Posts Tagged ‘inflation’

Daily Analysis 20230714

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

July 14th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks rose Thursday after another key inflation reading came in lighter than expected. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite closed at their highest levels in over a year.

Dow……34395 +47.7 +0.14%
Nasdaq14139 +219.5 +1.58%
S&P 500.4510 +37.9 +0.85%

FTSE…..7440 +24.1. +0.32%
Dax……16141 +118.03 +0.74%
CAC……7370 +36.8. +0.50%

Nikkei…32419 +475.4 +1.49%
HSI…….19351 +489.7 +2.60%
Shanghai.3236 +40.4 +1.26%

IDX…..6810.21 +2.00 +0.03%
LQ45….956.95 -1.04 -0.11%
IDX30…496.69 -0.50 -0.10%

IDXEnergy…1835.00 -5.99 -0.33%
IDX BscMat.1045.30 +8.36 +0.81%
IDX Indstrl…1197.50 +2.66 +0.22%
IDXNONCYC.759.68 -1.99 -0.26%
IDX Hlthcare1555.56 +32.40 +2.13%
IDXCYCLIC….912.15 -9.33 -1.01%
IDX Techno.4811.56 -4.11 -0.09%
IDX Transp..1924.05 -0.29 -0.01%
IDX Infrast… .849.70 -7.09 -0.83%
IDX Finance.1426.28 +1.14 +0.08%
IDX Banking.1187.24 -0.80 -0.07%
IDX Property..749 -9.10 -1.20%

Indo10Yr.6.2957👍 -0.0145 -0.23%
ICBI….368.9832👍 +0.4154 +0.11%
US2Yr.4.6320 -0.255 -5.22%👍
US5Yr 3.9470 -0.128 -3.14%👍
US10Yr3.7660 -0.096 -2.49%👍
US30Yr.3.8990-0.112 -2.79%👍
VIX…….13.61 +0.07 +0.52%

USDIndx 99.7700👍 -0.7510 -0.75%
Como Indx…270.74 +2.44 +0.91%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…….147.60 +2.19 +1.51%

IndoCDS.85.68👍 -1.97 -2.25%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/07)
IDR…..14950.50 -109.00 -0.72%👍
Jisdor.14978.00 -106.00 -0.70%👍

Euro……1.1226 +0.009 +0.81%

TLKM…26.19 -0.22 -0.83%
(3923)
EIDO….23.64 -0.03 -0.13%
EEM…..41.24 +0.53 +1.30%

Oil…..77.20 +2.40 +3.21%
Gold…1965.30 +2.90 +0.15%
Timah..29069.00 +1113.00+3.98%‼
(Closed 12/07)
Nickel..21257.50 -370.50 -1.71%
(Closed 12/07)
Silver…. 25.10 +0.76 +3.12%‼
Copper.395.10 +9.45 +2.45%

Iron Ore 62% 110.61 +1.27 +1.16%
(12/07)
Nturl Gas.2.553 -0.097 -3.66%‼
Ammonia China..2866.67 unch +0%
(Domestic Price)(13/07)

Coal price.128.00 -1.05 -0.81%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.127.15 -0.90 -0.70%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.128.25 -1.00 -0.77%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.131.90 -0.80 -0.60%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price103.65 -0.40 -0.39%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..93.50 -0.95 -1.00%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…93.45 -0.65 -0.69%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price..93.95 -0.95 -1.00%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)..3853 -63 -1.60%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…500.50 +16.75 +3.46%‼
SoybeanOil 61.27 +1.91 +3.22%‼
Wheat…639.75 +7.00 +1.11%

Wood pulp..4390.00 +10 +0.23%
(Closed 13/07)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

semua index ijo, LANJUT!!!

USDindexturun, semua metal naik, ANTM INCO TINS MDKA lanjut… Oil jump, gas drop, coal merah dikit, harusnya MEDC ELSA rebound ini, Emiten Coal hati hati…. CPO lanjut turun, ditunggu mantulnya lagi buat re-entry LSIP

pada bangun kalo giliran index jalan sih… Yang paling potensi harusnya yang dari zone 2 berangkatnya: Healthcare sama Property, nanti kita liat di screeningnya, apa masih ada yang belum jalan dan bisa entry

Basic Materials yang masih jelas lagi jalan, Consumer Cyclicals, Energy, Industrials

Big accum ga sempet masuk tabel screener

Stochastic Buy Signal: BFIN WIKA

MACD Buy Signal: BBCA

MEDC MTEL MACD sell, consider exit today kalo ga ngebalik lagi

Alligator Buy Signal: AKRA BUKA INTP ITMG UNTR

Supertrend Buy Signal: MIKA

Daily Analysis 20230713

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

July 13th, 2023

Good morning,

Stock closes higher in after the S&P 500 closed at its highest level in over a year. Markets also looked ahead to another key inflation reading.

Dow……34347 +86.01 +0.25%
Nasdaq13981 +158.3 +1.18%
S&P 500.4472 +32.9 +0.74%

FTSE…..7416 +133.6 +1.83%
Dax……16203 +232.7 +1.47%
CAC……7333 +113.0 +1.57%

Nikkei…31943 -259.6 -0.81%
HSI…….18861 +201.1 +1.08%
Shanghai.3196 -25.2 -0.78%

IDX…..6808.21 +11.28 +0.17%
LQ45….957.99 +3.03 +0.32%
IDX30…497.19 +1.71 +0.35%

IDXEnergy…1840.99 -17.48 -0.94%
IDX BscMat.1036.93 -3.01 -0.29%
IDX Indstrl…1194.84 -2.03 -0.17%
IDXNONCYC.761.67 -0.10 -0.01%
IDX Hlthcare1523.16 +0.76 +2.88%
IDXCYCLIC….921.48 +0.00 +0.01%
IDX Techno.4815.68 +67.71 +1.43%
IDX Transp..1924.05 -0.29 -0.01%
IDX Infrast… .856.79 +0.16 +0.02%
IDX Finance.1425.15 +2.86 +0.20%
IDX Banking.1188.03 +3.53 +0.47%
IDX Property..751 +4.20 +0.56%

Indo10Yr.6.3102👍 -0.0270 -0.43%
ICBI….368.5678👍 +04692 +0.13%
US2Yr.4.8870 -0.139 -2.84%👍
US5Yr 4.0750 -0.164 -3.86%👍
US10Yr3.8620 -0.111 -2.79%👍
US30Yr.4.0110-0.062 -1.55%
VIX…….13.54 -1.30 -8.76%👍

USDIndx100.5210👍 -1.2110 -1.19%
Como Indx…268.30 +0.70 +0.26%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……145.40 +4.19 +2.97%

IndoCDS.87.66 -0.98 -1.11%
(5-yr INOCD5) (11/07)
IDR…..15074.50 -78.50 -0.52%
Jisdor.15084.00 -78.00 -0.51%

Euro……1.1136 +0.0126 +1.14%

TLKM…26.41 +0.33 +1.27%
(3983)
EIDO….23.67 +0.63 +2.73%
EEM…..40.71 +0.89 +2.24%

Oil…..74.80 +1.08 +1.44%
Gold…1962.40‼ +24.50 +1.26%
Timah..27956.00 +6.00 +0.02%
(Closed 11/07)
Nickel..21628.00 +918.00 +4.43%‼
(Closed 12/07)
Silver…. 24.34 +1.01 +4.33%‼
Copper.385.65 +8.60 +2.28%

Iron Ore 62% 109.34 +0.13 +0.12%
(11/07)
Nturl Gas.2.6490 -0.083 -3.04%

Coal price.129.05 -1.95 -1.49%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.128.05 -5.95 -4.44%‼
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.129.25 -6.60 -4.86%‼
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.132.70 -7.10 -5.08%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price104.05 -1.85 -1.70%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..94.45 -5.40 -5.41%‼
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…94.10 -5.50 -5.52%‼
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price..94.90 -5.00 -5.00%‼
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)..3928 +40 +1.02%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…483.75 -17.75 -3.54%‼
SoybeanOil 59.36 -0.57 -0.95%
Wheat…632.75 -27.75 -4.20%‼

Wood pulp..4380.00 +20 +0.46%
(Closed 10/07)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia

Index regional hampir semua ijo kecuali nikkei, kayanya lanjut rally ini IHSG

USD index drop, automatically precious metals naik tinggi semua. Oil ijo Gas drop, coal drop, cpo ijo. Consider exit yang coal coal ya, bahaya ini udha 3 hari berturut2 coal price turun, ini ketahan index jalan makanya masih bertahan emiten coal

IHSG – lanjut FNB, SUpertrend Buy, Alligator up, tembus cloud ichimoku ke atas, IHNS jalan, stoch up, macd up, harusnya lanjut rally sih

Malah property sama Consumer Cyclicals yang kebaca arahnya bagus, tapi dengan harga komoditi naik tinggi gini sih, basic materials harusnya jalan lagi

Stochastic Buy Signal: ACES GOTO KLBF ADHI MIKA MBSS

MACD Buy SIgnal: ICBP MIKA LMSH SGRO

Alligator Buy Signal: MEDC

Supertrend Buy Signal: BABP

Daily Analysis 20230712

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

July 12th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes 300 points higher Tuesday as key consumer inflation report looms

U.S. stocks rose Tuesday, a day after the major averages snapped a three-session decline, as traders awaited key inflation data slated for release later in the week.

Dow……34261 +317.02 +0.93%
Nasdaq13761 +75.2 +0.55%
S&P 500.4439 +29.7 +0.67%

FTSE…..7283 +8.7 +0.12%
Dax……15790 +117.2 +0.75%
CAC……7220 +76.3 +1.07%

Nikkei…32204 +13.8 +0.04%
HSI…….18660 +180.1 +0.97%
Shanghai.3221+17.7 +0.55%

IDX…..6796.92 +65.89 +0.98%
LQ45….954.96 +5.80 +0.61%
IDX30…495.48 +2.76 +0.56%

IDXEnergy…1858.47 +20.88 +1.14%
IDX BscMat.1039.94 +15.10 +1.47%
IDX Indstrl…1196.87 +2.89 +0.24%
IDXNONCYC.761.77 +6.31 +0.84%
*IDX Hlthcare1522.40 +42.66 +2.88%*
IDXCYCLIC….921.48 +10.67 +1.17%
IDX Techno.4747.96 +40.19 +0.85%
IDX Transp..1924.25 +7.87 +0.41%
IDX Infrast… .856.63 -0.21 -0.02%
IDX Finance.1422.28 +6.72 +0.47%
IDX Banking.1184.24 +5.53 +0.47%
IDX Property..751 +4.20 +0.56%

*Indo10Yr.6.3372 -0.0186 -0.29%*
*ICBI….368.0968 +0.6426 +0.17%*
*US2Yr.4.8870* +0.023 +0.47%
*US5Yr 4.2390* unch +0%
*US10Yr3.9730* -0.024 -0.60%
*US30Yr.4.0110*+0.014 +0.35%
*VIX…….14.84 -0.23 -1.53%*

*USDIndx101.7320👍* -0.2400 -0.24%
Como Indx…267.60 +3.21 +1.22%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……141.21 -0.17 -0.12%

*IndoCDS.88.63* – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(10/07)*
*IDR…..15153.00‼️ -51.50 -0.34%*
*Jisdor.15162.00‼️ -30.00 -0.20%*

*Euro……1.1010* +0.0009 +0.08%

TLKM…26.08 +0.16 +0.62%
*(3954)*
EIDO….23.04 +0.15 +0.66%
EEM…..39.82 +0.40 +1.01%

*Oil…..74.80 +1.68 +2.29%*
*Gold…1937.90* +7.80 +0.40%
Timah..27950.00 -392.00 -1.38%
*(Closed 10/07)*
Nickel..20710.00 -251.00 -1.20%
(Closed 11/07)
Silver….. 23.33 -0.01 -0.04%
Copper..377.05 -1.85 -0.49%

*Iron Ore 62% 110.54* – -%
(10/07)
*Nturl Gas.2.732 +0.079 +2.98%*

*Coal price.131.00 -2.70 -2.02%*
(Jul/Newcastle)
*Coal price.134.00 -3.05 -2.22%*
(Agt/Newcastle)
*Coal price.135.85 -5.10 -3.62%‼️*
(Sept/Newcastle)
*Coal price.139.80 -4.30 -2.98%*
(Oct/Newcastle)

*Coal price105.90 -5.05 -4.55%‼️*
(Jul/Rotterdam)
*Coal price..99.85 -7.40 -6.89%‼️*
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price…99.60 -7.50 -7.00%‼️*
(Sept/Rotterdam)
*Coal price..99.90 -7.25 -6.77%‼️*
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)..3888 -35 -0.89%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn….501.50 +2.00 +0.40%
SoybeanOil 59.93 -0.88 -1.45%
*Wheat…660.50 +14.25 +2.20%*

*Wood pulp..4360.00* +10 +0.23%
(Closed 10/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Masih lanjut ijo lagi semua, IDX kemaren tebel banget, kayanya ga akan tebel lagi hari ini, ada kemungkinan koreksi, tapi semoga ijo walau tipis

USD index merah, gold ijo silver copper merah tipis, timah nickel merah,oil gas ijo, coal lanjut merah. Kemaren emitan coal pada ijo ikut sentimen index, hari ini kayanya akan koreksi. CPO merah lagi

IHSG – stoch up MACD up, ZIA almost buy, alligator up, FNB, MFI up, w% uptrend, firm breakout IHNS, harusnya rally sih

Healthcare ikutan nyusul, Basic materials masih, Consumer Cyclicals, Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA PTBA GGRM WIFI IGAR

MACD Buy Signal: ACES AKRA ANTM INCO TLKM HMSP MAPI MLPL

Alligator Buy Signal: ADRO ESSA EXCL INDY BABP BRMS MNCN TAPG TOBA. Big Acc BRMS TAPG

Supertrend Buy Signal: INTP

Daily Analysis 20230619

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

June 19th, 2023

Good morning,

S&P 500 breaks six-day win streak on Friday, but still notches best week since March

Stocks slipped on Friday as Wall Street closed out a huge week in which investors received a pause on rate hikes from the Federal Reserve, plus encouraging inflation data.

Dow……34299 -108.9 -0.32%
Nasdaq13690 -93.3 -0.68%
S&P 500.4410 -16.3 -0.37%

FTSE…..7643 +14.5 +0.19%
Dax……16358 +67.5 +0.41%
CAC……7389 +97.7 +1.34%

Nikkei…..33706 +220.6 +0.66%
HSI………20040 +211.5 +1.07%
Shanghai.3273 +20.4 +0.63%

IDX…..6699.79 -15.25 -0.23%
LQ45….952.16 -0.11 -0.01%
IDX30…495.55 +0.07 +0.01%

IDXEnergy…1799.60 -4.97 -0.28%
IDX BscMat.1008.36 +4.26. +0.42%
IDX Indstrl…1176.63 +0.25 +0.02%
IDXNONCYC.744.65 -3.51 -0.47%
IDX Hlthcare1506.37 -10.05 -0.66%
IDXCYCLIC…881.64 -3.74 -0.42%
IDX Techno.5033.13 +134.11 +2.74%
IDX Transp..1920.87 -3.87 -0.20%
IDX Infrast…..854.61 -5.12 -0.60%
IDX Finance.1394.67 -2.02 -0.14%
IDX Banking.1171.89 -1.35 -0.11%
IDX Property..733 -3.10 -0.42%

Indo10Yr.6.3480 -0.0021-0.03%
ICBI..366.7286 +0.0034 +0.00%
US2Yr.4.7200 +0.079 +1.70%
US5Yr 3.9860 +0.073 +1.87%
US10Yr3.7670+0.047 +1.26%
US30Yr.3.8530+0.022 +0.57%
VIX……13.54 -0.96 -6.62%👍

USDIndx102.2430 +0.1280 +0.13%
Como Indx.270.91 +3.99 +1.50%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……149.00 +0.39 +0.26%

IndoCDS.83.21👍 -0.02 -0.02%
(5-yr INOCD5) (16/06)

IDR…..14940.00‼ -14.00 -0.09%
Jisdor.14945.00‼ +2.00 +0.01%

Euro……1.0937 -0.0010 -0.09%

TLKM…26.71 -0.37 -1.37%
(3992)
EIDO….23.21 -0.24 -1.02%
EEM…..40.88 -0.14 -0.34%

Oil……71.78 +1.24 +1.76%
Gold…1971.20 +1.10 +0.06%
Timah..26762.00 +463.00 +1.73%
(Closed 15/06)
Nickel..22943.50 -32.00 -0.14%
(Closed 16/06)
Silver……24.34 +0.38 +1.59%
Copper..389.85. +0.40 +0.10%

Iron Ore 62% 113.02 +0.09 +0.08%
(16/06)
Nturl Gas.2.619 +0.069 +2.55%

Coal price.128.45 -7.50 -5.52%‼
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.133.05 -6.65 -4.76%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.65 -6.30 -4.44%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.40 -5.90 -4.09%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price115.05 -1.40 -1.20%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.115.00 -1.80 -1.54%
(Jul/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.112.65 -1.40 -1.23%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.112.65 -1.70 -1.50%
(Sept/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)..3742 +236 +6.73%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……597.50 +23.00 +4.00%‼
SoybeanOil 57.87 +1.42 +2.52%
Wheat…701.50 +28.75 +4.27%‼

Wood pulp..4300.00 unch +0%
(Closed 18/06)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US akhirnya merah, europe ijo, asia ijo tapi idx merah, masih sideways dulu ini kayanya

Oil gas ijo, coal drop, gold silver copper timah ijo, nickel merah tipis iron ore ijo, masih lanjut buat tambang2 mineral, ANTM MDKA TINS harusnya lanjut, saham coal kayanya minor correction dulu, walau secara technical harusnya masih ada upside. CPO jump, AALI LSIP menarik sesuai analisis jum’at, tapi amannya tunggu pullback

IHSG – belum kuat kalo caranya gini, BD acc tapi FF masih dist terus, stoch up macd up MFI up w% uptrend, 2 candle terakhir low lower shadow, selalu ditarik ke atas, harusnya sih mantul, tapi pasti geraknya nunggu foreign pada entry lagi

Masih Energy dan Basic Materials, yang leading tinggal Industrials sama Healthcare

Stochastic Buy Signal: INCO WIFI LTLS

Alligator Buy Signal: BABP SGRO

Supertrend Buy Signal: ANTM BUKA EMTK LSIP