Daily Analysis 20230109

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

January 09th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks stage first big rally of 2023 as hope grows that inflation will ease, Dow closes up 700 points

U.S. stocks advanced Friday after the December jobs report and an economic activity survey showed signs that inflation may be cooling, signaling that the Federal
Reserve’s interest rate hikes are having their intended effect.

Dow…….33631 +700.5 +2.13%
Nasdaq.10569 +264.1 +2.56%
S&P 500..3895 +86.98 +2.28%

FTSE…….7670 +66.04 +0.87%
Dax……..14610 +173.7 +1.20%
CAC……..6861 +99.5 +1.47%

Nikkei…..25974 +153.1 +0.59%
HSI………20992 -60.5 -0.29%
Shanghai…3158 +2.4 +0.08%
ST Times..3277 -15.9 -0.48%

IDX…..6684.56 +30.72 +0.46%
LQ45….913.02 +3.36 +0.37%

IDX Energy..2119.86 +29.34 +1.40%
IDX BscMat 1222.34 +21.89 +1.82%
IDX Indstrl…1138.16 +7.85 +0.69%
IDXNONCYC..726.04 +6.80 +0.95%
IDX Hlthcare1541.57 +0.81 +0.05%
IDXCYCLIC…822.22. -2.46 -0.30%
IDX Techno.5100.91 +23.02 +0.45%
IDX Transp..1621.01 +14.82 +0.92%
IDX Infrast…..848.42 -7.16 -0.84%
IDX Finance 1373.23 -5.30 -0.38%
IDX Banking 1110.66 -3.73 -0.34%
IDX Property….688 +3.60 +0.52%

Indo10Yr.7.0285 -0.0039 -0.06%
ICBI…345.1791 +0.1847 +0.05%
US10Yr..3.7200 +0.0110 +0.30%
VIX…..21.13 -1.33 -5.92%

USDIndx103.8790 -1.250 -1.19%
Como Indx.264.82 +1.13 +0.43%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..162.89 +2.56 +1.59%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15632.50 +16.00 +0.10%
Jisdor..15635.00 +25.00 +0.16%

Euro……1.0648 +0.0146 +1.39%

TLKM…..24.10 +0.07 +0.29%
(3768)
EIDO…..21.98 +0.38 +1.76%
EEM……40.07 +0.82 +2.09%

Oil…….73.77 +0.10 +0.14%
Gold ..1869.70 +29.10 +1.58%
Timah…25270 +409 +1.65%
(Closed 06/01)
Nickel.28824.50 +915.00 +3.28%‼️
(Closed 06/01)
Silver…….23.98 +0.56 +2.38%
Copper..391.10 +9.00 +2.36%

Nturl Gas..3.761 -0.013 -0.34%

Ammonia..4606.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/01)

Coal price….396.15 -1.35 -0.34%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….368.50 -3.50 -0.94%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….343.80 -3.70 -1.06%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price…172.30 -5.45 -3.06%‼️
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price..170.70 -7.20 -4.05%‼️
(Feb/ Rotterdam)
Coal price..170.45 -7.90 -4.42%‼️
(Mar/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)…..4052 -38 -0.93%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……….654.00 +1.25 +0.19%
SoybeanOil..63.17 +0.75 +1.20%
Wheat……..743.50 -3.25 -0.44%

Wood pulp…6410.00. -10 -0.16%
(Closed 05/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Jum’at closing ijo semua kecuali hongkong sama singapore, US ijo tebel

Metal2 an naik semua, Oil naik tipis, gas rebound dikit, coal sempet naik lagi ke 400 usd/mt turun lagi ke 396, cpo turun

 

IHSG – minor ABC correction udah bisa dianggap done kali, kalo sampe tembus titik awal elliot wave di 6559 bisa bubar… Kemaren yang jadi urusan masih NFS dan bandar lokal ga nahan, malah ikutan buang, drop jauh deh. Jum’at masih NFS tapi ngurangin, BD akum, walhasil ijo. Semoga senin mulai NFB. Stoch masih down dan MACD sell, belum bisa langsung rally ini kayanya, tapi semoga ga koreksi lebih jauh, cuma konsolidasi sebelum mantul. Jangan aggressive dulu

Basic Materials yang menarik, consumer non-cyclicals ganjel index, property surprisingly terlihat menguat padahal suku bunga bank naik, Technology melesu, Infrastructure juga

Stochastic Buy Signal: BRPT CPIN HMSP PTBA DSNG LINK

MACD Buy Signal: ERAA INCO DSNG MPMX

Daily Analysis 20230106

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

January 06th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes 300 points lower after strong jobs data signals more rate hikes

Stocks fell Thursday after jobs data showed the labor market is still strong despite the Federal Reserve’s interest rate hikes to tame inflation.

Dow…….32930 -339.7 -1.02%
Nasdaq.10305 -153.5 -1.47%
S&P 500..3808 -44.9 -1.16%

FTSE…….7633 +48.3 +0.64%
Dax……..14436 -54.5 -0.38%
CAC……..6762 -14.9 -0.22%

Nikkei…..25821 +103.9 +0.40%
HSI………21052 +259.1 +1.25%
Shanghai…3155 +31.7 +1.01%
ST Times..3292 +50.2 +1.55%

IDX…..6653.84 -159.40 -2.34%
LQ45….909.66 -18.87 -2.03%

IDX Energy..2090.52 -121.09 -5.48%‼️
IDX BscMat 1200.45 -32.27 -2.62%
IDX Indstrl…1130.31 -26.24 -2.27%
IDXNONCYC..719.24 -2.65 -0.37%
IDX Hlthcare1540.76 +6.93 +0.45%
IDXCYCLIC…824.69 -19.88 -2.35%
IDX Techno.5077.88 -147.90 -2.83%
IDX Transp..1606.19 -42.99 -2.61%
IDX Infrast…..855.58 -22.35 -2.55%
IDX Finance 1378.53 -27.41 -1.95%
IDX Banking 1114.40 -22.91 -2.01%
IDX Property….685 -14.90 -2.14%

Indo10Yr.7.0324 -0.0074 -0.11%
ICBI…344.9935 +0.3292 +0.10 %
US10Yr..3.7200 +0.0110 +0.30%
VIX…..22.46 +0.45 +2.04%

USDIndx105.1290 +0.860 +0.82%‼️
Como Indx.263.69 -0.48 -0.18%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..160.34 -1.95 -1.20%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15616.50 +34.00 +0.22%
Jisdor..15610.00 -5.00 -0.03%

Euro……1.05020 -0.0085 -0.80%

TLKM…..24.03 -0.32 -1.31%
(3751)
EIDO…..21.60 -0.73 -3.27%‼️
EEM……39.25 -0.12 -0.30%

Oil…….73.67 +0.83 +1.14%
Gold …1840.60 -18.40 -0.99%
Timah….25095 -378 -1.48%
(Closed 04/01)
Nickel.27909.50 -1338.50 -4.58%‼️
(Closed 05/01)
Silver…….23.42 -0.54 -2.25%
Copper…382.10 +8.05 +2.15%

Nturl Gas..3.774 -0.375 -9.04%‼️

Ammonia..4606.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/01)

Coal price….397.50 +2.95 +0.75%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….372.00 +8.30 +2.28%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….347.50 +7.20 +2.12%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price…177.75 -1.00 -0.56%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price..177.90 -1.35 -0.75%
(Feb/ Rotterdam)
Coal price..178.35 -1.35 -0.75%
(Mar/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)…..4091 -80 -1.92%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……….652.75 -1.00 -0.15%
SoybeanOil..62.42 -0.43 -0.68%
Wheat……..746.75 +1.25 +0.17%

Wood pulp…6420.00. -10 -0.16%
(Closed 05/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US lanjut merah lagi, europe varied, asia ijo kecuali indonesia yang nyungsep

Oil reound dikit, gas lanjut drop, coal naik, metal turun semua kecuali copper, CPO turun, masih belum bisa ngegas… Tapi masih optimis index lanjut sih

IHSG – Foreign sell off, dan BD lokal ga nahan, terjun bebas deh… Sampe MACD nya ngebalik jadi sell lagi. Yang kena cutloss jangan buru2 masuk lagi, sabar dulu aja. Saham saham yang signal nya belum ngebalik gpp hold, yang jadi signal sell exit dulu aja, tertib teknikal, nanti ada gilirannya belanja lagi. Bikin lower low,belum firm jadi bottom wave 2, tapi liat dari levelnya pas di area support prevoius low, semoga jadi piercing line candle. AScending triangle gagal breakout ke atas, WNS dulu secara umum

Masih infrastructure, technology, yang nyusul Basic Materials, Consumer Non-Cyclicals sama Property

Stoch Buy Signal: INKP AGII HEAL. Satu sinarmas, satu Saratoga, satu Astra, hmm… ada hajatan kah?

MACD buy signal: GGRM, skip ah

Daily Analysis 20230105

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

January 05th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close higher, snap 2-day losing streak as Wall Street shakes off Fed minutes

Stocks closed higher Wednesday after a choppy session as investors looked past Federal Reserve meeting minutes that showed the central bank will remain aggressive in its policy to tame high inflation.

Dow…….33270 +133.4 +0.40%
Nasdaq.10459 +71.8 +0.69%
S&P 500..3853 +28.8 +0.75%

FTSE…….7585 +31.1 +0.41%
*Dax…….14491 +309.1 +2.18%*
*CAC……..6776 +152.5 +2.30%*

Nikkei…..25717 -377.6 -1.45%
*HSI…….20793 +647.8 +3.22%*
Shanghai…3124 +7.0. +0.22%
ST Times..3242 -3.3 -0.10%

IDX…….6813.24 -75.52 -1.10%
LQ45……928.53 -11.92 -1.27%

*IDX Energy..2211.60 -73.20 -3.20%*
IDX BscMat 1232.72 -6.35 -0.51%
IDX Indstrl…1156.55 -25.08 -2.12%
IDXNONCYC..721.89 -1.82 -0.25%
IDX Hlthcare1533.83 -27.79 -1.78%
IDXCYCLIC….844.57 -6.80 -0.80%
IDX Techno.5225.79 +12.60+0.24%
IDX Transp..1649.17 -25.77 -1.54%
IDX Infrast……877.93 -8.97 -1.01%
IDX Finance 1405.94 -8.91 -0.63%
IDX Banking 1137.31 -11.51 -1.00%
IDX Property….700 -7.30 -1.04%

Indo10Yr.7.0398 -0.0025 -0.04%
ICBI….344.6642 +0.0910 +0.03%
*US10Yr..3.7090 -0.0840 -2.21%*
*VIX…..22.01 -0.89 -3.89%*

*USDIndx.104.2690 -0.4140 -0.40%*
*Como Indx.264.17 -6.01 -2.22%*
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..162.29 -3.17 -1.92%
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15582.50 -18.50 -0.12%*
*Jisdor..15615.00 +25.00 +0.16%*

*Euro……1.0604 +0.057 +0.54%*

TLKM…..24.35 -0.05 -0.20%
*(3804)*
EIDO…….22.33 -0.09 -0.40%
*EEM……39.37 +1.15 +3.01%*

*Oil…….72.85 -4.09 -5.32%‼️*
*Gold …1859.00 +12.90 +0.70%*
*Timah….25473 +665 +2.68%*
*(Closed 03/01)*
*Nickel.29248.00 -2087.50 -6.66%‼️*
*(Closed 04/01)*
Silver…….23.96 -0.27 -1.12%
Copper…374.05 -2.60 -0.69%

*Nturl Gas..4.149 +0.140 +3.49%*

*Ammonia..4606.67 -66.66 -1.43%*
*China*
(Domestic Price)(03/01)

Coal price….394.55 +1.45 +0.37%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….363.70 +3.05 +0.85%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….340.30 +3.35 +0.99%
(Mar/Newcastle)
*Coal price…178.75 -8.50 -4.54%‼️*
(Jan/Rotterdam)
*Coal price..179.25 -8.80 -4.68%‼️*
(Feb/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price..179.70 -7.40 -3.96%‼️*
(Mar/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)…..4171 -84 -1.97%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

*Corn……….653.75 -16.75 -2.50%*
SoybeanOil…62.86 -0.35 -0.55%
*Wheat……..745.50 -30.00 -3.87%*

Wood pulp…6430.00. -6 -0.09%
(Closed 04/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US ijo, europe ijo tebel, semoga IHSG hari ini rebound kenceng juga. Hangseng kemaren padahal naik tinggi

Metal2 ga kompak, Gold Timah naik, Nikel drop, silver copper turun. Masih ok buat ANTM sama MDKA. Oil lanjut drop, gas rebound, coal NCF naik, Rotterdam turun, agak mengkhawatirkan ini energy…

CPO turun lagi, watchout saham CPO, tertib teknikal, karena price reboundnya belum firm

IHSG – balik NFS lagi, walhasil drop, stoch masih down, MACD up tapi jadi goyang, MFI flat, BD dist (pantes drop, ga ditahan bandar lokal), belum berhasil firm breakout ascending triangle, masih bolak balik, kita liat perkembangannya gimana di infobank

Infobank15 – stoch udah buy, macd belum, outflow foreign belum beres, BD juga ikutan dist, belum bisa ngangkat index nih…

Masih Technology sama Infrastructure (versi telco sama JSMR, BUMN konstruksi masih kacau) Sektor lain mulai mantul, tapi belum…

Stoch Buy Signal: INDF MEDC DSNG SRTG

MACD Buy Signal: ANTM TAPG

Daily Analysis 20230104

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

January 04th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close lower on first trading day of 2023, hurt by slumping Apple, Tesla

Stocks closed lower Tuesday, giving up earlier gains, as concerns such as rising rates and high inflation that knocked the market down last year continued to trouble investors in the new year.

Dow…….33136 -10.9 -0.03%
Nasdaq.10387 -79.5 -0.76%
S&P 500..3824 -15.4 -0.40%

FTSE…….7554 +102.4 +1.37%
Dax……..14182 +112.4 +0.80%
CAC……..6624 +29.3. +0.44%

Nikkei…..26094 closed +0%
HSI………20145 +363.9 +1.84%
Shanghai…3117 +27.3. +0.88%
ST Times..3245 -5.5 -0.17%

IDX…….6888.76 +37.77 +0.55%
LQ45……940.46 +5.38 +0.57%

IDX Energy..2284.80 +9.10 +0.40%
IDX BscMat 1239.07 +21.31+1.75%
IDX Indstrl…1181.63 +4.98 +0.42%
IDXNONCYC..723.71 +2.90 +0.40%
IDX Hlthcare.1561.63+23.17+1.51%
IDXCYCLIC…..851.37 +1.66 +0.20%
IDX Techno..5213.19 +35.14+0.68%
IDX Transp…1674.94 +11.39+0.68%
IDX Infrast……886.90 +17.14+1.97%
IDX Finance 1414.85 -1.85 -0.13%
IDX Banking 1148.82 +1.27 +0.11%
IDX Property….707 -3.50 -0.50%

Indo10Yr.7.0423 +0.0332 +0.47%
ICBI….344.5732 -0.4544 -0.13%
US10Yr..3.7930 -0.0860 -2.22%
VIX…..22.90 +1.23 +5.68%

USDIndx.104.6830 +1.1610 +1.12%
Como Indx.270.18 -7.57 -2.73%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..165.46 +0.12 +0.07%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15601.00 +28.50 +0.18%
Jisdor..15590.00 +18.00 +0.12%

Euro……1.0546 -0.0118 -1.11%

TLKM…..24.40 +0.55 +2.31%‼️
(3804)
EIDO…….22.42 +0.03 +0.13%
EEM……..38.22 +0.32 +0.84%

Oil…….76.93b -3.33 -4.15%‼️
Gold …1846.10 +19.90 +1.09%
Timah….24808 – -%
(Closed 30/12)
Nickel.31335.50 +1277.00 +4.25%
(Closed 03/01)
Silver…….24.24 +0.20 +0.82%
Copper…376.65 -4.40 -1.15%

Nturl Gas..4.009 -0.421 -9.50%‼️

Ammonia..4673.33 +50.00 +1.08%
China
(Domestic Price)(02/01)

Coal price….393.10 +3.50 +0.90%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….360.65 -2.35 -0.65%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….336.95 -2.60 -0.77%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price…187.25 -3.25 -1.71%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price..188.05 -1.95 -1.03%
(Feb/ Rotterdam)
Coal price..187.10 -1.60 -0.86%
(Mar/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Mar)…..4255 +77 +1.84%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….670.50 -8.00 -1.18%
SoybeanOil…63.20 -0.87 -1.36%
Wheat………775.50 -16.50 -2.08%

Wood pulp…6446.00 unch +0%
(Closed 02/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US start 2023 minus, europe ijo… Asia kemaren kebanyakan ijo, IHSG ijo tebel, semoga lanjut…

Oil drop jadi dibawah 80 usd/barrel, gas drop, coal naik, gold nickel silver up, copper down, CPO lanjut naik. Bagus buat ANTM MDKA INCO LSIP AALI.

IHSG – breakout ascending triangle lanjut, semoga rally panjang wave 3 nya. Mulai NFB, akhirnya… MACD masih firm, stoch down semoga cepet rev up, MFI flat, BD masih akum terus. Bisa belanja di yang pada buy signals

Infrastructure kemaren menggila, Telco naik besar, JSMR naik juga. Technology masih jalan, GOTO lagi diangkat

Stoch Buy Signal: ARTO INCO JPFA KLBF SMGR MPMX TKIM WSKT

Infobank15 sama Basic Material juga, semoga bank jalan index confirmed lari

MACD Buy Signal: ERAA MDKA SMGR PWON WIIM