Daily Analysis 20230202

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

February 2nd, 2023

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes higher on Wednesday, Nasdaq adds 2% as investors look past Fed’s rate hike

Stocks gained on Wednesday in an intraday turnaround as investors shook off a quarter-point rate hike from the Federal Reserve and instead focused on comments from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell that acknowledged falling inflation.

Dow…….34093 +6.9 +0.02%
*Nasdaq.11816 +231.8 +2.00%*
S&P 500..4119 +42.6 +1.06%

FTSE…….7761 -10.7 -0.14%
Dax……..15181 +52.5 +0.35%
CAC……..7077 -5.3 -0.07%

Nikkei…..27347 +19.8 +0.07%
HSI……..22072 +229.9+1.05%
Shanghai..3285 +29.3 +0.90%

IDX…..6862.26 +22.92 +0.34%
LQ45….941.14 +4.65 +0.50%

IDX Energy..2162.13 -9.17 -0.42%
IDX BscMat 1269.78 +10.86 +0.86%
IDX Indstrl…1175.40 +4.34 +0.41%
IDXNONCYC..747.27 +8.61 +1.17%
IDX Hlthcare1550.54 +4.61 +0.30%
IDXCYCLIC…831.64 +10.40 +1.27%
IDX Techno5490.08 +8.32. +0.15%
IDX Transp1788.41 +32.57 +1.86%
IDX Infrast…..860.19 +8.31 +0.98%
IDX Finance 1410.75 -2.24 -0.16%
IDX Banking1128.44 -2.86 -0.25%
IDX Property….707 +1.90 +0.27%

*Indo10Yr.6.7522 -0.0067 -0.10%👍*
*ICBI..350.2014 +0.2535 +0.07%👍*
*US10Yr.3.3970 -0.1320 -3.74%👍*
*VIX…17.87 -1.53 -7.89%👍*

*USDIndx101.1490 -0.9450 -0.93%*
*Como Indx.271.80 -6.29 -2.26%*
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..174.70 -3.34 -1.87%
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……14975.00 -15.50 -0.10%*
*Jisdor..14992.00 -1.00 -0.01%*

*Euro……1.0991 +0.0125 +1.15%*

TLKM….26.14 +0.12 +0.46%
*(3919)*
EIDO……23.60 +0.37 +1.59%
EEM……41.87 +0.51 +1.23%

*Oil……..76.41 -2.46 -3.12%‼️*
Gold ..1942.80 -2.50 -0.13%
*Timah.29490 -319 -1.07%*
*(Closed 31/01)*
*Nickel.29031.50-1297.50-4.28%‼️*
*(Closed 01/02)*
Silver…….23.61 -0.23 -0.95%
*Copper..411.10 -11.50 -2.72%*

*Nturl Gas.2.500 -0.222 -8.16%‼️*

Ammonia.4250.00 -16.67 +0.63%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(31/01)

Coal price.247.00 -4.75 -1.89%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price240.75 -3.40 -1.41%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price237.75 -2.60 -1.08%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.237.80 -2.45 -1.02%
(Mei/Newcastle)

*Coal price.142.10 +5.45 +3.99%‼️*
(Feb/Rotterdam)
*Coal price.142.75 +6.10 +4.46%‼️*
(Mar/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price.144.35 +5.90 +4.26%‼️*
(Apr/Rotterdam)
*Coal price145.60 +6.65 +4.79%‼️*
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)….3813 closed +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..679.75 -4.00 -0.58%
SoybeanOil..62.33 +1.01 +1.65%
Wheat…….761.25. +8.75 +1.16%

Wood pulp…6290.00 +10 +0.16%
(Closed 01/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US DJI ijo tipis, nasdaq yang naik tingi, europe varied, asia closing ijo, curiga masih belum lanjut naik hari ini

Oil lanjut drop, metal2 turun, gas drop, coal NCF turun, ROtterdam naik, tapi biasanya ngacunya lebih ke Newcastle sih, so masih jelek buat saham coal. CPO closed, belum ada tanda2 rally lagi, tapi chartnya malah ada sell signal or sideways di saham2 CPO

IHSG – stoch sell macd up MFI SW, BD flat FNB, kalo ngitung fibonacci koreksi baru touch fibo 23, belum ke 38, masih besar kemungkinan turun lagi sampe minimal fibo 38, masih rawan…

Mulai banyak yang gerak… highlight di transportation, Industrials, infrastructure, Consumer non-cyclicals

Stochastic Buy Signal: INTP HEAL JSMR SMRA

MACD buy signal: INCO TBIG JSMR MAPI

Daily Analysis 20230201

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

February 1st, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 350 points higher, S&P 500 caps best January in four years

Stocks rose on Tuesday as strong earnings and encouraging inflation data pushed the S&P 500 to its best January since 2019.

Dow…….34086 +368.9 +1.09%
Nasdaq.11585 +190.7 +1.67%
S&P 500..4077 +58.8 +1.46%

FTSE…….7772 -13.2 -0.17%
Dax……..15128 +2.2 +0.01%
CAC……..7082 +0.4 +0.01%

Nikkei…..27327 -106.3 -0.39%
HSI……..21842 -227.4 -1.03%
Shanghai..3256 -13.7 -0.42%

IDX…..6839.34 -33.14 -0.48%
LQ45….936.49 -8.54 -0.96%

IDX Energy..2171.30 +17.01 +0.79%
IDX BscMat 1258.92 +1.34 +0.11%
IDX Indstrl…1170.56 -1.18 -0.10%
IDXNONCYC..738.66 +1.30 +0.18%
IDX Hlthcare1545.92 -16.71 -1.07%
IDXCYCLIC…821.23 -6.63 -0.80%
IDX Techno5481.75 +19.46+0.36%
IDX Transp1755.83 -13.97 -0.79%
IDX Infrast…..851.89 +2.33 +0.27%
IDX Finance 1412.99 -3.59 -0.26%
IDX Banking1131.30 -9.46 -0.83%
IDX Property….707 +1.90 +0.27%

*Indo10Yr.6.7589 -0.0378 -0.56%👍*
*ICBI..349.9480 +0.4075 +0.12%👍*
US10Yr..3.5290 -0.0220 -0.62%
VIX……19.40 -0.54 -2.71%

*USDIndx102.0940 -0.1410 -0.14%*
Como Indx.278.09 +3.66 +1.33%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..178.03 +1.83 +1.04%
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……14990.00 +20.50 +0.14%*
*Jisdor..14992.00 +13.00 +0.09%*

*Euro……1.0861 +0.0010 +0.09%*

TLKM….26.02 -0.48 -1.81%
*(3900)*
EIDO……23.23 -0.08 -0.34%
EEM……41.36 -0.09 -0.22%

*Oil……..78.88 +0.97 +1.25%*
*Gold ..1945.30 +6.10 +0.31%*
*Timah.29809 -1029 -3.34%‼️*
*(Closed 30/01)*
*Nickel.30329 +589.00 +1.98%*
*(Closed 31/01)*
Silver…….23.84 +0.10 +0.10%
Copper..422.60 +2.40 +0.57%

Nturl Gas.2.722 +0.034 +1.26%

Ammonia.4250.00 +26.67 +0.63%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(30/01)

*Coal price.251.75 -13.60-5.13%‼️*
(Feb/Newcastle)
*Coal price244.15 -12.85 -5.00%‼️*
(Mar/Newcastle)
*Coal price240.35 -12.65 -5.00%‼️*
(Apr/Newcastle)
*Coal price.240.25 -8.80 -3.53%‼️*
(Mei/Newcastle)

Coal price.136.65 -2.35 -1.69%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price.136.65 -2.35 -1.69%
(Mar/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.138.45 -2.45 -1.74%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
*Coal price138.95 -3.35 -2.35%*
(May/Rotterdam)

*CPO(Apr)….3813 -117 -2.98%*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..679.75 -4.00 -0.58%
SoybeanOil..62.33 +1.01 +1.65%
Wheat…….761.25. +8.75 +1.16%

*Wood pulp…6280.00 unch +0%*
(Closed 31/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US ijo, europe ijo tipis2, kecuali inggris yang merah, asia closing merah semua, semoga rebound hari ini

Oil rebound, metal2 ijo kecuali timah, kita cermat ANTM dan MDKA apakah sudah waktunya re-buy. Gas rebound semoga PGAS jalan. Coal drop lagi, udahan bener kah ini? Atau masih ada kesempatan swing sekali lagi sebelum winter selesai? Kita tunggu buy signalnya aja pokoknya

IHSG – stoch sell, MACD masih up, MFI sw, BD flat, FF masih NFB, koreksinya apakah akan sekalian tutup gap? deket fibo 61, kejauhan juga sih… Kita tunggu bank bank besar gerak lagi lah kalo gitu baru agresif belanja

Infobank15 – hampir sama posisinya dengan IHSG, tapi ini NFS, makanya turun ya. MFI naik, ada gap di bawah juga, padahal bank bank performance nya bagus, ini mark-down dulu buat akum kali ya

Financials, Transportation, Industrials. Consumer Non-Cyclicals mulai gerak

Stochastic Buy Signal: SMGR DSNG

MACD Buy Signal: BFIN PMMP

Daily Analysis 20230131

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

January 31st, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close lower, Dow sheds more than 250 points to snap six-day win streak

Stocks traded lower Monday, pausing a January rally as investors braced for the busiest week of earnings season and a possible interest rate hike from the Federal Reserve.

Dow…….33717 -260.99 -0.77%
Nasdaq.11394 -227.9 -1.96%
S&P 500..4018 -52.8 -1.30%

FTSE…….7785 +19.7 +0.25%
Dax……..15126 -23.95 -0.16%
CAC……..7082 -15.2 -0.21%

Nikkei…..27433 +50.8 +0.19%
HSI……..22070 -619.2 -2.73%
Shanghai..3269 +4.50 +0.14%

IDX…..6872.48 -26.50 -0.38%
LQ45….945.43 -4.30 -0.45%

IDX Energy..2154.29 -17.79-0.82%
IDX BscMat 1257.58 -5.02 -0.40%
IDX Indstrl…1171.74 -7.05 -0.60%
IDXNONCYC..737.36 +1.83 +0.25%
IDX Hlthcare1562.64 +33.35+2.18%
IDXCYCLIC…827.87 +0.29 +0.03%
IDX Techno5462.29 -76.14 -1.37%
IDX Transp1769.80 -17.68 -0.99%
IDX Infrast…..849.56 -7.47 -0.87%
IDX Finance 1416.58 -11.75 -0.82%
IDX Banking1140.76 -11.38 -0.99%
IDX Property….710 +8.10 +1.16%

Indo10Yr.6.7967 -0.0095 -0.15%
ICBI..349.5406 +0.1094 +0.03%
US10Yr..3.5510 +0.0330 +0.94%
VIX……19.94 +1.43 +7.73%

USDIndx102.2350 +0.3080 +0.30%
Como Indx.274.43 -3.23 -1.16%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..176.20 -0.41 -0.23%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……14970.00 -15.50 -0.10%
Jisdor..14979.00 +1.00 +0.01%

Euro……1.0848 -0.0017 -0.15%

TLKM….26.50 +0.11 +0.42%
(3969)
EIDO……23.31 -0.24 -1.02%
EEM……41.45 -0.85 -2.01%

Oil……..77.90 -1.78 -2.23%
Gold ..1939.20 -6.40 -0.33%
Timah.30838 – -%
(Closed 27/01)
Nickel.29740 +755.00 +2.60%
(Closed 30/01)
Silver…….23.73 +0.11 +0.47%
Copper..420.20 -2.05 -0.49%

Nturl Gas.2.688 -0.1660 -5.88%‼️

Ammonia.4223.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(27/01)

Coal price..265.35 -0.90 -0.34%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.257.00 -0.50 -0.19%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.253.00 -0.45 -0.18%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.249.05 +0.10 +0.04%
(Mei/Newcastle)

Coal price.139.00 -2.00 -1.42%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price.139.00 -1.55 -1.10%
(Mar/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.140.90 -0.30 -0.21%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price142.30 +0.30 +0.21%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)…..3930 +20 +0.51%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..683.75 +0.75 +0.11%
SoybeanOil..61.32 +0.70 +1.15%
Wheat…….752.50. +2.50 +0.33%

Wood pulp…6280.00 unch +0%
(Closed 30/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

IHSG – Stochastic nyarev down,mau sell, MACD masih up, MFI masih up, NFB, BD flat, udah tutup gap, masih firm wave 3 harusnya, dengan berita bocoran bank bank profit naik probably ga akan lama koreksinya. Kesempatan belanja kalo pada pull back, tapi jelas, masuknya pas buy signal lagi

 

Financials, Transportation

Stochastic Buy Signal: TLKM

MACD Buy Signal: KLBF LINK

Daily Analysis 20230130

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

January 30th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close higher Friday, Nasdaq posts fourth week of gains

Stocks rose Friday and capped off a winning week fueled by better-than-expected economic growth and a pop in Tesla shares.

Dow…….33978 +28.7 +0.08%
Nasdaq.11622 +109.3 +0.95%
S&P 500..4071 +10.1 +0.25%

FTSE…….7765 +4.04 +0.05%
Dax……..15150 +17.2 +0.11%
CAC……..7097 +1.2 +0.02%

Nikkei…..27383 +19.8 +0.07%
HSI……..22689 +122.1 +0.54%
Shanghai..3265 closed +0%

IDX…..6899.82 +34.16 +0.50%
LQ45….949.73 +8.09 +0.86%

IDX Energy..2172.08 +7.89 +0.36%
IDX BscMat 1262.61 -7.85 -0.62%
IDX Indstrl…1178.79 +3.68 +0.31%
IDXNONCYC..735.53 -3.98 -0.54%
IDX Hlthcare1529.28 -1.30 -0.09%
IDXCYCLIC…827.58 +2.45 +0.30%
IDX Techno5538.43 -3.89 -0.07%
IDX Transp1787.48 +6.86 +0.39%
IDX Infrast…..857.03 +6.28 +0.74%
IDX Finance 1428.33 +6.13 +0.43%
IDX Banking1152.14 +11.65 +1.02%
IDX Property….710 +8.10 +1.16%

Indo10Yr.6.8066 +0.0061+0.09%
ICBI..349.2981 -0.0406 -0.01%
US10Yr..3.5180 +0.0250 +0.72%
VIX……18.51 -0.22 -1.17%

USDIndx101.9270 +0.124 +0.12%
Como Indx.277.66 -1.89 -0.68%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..176.61 -2.20 -1.23%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……14985.00 +38.00 +0.25%
Jisdor..14978.00 +14.00 +0.09%

Euro……1.0874 -0.0016 -0.16%

TLKM….26.39 -0.05 -0.19%
(3953)
EIDO……23.55 +0.21 +0.90%
EEM……42.30 -0.20 -0.47%

Oil……..79.68 -1.33 -1.64%
Gold ..1945.60 -1.10 -0.06%
Timah.30838 -1424.00 -4.41%
(Closed 27/01)
Nickel.28985 -470.00 -1.60%
(Closed 27/01)
Silver…….23.62 -0.40 -1.66%
Copper..422.25 -4.50 -1.05%

Nturl Gas.2.856 +0.018 +0.63%

Ammonia.4223.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(27/01)

Coal price..266.25 +7.00 +2.70%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.257.50 +6.15 +2.45%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.253.45 +7.25 +2.94%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.248.95 +7.25 +2.49%
(Mei/Newcastle)

Coal price.141.00 +3.70 +2.69%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price.140.55 +3.80 +2.78%
(Mar/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.141.20 +3.70 +2.69%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price142.00 +4.75 +3.46%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)…..3910 +139 +3.69%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..683.00 +0.50 +0.07%
SoybeanOil..60.62 -0.17 -0.28%
Wheat…….750.00. -2.50 -0.33%

Wood pulp…6280.00 unch +0%
(Closed 29/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua index regional closing ijo pas jum’at. Metal2 semua merah, cocok dorong ANTM dan MDKA kebawah buat rencana re-entry, Oil turun Gas naik Coal naik, Bisa jadi ELSA harus exit dulu ini, semoga saham coal rebound lagi. CPO ijo, LSIP AALI udah mulai jalan, semoga lanjut

IHSG – opening gap up, jadi ada pe er ini, apalagi memang stochastic nya udah overbought. Tapi FF sudah firm entry lagi di idx, so idealnya dikasih tail aja dulu tutup gap terus lanjut rally. Stoch masih up, MACD up, MFI up, Supertrend up alligator buy, wave 3, bisa mulai lebih berani belanja

Financials, Transportation. Energy mau reborn, semoga… Tapi tetep kayanya ga akan long run lagi energy, sampe beres winter aja

 

Stochastic Signal, yang ada cuma sell. Coal beware

MACD Buy Signal: AMRT JPFA MBSS