 +12.53%‼️
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price.149.00 +11.10 +8.05%‼️
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.146.25 +9.35 +6.75%‼️
(May/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 144.75 +11.50 +8.63%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 146.55 +13.85+10.43%‼️
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3885 +127 +3.38%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..657.75 -2.75 -0.42%
SoybeanOil.56.68 +1.19 +2.14%
Wheat…..693.50 +1.25 +0.8%

Wood pulp…5060.00 -20 -039%
(Closed 04/03)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI lanjut ijo, nasdaq merah dikit. Europe mostly ijo. Asia kemaren ijo semua, semoga hari ini lanjut rally

Oil Coal jump, gas down, gold rebound, metal2 lain lanjut merah. cpo jump

NCF naik tinggi hari kedua, dari hitungan ABC correction sudah done, oscillators says up, supertrend buy alligator sedikit lagi. seems okay

Oil juga price jump, saham minyak belum banyak gerak pas coal naik tinggi, mungkin sekarang gilirannya.

IHSG – masih terus FNB dan bd acc, walau 833 overbought dan sell signal, stoch up macd up mfi up, w% uptrend, masih belum tembus fibo 38, tapi optimis akan touch neckline double bottom

Energy, Financials, Basic Materials, Transportation, Consumer Cyclicals

AKRA leading, MEDC INDY udah jalan, yang baru mau gerak PGAS HRUM ELSA

Stochastic Buy Signal: LTLS

MACD Buy Signal: HRUM BMTR ELSA SMRA

Alligator Buy Signal (big acc sorted): TBIG BRMS

Supertrend Buy Signal: PTBA MEDC AALI MBSS

Daily Analysis 20230227

Daily Analysis 20230227

February 27th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close lower Friday after hot inflation report; major averages log worst week in 2023

U.S. stocks fell sharply Friday, wrapping up their worst week of 2023, after the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge showed a stronger-than-expected increase in prices last month.

Dow…..32817 -337 -1.02%
Nasdaq11395 -195.5 -1.69%
S&P 500.3970 -42.3 -1.05%

FTSE…….7879 -29.1 -0.37%
Dax……..15210 -266 -1.72%
CAC……..7187 -130.2 -1.78%

Nikkei…..27453 +349.2 +1.29%
HSI………20010 -341.3 -1.68%
Shanghai.3267 -20.3 -0.62%

IDX…..6856.58 +17.12 +0.25%
LQ45….946.93 +2.50 +0.27%
IDX30…492.33 +1.59 +0.32%

IDXEnergy…2072.51 +15.05 +0.73%
IDX BscMat 1238.38 -0.64 -0.05%
IDX Indstrl…1155.94 +6.55 +0.57%
IDXNONCYC..752.10 -3.46 -0.46%
IDX Hlthcare1593.69 +11.83+0.75%
IDXCYCLIC…848.83 +2.48 +0.29%
IDX Techno.5449.20 +58.90+1.09%
IDX Transp1909.29 +12.17+0.64%
IDX Infrast….865.08 +2.25 +0.26%
IDX Finance1404.91 -3.87 -0.27%
IDX Banking1134.44 -3.19 -0.28%
IDX Property….688 -3.30 -0.48%

Indo10Yr.6.8382 +0.0085 +0.12%
ICBI..350.0712 +0.02222 +0.01%
US5Yr 4.2216+0.0016 +0.04%
US10Yr3.9470+0.0020 +0.05%
US30Yr.3.9300+0.0080+0.20%
VIX……. 21.67 +0.53 +2.51%

USDIndx105.2140+1.0310 +0.99%‼️
Como Indx.267.15 +0.21 +0.08%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….157.97 -3.95 -2.44%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15227.50 +35.50 +0.23%
Jisdor.15216.00 +29.00 +0.19%

Euro……1.0548 -0.0048 -0.45%

TLKM….26.15 +0.29 +1.12%
(3979)
EIDO……22.88 -0.12 -0.52%
EEM…38.30 -0.88 -2.25%

Oil…….76.32 +0.93 +1.23%
Gold 1817.10 -9.70 -0.53%
Timah 25651 -520.00 -1.99%
(Closed 02/24)
Nickel.24424 -878.00 -3.47%‼️
(Closed 02/24)
Silver…….20.94 -0.50 -2.34%
Copper..395.30 -10.30 -2.54%

Nturl Gas.2.726 +0.265+10.76%‼️

Ammonia 4490.00 +66.67 +1.51%
China
(Domestic Price)(02/23)

Coal price204.50 +2.65 +1.31%
(Mar/Newcastle)

Coal price 156.00 +8.00 +5.41%‼️
(Mar/ Rotterdam)

CPO(May)….4203 -32 -0.76%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..649.25 -10.00 -1.52%
SoybeanOil..61.22 -0.96 -1.54%
.Wheat….721.75 -28.75 -3.83%‼️

Wood pulp…5930.00 unch +0%
(Closed 02/23)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US europe closing merah pas jum’at. Asia masih varied kemaren, beware merah lagi hari ini.

commodity terkait energy naik semua, metal merah semua, cpo turun dikit. Keliatanya mulai swing terakhir energy sebelum winter selesai ini…

IHSG – Stoch still down, MACD down, udah tutup gap, ada gap di bawah, last day NFS, BD flat, MFI sw, koreksi udah cukup kemaren ke fibo 50, harusnya paling tutup gap dulu terus lanjut ke atas

Infrastructure, Consumer Cyclicals, Transportation, disusul Industrials, Energy, Technology

Stoch Buy Signal: ASII MEDC DOID MAPI WIKA LMSH LTLS

MACD Buy Signal: ESSA IGAR

Alligator Signal: MPMX PNLF

Daily Analysis 20230220

Daily Analysis 20230220

February 20th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 100 points higher on Friday, but notches third straight week of losses on rate fears: Live updates

U.S. stocks were mixed on Friday as stubbornly high inflation and a rebound in rates continued to weigh on investor sentiment.

Dow…….33827 +129.8 +0.39%
Nasdaq.11787 -68.6 -0.58%
S&P 500..4079 -11.3 -0.28%

FTSE…….8004 -8.1 -0.10%
Dax……..15482 -51.6 -0.33%
CAC……..7348 -18.4 -0.25%

Nikkei…..27513 -183.3 -0.66%
HSI………20720 -267.9 -1.28%
Shanghai..3224 -25.01 -0.77%

IDX…..6895.71 +0.05 +0.05%
LQ45….954.38 +0.89 +0.09%
IDX30…496.30 +0.62 +0.12%

IDXEnergy…2082.24 -15.90 -0.76%
IDX BscMat 1250.68 -9.82 -0.78%
IDX Indstrl…1155.18 -2.51 -0.22%
IDXNONCYC..759.27 +3.86 +0.51%
IDX Hlthcare1615.73 +10.34+0.64%
IDXCYCLIC…844.41 -5.31 -0.63%
IDX Techno5613.44 +27.60 +0.49%
IDX Transp1841.68 -5.26 -0.28%
IDX Infrast….865.21 -1.82 -0.21 %
IDX Finance1427.65 +4.48 +0.32%
IDX Banking1162.24 +5.43 +0.47%
IDX Property….697 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.7641 -0.0056 -0.08%
ICBI..350.7567 +0.1073 +0.03%
US10Yr.3.8280 -0.0150 -0.39%
VIX……20.02 -0.15 -0.74%

USDIndx104.0500+0.2289+0.21%‼️
Como Indx.267.57 -2.68 -0.99%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..163.14 -0.34 -0.21%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15210.00 +51.00 +0.34%‼️
Jisdor.15199.00 +23.00 +0.15%‼️

Euro……1.0686 -0.0004 -0.04%

TLKM….24.86 -0.01 -0.04%
(3778)
EIDO……23.18 -0.11 -0.47%
EEM……39.68 -0.44 -1.10%

Oil…….76.34 -2.15 -2.74%
Gold 1850.20 -1.60 -0.09%
Timah 25856 -1148.00 -4.25%‼️
(Closed 02/17)
Nickel.26647.00 -967.50 -3.63%‼️
(Closed 02/17)
Silver…….21.86 -0.01 -0.06%
Copper..410.50 -1.65 -0.40%

Nturl Gas.2.300 -0.093 -3.88%‼️

Ammonia 4323.33 -83.34 -1.89%
China
(Domestic Price)(02/16)

Coal price.209.35 -4.65 -2.17%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price183.00 -3.30 -1.77%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price180.65 -3.30 -1.79%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price182.40 -3.05 -1.64%
(Mei/Newcastle)

Coal price.136.50 -0.50 -0.36%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 136.20-2.80 -2.01%
(Mar/ Rotterdam)
Coal price134.95 -2.05 -1.50%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price134.30 -3.10 -2.26%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)….4136 +66 +1.62%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..677.50 +2.50 +0.37%
SoybeanOil..61.75 -0.40 -0.64%
Wheat…….776.25 unch +0%

Wood pulp…6030.00 unch +0%
(Closed 02/19)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Era9wati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua merah kecuali Dollar Index dan DJI, Kospi dan IDX ijo tipis, almost doji. Not good, tapi asal major uptrend malah jadi waktunya belanja

Semua commodity juga merah kecuali CPO, pas buat AALI sama LSIP untuk finally jalan

IHSG – belum berhasil breakout resistance, masih NFS, BD flat, MACD sell, Stoch sw, MFI down, ST up alligator up, w% sw, masih sideways dulu kayanya, dengan big banks LK bagus optimis major tetep uptrend, tapi hati2 sell-off pemain teknikal bisa banting karena pada exit liat MACD sell

Healthcare, Infrastructure (versi telco and tower provider, bukan BUMN karya), Energy (versi coal)

Stochastic Buy Signal: GOTO INDY TOWR AALI AGRO ASSA DSNG JSMR PNLF AFMG

JSMR very big accumulation

MACD Buy Signal: AFMG

Alligator Buy Signal: BRIS

Supertrend Buy Signal: GOTO

Daily Analysis 20230217

Daily Analysis 20230217

February 17th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes 400 points lower as hot inflation report, comments from Fed’s Bullard raise rate hike fears

Stocks fell Thursday after another hot inflation report, and a decline in jobless claims, showed the economy is holding up amid the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes.

Dow…….33697 -431.2 -1.26%
Nasdaq.11856 -214.8 -1.78%
S&P 500..4090 -57.2 -1.38%

FTSE…….8013 +14.70 +0.18%
Dax……..15534 +27.3 +0.18%
CAC……..7366 +65.3 +0.89%

Nikkei…..27696 +194.6 +0.71%
HSI………20988 +175.5 +0.84%
Shanghai..3249 -31.5 -0.96%

IDX…..6895.66 -18.87 -0.27%
LQ45….953.49 -4.15 -0.43%
IDX30…495.68 -2.19 -0.44%

IDXEnergy…2098.15 -11.47 -0.54%
IDX BscMat 1260.50 -1.75 -0.14%
IDX Indstrl…1157.69 -0.67 -0.06%
IDXNONCYC..755.41 -4.04 -0.53%
IDX Hlthcare1605.40 -11.73 -0.73%
IDXCYCLIC…849.72 +4.64 +0.55%
IDX Techno5585.84 +57.44 +1.04%
IDX Transp1846.95 +15.38 +0.84%
IDX Infrast….867.03 +7.94 +0.92 %
IDX Finance1423.17 -3.19 -0.22%
IDX Banking1156.81 -8.52 -0.73%
IDX Property….697 -0.30 -0.05%

Indo10Yr.6.7698 -0.0076 -0.11%
ICBI..350.6495 +0.1943 +0.06%
US10Yr.3.8430 +0.0340 +0.89%
VIX……20.17 +1.94 +10.64%‼️

USDIndx104.0500+0.2289+0.21%‼️
Como Indx.270.25 -0.13 -0.05%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..163.48 +1.63 +1.01%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15206.50 +39.50 +0.26%
Jisdor.15176.00 -18.00 -0.12%

Euro……1.0690 -0.0045 -0.42%

TLKM….24.87 -0.09 -0.36%
(3774)
EIDO……23.29 -0.11 -0.47%
EEM……40.12 +0.01 +0.02%

Oil……..78.49 -0.10 -0.13%
Gold 1851.80 +6.50 +0.35%
Timah 26658 -159.00 -0.59%
(Closed 02/15)
Nickel.26647.00 +620.90 +2.38%‼️
(Closed 02/16)
Silver…….21.71 +0.14 +0.64%
Copper..412.15 +10.00 +2.49%

Nturl Gas.2.394 -0.072 -2.92%

Ammonia4406.67 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(02/15)

Coal price.214.00 -5.90 -2.68%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price186.30 -9.70 -4.95%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price183.95 -11.45 -5.86%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price185.45 -11.65 -5.91%‼️
(Mei/Newcastle)

Coal price.137.00 +0.50 +0.37%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 139.00-3.00 -2.11%
(Mar/ Rotterdam)
Coal price137.00 -3.00 -2.14%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price137.40 -1.60 -1.15%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)….4070 +126 +3.19%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..675.00 +1.00 +0.15%
SoybeanOil..62.15 +0.71 +1.16%
Wheat…….776.25 -4.00. -0.51%

Wood pulp…6030.00 -20 -0.33%
(Closed 02/16)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Era9wati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah rada dalem, europe market closing masih ijo asia varied, IHSG merah lagi

CPO naik tinggi, itu kayanya kemaren AALI LSIP naik tinggi… Oil merah, gas drop, coal drop, metal2 naik semua, watchout for ANTM MDKA INCO

IHSG – 2 hari NFS, belum jadi break resistance, masih SW dulu. stoch down, MACD sell, MFI sw, bd sw, jangan terlalu aggresive dulu, cermati yang lagi hajatan aja. Major trend masih up, wave 3, tapi belum lari. Kayanya nunggu resmi laporan keuangan big bank keluar semua dulu

Tinggal infrastructure yang arahnya bagus, healthcare melemah juga

Stoch Buy Signal: ASII TINS BRMS LSIP WIFI

MACD Buy Signal: GOTO INDY SRTG AALI ASSA LSIP

Alligator Buy Signal: INDF AGII BRMS MLPL IGAR

Supertrend: MTEL AALI LSIP WIFI