Daily Analysis 20251111

Daily Analysis 20251111

Belum ada yang terlalu menarik, malah warning di TLKM UNTR. JSMR rada menarik tapi belum saatnya.

US ijo tebel, europe ijo asia ijo, IDX yang merah tipis padahal pas awal sesi 1 gap up. US treasury bond yield up, ijo lah ya, walau keganjel bond yield yang naik

USD index up tapi gold silver copper juga up high, nickel iron ore up tin down, oil up gas up coal down, kemaren coal down tapi ADRO up, agak2 ga jelas ini. CPO up juga

Good morning,

November 11th, 2025

S&P 500, Nasdaq soar, lead Dow higher as Senate vote lifts hopes for end to US shutdown

Tech stocks led a roaring start to Wall Street’s week, with investor spirits boosted by Congress taking a big step toward ending the record-breaking government shutdown that has clouded the picture of the economy.

Dow…47369 +381.4 +0.81%
Nasdaq 23527+522.6 +2.27%‼️
S&P 500 6832 +103.7 +1.54%

FTSE…..9787 +104.6 +1.08%
Dax…..23960 +390.03 +1.65%
CAC…..8056 +105.3 +1.32%

Nikkei..50912 +635.4 +1.26%
HSI……26649 +407.3 +1.55%
Shanghai.4019 +21.04 +0.53%

IDX..8391.24 -3.35 -0.04%
LQ45..844.87 -8.63 -1.01%
IDX30.443.68 -0.53 -0.12%

IDXEnergy..3773.43 +13.78 +0.37%
IDX BscMat.2023.32 +23.77+0.19%
IDX Indstr..1746.04 +50.79 +3.00%‼️
IDXNONCYC.799.42 +0.08 +0.01%
IDX Hlthcare1971.82 -14.63 -0.74%
IDXCYCLC….975.43 +6.26 +0.66%
IDX Techno.10543.40+392.54 +3.87%‼️
IDX Transp 1854.34 +21.72 +1.19%
IDX Infrast .2059.64 +26.19 +1.29%
IDX Finance1475.64 +1.04 +0.07%
IDX Banking.1053.65 -9.93 -0.93%
IDX Property..1080 +26.90 +2.55%

Indo10Yr 6.1788❗️-0.0034 -0.05%
ICBI….437.3377❗️+0.1054 +0.02%
US2Yr.3.591 +0.034 +0.96%
US5Yr 3.717 +0.037 +1.01%
US10Yr4.118 +0.025 +0.61%
US30Yr.4.708 +0.007 +0.15%
VIX..17.60 -1.48 -7.76%‼️

USDIndx.99.6140❗️+0.011+0.01%
Como Indx.305.91 +4.14 +1.38%
BCOMIN…153.87 +2.30 +1.52%

IndoCDS 5yr.76.82 unch +0%
(5-yr INOCD5) (10/11)

IDR…….16654.00❗️-36.00 -0.22%
Jisdor…16666.00❗️-38.00 -0.23%

Euro..1.1559❗️-0.0007 -0.06%

TLKM..20.71 +0.03 +0.15%
( 3452)
EIDO…18.55 +0.02 +0.11%
EEM….55.51 +0.96 +1.76%

Oil…60.15 +0.40 +0.67%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…64.07 +0.44 +0.69%
(Brent)

Gold.4120.00‼️+110.20 +2.75%‼️
(Comex)
Gold.4112.90‼️ +111.65 +2.79%‼️
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah…35822.00 -22.00 -0.06%
(Closed 07/11)
Nickel..15094.38 +44.75 +0.30%
(Closed 10/11)
Silver…..50.45 +2.30 +4.78%‼️
Copper.510.20 +14.50+2.93%

Iron Ore 62% 103.97 +0.63 +0.61%
(10/11)

Nturl Gas .4.379 +0.064 +1.48%
Ammonia China.2400.00 +110.00 +4.80%‼️
(Domestic Price 1//11)

Coal price.109.00 -1.45 -1.31%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.112.75 -1.35 -1.18%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price.115.50 -1.45 -1.24%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.114.25 -1.50 -1.30%
(Feb/Newcastle)

Coal price..96.25 -0.50 -0.52%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price..98.20 -1.00 -1.01%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price..99.50 -0.80 -0.80%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price.100.00 -1.45 -1.43%
(Feb/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jan) 4111 +1.00 +0.02%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……429.25 +2.50 +0.59%
SoybeanOil 50.58+0.90 +1.81%
Wheat…535.75 +8.00 +1.52%

Wood pulp..5533.33 unch +0%
(Closed 07/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

IHSG – masih ok semua indicator, masih FNB juga walau turun, 833 sell karena kemaren turun, masih ok sih

Mulai pada gerak, Infrastructure, Consumer Cyclicals, Energy, Basic Materials, Technology (didorong GOTO EMTEK)

Stochastic Buy Signal: CTRA ICBP MBMA TLKM JSMR, tapi ga ada yang big accum malah pada big dist, kecuali TLKM, nanti kita liat detailnya

MACD buy signal: MBMA UNTR ARTO CLEO RAJA, TLKM malah MACD sell, hmm… ga asik ini

TLKM – kalo dari tarikan awal harusnya mau wave 5, tapi ada kemungkinan kemaren wave 3 nya pended dan jadi sekarang malah udah beres wave 5 dan ketemu reg bear dev dan sudah confirmed. saya masih hold TLKM sih, tapi buat new entry koq jadi khawatir. Ya jangan sekarang lah, 833 nya juga sell, ambil rumus macd up 833 buy aja buat re-entry lagi

Spike target done, belum ada lagi, udahan sih dari sini

JSMR – retracement pattern harusnya bawa wave 3, tapi indicator2 belum dukung, BD FF juga masih dist, belum beres wave B sepertinya

Tipis2 tapi bisa dianggap udah done sih

UNTR – macd rev buy, stoch down rev, MFI down, 833 buy, w% sw, BD FF acc, ada spike, kaya yang mau lanjut tapi elliot wave bilang dah beres wave 5, udah ketemu reg bear di MACD sama MFI, udah waktunya abc correction

ada spike di harga atas, mungkin spike jual, bisa jadi spike beli valid juga sih tapi udah jalan jauh juga, resiko ah

 

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