Daily Analysis 20250814

Daily Analysis 20250814

Good morning,

August 14th, 2025

Dow jumps 450 points as S&P 500, Nasdaq log back-to-back records on surging Fed rate cut bets

US stocks climbed on Wednesday with the benchmark S&P 500 and tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite notching back-to-back record highs as investors bet almost unanimously on a Federal Reserve rate cut at its next meeting following the latest inflation data.

Dow…..44923 +463.7 +1.04%
Nasdaq 21713 +31.2 +0.14%
S&P 500 6467 +20.8 +0.32%

FTSE…..9165 +17.4 +0.19%
Dax…..24185 +160.8 +0.67%
CAC…..7805 +51.6 +0.66%

Nikkei…..43275 +556.5 +1.30%
HSI……..25614 +643.99 +2.58%
Shanghai.3683 +17.6 +0.48%

IDX..7892.91 +101.2 +1.30%
LQ45..829.85 +6.60 +0.80%
IDX30.425.82 +12.56 +3.04%

IDXEnergy.3082.11 +20.13 +0.66%
IDX BscMat1636.83 +0.97 +0.06%
IDX Indstr..1136.11 +8.87 +0.79%
IDXNONCYC.704.54 -0.84 -0.12%
IDX Hlthcare1651.37 +25.39 +1.56%
IDXCYCLC..794.44 +8.89 +1.12%
IDX Techno.9686.28 +370.40 +3.98%‼
IDX Transp 1529.33 -10.45 -0.68%
IDX Infrast .1957.14 +28.12 +1.46%
IDX Finance 1460.71 +2.97 +1.46%
IDX Banking 1080.06 +2.58 +0.24%
IDX Property..823 +12.1 +1.49%

Indo10Yr.6.5173👍 -0.0022 -0.33%
ICBI….422.6241👍 +0.5796 +0.14%
US2Yr.3.733 -0.033 -0.88%
US5Yr 3.821 -0.011 -0.31%
US10Yr4.291 +0.006 +0.14%
US30Yr.4. 878 +0.031 +0.64%
VIX..14.49❗ -0.24 -1.63%

USDIndx..97.8400👍-0.257 -0.26£%
Como Indx.294.82 -0.54 -0.18%
BCOMIN..142.07 -0.71 -0.50%

IndoCDS 5yr.72.59👍 -1.34 -1.81%
(5-yr INOCD5) (13/08)

IDR…….16202.00❗ -87.50 -0.54%
Jisdor…16237.00❗ -61.00 -0.37%

Euro..1.1677❗+0.0063 +0.54%

TLKM..20.39 +1.08 +5.59%‼
( 3147)
EIDO….18.85 +0.24 +1.29%
EEM…50.50 +0.60 +1.20%

Oil…62.72 -0.40 -0.64%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…65.63 -0.49 -0.74%
(Brent)

Gold.3407.80 +4.50 +0.13%
(Comex)
Gold.3357.96 +7.17 +0.21%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..33730.00 -156.00 -0.46%
(Closed 13/08)
Nickel…15228.13 -65.50 -0.43%
(Closed 13/08)
Silver……38.57 +0.93 +2.47%
Copper..456.40 +11.45+2.57%

Iron Ore 62% 102.03 -0.38 -0.37%
(13/08)

Nturl Gas .2.815 -0.169 -5.66%‼

Ammonia China.2440.00 -10 -0.40%
(Domestic Price 13/08)

Coal price111.80 +0.10 +0.09%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 111.60 unch +0%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.112.75 -0.25 -0.22%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price..114.10 -0.15 -0.13%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price 100.30 -0.05 -0.05%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.100.40 +0.05 +0.05%
(Sep/Rotterdam)
Coal price.100.75 unch +0%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.101.55 unch +0%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct) 4435 +35 +0.80%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……397.25 +2.75 +0.70%
SoybeanOil 53.44 +0.30 +0.56%
Wheat…507.25 +2.25 +0.45%

Wood pulp..5876.67 unch +0%
(Closed 13/08)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Index semua ijo, IHSG ijo tebel banget dan gap up, US treasury bond yield down, theoritically lanjut ini index tudei

USD index down, gold silcer copper up, metal2 lain down, oil down, gas drop, coal spot up tipis future down, CPO up, masih belum aja ini energy

IHSG – stoch buy macd buy MFI flat w% uptrend, BD FF acc, banyak gap dibawah minor c wave dalam wave 3 sih ini firm, target ideal itungan elliot wave di 8900, ga pede bakal sampe segitu juga sih, mungkin kalo bukan fibo 1,618 tapi 100% nya wave 1 di 8097 pede sampe sekali swing ini

Weh koq RSI nya banyak yang melemah, sisa tinggal Consumer Cyclicals, Financials, Healthcare, Industrials

Stochastic Buy Signal: KLBF TOWR ELSA

MACD Buy Signal: BTPS TINS, both big accum

Supertrend Buy Signal: PWON

Daily Analysis 20250813

Daily Analysis 20250813

Good morning,

August 13th, 2025

S&P 500 closes above 6,400 for first time as rate cut bets jump after CPI inflation report

The S&P 500 closed above 6,400 for the first time ever amid a broad stock market rally on Tuesday as Wall Street digested fresh inflation data.

Dow…..44459 +483.6 +1.10%
Nasdaq 21682 +296.5 +1.39%
S&P 500 6446 +72.4 +1.14%

FTSE…..9148 +18.1 +0.14%
Dax…..24025 -56.6 -0.23%
CAC…..7753 +54.9 +0.71%

Nikkei…42718 +897.7 +2.15%
HSI………24970 +62.9 +0.25%
Shanghai.3666 +18.4 +0.50%

IDX..7791.70 +186.7 +2.44%‼️
LQ45..823.26 +23.67 +2.96%‼️
IDX30.425.82 +12.56 +3.04%‼️

IDXEnergy.3601.98 +27.90 +0.92%
IDX BscMat1635.85 -14.41 -0.87%
IDX Indstr..1127.24 +53.75 +5.01%‼️
IDXNONCYC.705.38 +0.99 +0.14%
IDX Hlthcare1625.99 +15.99+0.99%
IDXCYCLC..790.55 +2.21 +0.28%
IDX Techno.9315.88 +486.96 +5.52%‼️
IDX Transp 1539.78 +0.00. +0.01%
IDX Infrast .1929.302 +37.68 +1.99%
IDX Finance 1457.04 +41.19 +2.91%
IDX Banking 1077.47 +44.10 +4.27%
IDX Property..811 -2.90 -0.25%

Indo10Yr.6.5393 -0.0019 -0.29%
ICBI….422.0445 +0.3004 +0.07%
US2Yr.3.733 -0.033 -0.88%
US5Yr 3.821 -0.011 -0.31%
US10Yr4.291 +0.006 +0.14%
US30Yr.4. 878 +0.031 +0.64%
VIX..14.73 -1.52 -9.35%👍

USDIndx..98.0970❗️-0.423 -0.43%
Como Indx.295.36 -0.33 -0.11%
BCOMIN..142.78 +1.69 +1.19%

IndoCDS 5yr.73.93 -0.94 -1.26%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/08)

IDR…….16289.50❗️ +10.00 +0.06%
Jisdor…16298.00❗️ +45.00 +0.28%

Euro..1.1677❗️+0.0063 +0.54%

TLKM..19.31 +1.00 +5.46%‼️
( 3147)
EIDO….18.61 +0.63 +3.50%‼️
EEM…49.90 +0.60 +1.22%

Oil…63.10 -1.04 -1.62%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…66.12 -0.53 -0.77%
(Brent)

Gold.3403.30 +8.90 +0.26%
(Comex)
Gold.3350.79 +3.20 +0.10%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..33886.00 +81.00 +0.24%
(Closed 12/08)
Nickel…15293.63 +14.00 +0.09%
(Closed 12/08)
Silver……37.64 -0.90 -2.39%
Copper.444.95 -2.20 -0.49%

Iron Ore 62% 102.41 +1.19 +1.18%
(12/08)

Nturl Gas .2.984 -0.006 -0.20%

Ammonia China.2450.00 -50 -2.02%
(Domestic Price 12/08)

Coal price111.70 -0.55 -0.49%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 111.60 -1.95 -1.72%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.113.00 -1.15 -1.01%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price..114.25 -0.50 -0.44%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price 100.35 -1.00 -0.99%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.100.35 -2.25 -2.19%
(Sep/Rotterdam)
Coal price.100.75 -2.25 -2.18%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.101.55 -2.40 -2.31%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct) 4400 +16 +0.36%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……394.50 -13.25 -3.25%
SoybeanOil 53.14 +0.14 +0.26%
Wheat…505.00 -10.00 -1.94%

Wood pulp..5876.67 +33.33 +0.74%
(Closed 12/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Kemaren hampir semua index regional ijo kecuali german. US treasury bond yield down, cocok buat lanjut ijo hari ini

USD index down, metal2 up kecuali silver copper, oil lanjut down, gas down coal down, CPO up, kenapa ini energy belum jadi jalan?

IHSG – stoch buy macd rev buy, MFI flat, w% uptrend, bd acc FNB udah 2 hari, sayangnya nambah gap baru lagi, ketemu reg bear div, bisa jadi ga ketahan emang mau dibawa ke atas ini index, dengan kemaren big banks dan big caps lain pada di gas, secara umum yang buy signal bisa buy tapi jangan lupa trailing stop dan stop loss, euforia berlebihan berbahaya

Industrials, Consumer Cyclicals, Property (tapi sudutnya melemah), Healthcare, Transportation, Financials (finally!!!) Kalo firm Financials jalan berarti lanjut rally wave 3

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO BBRI BRIS ICBP JSMR MEDC PTBA BNGA GGRM GJTL PNLF PTRO, big accum ADRO BBRI PTBA GGRM PNLF

MACD Buy Signal: BBRI BBTN EXCL JSMR MAPA SIDO BNGA MIKA, big accum BBRI BBTN EXCL SIDO

Supertrend Buy Signal: BBCA BBNI BBTN BMRI AGRO, Big accum BBCA BBTN BMRI

Daily Analysis 20250812

Daily Analysis 20250812

Good morning,

August 12th, 2025

Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq slump with key inflation report on deck

Stocks slipped on Monday as President Trump reportedly granted another 90-day extension for steeper China tariffs and as traders eyed a key inflation reading on Tuesday.

Dow…..43975 -199.7 -0.45%
Nasdaq 21385 -64.6 -0.30%
S&P 500 6374 -15.9 -0.25%

FTSE…..9130 +33.96 +0.37%
Dax…..24081 -81.5 -0.34%
CAC…..7689 -44.5 -0.57%

Nikkei….41820 closed +0%
HSI………24907 +47.99 +0.19%
Shanghai.3648 +12.4 +0.34%

IDX..7605.93 +72.54 +0.96%
LQ45..799.59 +6.71 +0.85%
IDX30.413.26 +4.37 +1.07%

IDXEnergy.3034.08 +10.48 +0.35%
IDX BscMat1650.255 -17.13 -1.03%
IDX Indstr…1073.49 +3.57 +0.33%
IDXNONCYC.704.39 +4.40 +0.63%
IDX Hlthcare1609.99 +7.71 +0.48%
IDXCYCLC..788.35 +5.09 +0.65%
IDX Techno.8828.91 -56.98 -0.64%
IDX Transp 1539.69 +40.26 +2.69%
IDX Infrast .1891.34 +18.17 +0.97%
IDX Finance 1416.55 +21.92 +1.57%
IDX Banking 1033.38 +26.39 +2.67%
IDX Property..813 +20.50 +2.59%

Indo10Yr.6.5583 +0.0079 +0.12%
ICBI….421.7441 -0.2227 -0.05%
US2Yr.3.766 +0.008 +0.21%
US5Yr 3.833 +0.005 +0.13%
US10Yr4.285 +0.002 +0.05%
US30Yr.4. 847 -0.007 -0.14%
VIX..16.25 +1.10 +7.26%

USDIndx..98.5200❗️+0.340 +0.35%
Como Indx.295.69 +1.62 +0.55%
BCOMIN..141.10 -0.53 -0.37%

IndoCDS 5yr.74.87 -0.15 -0.20%
(5-yr INOCD5) (11/08)

IDR…….16279.50❗️ -13.00 -0.08%
Jisdor…16253.00❗️ -46.00 -0.28%

Euro..1.1614❗️-0.0028 -0.24%

TLKM..18.31 -0.09 -1.60%
( 2976)
EIDO….17.98 +0.15 +0.84%
EEM…49.30 -0.14 -0.28%

Oil…64.14 +0.26 +0.41%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…66.63 +0.04 +0.06%
(Brent)

Gold.3394.40‼️-96.90 -2.78%‼️
(Comex)
Gold.3347.59‼️ -50.16 -1.48%‼️
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..33805.00 +181.00 +0.54%
(Closed 11/08)
Nickel…15279.63 +172.00 +1.14%
(Closed 11/08)
Silver……37.64 -0.90 -2.39%
Copper.444.95 -2.20 -0.49%

Iron Ore 62% 101.22 +0.74 +0.73%
(11/08)

Nturl Gas .2.984 -0.006 -0.20%

Ammonia China.2476.67 unch +0%
(Domestic Price 11/08)

Coal price112.25 -0.95 -0.84%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 113.55 -0.70 -0.61%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.114.15 -1.35 -1.17%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price..114.75 -1.75 -1.50%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price 101.35 +0.35 +0.35%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.102.60 +0.50 +0.49%
(Sep/Rotterdam)
Coal price.103.00 -0.15 -0.15%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.103.95 -0.05 -0.05%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct) 4384 +130 +3.06%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..407.75 +2.25 +0.55%
SoybeanOil 53.00 +0.47 +0.89%
Wheat…515.00 +0.50 +0.10%

Wood pulp..5883.33 unch +0%
(Closed 11/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah europe mostly merah, asia ijo, IHSG ijo tebel, US treasury bond yield naik, kemungkinan besar merah IHSG hari ini

USD index up, gold drop silver copper down, nickel tin iron ore up, oil up, gas down, coal down, CPO up, perlu dipantau ini AALI

IHSG – technical masih jelek walau stoch dan macd ada gerakan kaya may reversal up. MFI flat, w% up, BD abis buang flat, FNS udah 2 hari, itungan wave B minor nya belum sampe 7200, masih besar kemungkinan dibawa koreksi dulu

Masih mirip kemaren, tapi Basic Materials nya lesu, yang sudutnya terlihat ok Consumer Cyclicals Energy Healthcare Industrials Consumer Non-Cyclicals Property Transportation. Financials masih melempem

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMMN ARTO ITMG SIDO AUTO BTPS ERAA HMSP TINS, big accum ERAA HMSP

MACD Buy Signal: PTPP

Supertrend Buy Signal: CTRA

Daily Analysis 20250805

Daily Analysis 20250805

Good morning,

August 05th, 2025

Dow jumps 580 points, S&P 500, Nasdaq have best day since May as Wall Street bounces back

US stocks rebounded sharply Monday, recovering from last week’s sell-off sparked by disappointing labor data and continuing trade uncertainty.

Dow…..44174 +585.1 +1.34%
Nasdaq 21054 +403.5 +1.95%
S&P 500 6330 +91.9 +1.47%

FTSE…..9128 +59.7 +0.66%
Dax…..23758 +331.7 +1.42%
CAC…..7632 +85.9 +1.14%

Nikkei….40291 -508.9 -1.25%
HSI………24733 +225.6 +0.92%
Shanghai.3583 +23.4 +0.66%

IDX..7464.65 -73.12 -0.97%
LQ45..787.75 -9.08 -1.14%
IDX30.411.75 -0.51 -0.12%

IDXEnergy.2924.20 -38.58 -1.30%
IDX BscMat1638.62 -25.80 -1.55%
IDX Indstr….1027.96 +10.83 +1.06%
IDXNONCYC.709.68 -3.38 -0.47%
IDX Hlthcare1590.40 +31.10 +1.99%
IDXCYCLC…742.75 +6.65 +0.90%
IDX Techno.9485.67 +107.92 +1.15%
IDX Transp 1497.50 +2.49 +0.17%
IDX Infrast .1898.71 +10.90 +0.58%
IDX Finance 1370.88 -3.46 -0.25%
IDX Banking 1000.15 +0.43 +0.04%
IDX Property..781 +3.8 +0.49%

Indo10Yr.6.6040❗️-0.0369 -0.56%
ICBI….419.7257❗️+0.8652 +0.21%
US2Yr.3.961 -0.257 -6.49%‼️
US5Yr 3.771 -0.207 -5.20%‼️
US10Yr4.220 -0.160 -3.65%‼️
US30Yr.4. 904 -0.097 -1.98%
VIX..17.52 -2.86 -14.03%‼️

USDIndx..98.7840❗️-0.357 -0.36%
Como Indx.293.65 -1.63 -0.55%
BCOMIN..139.45 +0.01 +0.01%

IndoCDS 5yr.74.37 unch +0%
(5-yr INOCD5) (04/08)

IDR…….16401.00❗️ -112.00 -0.68%
Jisdor…16494.00‼️ +35.0 +0.21%

Euro..1.1581❗️-0.0006 -0.05%

TLKM..18.22 +0.38 +2.13%
( 3005)
EIDO….17.59 -0.02 -0.11%
EEM…48.70 +0.50 +1.04%

Oil…66.27 -1.06 -1.57%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…68.76 -0.91 -1.31%
(Brent)

Gold.3429.20‼️ +29.40 +0.86%
(Comex)
Gold.3375.38‼️+11.90 +0.35%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..33206.00 -172.00 -0.52%
(Closed 04/08)
Nickel…15062.88 +84.25 +0.56%
(Closed 04/08)
Silver….36.93 +0.22 +0.60%
Copper.443.55 +8.10 +1.86%

Iron Ore 62% 100.77‼️ +1.65 +1.66%
(04/08)

Nturl Gas .2.943 -0.146 -4.72%

Ammonia China.2566.67 -50.00 -1.91%
(Domestic Price 01/08)

Coal price114.90 -0.25 -0.22%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 117.25 -0.15 -0.13%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.118.25 -0.55 -0.46%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price..119.20 -0.05 -0.04%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price 103.20 -0.25 -0.24%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.104.50 -0.85 -0.81%
(Sep/Rotterdam)
Coal price.105.75 -0.75 -0.70%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.106.65 -0.65 -0.61%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct) 4186 -59 -1.39%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..407.00 -3.75 -0.91%
SoybeanOil 54.02 +0.12 +0.22%
Wheat…516.75 unch +0%

Wood pulp..5900.00 unch +0%
(Closed 04/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US europe ijo tebel, asia varied, US treasury bond yield lanjut drop jauh, harusnya sih ijo tebel IHSG hari ini

USD index down, metal2 up, oil down, gas down, coal dowl, CPO down, energy koq belum jadi jalan ya…

IHSG – masih jelek semua, stoch down macd almost sell, mfi down, w% down, FNS, BD dist, reg bear jalan, banyak gap dibawah, wave B di wave 3 itungannya ke 7200 an dulu, tapi bisa berubah juga kalo globalnya bagus banget

Industrials, Consumer Cyclicals, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Property, Financials (semoga bener ini, soalnya BBCA BBRI masih ketekenn terus). Infrastructure melemah tapi kemaren TLKM naik

Stochastic Buy Signal: ACES PGAS TLKM UNTR HRUM MARK, big accum PGAS TLKM UNTR

MACD Buy Signal: INCO HRUM KPIG MNCN

Supertrend Buy Signal: HRUM

Daily Analysis 20250625

Daily Analysis 20250625

Good morning,

June 25th 2025

Wall St ends sharply higher, S&P 500 nears record high as Middle East tensions cool

U.S. stocks rallied more than 1% on Tuesday as investors welcomed a fragile truce with Israel and Iran while parsing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s congressional testimony for clues regarding the U.S. central bank’s path forward.

Dow…..43089 +507.2 +1.19%
Nasdaq 19913 +281.6 +1.43%
S&P 500 6092 +67.01 +1.11%

FTSE…..8759 +0.95 +0.01%
Dax…..23641 +372.6 +1.60%
CAC…..7615 +78.4 +1.04%

Nikkei….38791 +436.5 +1.14%
HSI……24177 +487.9 +2.06%
Shanghai.3421 +38.98 +1.15%

IDX..6869.17 +82.03 +1.21%
LQ45..764.41 +10.59 +1.40%
IDX30.395.16 +4.66 +1.19%

IDXEnergy.2729.57 -16.22 -0.59%
IDX BscMat1442.00 +3.98 +0.20%
IDX Indstr…..908.55 +8.89 +0.99%
IDXNONCYC.657.46 +12.28 +1.90%
IDX Hlthcare1461.75+29.04 +2.03%
IDXCYCLC…709.41 +20.80 +3.02%
IDX Techno.6518.52 +35.09 +0.54%
IDX Transp 1437.10 +12.28 +0.86%
IDX Infrast .1379.42 +10.66 +0.78%
IDX Finance.1351.37 +19.67+1.48%
IDX Banking 1031.08 +20.41 +2.02%
IDX Property..727 +22.60 +3.21%‼️

Indo10Yr.6.7903-0.0327 -0.48%
ICBI….412.3536 +0.8614 +0.21%
US2Yr.3.821 -0.042 -1.09%
US5Yr 3.861 -0.049 -1.25%
US10Yr4.296 -0.052 -1.20%
US30Yr.4.835 -0.039 -0.80%
VIX..17.48 -2.35 -11.85%👍

USDIndx..98.8580👍 -0.496 -0.50%
Como Indx.296.97 -8.08 -2.65%‼️
BCOMIN..145.39 +0.30 +0.20%

IndoCDS 5yr.82.09‼️+0.64 +0.78%
(5-yr INOCD5) (24/06)

IDR…….16.353.50❗️-138.50👍 -0.84%
Jisdor…16.370.00❗️-114.00👍 -0.69%

Euro..1.1609❗️ +0.0015 +0.13%

TLKM..16.06 +0.16 +1.01%
( 2629)
EIDO….16.38 +0.49 +2.90%
EEM…47.92 +1.21 +2.59%

Oil…65.10❗️-1.07 -1.61%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…67.14 -4.34 -6.07%‼️
(Brent)

Gold.3335.50‼️ -42.50 -1.26%
(Comex)
Gold.3322.42‼️ -34.63 -1.03%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..32319.00 -374.00 -1.14%
(Closed 24/06)
Nickel…14911.13 +113.88 +0.77%
(Closed 24/06)
Silver….36.22 -0.15 -0.41%
Copper.494.75 +0.10 +0.02%

Iron Ore 62% .94.75 -0.12 -0.13%
(24/06)

Nturl Gas .3.770 -0.076 -1.98%
Ammonia China.2316.67 +6.67 +0.29%
(Domestic Price 24/06)

Coal price.106.60 -0.65 -0.61%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.109.90 -3.05 -2.70%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price111.60 -2.60 -2.28%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 113.40 -2.60 -2.24%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price 103.50 -0.95 -0.91%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.103.15 -4.80 -4.45%‼️
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.65 -5.00 -4.60%‼️
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.104.15 -5.10 -4.67%‼️
(Sep/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep) 3986 -139 -3.37%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..429.00 -4.75 -1.10%
SoybeanOil 52.61 -1.14 -2.12%
Wheat..552.00 -17.50 -3.07%‼️

Wood pulp…6066.67 -16.66 -0.27%
(Closed 24/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US europe asia ijo semua, menyusul pengumuman cease fire Israel-Iran walau terus dilanggar… US treasury bond yield down, harusnya sih lanjut ijo, tapi mungkin tutup gap dulu. Apakah akan langsung lanjut wave 3, belum bisa ditebak, dari itungan sih mungkin saja, sudah sampe fibo 38, tapi biasanya sih sampe fibo 50

USD index down, metal2 down kecuali nickel copper, oil down gas down coal down, CPO down, tapi ancaman penutupan selat sama iran masih mungkin, walau sebenernya tanpa itu juga major nya keliatan mau ke atas, tapi minornya terlihat jadi dipaksa turun dulu

IHSG – MFI up, 833 buy, yang lain masih jelek, ada 2 gap di bawah, bahwa mungkin wave 2 nya berhenti di fibo 38 mungkin, tapi masih FNS dan BD dist agak berat untuk langsung ngangkat

Consumer Cyclicals, Financials (tapi big banks masih jelek), Healthcare, Industrials, UNTR LK bagus, Infrastructure, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Property. Masih belum meyakinkan, yang bahaya Energy sama basic materials melemah

Oil Price Chart – MACD sell signal, kecuali konflik memanas lagi sepertinya akan kebawah dulu, prepare buang dulu saham minyak, pantau ketat

Coal Price Chart – udah supertrend buy, 2 hari koreksi tapi ga terlalu besar, macd jadi terlihat mau rev down, ga terkait langsung sama konflik, harusnya sih tetep jalan

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMRT BBCA BBTN BRIS GGRM ICBP MAPI SIDO ERAA MNCN MYOR PWON, big accum cuma GGRM sama PWON

MACD Buy Signal WIFI nerusin stoch nya buy duluan kemaren, tapi overpriced jadi kita skip

Daily Analysis 20250624

Daily Analysis 20250624

Good morning,

June 24th 2025

Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq jump, oil slides on Iran’s restrained response to US strikes

US stocks closed near session highs on Monday while oil prices tanked after Iran launched missiles at a US air base in Qatar in what appeared to be a limited retaliation for US strikes against Iranian nuclear sites.

Dow…..42582 +374.96 +0.88%
Nasdaq 19631 +183.6 +0.94%
S&P 500 6025 +57.3 +0.96%

FTSE…..8758 -16.6 -0.19%
Dax…..23269 -81.5 -0.35%
CAC…..7538 -52.1 -0.69%

Nikkei….38354 -49.1 -0.13%
HSI………23689 +158.7 +0.67%
Shanghai.3382 +21.7 +0.65%

IDX..6787.14 -120.00 -1.74%
LQ45..753.83 -11.11 -1.45%
IDX30.390.50 -6.58 -1.66%

IDXEnergy.2745.79 -60.67 -2.16%
IDX BscMat1438.02 -16.81 -1.18%
IDX Indstr…..899.66 -14.60 -1.60%
IDXNONCYC.645.17 -13.94 -2.11%
IDX Hlthcare1432.71-24.22 -1.66%
IDXCYCLC…688.61 -23.96 -3.36%
IDX Techno.6483.43 -169.29 -2.54%
IDX Transp 1424.82 -0.75 -0.05%
IDX Infrast .1368.76 -24.47 -1.76%
IDX Finance.1331.70 -18.89 -1.40%
IDX Banking 1010.67 -13.09 -1.28%
IDX Property..705 -21.60 -2.97%

Indo10Yr.6.8230+0.0329 +0.48%
ICBI….411.4922 -0.6063 -0.15%
US2Yr.3.863 -0.041 -1.05%
US5Yr 3.910 -0.049 -1.24%
US10Yr4.348 -0.028 -0.64%
US30Yr.4.874 -0.015 -0.31%
VIX..19.83 -0.79 -3.83%

USDIndx..98.3540❗️ -0.708 -0.71%
Como Indx.305.05 -7.48 -2.39%
BCOMIN..145.09 +0.96 +0.67%

IndoCDS 5yr.82.09‼️ unch +0%
(5-yr INOCD5) (23/06)

IDR…….16.492.00‼️+95.50 +0.58%
Jisdor…16.484.00❗️+85.00 +0.52%

Euro..1.1594 +0.0108 +0.94%

TLKM..15.90 -0.14 -0.87%
( 2621)
EIDO….16.89 -0.29 -1.69%
EEM..46.71 +0.38 +0.82%

Oil…66.17‼️-9.06 -12.04%‼️
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…71.48‼️ -8.00 -10.07%‼️
(Brent)

Gold.3378.00 -16.50 -0.49%
(Comex)
Gold.3357.05 -18.76 -0.56%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..32693.00 +10.00 +0.03%
(Closed 23/06)
Nickel…14797.25 -168.38 -1.13%
(Closed 23/06)
Silver….36.37 +0.09 +0.25%
Copper.494.65 +9.50 +5.13%

Iron Ore 62% .94.75 -0.02 -0.02%
(23/06)

Nturl Gas .3.770 -0.076 -1.98%
Ammonia China.2310.00 -43.33 -1.84%
(Domestic Price 23/06)

Coal price.107.25 +0.45 +0.61%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.112.95 +0.70 +0.62%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price114.20 +0.72 +0.62%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 116.00 +0.90 +0.70%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price 104.45 +0.70 +0.67%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.107.95 +0.90 +0.84%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 108.65 +0.85 +0.79%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.109.25 +0.80 +0.74%
(Sep/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep) 4125 +10 +0.24%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..433.75 -7.50 -1.70%
SoybeanOil 53.75 -1.35 -2.45%
Wheat..569.50 -14.00 -2.40%

Wood pulp…6083.33 unch +0%
(Closed 23/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo europe merah asia varied, selain IHSG yang merah dalem cuma nikkei yang merah tipis. Padahal iran nyerang US base di qatar, tapi US market pede karena di intercept 6 6 nya mungkin. US treasury bond yield turun, harusnya sih IHSG rada mantul dulu hari ini, gap down kemaren, mungkin akan tutup gap dulu hari ini

USD index down, metal2 down kecuali tin copper, oil drop gas drop coal up cpo up, agak aneh ini oil drop padahal konflik belum selesai, dan energy price chart nya emang terlihat giliran jalan

Oil Price Chart – dibanting kemaren, lanjut running market hari ini masih merah jadi signal mau ngebalik, beware permainan global untuk make harga minyak buat jadi alat tekan geopolitik

Coal Price Chart – supertrend buy macd up, malah kemaren dibanting harga saham coal ikut index, PTBA malah 13% karena deviden nya 13%, rusak banget sih market maker indonesia ini

IHSG – masih all bad kecuali gap down kemaren yang mungkin ditutup dulu sebelum lanjut koreksi, atau bisa jadi akan berhenti di fibo 38. Kita tunggu saja

Masih kebaca arahnya bagus Financials, Industrials, Infrastructure, Property, Technology, Transportation, tapi kemaren bantingan abis abisan ikut index semua, kita pantau ketat

Stochastic Buy Signal: ACES BBRI MTEL UNVR MAPA WIFI, wifi big accum

MACD ga ada buy signal, malah sell signal ITMG UNTR SCMA, UNTR udah pasang stoploss, kalo kena kita tunggu next buy signal