Daily Analysis 20250103

January 03rd 2024

Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq fall as comeback bid falters and Tesla, Apple slide

Stocks erased session gains on Thursday to kick off the first trading day of the new year as Wall Street returned from a holiday break.

Dow……42392 -151.95 -0.36%
Nasdaq 19281 -30.00 -0.16%
S&P 500 5869 -13.08 -0.22%

FTSE…..8260 +87.1 +1.07%
Dax……20025 +115.5 +0.58%
CAC……7394 +13.02 +0.18%

Nikkei…39895 closed +0%
HSI……..19623 -436.63 -2.18%
Shanghai.3252 -89.20 -2.66%

IDX…7163.21 +83.30 +1.18%
LQ45…837.21 +10.56 +1.28%
IDX30.429.23 +5.85 +1.38%

IDXEnergy…2729.65 +40.38 +1.50%
IDX BscMat 1274.20 +22.33 +1.78%
IDX Indstrl..1021.66 -13.91 -1.34%
IDXNONCYC.716.97 -12.52 -1.72%
IDX Hlthcare1435.68 -20.82 -1.43%
IDXCYCLC…825.07 -9.84 -1.18%
IDX Techno..4050.75 +52.93 +1.32%
IDX Transp 1297.26 -3.46 -0.27%
IDX Infrast 1465.97 -12.92 -0.87%
IDX Finance1413.51 +20.93 +1.50%
IDX Banking1164.34 +33.38 +2.95%
IDX Property. 764 +7.80 +1.03%

Indo10Yr.7.0442❗-0.0252 -0.36%
ICBI….393.3270❗+0.5181 +0.13%
US2Yr.4.240 +0.006 +0.14%
US5Yr 4.380 -0.007 -0.16%
US10Yr4.573 -0.010 -0.22%
US30Yr.4.786 -0.004 -0.08%
VIX..17.93 +0.58 +3.34%❗

USDIndx 109.2420‼️+0.755 +0.70%
Como Indx..293.98 +2.26 +0.76%
BCOMIN..139.11 -1.21 -0.86%

IndoCDS…79.17❗ -0.02 -0.03%
(5-yr INOCD5) (31/12)

IDR…….16198.00‼️+66.00 +0.41%
Jisdor.. 16236.00‼️+79.00 +0.49%

Euro…1.0266 -0.009 -0.87%

TLKM…16.59 +0.13 +0.76%
( 2694)
EIDO…18.77 +0.29 +1.54%
EEM…41.76 -0.08 -0.19%

Oil………73.13 +1.41 +1.97%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………75.86 +1.22 +1.63%
(Brent)
Gold…2669.00 +28.00 +1.06%
(Comex)
Gold…2624.50 +33.35 +1.27%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.28083.00 -212.00 -0.72%
(Closed 31/12)
.Nickel.15300.00 -5.00 -0.03%
(Closed 31/12)
Silver……29.90 +0.66. +2.25%
Copper.402.60 -0.05 -0.01%

Iron Ore 62% 103.61 -0.17 -0.16%
(31/12)
Nturl Gas 3.662 +0.045 +1.24%
Ammonia China. 2573.33 – -%
(Domestic Price)(02/01)

Coal price.127.00 closed +0%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.126.55 -0.45 -0.35%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.128.00 -1.10 -0.85%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 128.85 -1.05 -0.81%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.114.50 +0.55 +0.48%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 113.70 +0.55 +0.49%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 112.20 +0.50 +0.45%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 111.30 +0.05. +0.04%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar) 4336 -108 -2.43%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………459.50 +1.00 +0.22%
SoybeanOil 40.27 -0.09 -0.22%
Wheat……545.75 -5.75 -1.04%

Wood pulp…..6320 closed +0%
(Closed 27/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah lagi, europe ijo, asia china hongkong merah ihsg ijo tebel. US treasury bond 2 tahun naik, yang panjang turun, sideways dulu atau koreksi dikit ini keliatannya IHSG

USD index up, gold silver up, metal lain down, oil up, gas up, coal newcastle down rotterdam up, koreksi sehat dulu coal kayanya tudei, CPO drop lagi, belum boleh jalan

IHSG – stoch buy macd rev rev up, MFI still down, w% up, reg bull div confirmed by ma10, BD FF masih dist tipis, harusnya tinggal nunggu momentum mantul. Sayangnya kemaren mantuk kenceng bikin opening gap, jadi ada utang lagi deh, beware long ower shadow dip

FInancials, Healthcare, Transportation

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak, AKRA ANTM ASII HRUM ISAT ITMG MBMA SMGRUNTR BRMS ELSA ENRG ERAA MARK PANI PTPP SRTG TINS TKIM TPIA yang ada FNB dan Big Accum ASII ENRG MARK PANI PTPP

MACD Buy Signal: ANTM BBTN PGAS AUTO MAPA MARK NISP PTMP TINS, big accum BBTN

Supertrend Buy Signal kemaren INDY SILO, yang baru NISP

ASII – stoch buy, macd revup, MFI masih down, w% sw, bd ff rev acc, posisi bolak balik fibo 23-38, ini lagi di 23, time to buy dari retracement pattern, LR juga lagi di bawah dan price action nya keliatan jenuh, Spec BUY ASII

Spike rada berantakan, tapi terakhir ada spike, ok ini harusnya

PTPP – kemaren loncat,emang keliatan konsol dan mau naik, tapi digenjot 7,7% kaget juga… stoch buy macd almost buy, MFI sw, w% up, reg bull div jalan confirmed by ma10, priceaction kejedot resistance level, harusnya hari ini dip dulu baru retest, kalo jebol lanjut 408. Yang belum punya bisa BOW di tengah candle kemaren plus 1 tick, di 350

Hajatan yuk, yang tinggi, semoga bener ke 490

ANTM – udah naik 8% an, stoch buy, macd buy, mfi down, w% up, liat other bigcaps menggeliat sih harusnya firm ANTM juga jalan ya, harga emas juga naik harusnya sih ok

Spike terakhir spike jual…

Gold Price MACD buy signal, mantul dari support supertrend, dari pricedrop menarik MDKA, tapi overvalued, ANTM ok lah tapi mending BOW hari ini dan stoploss ketat

BBTN – abis beres retracement pattern terus ikut drop bareng index, ini kayanya akan ngulang retracement patttern, stoch up macd buy MFI masih down, w%up, BD FF acc, sayang kemaren loncat 4% bikin gap, jadi technically BOW nya di closing gap, dan mungkin ditinggal

Spike nya ok banget, target 1550

Berani spec buy sih ini, idealnya BOW, tapi kalo koreksinya ga sampe tutup, closing market berani ambil

TINS – info dari juragan gorengan mau dibawa ke 3000, tapi malah dibanting ke 1000 dari 1500, tapi tetep hold sih, biar aja kapan diangkatnya pokoknya ikut. stoch macd buy, MFI down w% sw, BD acc FF dist, abis bikin lower low, belum firm reversal… tapi memang mantul di area support sih

Spike ga boong, target sekitar 1550, tukang gorengnya yang boong berarti kemaren mau bawa ke 3000 langsung, belum ada hajatan lagi, WNS dulu