Posts Tagged ‘inflation’

Daily Analysis 20230811

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

August 11th, 2023

 

Good morning,

 

Dow ends Thursday slightly higher, lifted by weaker-than-expected inflation data, Disney pops nearly 5%

 

The Dow Jones Industrial Average

edged higher Thursday, helped by a post-earnings Disney

rally and a key inflation reading showing slightly less year-over-year inflation growth than expected.

 

Dow……35176  +52.8      +0.18%

Nasdaq13738  +15.98    +0.12%

S&P 500.4469  +1.1         +0.03%

 

FTSE…..7619   +31.3       +0.41%

Dax……15997  +143.9     +0.91%

CAC……7434   +111.6     +1.52%

 

Nikkei…32474   +269.3  +0.84%

HSI…….19248   +2.2       +0.01%

Shanghai.3254 +10.1     +0.31%

 

IDX…..6893.23   +18.16    +0.12%

LQ45….966.48   +1.18       +0.12%

IDX30…501.45   +0.28       +0.06%

 

IDXEnergy…1940.94  +28.82 +1.51%

IDX BscMat.1098.97 +0.35   +0.03%

IDX Indstrl…1204.59  -7.90    -0.65%

IDXNONCYC.750.22 +0.17    +0.02%

IDX Hlthcare1490.49+1.59    +0.11%

IDXCYCLIC….913.88  -0.89    -0.10%

IDX Techno.4484.67 +30.83 +0.69%

IDX Transp..1873.52 +15.12 +0.81%

IDX Infrast… .858.21 +3.24   +0.38%

IDX Finance.1428.13 -2.54    -0.18%

IDX Banking.1228.06+1.50   +0.12%

IDX Property..755       -2.00   -2.70%

 

*Indo10Yr.6.3964* -0.0013  -0.02%

*ICBI….369.5720* +0.2564 +0.07%

*US2Yr.4.8500*  -0.040    -0.83%

*US5Yr 4.2340   +0.095   +2.30%*

*US10Yr4.1150  +0.1050 +2.62%*

*US30Yr.4.2680 +0.103   +2.47%*

*VIX…….15.85   -0.11      -0.69%*

 

*USDIndx 102.6230* +0.1330 +0.13%

Como Indx…279.96  -2.08   -0.74%

(Core Commodity CRB)

BCOMIN….142.56    -0.35    -0.24%

 

 

*IndoCDS.80.21  -0.02  -0.02%*

(5-yr INOCD5) *(09/08)*

 

*IDR…..15185.00‼️-4.50    -0.03%*

*Jisdor.15204.00 ‼️-2.00   -0.01%*

 

*Euro……1.0982  +0.0005  +0.05%*

 

TLKM…24.57  -0.01   -0.04%

*(3736)*

EIDO….23.10   +0.03  +0.13%

EEM…..40.15   +0.06  +0.15%

 

*Oil…..82.90‼️  -1.33   -1.58%*

*Gold…1944.90‼️* -4.00  -0.21%

Timah..27259.00  -41.00   -0.15%

*(Closed 09/08)*

Nickel..20430.50  -88.00   -0.43%

(Closed 10/08)

Silver…… 22.76  +0.02   +0.09%

Copper.375.65   -2.95     -0.78%

 

*Iron Ore 62%  104.70 +0.29 +0.28%*

(09/08)

Nturl Gas.2.7850  -0.0070  -0.25%

*Ammonia  China..3366.67 unch  +0%*

(Domestic Price)(10/08)

 

Coal price..143.00 +0.50 +0.35%

(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price.149.00 +0.75  +0.51%

(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price.152.25 +1.35  +0.89%

(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.155.50 +1.25  +0.81%

(Nov/Newcastle)

 

Coal price117.50  +1.65  +1.42%

(Agt/Rotterdam)

Coal price.120.25  -0.35   -0.29%

(Sept/ Rotterdam)

Coal price.120.55  -0.10   -0.08%

(Oct/Rotterdam)

Coal price.122.10  -0.30   -0.25%

(Nov/Rotterdam)

 

CPO(Oct)..3727  -38   -1.00%

(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

 

Corn………496.25  +2.00   +0.40%

SoybeanOil 60.48 +0.05   +0.08%

Wheat……663.75  +2.00   +0.40%

 

*Wood pulp..4620.00‼️* +20  +0.43%

(Closed 09/08)

 

©️Phintraco Sekuritas

Broker Code: *_AT_*

_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia

_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US ijo europe ijo, asia ijo, ayo ijo lagi IHSG hari ini…

USD index naik, kebanyakan commodities turun kecuali silver, iron ore sama coal. Bagus buat PTBA dkk, tapi tambang mineral mineral logam jadi kurang OK

IHSG – stoch rev up almost buy, MACD down rev, BD flat, FNB 5 days straight, triangle keliatan mau breakout ke atas, semoga lanjut

Basic Materials dan Industrials rada slow down, Infrastructure Property Financials sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals jalan

Stochastic Buy Signal: INDY ITMG SRTG TOWR UNTR ABMM HMSP SMAR. Big accum: INDY ITMG SRTG TOWR. Kayanya emang coal mau hajatan ini…

MACD Buy Signal: SIDO ADMR JPFA CEKA

Alligator Buy Signal: BUKA

Supertrend Buy Signal: BBNI

Daily Analysis 20230810

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

August 10th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow sheds nearly 200 points, Nasdaq drops 1% as August slide resumes ahead of inflation report

Stocks fell Wednesday as Wall Street awaited fresh inflation data coming later in the week.

Dow……35123 -191.1 -0.54%
Nasdaq13722 -162.3 -1.17%
S&P 500.4468 -31.7 -0.70%

FTSE…..7587 +59.9 +0.80%
Dax……15853 +77.7 +0.49%
CAC……7322 +52.6 +0.72%

Nikkei…32204 -172.96 -0.53%
HSI…….19246 +61.9 +0.32%
Shanghai.3245 -16.1 -0.49%

IDX…..6875.11 +6.30 +0.09%
LQ45….965.30 +3.44 +0.36%
IDX30…501.17 +1.48 +0.30%

IDXEnergy…1912.13 -10.42 -0.54%
IDX BscMat.1098.62 -3.62 -0.33%
IDX Indstrl…1212.50 -0.29 -0.02%
IDXNONCYC.750.05 +4.32 +0.58%
IDX Hlthcare1488.99 -0.99 -0.07%
IDXCYCLIC….914.77 +2.86 +0.31%
IDX Techno.4453.84 -99.49 -2.18%
IDX Transp..1858.40 -28.97 -1.53%
IDX Infrast… .853.97 +3.61 +0.42%
IDX Finance.1430.66 -0.56 -0.04%
IDX Banking.1226.56+8.11 +0.67%
IDX Property..757 -8.90 -1.16%

Indo10Yr.6.3977+0.0035 +0.05%
ICBI….369.3157 +0.1254 +0.03%
US2Yr.4.8100 +0.050 +1.05%
US5Yr 4.1390 +0.025 +0.61%
US10Yr4.0100 -0.011 -0.27%
US30Yr.4.1650-0.027 -0.64%
VIX…….15.96 -0.03 -0.19%

USDIndx 102.4900 -0.0380 -0.04%
Como Indx…282.04 +2.82 +1.01%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….142.90 +0.05 +0.03%

IndoCDS.80.23 +2.03 +2.60%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/08)

IDR…..15189.50‼️-28.00 -0.18%
Jisdor.15206.00 ‼️-23.00 -0.15%

Euro……1.0977 +0.0022 +0.20%

TLKM…24.58 +0.35 +1.44%
(3738)
EIDO….23.07 +0.08 +0.35%
EEM…..40.09 +0.10 +0.25%

Oil…..84.23‼️ +1.53 +1.85%
Gold…1948.90‼️ -10.50 -0.54%
Timah..27300.00 -456.00 -1.64%
(Closed 08/08)
Nickel..20518.50 -358.50 -1.72%
(Closed 09/08)
Silver…… 22.74 -0.09 -0.39%
Copper.378.60 +1.10 +0.29%

Iron Ore 62% 104.41 -0.32 -0.31%
(08/08)
Nturl Gas.2.7920 +0.1700 +6.09%‼️
Ammonia China..3366.67 -16.6 -0.49%
(Domestic Price)(08/08)

Coal price..142.50 unch +0%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.148.25 +3.00 +2.07%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.150.90 +2.65 +1.79%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.154.25 +2.35 +1.55%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price115.85 +1.10 +0.96%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.60 +2.60 +2.20%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.65 +1.65 +1.39%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.40 +1.60 +1.32%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3765 +73 +1.97%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………494.25 -4.50 -0.90%
SoybeanOil 60.43 +0.58 +0.97%
Wheat…..661.75 -4.50 -2.90%

Wood pulp..4600.00‼️ +40 +0.88%
(Closed 09/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US closing merah, Europe ijo, Asia Varied, ID Sing Korea Hongkong ijo, Jepang China merah

USD index turun tipis, ga terlalu ngaruh, Gold Silver iron ore merah, copper ijo tipis, timah nikel lanjut merah, Oil Gas lanjut ijo, Coal ijo, CPO lijo. Masih sideways buat ANTM MDKA, hati2 TINS INCO NCKL

IHSG – indicator type oscillators masih bilang belum ok, tapi rada pede karena FNB. Diharapkan galama konsolidasi terus breakout ke atas, Big Banks udah mulai jalan, kemaren keganjel GOTO yang dibanting juga tetep berhasil closing ijo, semoga lanjut, walau sepertinya masih sideways dulu

Basic Materials, Industrials, Property, Financials, Infrastructure, Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Stochastic Buy Signal: BMRI PTBA TLKM AALI BDMN BSSR JPFA TINS RDTX INDS

MACD Buy Signal: AMRT BRIS CPIN TLKM BELI CTRA ISAT

Alligator Buy Signal: ADMR MTEL

Supertrend Buy Signal: JPFA

Daily Analysis 20230714

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

July 14th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks rose Thursday after another key inflation reading came in lighter than expected. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite closed at their highest levels in over a year.

Dow……34395 +47.7 +0.14%
Nasdaq14139 +219.5 +1.58%
S&P 500.4510 +37.9 +0.85%

FTSE…..7440 +24.1. +0.32%
Dax……16141 +118.03 +0.74%
CAC……7370 +36.8. +0.50%

Nikkei…32419 +475.4 +1.49%
HSI…….19351 +489.7 +2.60%
Shanghai.3236 +40.4 +1.26%

IDX…..6810.21 +2.00 +0.03%
LQ45….956.95 -1.04 -0.11%
IDX30…496.69 -0.50 -0.10%

IDXEnergy…1835.00 -5.99 -0.33%
IDX BscMat.1045.30 +8.36 +0.81%
IDX Indstrl…1197.50 +2.66 +0.22%
IDXNONCYC.759.68 -1.99 -0.26%
IDX Hlthcare1555.56 +32.40 +2.13%
IDXCYCLIC….912.15 -9.33 -1.01%
IDX Techno.4811.56 -4.11 -0.09%
IDX Transp..1924.05 -0.29 -0.01%
IDX Infrast… .849.70 -7.09 -0.83%
IDX Finance.1426.28 +1.14 +0.08%
IDX Banking.1187.24 -0.80 -0.07%
IDX Property..749 -9.10 -1.20%

Indo10Yr.6.2957👍 -0.0145 -0.23%
ICBI….368.9832👍 +0.4154 +0.11%
US2Yr.4.6320 -0.255 -5.22%👍
US5Yr 3.9470 -0.128 -3.14%👍
US10Yr3.7660 -0.096 -2.49%👍
US30Yr.3.8990-0.112 -2.79%👍
VIX…….13.61 +0.07 +0.52%

USDIndx 99.7700👍 -0.7510 -0.75%
Como Indx…270.74 +2.44 +0.91%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…….147.60 +2.19 +1.51%

IndoCDS.85.68👍 -1.97 -2.25%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/07)
IDR…..14950.50 -109.00 -0.72%👍
Jisdor.14978.00 -106.00 -0.70%👍

Euro……1.1226 +0.009 +0.81%

TLKM…26.19 -0.22 -0.83%
(3923)
EIDO….23.64 -0.03 -0.13%
EEM…..41.24 +0.53 +1.30%

Oil…..77.20 +2.40 +3.21%
Gold…1965.30 +2.90 +0.15%
Timah..29069.00 +1113.00+3.98%‼
(Closed 12/07)
Nickel..21257.50 -370.50 -1.71%
(Closed 12/07)
Silver…. 25.10 +0.76 +3.12%‼
Copper.395.10 +9.45 +2.45%

Iron Ore 62% 110.61 +1.27 +1.16%
(12/07)
Nturl Gas.2.553 -0.097 -3.66%‼
Ammonia China..2866.67 unch +0%
(Domestic Price)(13/07)

Coal price.128.00 -1.05 -0.81%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.127.15 -0.90 -0.70%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.128.25 -1.00 -0.77%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.131.90 -0.80 -0.60%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price103.65 -0.40 -0.39%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..93.50 -0.95 -1.00%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…93.45 -0.65 -0.69%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price..93.95 -0.95 -1.00%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)..3853 -63 -1.60%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…500.50 +16.75 +3.46%‼
SoybeanOil 61.27 +1.91 +3.22%‼
Wheat…639.75 +7.00 +1.11%

Wood pulp..4390.00 +10 +0.23%
(Closed 13/07)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

semua index ijo, LANJUT!!!

USDindexturun, semua metal naik, ANTM INCO TINS MDKA lanjut… Oil jump, gas drop, coal merah dikit, harusnya MEDC ELSA rebound ini, Emiten Coal hati hati…. CPO lanjut turun, ditunggu mantulnya lagi buat re-entry LSIP

pada bangun kalo giliran index jalan sih… Yang paling potensi harusnya yang dari zone 2 berangkatnya: Healthcare sama Property, nanti kita liat di screeningnya, apa masih ada yang belum jalan dan bisa entry

Basic Materials yang masih jelas lagi jalan, Consumer Cyclicals, Energy, Industrials

Big accum ga sempet masuk tabel screener

Stochastic Buy Signal: BFIN WIKA

MACD Buy Signal: BBCA

MEDC MTEL MACD sell, consider exit today kalo ga ngebalik lagi

Alligator Buy Signal: AKRA BUKA INTP ITMG UNTR

Supertrend Buy Signal: MIKA

Daily Analysis 20230713

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

July 13th, 2023

Good morning,

Stock closes higher in after the S&P 500 closed at its highest level in over a year. Markets also looked ahead to another key inflation reading.

Dow……34347 +86.01 +0.25%
Nasdaq13981 +158.3 +1.18%
S&P 500.4472 +32.9 +0.74%

FTSE…..7416 +133.6 +1.83%
Dax……16203 +232.7 +1.47%
CAC……7333 +113.0 +1.57%

Nikkei…31943 -259.6 -0.81%
HSI…….18861 +201.1 +1.08%
Shanghai.3196 -25.2 -0.78%

IDX…..6808.21 +11.28 +0.17%
LQ45….957.99 +3.03 +0.32%
IDX30…497.19 +1.71 +0.35%

IDXEnergy…1840.99 -17.48 -0.94%
IDX BscMat.1036.93 -3.01 -0.29%
IDX Indstrl…1194.84 -2.03 -0.17%
IDXNONCYC.761.67 -0.10 -0.01%
IDX Hlthcare1523.16 +0.76 +2.88%
IDXCYCLIC….921.48 +0.00 +0.01%
IDX Techno.4815.68 +67.71 +1.43%
IDX Transp..1924.05 -0.29 -0.01%
IDX Infrast… .856.79 +0.16 +0.02%
IDX Finance.1425.15 +2.86 +0.20%
IDX Banking.1188.03 +3.53 +0.47%
IDX Property..751 +4.20 +0.56%

Indo10Yr.6.3102👍 -0.0270 -0.43%
ICBI….368.5678👍 +04692 +0.13%
US2Yr.4.8870 -0.139 -2.84%👍
US5Yr 4.0750 -0.164 -3.86%👍
US10Yr3.8620 -0.111 -2.79%👍
US30Yr.4.0110-0.062 -1.55%
VIX…….13.54 -1.30 -8.76%👍

USDIndx100.5210👍 -1.2110 -1.19%
Como Indx…268.30 +0.70 +0.26%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……145.40 +4.19 +2.97%

IndoCDS.87.66 -0.98 -1.11%
(5-yr INOCD5) (11/07)
IDR…..15074.50 -78.50 -0.52%
Jisdor.15084.00 -78.00 -0.51%

Euro……1.1136 +0.0126 +1.14%

TLKM…26.41 +0.33 +1.27%
(3983)
EIDO….23.67 +0.63 +2.73%
EEM…..40.71 +0.89 +2.24%

Oil…..74.80 +1.08 +1.44%
Gold…1962.40‼ +24.50 +1.26%
Timah..27956.00 +6.00 +0.02%
(Closed 11/07)
Nickel..21628.00 +918.00 +4.43%‼
(Closed 12/07)
Silver…. 24.34 +1.01 +4.33%‼
Copper.385.65 +8.60 +2.28%

Iron Ore 62% 109.34 +0.13 +0.12%
(11/07)
Nturl Gas.2.6490 -0.083 -3.04%

Coal price.129.05 -1.95 -1.49%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.128.05 -5.95 -4.44%‼
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.129.25 -6.60 -4.86%‼
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.132.70 -7.10 -5.08%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price104.05 -1.85 -1.70%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..94.45 -5.40 -5.41%‼
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…94.10 -5.50 -5.52%‼
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price..94.90 -5.00 -5.00%‼
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)..3928 +40 +1.02%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…483.75 -17.75 -3.54%‼
SoybeanOil 59.36 -0.57 -0.95%
Wheat…632.75 -27.75 -4.20%‼

Wood pulp..4380.00 +20 +0.46%
(Closed 10/07)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia

Index regional hampir semua ijo kecuali nikkei, kayanya lanjut rally ini IHSG

USD index drop, automatically precious metals naik tinggi semua. Oil ijo Gas drop, coal drop, cpo ijo. Consider exit yang coal coal ya, bahaya ini udha 3 hari berturut2 coal price turun, ini ketahan index jalan makanya masih bertahan emiten coal

IHSG – lanjut FNB, SUpertrend Buy, Alligator up, tembus cloud ichimoku ke atas, IHNS jalan, stoch up, macd up, harusnya lanjut rally sih

Malah property sama Consumer Cyclicals yang kebaca arahnya bagus, tapi dengan harga komoditi naik tinggi gini sih, basic materials harusnya jalan lagi

Stochastic Buy Signal: ACES GOTO KLBF ADHI MIKA MBSS

MACD Buy SIgnal: ICBP MIKA LMSH SGRO

Alligator Buy Signal: MEDC

Supertrend Buy Signal: BABP