Daily Anaysis 20240212

February 12th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes above 5,000 for first time ever, notches fifth straight winning week

Stocks rose on Friday after December’s revised inflation reading came in lower than first reported, and the S&P 500 closed above the key 5,000 level as strong earnings and economic news chugged on.

Dow……38672 -54.6        -0.14%
Nasdaq15991 +196.6    +1.25%
S&P 500.5027 +28.7      +0.57%

FTSE…..7573    -22.9     -0.30%
Dax……16927   -37.3     -0.22%
CAC……7648    -18.1     -0.24%

Nikkei..36897   +34.1    +0.09%
HSI……15747    -131.5   -0.83%
Shanghai.2866 +36.2    +1.28%

IDX…..7235.15 -12.26     -0.17%
LQ45….983.14 +2.51      +0.26%
IDX30…499.60 +1.76      +0.35%

IDXEnergy..2076.97   closed +0%
IDX BscMat.1244.03  closed +0%
IDX Indstrl…1082.91   closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.703.24   closed  +0%
IDX Hlthcare1336.55. closed  +0%
IDXCYCLIC…851.33    closed  +0%
IDX Techno3993.83.   closed. +0%
IDX Transp 1566.07    closed  +0%
IDX Infrast  1517.29.   closed  +0%
IDX Finance.1503.48  closed  +0%
IDX Banking.1346.46  closed  +0%
IDX Property.. 696       closed. +0%

Indo10Yr.6.6689 closed +0%
ICBI…376.6402  closed  +0%
US2Yr.4.486  +0.002 +0.04%
US5Yr 4.142  +0.009 +0.22%
US10Yr4.177 -0.010  -0.23%
US30Yr.4.374-0.007  -0.16%
VIX…12.93  +0.14  +1.09%

USDIndx 104.1110 ‼️-0.05 -0.05%
Como Indx..274.34 +0.77   +0.28%
BCOMIN……132.17 -0.79     -0.60%

IndoCDS..74.22  -0.01    -0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (09/02)

IDR…..15635.00‼️ closed +0%
Jisdor.15685.00‼️ closed +0%

Euro….1.0784  +0.00   +0.06%

TLKM…25.50  +0.17  +0.67%
(3999)
EIDO……22.41 +0.15  +0.67%
EEM……39.58  +0.17  +0.43%

Oil…….76.84  +0.62   +0.81%
Gold..2038.70 -9.20    -0.45%
Timah..26367.00  +472.00  +1.82%
(Closed 09/03)
Nickel..15921.00  -86.00   -0.54%
(Closed 09/02)
Silver……22.59   -0.04      -0.19%
Copper.368.15   -2.05      -0.55%

Iron Ore 62% 128.75  -0.32  -0.25%
(0)/02)
Nturl Gas..1.861‼️  -0.056  -2.92%
Ammonia China.2983.33 -166.67-5.29%‼️
(Domestic Price)(05/02/02)

Coal price 126.60  unch   +0%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.125.60 +0.50  +0.40%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 126.30 +0.70  +0.56%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice..126.55 +0.75 +0.60%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .96.00   -1.65   -1.69%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..94.55   -1.85   -1.92%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..91.30   -1.65   -1.78%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..89.80   -1.40   -1.54%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3881  +7    +0.18%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……429.00      -4.25    -0.98%
SoybeanOil 47.75  -0.57    -1.18%
Wheat….596.75    +8.25    +1.40%

Wood pulp..5124.00 unch +0%
(Closed 11/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Jum’at closing US DJI merah nasdaq ijo tebel SP500 naik lagi, europe merah, asia varied. Walau DJI merah tapi secara umum US bagus, Bond rate yang pendek naik yang panjang turun dan ga terlalu jauh, masih acceptable lah, harusnya ga bawa saham ke bawah.

USD index turun tapi kebanyakan metal juga turun, kecuali timah. Oil up, gas down, coal newcastle ijo, rotterdam merah, harusnya masih on the way up lah, CPO ijo lagi, masih nunggu kapan jalan

IHSG – stoch still up, macd almost buy, MFI up, w% sw, BD sw, FNB dan naik terus, semoga lanjut wave B sampe deket ATH lagi, bikin flat style ABC correction, tapi ada kemungkinan jebakan betmen juga, dibanting tepat setelah MACD buy signal, biar banyak korban. Yang pegang barang pantau ketat

dari RSI quadrant pada jelek, sisa Consumer Non Cyclicals, tapi terlihat juga Property, Industrials sama Energy mulai bangun

Stochastic Buy Signal: EXCL BFIN PTRO WIFI SMDR LTLS. Big accum BFIN SMDR, dan SMDR masuk screening top value investing, ada spike juga

MACD Buy Signal: AMRT BTPS DRMA DSNG TKIM

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: PGAS

SMDR – stoch buy, macd still down, MFI up, BD FF rev acc, dibawah modus vol profile, beda 5% an, abis drop udah mantuk ke atas fibo 50, lagi wave B di area fibo 23, harusnya lanjut ke 61, harusnya bisa spec buy

Belum ada spike lagi

Harga aman, big holders accum, bisa spec buy… PBV dibawah 1, PER 3, masih undervalued

TKIM – stoch up, macdbuy, MFI up, w% sw, BD FF rev acc, reg bull div macd histogram confirmed by MA 10 and macdbuy signal, ok ini harusnya

Spike jual yang terakhir significant, abis itu belum lagi, kalo mau masuk half load aja

Well below broker’s avg price, aman sih, biggest holder SS udah selesai distribusi, AK second biggest dan akum, bisa entry ini… Saya udah masuk INKP, jadi ga masuk TKIM

PGAS – stoch up, macd up, 833 buy, MFI sw, w% up, BD FF acc, reg bull div macd jalan, ada freq spike, udah bikin higher low, semoga breakout fase sideways

Spike nya ok

Harga dibawah avg, biggest holder akum terus, firm harusnya jalan… HOLD, yang belum punya bisa entry