Daily Analysis 20240125

January 25th, 2024

Good morning,

Nasdaq, S&P 500 close higher for fifth straight day as Netflix shares surge

The S&P 500
rose Wednesday as Netflix
led a broader rally among technology names, pushing the broader market to new heights.

Dow……37806 -99.1 -0.26%
Nasdaq15482 +55.98 +0.36%
S&P 500.4869 +3.95 +0.08%
:
FTSE…..7528 +41.94 +0.56%
Dax……16890 +262.8 +1.58%
CAC……7456 +67.6 +0.91%

Nikkei..36227 -291.1 -0.80%
HSI…..15900 +545.9 +3.56%‼️
Shanghai.2821 +49.8 +1.80%

IDX…..7227.82 -28.41 -0.39%
LQ45….966.25 -5.52 -0.57%
IDX30…490.21 -2.85 -0.58%

IDXEnergy..2114.88 -13.00 -0.61%
IDX BscMat.1284.89 -14.85 -1.14%
IDX Indstrl…1081.56 -5.73 -0.53%
IDXNONCYC.700.77 +1.12 +0.16%*
IDX Hlthcare1325.02 +27.72+2.14%
IDXCYCLIC…860.90 -2.45 -0.28%
IDX Techno4145.07 -31.35 -0.75%
IDX Transp 1635.86 +13.91 +0.86%
IDX Infrast 1538.75 -8.56 -0.55%
IDX Finance.1543.67 +12.22+0.80%
IDX Banking.1301.20 -13.32 -1.01%
IDX Property.. 697 +1.20 +0.17%

Indo10Yr.6.6653 -0.0219 -0.33%
ICBI…375.5941 -0.3896 -0.10%
US2Yr.4.384 +0.012 +0.27%
US5Yr 4.092 +0.005 +1.24%
US10Yr4.179 +0.047 +1.14%
US30Yr.4.411 +0.044+1.01%
VIX….13.14 +0.59 +4.70%‼️

USDIndx 103.2360 -0.382 -0.37%
Como Indx..270.99 +2.78 +1.04%
BCOMIN……139.43 +2.25 +1.64%

IndoCDS..74.22 -0.50 -0.67%
(5-yr INOCD5) (23/01)

IDR…..15713.00 +76.00 +0.49%
Jisdor.15719.00 +63.00 +0.40%

Euro….1.0886 +0.0027 +0.25%

TLKM…25.55 +0.02 +0.08%
(4016)
EIDO……21.84 -0.03 -0.14%
EEM……38.81 +0.43 +1.12’%

Oil……..75.42 +1.05 +1.41%
Gold..2035.00 -10.20 -0.50%
Timah..26239.00 +622.00 +2.43%
(Closed 23/01)
Nickel..16292.50 +269.00 +1.68%
(Closed 24/01)
Silver……22.79 +0.33 +1.47%
Copper.387.30 +7.95 +2.09%

Iron Ore 62% 135.48 +0.06 +0.04%
(23/01)
Nturl Gas..2.288 +0.097 +4.43%‼️
Ammonia China.3343.33. – -%
(Domestic Price)(24/02)

Coal price.127.20 -0.10 -0.08%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 121.65 -1.60 -1.30%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.118.60 -1.40 -1.17%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 118.15 -2.10 -1.75%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.105.80 +0.30 +0.28%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price .94.80 +2.30 +2.49%
..(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price..92.00 +2.20 +2.45%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price…90.00 +1.90 +2.16%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3992 +95 +2.44%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……452.25 +5.75 +1.29%
SoybeanOil 47.32 -0.89 -1.85%
Wheat…610.75 +14.25 +2.39%

Wood pulp..5070.00 unch +0%
(Closed 24/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI masih merah, nsadaq SP500 ijo, europe ijo, asia varied, tapi hangseng closing ijo tebel, kemaren IHSG merah harusnya bisa ijo lah hari ini. US bond rates naik semua, VIX naik, wah ga bagus… USD index turun, bagus buat commodities

Metal naik semua kecuali gold, Oil Gas up, coal newcastle down rotterdam up, CPO lanjut ijo tebel. Kita tunggu geraknya ANTM INCO TINS MDKA AALI LSIP

IHSG – masih FNS, stoch up, macd down, MFI down, w% sw, BD flat, itungan mau wave C, target either fibo 61 @6931, atau support 7046, atau gap dibawah 6900. Either way, masih beresiko, bagus banyak pegang cash

Still, Basic Materials, Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: ICBP INCO INTP KLBF SMGR TOWR UNVR ADMR HEAL MIKA MSIN. Big accum ICBP INCO INTP TOWR ADMR

MACD Buy Signal: KLBF, ada freq spike juga

KLBF – ga tembus tembus support, akhirnya mantul, stoch rev buy, macd rev buy, FF rev buy, BD acc, MFI sw, w%up, bisa nambah ini KLBF BOW di tengah candle kemaren

Lanjut ah, spike firm

Firm accum semua dan avg aman, BOW, amend jam 10

ICBP – ok sih, tapi buat new entry kayanya kurang, hold yang udah pegang, saya hold INDF

INCO – stoch buy, macd down, MFI up, w% sw, BD acc, FF dist, baru bikin swing low, tunggu MACD deh nanti assess lagi

INTP – stoch buy, macd hari ini kayanya close buy signal, BD rev acc, masih FNS, MFI up, w% up, ga tembus area support, regbulldiv confirmed by 2 bull candle and MA10, saya masih hold, tapi yang belum punya bisa spec buy. Kalo buat nambah muatan tunggu dulu firm reversal nya, index nya masih ga asik soalnya

Spike kaya yang ok, tapi detailnya ada proce drop dikit setelah spike, masih harus hati hati

BD accum, biggest holder accum, average aman, sector jalan, bisa spec buy, yang udah punya hold, nambah kalo ada konfirmasi tambahan, either FNB, atau bikin higher low

TOWR – stoch up, macd rev up, MFI sw, w% sw, BD FF acc, sektor jalan, IHNS belum jalan, retracement pattern completed ketemu reg bear dan sudha koreksi ke fibo 38, harusnya bisa sih ini

Wah malah ga jelas spike nya, abis spike malah turun

Biggest holder accum, average aman, tapi hari ini dibanting, tunggu MACD deh, WNS

ADMR – yang lain turun koq yang ini jalan… stoch buy, macd hari ini keliatannya closing buy, MFI up, w% up, BD FF acc, regbull div jalan, alligator buy, technically ok banget

ada spike walau ga terlalu tinggi

Accum, tapi average nya udah relatif kurang aman