January 02nd, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks fall to end Wall Street’s worst year since 2008, S&P 500 finishes 2022 down nearly 20%

Stocks slipped on Friday to end a brutal 2022 with a whimper, as Wall Street wrapped up its worst year since 2008 on a sour note.

Dow…….33147 -73.6 -0.22%
Nasdaq.104667 -11.6 -0.11%
S&P 500..3840 -9.8 -0.25%

FTSE…….7452 -60.98 -0.81%
Dax……..13924 -148.1 -1.05%
CAC……..6474 -99.7 -1.52%

Nikkei…..26094 unch +0%
HSI………19781 +40.3 +0.20%
Shanghai…3089 +15.6 +0.51%
ST Times..3251 +2.1 +0.06%

IDX…….6850.62 -9.46 -0.14%
LQ45……937.18 -4.37 -0.38%

IDX Energy..2279.55 -3.98 -0.17%
IDX BscMat 1216.13 -7.87 -0.64%
IDX Indstrl…1174.34 -1.51 -0.13%
IDXNONCYC..716.56 -6.44 -0.89%
IDX Hlthcare.1564.97+10.64+0.68%
IDXCYCLIC…..850.90 +2.96 +0.35%
IDX Techno..5162.04 -46.34 -0.89%
IDX Transp…1661.94 +2.31 +0.14%
IDX Infrast……868.64 +11.50+1.34%
IDX Finance 1414.93 +4.43 +0.31%
IDX Banking 1150.98 +4.00 +0.35%
IDX Property….711 +0.37 +2.60%

Indo10Yr.7.0077 +0.0059 +0.08%
ICBI….344.7816 +0.0474 +0.01%
US10Yr..3.8790 +0.0440 +1.15%
VIX……21.67 +0.23 +1.07%

USDIndx.103.9790 -0.5570 -0.53%
Como Indx.277.75 +1.74 +0.63%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..165.34 -1.06 -0.64%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15572.50 -85.00 -0.54%
Jisdor..15592.00 -139.00-0.88%

Euro……1.0712 +0.0048 +0.45%

TLKM…..23.85 +0.17 +0.72%
(3719)
EIDO…….22.39 -0.03 -0.13%
EEM……..37.90 -0.53 -1.38%

Oil……..80.26 +1.86 +2.37%
Gold …1826.20 +0.20 +0.01%
Timah….24808 -108.00 -0.43%
(Closed 30/12)
Nickel.30058.50 -92.50 -0.31%
(Closed 30/12)
Silver…….24.04 -0.21 -0.87%
Copper…381.05 -1.35 -0.35%

Nturl Gas..4.081 -0.643 -13.61%‼️

Ammonia..4623.67 +16.6 +0.36%
China
(Domestic Price)(29/12)

Coal price….389.60 +9.55 +2.51%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….363.00 +7.90 +2.22%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….339.55 +5.95 +1.78%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price…190.50 +1.45 +0.74%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price..190.00 +2.40 +1.28%
(Feb/ Rotterdam)
Coal price..188.70 +2.15 +1.15%
(Mar/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Mar)…..4178 +88 +2.15%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….678.50 -1.00 -0.15%
SoybeanOil…64.07 -2.29 -3.45%
Wheat………792.00 +18.00 +2.33%

Wood pulp…6446.00 unch +0%
(Closed 01/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI tahun 2022 jelek banget, dan pasti berefek pada semua bursa di dunia… Secara umum harga komoditas naik, inflasi, banyak negara besar terkena krisis ekonomi pasca covid. Semoga 2023 bener2 recovery

Posisi closing 2022 Oil Coal CPO naik, Gas drop, metal2 rata2 turun. Indikasinya saham energy akan lanjut naik minimal sampe winter beres, semoga saham2 CPO juga sama.

IHSG 2022 closing 4% diatas closing 2021, belum berhasil rally wave 3 setelah ABC correction yang start di april. Kalau liat pattern tahun 2021, semoga sampe maret april lanjut bullish

IHSG – stoch nya sell, MACD masih up, masih FNS terus, BD lagi rada flat, MFI naik tapi last day turun, udah breakout ascending triangle tapi konsolidasi lagi, semoga cuma retest, lanjut rally… Bisa mulai berani belanja selektif sih terutama di saham2 yang setiap tahun ada january effect

Technology sama Consumer Cyclicals

Stoch Buy Signal: CTRA SCMA SMRA WIIM

MACD Buy Signal: MMLP SCMA

December 30th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close higher in year-end rally. Nasdaq adds more than 2%

Stocks jumped on Thursday as investors headed into the final trading days of 2022.

Dow…….33221 +345.1 +1.05%
Nasdaq.10478 +264.8 +2.59%
S&P 500..3849 +66.1 +1.75%

FTSE…….7513 +15.5 +0.21%
Dax……..14072 +146.1 +1.05%
CAC……..6573 +62.98 +0.97%

Nikkei…..26094 -246.8 -0.94%
HSI………19741 -157.8 -0.79%
Shanghai…3074 -13.7 -0.44%
ST Times..3249 -17.7 -0.54%

IDX…….6860.08 +9.56 +0.14%
LQ45……939.87 +6.18 +0.66%

IDX Energy..2283.53 -30.53 -1.32%
IDX BscMat 1224.00 -0.80 -0.07%
IDX Indstrl…1175.85 +6.37 +0.54%
IDXNONCYC..722.99 +2.54 +0.35%
IDX Hlthcare.1554.34+19.14 +1.25%
IDXCYCLIC…..847.94 -2.44 -0.29%
IDX Techno..5208.38 +90.86+1.78%
IDX Transp…1659.63 -7.02 -0.42%
IDX Infrast……857.14 -1.98 -0.14%
IDX Finance 1412.47 -6.32 -0.45%
IDX Banking 1146.98 +0.87 +0.08%
IDX Property….708 -1.20 -0.17%

Indo10Yr.7.0018 +0.0013 +0.02%
ICBI….344.7342 +0.0782 +0.02%
US10Yr..3.8350 -0.0520 -1.34%
VIX……21.44 -0.70 -3.16%

USDIndx.103.9790 -0.5570 -0.53%
Como Indx.276.01 -1.34 -0.48%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..166.40 -0.31 -0.18%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15657.50 -61.50 -0.39%
Jisdor..15731.00 +28.00 +0.18%‼️

Euro……1.0664 +0.0065 +0.61%

TLKM…..23.68 +0.26 +1.11%
(3725)
EIDO…….22.42 +0.40 +1.82%
EEM……..38.43 +0.63 +1.67%

Oil………78.40 -0.28 -0.36%
Gold …1826.00 +13.30 +0.73%
Timah….24734 +800.00 +3.34%‼️
(Closed 28/12)
Nickel.30151.00 -151.50 -0.50%
(Closed 29/12)
Silver…….24.25 +0.54 +2.28%
Copper…382.40 -0.65 -0.17%

Nturl Gas..4.724 -0.599 -12.68%‼️

Ammonia..4606.67 +16.67 +0.36%
China
(Domestic Price)(28/12)

Coal price….404.15 +2.05 +0.51%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….380.05 +4.45 +1.18%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….355.10 +0.15 +0.04%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price…227.85 +0.50 +0.22%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price..189.05 +2.70 +1.45%
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price..187.60 +2.65 +1.43%
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Mar)…..4090 unch +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….679.75 -3.00 -0.44%
SoybeanOil…66.26 +1.26 +1.99%
Wheat………774.50 -11.00 -1.40%

Wood pulp…6446.00 unch +0%
(Closed 29/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Hari terakhir untuk window dressing… US ijo eropa ijo, asia kemaren merah sekarang harusnya ijo juga

Metal2 ijo kecuali nikel sama silver, Oil turun dikit, gas drop gede banget, coal naik lagi, CPO flat

IHSG – masih NFS terus, stoch jadi sell, MACD masih up, MFI up –> duit masuk walau foreign exit. Tapi berat rally IHSG kalo foreign keluar, pasti nunggu NFB baru bisa jalan lagi. Jangan terlalu aggressive dulu

Infrastructure, Energy (walau lagi melemah)

Sama technology

Stoch Buy Signal: MDKA TINS GGRM PRDA BMTR

MACD Buy Signal: BSDE PTPP MBSS

December 29th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 350 points lower in broad selloff, Apple tumbles 3%

Stocks fell on Wednesday as traders looked to the end of a losing year and braced themselves for 2023.

Dow…….32876  -365.9      -1.10%
Nasdaq.10213  -139.9      -1.35%
S&P 500..3783  -46.03      -1.20%

FTSE…….7497  +24.2      +0.32%
Dax……..13926  -69.5       -0.50%
CAC……..651/    -40.2       -0.61%

Nikkei…..26341   -107.4  -0.41%
HSI………19899   +305.9 +1.56%
Shanghai…3087  -8.2      -0.26%
ST Times..3267  +0.6     +0.02%

IDX…….6850.52  -72.51   -1.05%
LQ45……933.69  -6.69      -0.71%

IDX Energy..2314.05 -48.33 -2.05%
IDX BscMat 1224.80  -9.13    -0.74%
IDX Indstrl…1169.48  -12.86  -1.08%
IDXNONCYC..720.45  -8.60    -1.18%
IDX Hlthcare.1535.20 -13.19 -0.85%
IDXCYCLIC…..850.38 -3.31    -0.39%
IDX Techno..5117.52 -64.46  -1.24%
IDX Transp…1666.65 -8.19    -0.49%
IDX Infrast……856.52 -3.24    -0.38%
IDX Finance 1412.47 -6.32     -0.45%
IDX Banking 1146.11 -4.29    -0.37%
IDX Property….709     +2.10   +0.29%

Indo10Yr.7.0005  +0.0011  +0.02%
ICBI….344.6560  +0.0726  +0.02%
,US10Yr..3.8870   +0.0270  +0.70%
VIX……22.12        +0.47       +2.17%

USDIndx.104.5360 +0.3530 +0.34%
Como Indx.277.35  -1.12       -0.40%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..166.70 +1.55     +0.94%
.
IndoCDS..105.25         –              -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15719.00 +56.50 +0.36%‼️
Jisdor..15703.00 +44.00 +0.28%‼️

Euro……1.0612  -0.0028  +0.27%

TLKM…..23.42   -0.48    -2.01%
(3678)
EIDO…….22.02   -0.52    -2.31%
EEM……….37.80   -0.56     -1.47%

Oil………78.68   -1.15  -1.44%
Gold …1812.70 -9.00  -0.49%
Timah…..23934         –            -%
(Closed 27/12)
Nickel.30302.50 +618.50 +2.08%
(Closed 28/12)
Silver…….23.71   -0.53      -2.19%
Copper…383.05  -1.85      -0.48%

Nturl Gas..4.724  -0.355  -6.99%‼️

Ammonia..4590.00      –           -%
China
(Domestic Price)(26/12)

Coal price….402.50  +2.00   +0.50%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….370.00  -0.50    -0.13%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….354.95 +4.40   +1.26%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price…227.35  +4.00   +1.79%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price..188.00  +5.65   +3.10%
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…182.45  +0.60   +0.33%
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80         –              -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Mar)…..4090  -14  -0.34%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….683.00 +8.23    +1.22%
SoybeanOil..65.01  -1.38    -2.08%
Wheat………785.50  +11.00. +1.42%

Wood pulp…6446.00  unch  +0%
(Closed 28/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Wah US lanjut merah, kemaren DJI nya masih ijo, cuma NASDAQ yang merah… Eropa juga kebanyakan merah, asia varied, Hangseng naik tinggi IDX drop dalem. Ga asik ini… BYAN ARB salah satu gara2nya index drop

IHSG – harusnya all good,tapi net sell sama us market jadi ganjelan… Masih jadwal lanjut naik harusnya

Energy Infrastructure Sama technology, tapi ga keliatan di cacing RSI yang bot ini sih

Stoch buy signal: BUKA GOTO INTP PWON MBSS

MACD buy signal: INTP MNCN TOWR BMTR

December 28th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes lower, Nasdaq sheds 1% as bond yields pop

The S&P 500 fell Tuesday, at the start of the holiday-shortened week, as bond yields climbed and investors weighed the economic outlook for 2023.

Dow…….33242  +37.6      +0.31%
Nasdaq.10353  -144.6      -1.38%
S&P 500..3829  -15.6        -0.40%

FTSE…….7473  closed    +0%
Dax……..13995 +54.2      +0.39%
CAC……..6551  +45.8      +0.70%

Nikkei…..26448  +42.0   +0.16%
HSI………19593   closed +0%
Shanghai…3096 +30.01 +0.98%
ST Times..3267  +9.02.  +0.28%

IDX…….6923.03 +87.22  +1.28%
LQ45……940.38 +5.24     +0.56%

IDX Energy..2362.38   +62.82+2.73%
IDX BscMat 1233.92  +4.66   +0.38%
IDX Indstrl…1182.33   -0.08    -0.01%
IDXNONCYC..729.05  +5.59   +0.77%
IDX Hlthcare.1548.38 +2.02   +0.13%
IDXCYCLIC…..853.69  +5.97   +0.70%
IDX Techno..5181.97  +109.73+2.16%
IDX Transp…1674.84  +4.73   +0.28%
IDX Infrast……859.76  +3.26   +0.38%
IDX Finance 1418.79   +1.27   +0.09%
IDX Banking 1150.40   -5.16    -0.45%
IDX Property….707.     +10.80 +1.55%

Indo10Yr.6.9994  -0.0071  -0.10%
ICBI….344.5835  +0.2052  +0.06%
US10Yr..3.8600   +0.1090  +2.91%
VIX……21.65        +0.78       +3.74%

USDIndx.104.1830 -0.1310  -0.13%
Como Indx.278.47 +0.36     +0.13%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..165.15 +0.44   +0.27%
.
IndoCDS..105.25         –              -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15662.50 +30.00 +0.19%
Jisdor..15659.00 +23.00 +0.15%

Euro……1.0639  +0.0022  +0.21%

TLKM…….23.90    -0.13      -0.54%
(3742)
EIDO………22.54   +0.12      +0.54%
EEM……….38.36   +0.56      +1.48%

Oil………..79.83   +0.27     +0.34%
Gold …1821.70 +17.50  +0.97%
Timah…..23934  closed   +0%
(Closed 27/12)
Nickel.29684.00 closed   +0%
(Closed 27/12)
Silver…….24.24  +0.32     +1.32%
Copper…384.90 +4.00     +1.05%

Nturl Gas..5.079  +0.054  +1.07%

Ammonia..4590.00  +16.67 +0.36%
China
(Domestic Price)(26/12)

Coal price….400.50  -0.60    -0.15%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….370.50  -0.60    -0.16%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….350.55 +3.50   +1.01%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price…223.35  -5.35 -2.34%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price…182.35  -6.35 -3.37%‼️
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…181.85  -6.40 -3.40%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80         –              -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Mar)…..4104 +273  +7.13‼️%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….674.00 +7.75    +1.16%
SoybeanOil..66.24   +1.59    +2.46%
Wheat………777.00  +1.00.   +0.13%

Wood pulp…6446.00  unch  +0%
(Closed 27/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI ijo, Nasdaq merah, Europe ijo, Asia ijo, Komoditas ijo semua kecuali coal, CPO jump, semoga jadi santa claus rally yang tertunda…

IHSG – kecuali FNS, all good… breakout ascending triangle, MACD buy, stoch up, BD acc, lanjut lah long rally wave 3

Technology, Infrastructure, Energy, tapi sepertinya versi minyak dulu sekarang, coal slowing down, banyak sell signal bermunculan kemaren

Stoch Buy Signal: BFIN TPIA UNVR AKRA ASSA DOID LPPF SIDO PTRO

MACD buy signal: AMRT BBTN BUKA BTPS DOID LPKR