Daily Analysis 20241004

October 04th, 2024

Dow leads declines ahead of jobs report, oil surges 5% as Mideast focus intensifies

Stocks slipped on Thursday as Wall Street awaited the key jobs report and dissected a slew of economic data ahead of it. Meanwhile, the possibility of an Israeli retaliatory attack against Iran’s oil facilities sent oil soaring for a third day.

Dow…….42012 -184.9 -0.44%
Nasdaq. 17918 -6.7 -0.04%
S&P 500 5700 -9.6 -0.17%

FTSE…8283 -8.3 -0.10%
Dax……19015 -149.3 -0.78%
CAC……7478 -99.8 -1.32%

Nikkei..38552 +743.3 +1.97%
HSI……22114 -330.2 -1.47%
Shanghai.3337 closed. +0%

IDX…7543.83 -19.43 -0.26%
LQ45…937.39 -1.31 -1.31%
IDX30.483.56 -0.02 -0.00%

IDXEnergy…..2744.60 -19.69 -0.71%
IDX BscMat1401.62 -9.77 -0.69%
IDX Indstrl..1077.01 +3.32 +0.31%
IDXNONCYC.735.80 +0.36 +0.05%
IDX Hlthcare1571.51 -10.97 -0.69%
IDXCYCLIC…869.14 +5.54 +0.64%
IDXTechno 3754.83 -42.32 -1.11%
IDX Transp 1494.09 -2.09 -0.14%
IDX Infrast 1520.74 +1.02 +0.07%
IDX Finance1510.61 +4.57 +0.30%
IDX Banking1320.47 +5.00 +0.38%
IDX Property..793 +3.40 +0.44%

Indo10Yr.6.5610 +0.0359 +0.55%
ICBI….394.9446 -0.6365 -0.16%
US2Yr.3.705 +0.068 +1.87%
US5Yr 3.628 +0.076 +2.14%
US10Yr3.848 +0.062 +1.64%
US30Yr.4.181+0.053 +1.28%
VIX..20.49 +1.59 +8.41%‼️

USDIndx 101.9890❗️+0.312 +0.31%
Como Indx….291.15 +4.02 +1.40%
BCOMIN….154.39 -3.26 -2.07%

IndoCDS..69.26 +0.51 +0.74%
(5-yr INOCD5) (02/10)

IDR…….15428.50❗️ +160.50 +1.05%
Jisdor..15394.00 ❗️ +147.00 +0.96%

Euro…1.1035❗️ -0.0012 -0.11%

TLKM.18.79 -0.37 -1.93%
( 2893)
EIDO…22.06 -0.26 -1.14%
EEM…46.54 -0.60 -1.27%

Oil………..73.83 +3.00 +4.24%‼️
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..77.62 +3.72 +5.03%‼️
(Brent)
Gold…2675.40 -4.20 -0.16%
(Comex)
Gold…2655.98 -5.04 -0.19%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.33709.00 -184.00 -0.54%
(Closed 03/10)
Nickel.17825.50 -394.50 -2.17%
(Closed 03/10)
Silver… ..32.32 +0.20 +0.62%
Copper.454.70 -11.00 -2.36%

Iron Ore 62% 109.29‼️+0.55 +0.51%
(02/10)
Nturl Gas 2.970 +0.057 +1.96%
Ammonia China 2836.67 closed +0%
(Domestic Price)(03/10)

Coal price.140.80 +0.55 +0.39%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.142.65 +1.05 +0.74%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.20 +2.00 +1.40%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price.146.25 +2.25 +1.56%
(Jan/Newcastle)

Coal price.117.00 +0.90 +0.78%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price..117.60 +2.10 +1.82%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price..118.50 +2.05 +1.76%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price..119.90 +1.55 +1.31%
(Jan/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des) 4182 -14 -0 33%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………428.25 -4.25 -0.98%
SoybeanOil 44.53 +0.89 +2.04%
Wheat….603.50 -11.75 -1.91%

Wood pulp.4790.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Kemaren semua closing merah, urusan perang salah satu faktornya. US treasury bond yield naik, masih suram IHSG hari ini.

USD index up, metal2 doen kecuali silver dan iron ore, oil loncat lagi karena perangnya iran sebagai produsen besar minyak dunia, gas up coal up CPO down, AKRA ELSA MEDC masih manggung, mungkin ANTM INCO MDKA dkk konsolidasi atau malah udahan dulu, AALI LSIP mulai siap2 exit

IHSG – semua indic bilang down, gap dibawah, elliot wave bilang wave 4, BD sw FNS, sabar dulu, tunggu beres index turun

Basic Materials, Energy, Industrials, sama ada Consumer Cyclicals nongol kemaren kebawa sama ERAA

OIl Price hike yang paling belum jalan AKRA, kalo nekat mau nyusul ya masuknya di AKRA

Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA MAHA MNCN VKTR, big accum AKRA VKTR

MACD Buy Signal: JSMR SMGR, JSMR big accum, SMGR FNB dan Vol Spike

AKRA – stoch buy, macd up, 833 up, MFI up w% uptrend, BD big acc, Foreign rev acc, double bottom breakout, harusnya sampe ke 1680 an sih

big spike, target 1660

Harga sudah diatas average KZ sebagai biggest holder, masih dibawah BB DR, last chance kalo mau masuk sih. Tetep ada resiko kejedot, tapi dengan harga minyak yang loncat, harusnya breakout. HOLD yang udah punya, BUY / tambah AKRA @ yesterday’s closing price

JSMR – MACD rev buy tapi dari kemaren bolak balik doang, 833 buy, stoch down, MFI sw, w% sw, BD rev acc, FF masih dist, belum dulu ah

SMGR – sempet kegoreng issue IKN, tapi tidur lagi, PBV rendah, stoch up MACD buy 833 up MFI up, BD FF acc, bisa buy ini harusnya

Wah spike tinggi tapi turun, bisa jadi spike jual, atau memang masih siap2 tapi sambil dibawa turun dikit biar accumnya ga mahal

Average aman, tapi YP YU NI buang walau dikit. Bisa sih spec buy setengah botol dulu. Pantau ketat