Daily Analysis 20240710

July 10th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500, Nasdaq build on record highs as Powell testimony keeps rate cut hopes alive

Dow……39292 -52.8 -0.13%
Nasdaq18430 +25.6 +0.14%
S&P 500.5577 +4.1 +0.07%

FTSE…..8139 -53.8 -0.66%
Dax……18236 -235.9 -1.28%
CAC……7509 -118.8 -1.56%

Nikkei..41580 +799.5 +1.96%
HSI…..17523 -0.8 -0.00%
Shanghai.2959 +36.9 +1.26%

IDX….7269.80 +18.82 +0.26%
LQ45..909.42 +5.09 +0.56%
IDX30.454.76 +2.42 +0.53%

IDXEnergy..2421.61 -18.53 -0.76%
IDX BscMat1385.90 -4.75 -0.34%
IDX Indstrl.1008.75 +11.02 +1.10%
IDXNONCYC.707.02 -1.68 -0.24%
IDX Hlthcare1428.64 -18.54 -1.28%
IDXCYCLIC…739.12 +0.75 +0.10%
IDXTechno3295.35 -4.58 -0.14%
IDX Transp 1304.60 +1.21 +0.09%
IDX Infrast 1577.32 +4.85 +0.31%
IDX Finance1391.87 +19.74 +1.44%
IDX Banking1231.18 +26.04 +2.16%
IDX Property…..614 +1.00 +0.17%?

Indo10Yr.7.0582 +0.0098 +0.14%
ICBI…381.1188 -0.1884 -0.05%
US2Yr.4.626 -0.009 -0.19%
US5Yr 4.245 +0.004 +0.09%
US10Yr4.298 +0.023 +0.54%
US30Yr.4.489 +0.026 +0.58%
VIX..12.51 +0.14 +1.13%

USDIndx 105.1290 +0.129 +0.12%
Como Indx….289.98 -0.93 -0.32%
BCOMIN…… 152.48 -1.90 -1.23%

IndoCDS..73.70👍 -0.52 -0.70%
(5-yr INOCD5) (08/07)

IDR…..16251.00 -6.50 -0.04%
Jisdor.16281.00 +16.00 +0.10%

Euro…1.0815 -0.0010 -0.09%

TLKM…18.99 +0.29 +1.55%
( 3092)
EIDO….20.01 +0.16 +0.18%
EEM…..43.82 +0.18 +0.41%

Oil…….81.68 -0.54 -0.66%
Gold…..2370.20 +3.60 +0.15%
Timah..34350.00 +132.00 +0.39%
(Closed 09/07)
Nickel..17149.00 -292.00 -1.67%
(Closed 09/07)
Silver….31.07 -0.01 -0.03%
Copper.457.90 -3.70 -0.80%

Iron Ore 62% 110.02 -1.29 -1.16%
(05/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.351 -0.027 -1.14%
Ammonia China 2850.00 +3.30 +0.12%
(Domestic Price)(08/07)

Coal price.135.25 +0.25 +0.15%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.00 unch +0%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.60 -0.75 -0.55%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 137.15 -0.95 -0.69%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.103.00 -1.50 -1.44%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..104.00 -2.05 -1.93%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 105.50 -2.20 -2.04%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 106.00 -2.75 -2.53%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep)..3958 -82 -2.03%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..408.50 +0.75 +0.18%
SoybeanOil 46.31 -1.95 -4.04%‼️
Wheat…572.00 +1.50 +0.26%

Wood pulp..5320 -100 -1.85%
(Closed 09/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Lagi lagi, DJI merah nasdaw ijo, europe merah, asia ijo, US bond yield 2 tahun turun tipis, yang lebih panjang naik, IHSG kemaren supposedly closing merah tapi berhasil ijo, hari ini kayanya merah deh

USD index up, tapi gold tin up, metal lain down, oil gas down coal tipis tipis, cpo down lagi, hadeuh ini nahan laju AALI deh, kemaren udah sempet naik kenceng padahal. Bagus buat entry sih

CPO Price – lagi koreksi memang, tapi mid term trend nya up sih, dan dibandingkan dengan pergerakan harga saham AALI LSIP SIMP, sahamnya turun relatif lebih besar daripada harga CPO nya. Harapannya sih rebound ya

IHSG – indicator mulai menunjukkan signal koreksi, stoch overbought dan sell signal, hidden bearish divergence, ada gap, RSI belum overbought, MACD masih up sih, tapi hati hati pokoknya, jangan FOMO ngejar yang udah rally duluan

 

masih Industrials, Basic Materials, Technology

Stochastic Buy Signal ACES BUKA UNVR ERAA MARK, ga ada yang big accum

Stochastic Continuation Signal and big accum: BBNI HRUM TLKM SSMS, TLKM BBNI freq spike

ACES – tadinya mau entry mumpung koreksi, tapi BD FF rev dist, dan index rawan koreksi, WNS deh

ERAA – stoch buy macd buy MFI up, w% sw, sayangnya BD masih dist, FF net buy tipis, spesialis saham contrarian juga, bisa jadi tetep jalan walau index nyungep, saya sih berani buy, just to be sure kita check spike dan bandarmology detail

Spike baru kecil, tapi yaaaaa, ok sih

Belum start accum, tapi ga buang juga, kalo konservatif ya tunggu reverse jadi akum dulu…

TLKM – stoch down rev up, macd up, MFI up, 833 buy, w% uptrend, BD FF acc walau rada tipis, double bottom firm break neckline, mau dibilang IHNS tapi kanannya kecil, tapi nevertheless emang sekarang penentuan kalo mau buy on breakout

Spike masih belum

Average aman dan 3 biggest holder relatively lagi akum, yang belum punya bisa buy TLKM, tapi kalo balik break low di neckline alias false breakout buang dulu