Posts Tagged ‘inflation’

Daily Analysis 20240112

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

January 12th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes little changed Thursday after hotter-than-anticipated inflation report

Stocks ended Thursday near the flat line after a fresh round of inflation data reflected an uptick in consumer prices for December.

,Dow……37711 +15.3 +0.04%
Nasdaq14970 +0.5 +0.00%
S&P 500.4780 -3.2 -0.07%

FTSE…..7577 -75.2 -0.98%
Dax……16547 -142.8 -0.86%
CAC……7388 -38.5 -0.52%

Nikkei..35050 +648.2 +1.77%
HSI…….16302 +204.8 +1.27%
Shanghai.2887+8.95 +0.31%

IDX…..7219.96 -7.33 -0.10%
LQ45….969.94 +0.81 +0.08%
IDX30…499.20 +1.25 +0.25%

IDXEnergy..2160.56 -7.75 -0.36%
IDX BscMat.1240.16 -6.97 -0.56%
IDX Indstrl…1106.62 +0.90 +0.08%
IDXNONCYC.705.40 -5.32 -0.75%
IDX Hlthcare1349.14+2.29 +0.17%
IDXCYCLIC…860.88 +7.42 +0.87%
IDX Techno4343.84 +11.60 +0.27%
IDX Transp 1679.28 +21.31 +1.29%
IDX Infrast 1549.81 -4.51 -0.27%
IDX Finance.1522.49+13.78 +0.91%
IDX Banking.1322.35+8.30 +0.63%
IDX Property.. 717 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.6959 -0.0222 -0.33%
ICBI…374.1055 +0.6178 +0.17%
US2Yr.4.249 -0.111 -2.55%
US5Yr 3.881 -0.094 -2.36%
US10Yr3.968 -0.047 -1.17%
US30Yr.4.211-0.037 -0.88%
VIX….12.44 -0.25 -1.97%

USDIndx 102.3120 -0.050 -0.05%
Como Indx..264.10 +1.78 +0.68%
BCOMIN……136.75 +0.07 +0.05%

IndoCDS..77.21 +0.02 +0.03%
(5-yr INOCD5) (10/01)

IDR…..15548.50 -21.00 -0.13%
Jisdor.15558.00 -10.00 -0.06%

Euro….1.0974 +0.0001 +0.01%

TLKM…25.67 unch +0%
(3994)
EIDO….22.38 +0.07 +0.31%
EEM….39.06 +0.16 +0.41%

Oil……..72.02 +0.67 -1.23%
Gold..2019.20 -10.20 -0.50%
Timah..24435.00 +195.00 +0.80%
(Closed 10/01)
Nickel..16452.00 +50 +0.30%
(Closed 11/01)
Silver……22.71 -0.36 -1.56%
Copper.377.65 +2.05 +0.55%

Iron Ore 62% 138.16 -2.36 -1.68%
(10/01)
Nturl Gas..3.030 +0.085 +2.81%
Ammonia China.3400.00‼️ – -%
(Domestic Price)(09/02)

Coal price.130.75 -2.75 -2.06%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 126.25 -5.25 -3.99%‼️
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.125.25 -4.80 -3.69%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 124.70 -3.85 -2.99%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.106.50 -2.50 -2.29%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 102.30 -3.40 -3.32%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price.100.20 -2.70 -2.62%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price…98.05 -2.50 -2.49%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)..3796 +37 +0.98%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……457.75 -0.38 -0.38%
SoybeanOil 48.72 +0.47 +0.97%
Wheat…603.75 -7.00 -1.15%

Wood pulp..5068.00 unch +0%
(Closed 11/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US tipis tipis, europe merah, asia kemaren ijo tebel, IHSG merah tipis, bisa merah lagi kayanya ini tudei

US bond rates turun, USD index turn, good sih, tapi gold silver juga turun, timah nickel copper iron ore ijo, oil merah, gas ijo, coal merah dalem. Masih belum nih ANTM MDKA, coal coal an hati hati. CPO lanjut, go go AALI LSIP!

IHSG – bisa jadi mau wave B dulu, tapi yang jelas stoch down, mad down, MFI sw, w% downtrend, BD dist, masih FNB sih, lumayan. Kalo diukur pake fibonacci retracement hanya di wave 5 nya dari antara 61-78 mantul ke 38, lanjut wave c dong kalo gitu… Masih bahaya pokonya

Index beresiko tapi cacing RSI pada arahnya bagus, heu… FInancials paling deket 45 derajat, sama technology, tapi saya lebih prefer pegang consumer non-cyclicals, biasanya saham defensif ganjel bursa disitu

Daily Analysis 20240111

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

January 11th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 150 points higher Wednesday ahead of key inflation readings

Stocks closed higher Wednesday, with investors awaiting the release of fresh U.S. inflation data and earnings.

Dow……37696 +170.5 +0.45%
Nasdaq14970 +111.9 +0.75%
S&P 500.4783 +26.95 +0.57%

FTSE…..7652 -32.2 -0.42%
Dax……16690 +1.6 +0.01%
CAC……7427 -0.5 -0.01%

Nikkei..34442 +678.5 +2.01%
HSI…….16097 -92.7 -0.57%
Shanghai.2878-15.6 -0.54%

IDX…..7227.30 +27.09 +0.38%
LQ45….969.14 -0.94 -0.10%
IDX30…497.95 +0.10 +0.02%

IDXEnergy..2168.31 +11.41 +0.53%
IDX BscMat.1247.13+5.81 +0.47%
IDX Indstrl…1105.72 +2.79 +0.25%
IDXNONCYC.710.72 +2.14 +0.30%
IDX Hlthcare1346.85+20.14 +1.52%
IDXCYCLIC…853.46 +8.11. +0.96%
IDX Techno4332.24 -6.66 -0.15%
IDX Transp 1657.97 +5.66 +0.34%
IDX Infrast 1533.96 +21.00 +1.37%
IDX Finance.1508.71+6.12 +0.41%
IDX Banking.1314.05 -0.95 -0.07%
IDX Property.. 717 -0.40 -0.05%

Indo10Yr.6.7181 +0.0125 +0.19%
ICBI…373.4877 +0.0457 +0.01%
US2Yr.4.360 -0.006 -0.14%
US5Yr 3.975 -0.003 -0.08%
US10Yr4.015 -0.008 -0.20%
US30Yr.4.211+0.026+0.62%
VIX….12.69 -0.10 -0.78%

USDIndx 102.3620 -0.146 -0.14%
Como Indx..262.31 -2.37 -0.90%
BCOMIN……136.68 +0.20 +0.15%

IndoCDS..77.19 -0.51 -0.66%
(5-yr INOCD5) (09/01)

IDR…..15569.50 +49.50 +0.32%
Jisdor.15568.00 +50.00 +0.32%

Euro….1.0973 +0.0041 +0.38%

TLKM…25.67 +0.49 +1.95%
(3996)
EIDO….22.32 +0.04 +0.18%
EEM….38.90 -0.09 -0.23%

Oil……..71.35 -0.89 -1.23%
Gold..2029.40 -3.60 -0.18%
Timah..24240.00 -260.00 -1.06%
(Closed 09/01)
Nickel..16402.00 +176 +1.08%
(Closed 10/01)
Silver……23.07 -0.03 -0.11%
Copper.375.60 +2.75 +0.73%

Iron Ore 62% 140.52 -0.35 -0.25%
(09/01)
Nturl Gas..3.030❗️ -0.160 -5.02%
Ammonia China.3400.00‼️ – -%
(Domestic Price)(09/02)

Coal price.133.50 -2.15 -1.58%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 131.50 -2.70 -2.01%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.132.25 -2.20 -1.66%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 128.55 -1.70 -1.31%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.109.00 -2.25 -2.02%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 105.70 -2.45 -2.27%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price.102.90 -2.45 -2.33%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 100.55 -2.75 -2.66%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)..3759 +25 +0.67%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……459.50 +0.25 +0.05%
SoybeanOil 48.25 -0.20 -0.41%
Wheat…610.75 +0.75 +0.12%

Wood pulp..5068.00 +8 +0.16%
(Closed 10/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo, europe cenderung perah tipis, asia varied, US bond rate merah tipis, USD index merah, harusnya bagus ya buat saham

Metal2 masih banyakan merah, kecuali nickel sama copper, oil gas coal merah, CPO lanjut ijo. beware coal coal an bisa jadi udahan. AALI LSIP harusnya jalan

IHSG – stoch down, macd sell, MFI down, BD sw, FF masih net buy kecil, abis wave 5 harusnya bikin ABC correction dulu, sabar, pegang cash,nanti belanja lagi pas udah mau run lagi

Dari cacing RSI masih banyak yang terlihat bagus, yang paling deket 45 Financials, Technology, Energy, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Consumer Cyclical. Yang sering dipake ganjel bursa Consumer Non-Cyclicals sih, kayanya paling safe disitu

Stochastic Buy Signal: OMED

MACD Buy Signal: EMTK ISAT, big accum

Stochastic Continuation Signal and big acc: ICBP ISAT

Supertrend Buy Signal: DOID

Alligator Buy Signal cuma 1 yang accum, DOID, ASSA FNB gede

Daily Analysis 20230811

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

August 11th, 2023

 

Good morning,

 

Dow ends Thursday slightly higher, lifted by weaker-than-expected inflation data, Disney pops nearly 5%

 

The Dow Jones Industrial Average

edged higher Thursday, helped by a post-earnings Disney

rally and a key inflation reading showing slightly less year-over-year inflation growth than expected.

 

Dow……35176  +52.8      +0.18%

Nasdaq13738  +15.98    +0.12%

S&P 500.4469  +1.1         +0.03%

 

FTSE…..7619   +31.3       +0.41%

Dax……15997  +143.9     +0.91%

CAC……7434   +111.6     +1.52%

 

Nikkei…32474   +269.3  +0.84%

HSI…….19248   +2.2       +0.01%

Shanghai.3254 +10.1     +0.31%

 

IDX…..6893.23   +18.16    +0.12%

LQ45….966.48   +1.18       +0.12%

IDX30…501.45   +0.28       +0.06%

 

IDXEnergy…1940.94  +28.82 +1.51%

IDX BscMat.1098.97 +0.35   +0.03%

IDX Indstrl…1204.59  -7.90    -0.65%

IDXNONCYC.750.22 +0.17    +0.02%

IDX Hlthcare1490.49+1.59    +0.11%

IDXCYCLIC….913.88  -0.89    -0.10%

IDX Techno.4484.67 +30.83 +0.69%

IDX Transp..1873.52 +15.12 +0.81%

IDX Infrast… .858.21 +3.24   +0.38%

IDX Finance.1428.13 -2.54    -0.18%

IDX Banking.1228.06+1.50   +0.12%

IDX Property..755       -2.00   -2.70%

 

*Indo10Yr.6.3964* -0.0013  -0.02%

*ICBI….369.5720* +0.2564 +0.07%

*US2Yr.4.8500*  -0.040    -0.83%

*US5Yr 4.2340   +0.095   +2.30%*

*US10Yr4.1150  +0.1050 +2.62%*

*US30Yr.4.2680 +0.103   +2.47%*

*VIX…….15.85   -0.11      -0.69%*

 

*USDIndx 102.6230* +0.1330 +0.13%

Como Indx…279.96  -2.08   -0.74%

(Core Commodity CRB)

BCOMIN….142.56    -0.35    -0.24%

 

 

*IndoCDS.80.21  -0.02  -0.02%*

(5-yr INOCD5) *(09/08)*

 

*IDR…..15185.00‼️-4.50    -0.03%*

*Jisdor.15204.00 ‼️-2.00   -0.01%*

 

*Euro……1.0982  +0.0005  +0.05%*

 

TLKM…24.57  -0.01   -0.04%

*(3736)*

EIDO….23.10   +0.03  +0.13%

EEM…..40.15   +0.06  +0.15%

 

*Oil…..82.90‼️  -1.33   -1.58%*

*Gold…1944.90‼️* -4.00  -0.21%

Timah..27259.00  -41.00   -0.15%

*(Closed 09/08)*

Nickel..20430.50  -88.00   -0.43%

(Closed 10/08)

Silver…… 22.76  +0.02   +0.09%

Copper.375.65   -2.95     -0.78%

 

*Iron Ore 62%  104.70 +0.29 +0.28%*

(09/08)

Nturl Gas.2.7850  -0.0070  -0.25%

*Ammonia  China..3366.67 unch  +0%*

(Domestic Price)(10/08)

 

Coal price..143.00 +0.50 +0.35%

(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price.149.00 +0.75  +0.51%

(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price.152.25 +1.35  +0.89%

(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.155.50 +1.25  +0.81%

(Nov/Newcastle)

 

Coal price117.50  +1.65  +1.42%

(Agt/Rotterdam)

Coal price.120.25  -0.35   -0.29%

(Sept/ Rotterdam)

Coal price.120.55  -0.10   -0.08%

(Oct/Rotterdam)

Coal price.122.10  -0.30   -0.25%

(Nov/Rotterdam)

 

CPO(Oct)..3727  -38   -1.00%

(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

 

Corn………496.25  +2.00   +0.40%

SoybeanOil 60.48 +0.05   +0.08%

Wheat……663.75  +2.00   +0.40%

 

*Wood pulp..4620.00‼️* +20  +0.43%

(Closed 09/08)

 

©️Phintraco Sekuritas

Broker Code: *_AT_*

_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia

_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US ijo europe ijo, asia ijo, ayo ijo lagi IHSG hari ini…

USD index naik, kebanyakan commodities turun kecuali silver, iron ore sama coal. Bagus buat PTBA dkk, tapi tambang mineral mineral logam jadi kurang OK

IHSG – stoch rev up almost buy, MACD down rev, BD flat, FNB 5 days straight, triangle keliatan mau breakout ke atas, semoga lanjut

Basic Materials dan Industrials rada slow down, Infrastructure Property Financials sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals jalan

Stochastic Buy Signal: INDY ITMG SRTG TOWR UNTR ABMM HMSP SMAR. Big accum: INDY ITMG SRTG TOWR. Kayanya emang coal mau hajatan ini…

MACD Buy Signal: SIDO ADMR JPFA CEKA

Alligator Buy Signal: BUKA

Supertrend Buy Signal: BBNI

Daily Analysis 20230810

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

August 10th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow sheds nearly 200 points, Nasdaq drops 1% as August slide resumes ahead of inflation report

Stocks fell Wednesday as Wall Street awaited fresh inflation data coming later in the week.

Dow……35123 -191.1 -0.54%
Nasdaq13722 -162.3 -1.17%
S&P 500.4468 -31.7 -0.70%

FTSE…..7587 +59.9 +0.80%
Dax……15853 +77.7 +0.49%
CAC……7322 +52.6 +0.72%

Nikkei…32204 -172.96 -0.53%
HSI…….19246 +61.9 +0.32%
Shanghai.3245 -16.1 -0.49%

IDX…..6875.11 +6.30 +0.09%
LQ45….965.30 +3.44 +0.36%
IDX30…501.17 +1.48 +0.30%

IDXEnergy…1912.13 -10.42 -0.54%
IDX BscMat.1098.62 -3.62 -0.33%
IDX Indstrl…1212.50 -0.29 -0.02%
IDXNONCYC.750.05 +4.32 +0.58%
IDX Hlthcare1488.99 -0.99 -0.07%
IDXCYCLIC….914.77 +2.86 +0.31%
IDX Techno.4453.84 -99.49 -2.18%
IDX Transp..1858.40 -28.97 -1.53%
IDX Infrast… .853.97 +3.61 +0.42%
IDX Finance.1430.66 -0.56 -0.04%
IDX Banking.1226.56+8.11 +0.67%
IDX Property..757 -8.90 -1.16%

Indo10Yr.6.3977+0.0035 +0.05%
ICBI….369.3157 +0.1254 +0.03%
US2Yr.4.8100 +0.050 +1.05%
US5Yr 4.1390 +0.025 +0.61%
US10Yr4.0100 -0.011 -0.27%
US30Yr.4.1650-0.027 -0.64%
VIX…….15.96 -0.03 -0.19%

USDIndx 102.4900 -0.0380 -0.04%
Como Indx…282.04 +2.82 +1.01%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….142.90 +0.05 +0.03%

IndoCDS.80.23 +2.03 +2.60%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/08)

IDR…..15189.50‼️-28.00 -0.18%
Jisdor.15206.00 ‼️-23.00 -0.15%

Euro……1.0977 +0.0022 +0.20%

TLKM…24.58 +0.35 +1.44%
(3738)
EIDO….23.07 +0.08 +0.35%
EEM…..40.09 +0.10 +0.25%

Oil…..84.23‼️ +1.53 +1.85%
Gold…1948.90‼️ -10.50 -0.54%
Timah..27300.00 -456.00 -1.64%
(Closed 08/08)
Nickel..20518.50 -358.50 -1.72%
(Closed 09/08)
Silver…… 22.74 -0.09 -0.39%
Copper.378.60 +1.10 +0.29%

Iron Ore 62% 104.41 -0.32 -0.31%
(08/08)
Nturl Gas.2.7920 +0.1700 +6.09%‼️
Ammonia China..3366.67 -16.6 -0.49%
(Domestic Price)(08/08)

Coal price..142.50 unch +0%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.148.25 +3.00 +2.07%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.150.90 +2.65 +1.79%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.154.25 +2.35 +1.55%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price115.85 +1.10 +0.96%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.60 +2.60 +2.20%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.65 +1.65 +1.39%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.40 +1.60 +1.32%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3765 +73 +1.97%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………494.25 -4.50 -0.90%
SoybeanOil 60.43 +0.58 +0.97%
Wheat…..661.75 -4.50 -2.90%

Wood pulp..4600.00‼️ +40 +0.88%
(Closed 09/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US closing merah, Europe ijo, Asia Varied, ID Sing Korea Hongkong ijo, Jepang China merah

USD index turun tipis, ga terlalu ngaruh, Gold Silver iron ore merah, copper ijo tipis, timah nikel lanjut merah, Oil Gas lanjut ijo, Coal ijo, CPO lijo. Masih sideways buat ANTM MDKA, hati2 TINS INCO NCKL

IHSG – indicator type oscillators masih bilang belum ok, tapi rada pede karena FNB. Diharapkan galama konsolidasi terus breakout ke atas, Big Banks udah mulai jalan, kemaren keganjel GOTO yang dibanting juga tetep berhasil closing ijo, semoga lanjut, walau sepertinya masih sideways dulu

Basic Materials, Industrials, Property, Financials, Infrastructure, Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Stochastic Buy Signal: BMRI PTBA TLKM AALI BDMN BSSR JPFA TINS RDTX INDS

MACD Buy Signal: AMRT BRIS CPIN TLKM BELI CTRA ISAT

Alligator Buy Signal: ADMR MTEL

Supertrend Buy Signal: JPFA