Daily Analysis 20250213

February 13th, 2025

Dow leads stocks lower as hot inflation data pushes back rate cut hopes

US stocks were largely lower on Wednesday as investors digested a hotter-than-expected January inflation reading and investors pared back bets on Federal Reserve interest rate cuts in 2025.

Dow……44369 -224.97 -0.50%
Nasdaq 19650 +6.1 +0.03%
S&P 500 6052 -16.5 -0.27%

FTSE…..8807 +30.1 +0.34%
Dax……22148 +110.2 +0.50%
CAC……8042 +13.3 +0.17%

Nikkei…38964 +162.5 +0.42%
HSI……21858 +563.1 +2.64%
Shanghai.3343 +28.4 +0.85%

IDX…6645.78❗️+113.79 +1.74%
LQ45…776.31❗️+14.22 +1.87%
IDX30.401.30❗️ +6.72 +1.70%

IDXEnergy…..2553.73 +31.30 +1.24%
IDX BscMat..1116.57 +10.90 +0.99%
IDX Indstrl… .931.11 +7.67 +0.83%
IDXNONCYC.698.51 +3.59 +0.52%
IDX Hlthcare1366.81 +29.84 +2.23%
IDXCYCLC…796.36 +9.90 +1.26%
IDX Techno.4607.30 +77.50 +1.71%
IDX Transp ..1193.90 +4.17 +0.35%
IDX Infrast 1335.76 +37.63 +2.90%‼️
IDX Finance1350.95 +17.45 +1.31%
IDX Banking1071.30 +19.07 +1.81%
IDX Property. 725 +9.10 +1.28%

Indo10Yr.6.8981❗️+0.0057 +0.08%
ICBI….399.7757❗️+0.0807 +0.02%
US2Yr.4.357 +0.067 +1.56%
US5Yr 4.469 +0.097 +2.22%
US10Yr4.627 +0.091 +2.01%
US30Yr.4.832 +0.081 +1.70%
VIX..15.89 -0.13 -0.81%❗️

USDIndx 107.9780❗️+0.060 +0.06%
Como Indx..313.43 +1.42 +0.46%
BCOMIN..148.32 +1.01 +0.68%

IndoCDS…76.19❗️-0.01 -0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (11/02)

IDR…….16376.00❗️-7.50 -0.05%
Jisdor..16364.00❗️-16.00 -0.10%

Euro…1.0387 +0.0023 +0.22%

TLKM…15.21 +0.68 +4.64%‼️
( 2489)
EIDO….17.46 +0.17 +0.95%
EEM…..43.55 -0.18 -0.41%

Oil………71.22 -2.10 -2.86%‼️
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………75.01 -1.76 -2.29%
(Brent)
Gold…2932.60❗️ -6.30 -0.21%
(Comex)
Gold…2903.74❗️ +5.87 +0.20%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.31164.00 +19.00 +0.06%
(Closed 12/02)
.Nickel.15427.38 -32.50 -0.21%
(Closed 12/02)
Silver……32.70 +0.37 +1.15%
Copper.469.55 +9.45 +2.05%

Iron Ore 62% 106.32 -0.65 -0.61%
(10/02)
Nturl Gas ..3.441 +0.070 +2.03%
Ammonia China. 2370.00 – -%
(Domestic Price)(12/02)

Coal price.104.50 -0.25 -0.24%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.107.40 +0.70 +0.66%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 110.75 +0.65 +0.59%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 114.35 +0.60 +0.53%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price 103.10 +0.20 +0.19%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 102.25 +0.35 +0.34%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 101.80 +0.35 +0.34%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price 102.15 +0.20 +0.20%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr) 4624 +29 +0.63%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………504.00 +6.00 +1.20%
SoybeanOil 46.13 -0.48 -1.03%
Wheat….574.25 -2.75 -0.48%

Wood pulp…..6700 unch +0%
(Closed 12/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI merah nasdaq ijo tipis europe asia ijo, US treasury bond yield jump, ga bagus ini, padahal maunya tutup gap nih IHSG

USD index naik dikit, metal2 naik kecuali iron ore, oil drop, gas up, coal up, CPO up, semoga rebound lanjut ADRO

IHSG – stoch macd mfi down, 833 buy, w% downtrend, masih NFS, BD rev acc, di support kuat 6500, ada gap di atas, reg bull div, semoga hari ini walaupun koreksi tapi terkendali terus lanjut mantul

Dari RSI masih technology dipimpin BUKA lanjut leading, terlihat bagus juga Consumer non-cyclicals, Consumer Cyclicals, Financials, Industrials, Healthcare, kaya udah siap2 buat IHSG mantul

Stochastic Buy Signal: ACES ASII ESSA HRUM MDKA BBYB PNLF SRTG, big accum ASII BBYB

MACD Buy Signal: MAPI MDKA AUTO BTPS, big accum BTPS

ASII – laporan penjualan turun, tapi technical ok banget, udah drop jauh juga sih, stoch buy macd rev up, support kuat 4640, BD FF acc, ada spike, almost perfect ini ASII

Abis spike jual udah ada spike baru target 5000 an, ok sih ini, BOW ASII spec buy, confirm MACD nambah

BTPS – lagi area all time low, ada regbull div confirmed by MA10 and MACD buy signal, udah bikin higher low, masih di dalam darvas box belum breakout, ada di modus vol profile, BD FF kemaren rev acc, kalo index mantul dan financials jalan bisa asik ini BPTS kalo jalan reversal

Nah kan spike nya juga cakep, target 1250

Spec buy, BOW BTPS, kalo breakout darvas box ke atas nambah, ke bawah cut loss