Daily Analysis 20251106
Addition di index MSCI yang penting BREN BRMS DSNG ENRG MSIN RAJA WIFI, efek rebalancing mungkin akan ngangkat harga saham2 ini US europe ijo, asia mixed, US treasury bond yield…
Daily Analysis 20240131
January 31st, 2024
Good morning,
Nasdaq 100 futures slide, Alphabet shares drop after results
Futures tied to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100
fell Tuesday night after a pair of mega-cap tech companies posted their quarterly results. Wall Street also looked toward the Federal Reserve’s decision on rate policy.
Dow……38467 +133.9 +0.35%
Nasdaq15510 -118.2 -0.76%
S&P 500.4925 -2.96 -0.06%
FTSE…..7666 +33.6 +0.44%
Dax……16972 +30.6 +0.18%
CAC……7677 +36.7 +0.48%
Nikkei..36066 +38.9 +0.11%
HSI……15703 -373.8 -2.33%
Shanghai.2831 -52.8 -1.83%
IDX…..7192.22 +35.04 +0.49%
LQ45….971.70 +9.78 +1.02%
IDX30…493.78 +5.93 +1.22%
IDXEnergy..2097.94 -7.30 -0.35%
IDX BscMat.1284.55 -5.74 -0.44%
IDX Indstrl…1087.81 +2.42 +0.22%
IDXNONCYC.693.75 -3.14 -0.45%
IDX Hlthcare1318.21+8.41. +0.64%
IDXCYCLIC…859.07 +7.60 +0.89%
IDX Techno4103.92 +118.31 +2.97%
IDX Transp 1515.04 -7.75 -0.51%
IDX Infrast 1497.23 -13.74 -0.91%
IDX Finance.1510.97 -8.20 -0.54%
IDX Banking.1300.04 +25.68 +2.02%
IDX Property.. 698 -2.30 -0.32%
Indo10Yr.6.6555 – 0.0229 -0.34%
ICBI…376.0857 +0.4541 +0.12%
US2Yr.4.339 +0.017 +0.39%
US5Yr 3.974 -0.012 -0.30%
US10Yr4.036 -0.036 -0.93%
US30Yr.4.251-0.064 -1.48%
VIX…13.31 -0.29 -2.13%
USDIndx 103.3970❗️ -0.212 -0.20%
Como Indx..274.00 +3.12 +1.15%
BCOMIN……140.02 +0.77 +0.55%
IndoCDS..76.73 +0.03 +0.04%
(5-yr INOCD5) (29/01)
IDR…..15780.00‼️ -30.00 -0.19%
Jisdor.15825.00 ‼️ -29.00 -0.18%
Euro….1.0844 +0.0008 +0.07%
TLKM…25.33 -0.22 -0.86%
(4008)
EIDO……21.75 +0.18 +0.83%
EEM……38.60 -0.31 -0.80%
Oil…….77.81 +0.85 +1.10%
Gold..2054.50 +3.30 +0.16%
Timah..26664.00 – -%
(Closed 29/01)
Nickel..16513.50 +54.00 +0.33%
(Closed 30/01)
Silver……23.28 -0.05 -0.21%
Copper.391.15 +2.55 +0.66%
Iron Ore 62% 135.55 unch +0%
(29/01)
Nturl Gas..2.091 +0.032 +1.55%
Ammonia China.3260.00 -83.00 -2.48%
(Domestic Price)(29/01/02)
Coal price 119.55 +3.15 +2.71%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.120.50 +5.00 +4.33%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 120.30 +4.40 +3.80%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice.119.80 +3.80 +3.28%‼️
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price .96.15 +1.85 +1.96%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..93.65 +1.90 +2.07%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..91.10 +1.20 +1.33%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..90.75 +1.30 +1.45%
(May/Rotterdam)
CPO(Apr)..3842 -107 -2.71%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……447.75 +7.50 +1.70%
SoybeanOil 46.00 +0.45 +0.99%
Wheat…605.50 +12.20 +1.70%
Wood pulp..5076.00 +10 +0.20%
(Closed 30/01)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
REMINDER REBALANCING
UPDATE (29/01/2024)
EVALUASI INDEKS LQ45, IDX30, IDX80, KOMPAS100, PEFINDO25, INDEKS BUMN20, IDXSMC-LIQ, IDXSMC-COM, IDXHIDIV20, IDXV30, IDXG30, IDXQ30, IDXLQ45LCL
(Periode Efektif 01 Februari 2024 – 31 Juli 2024)
INDEKS LQ45
Baru : MBMA, MTEL, PGEO, PTMP
Keluar : INDY, SCMA, TBIG, TPIA
INDEKS IDX30
Baru : ACES, ICBP, INKP, PGEO
Keluar : EMTK, ESSA, HRUM, TOWR
INDEKS IDX80
Baru : AUTO, GJTL, MAPA, MBMA, PGEO, PTMP, SMIL, TRON, WIFI
Keluar : AVIA, DOID, HMSP, JKON, OMED, PNBN, RMKE, SMDR, WIKA
INDEKS KOMPAS100
Baru : AUTO, CFIN, DRMA, GTRA, HRTA, IMAS, MAPA, MARK, MBMA, NISP, PGEO, PTMP, PTRO, SILO, SMIL, SMSM, SSIA, TRON, WIIM
Keluar : AALI, AGII, AVIA, BBKP, BDMN, BELI, BSSR, HMSP, JKON, LSIP, MMIX, MSIN, OMED, PNBN, PNIN, RMKE, SMDR, TAPG, WIKA
INDEKS PEFINDO25
Baru : ADMR, AUTO, DILD, ESSA, GJTL, LPPF, LSIP, MAPA, MIDI, TAPG
Keluar : AKRA, BSSR, DSNG, HEXA, HRTA, MIKA, POWR, SIDO, SMSM, SSIA
(Periode Efektif 05 Februari 2024 – 02 Agustus 2024)
INDEKS BUMN20
Baru : BJTM, PGEO,
Keluar : JKON, WIKA
INDEKS IDXSMC-LIQ
Baru : AUTO, CMRY, GGRM, HEAL. INCO, MAPA, MIDI, TOWR
Keluar : ADMR, ARTO, BDMN, BEST, BJBR, LSIP, SSIA, TAPG, WIKA
INDEKS IDXSMC-COM
Baru : ARTA, AXIO, BEEF, GGRM, HOKI, INCO, JAWA, PDPP, TOWR
*zKeluar :*z ADMR, ARTO, BOLA, CUAN, DEFI, DSSA, FILM, GLVA, GSMF, HOMI, JIHD, MDLN, MREI, NIKL, PANI, PEGE, PGEO, PPRE, RONY, SMIL, SONA, TEBE, TFAS, TOPS, WEGE, WTON
INDEKS IDXHIDIV20
Baru : BRPT, ICBP, INKP, KLBF, SMGR, TPIA, UNVR
Keluar : BJBR, BJTM, BNGA, BSSR, HEXA, HMSP, MPMX
INDEKS IDXV30
Baru : AUTO, GJTL, JSMR, SMRA, WIFI
Keluar : DOID, JKON, PNBN, SMDR, TINS
INDEKS IDXG30
Baru : AUTO, BBTN, GJTL, MAPA
Keluar : ASSA, PNBN, SMDR, TINS
INDEKS IDXQ30
Baru : AKRA, AMRT, GGRM, MYOR, SMIL, TRON
Keluar : AVIA, EMTK, HMSP, RMKE, SRTG, TINS
INDEKS IDXLQ45LCL
Baru : MAPI, MBMA, MTEL, PGEO
Keluar : ASII, SCMA, TBIG, TPIA
(Listri. Source : IDX)
SP500 abis cetak new record koreksi dulu, DJI nya ijo, europe ijo, asia kebanyakan merah, IHSG sempet merah dulu tapi closing ijo, firm mau wave B
US bond rate pendek naik, panjang turun, semoga ga banyak pengaruh ke stock market, USD index merah, metal2 lanjut naik kecuali silver, oil gas coal ijo, coal ijonya tebel, CPO merah dalem, MDKA harusnya jalan, ELSA AKRA MEDC lanjut, coal apakah udah mau rebound? AALI LSIP agak kawatir ini
IHSG – dari ilmu elliot wave, wave B nya ga panjang ini keliatanya, daripada aggressive sekarang mending tunggu wave C beres… Udah 2 hari FNB, BD acc, big bank di push naik, GOTO di push naik, tapi in total saham yang turun lebih banyak dari saham yang naik. Masih keep cash
Terlihat Healthcare ngebalik nyusul basic materials, consumer non-cyclicals dan infrastructure… Padahal kemaren KLBF dibanting sampe cutloss
Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO ASII BBNI ITMG PTBA SIDO ASSA BRMS CTRA HMSP LPPF MTEL SMRA. Big Acc ASII BBNI PTBA
MACD Buy Signal: JSMR PTPP BRAM
Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big acc: BRIS
Daily Analysis 20240125
January 25th, 2024
Good morning,
Nasdaq, S&P 500 close higher for fifth straight day as Netflix shares surge
The S&P 500
rose Wednesday as Netflix
led a broader rally among technology names, pushing the broader market to new heights.
Dow……37806 -99.1 -0.26%
Nasdaq15482 +55.98 +0.36%
S&P 500.4869 +3.95 +0.08%
:
FTSE…..7528 +41.94 +0.56%
Dax……16890 +262.8 +1.58%
CAC……7456 +67.6 +0.91%
Nikkei..36227 -291.1 -0.80%
HSI…..15900 +545.9 +3.56%‼️
Shanghai.2821 +49.8 +1.80%
IDX…..7227.82 -28.41 -0.39%
LQ45….966.25 -5.52 -0.57%
IDX30…490.21 -2.85 -0.58%
IDXEnergy..2114.88 -13.00 -0.61%
IDX BscMat.1284.89 -14.85 -1.14%
IDX Indstrl…1081.56 -5.73 -0.53%
IDXNONCYC.700.77 +1.12 +0.16%*
IDX Hlthcare1325.02 +27.72+2.14%
IDXCYCLIC…860.90 -2.45 -0.28%
IDX Techno4145.07 -31.35 -0.75%
IDX Transp 1635.86 +13.91 +0.86%
IDX Infrast 1538.75 -8.56 -0.55%
IDX Finance.1543.67 +12.22+0.80%
IDX Banking.1301.20 -13.32 -1.01%
IDX Property.. 697 +1.20 +0.17%
Indo10Yr.6.6653 -0.0219 -0.33%
ICBI…375.5941 -0.3896 -0.10%
US2Yr.4.384 +0.012 +0.27%
US5Yr 4.092 +0.005 +1.24%
US10Yr4.179 +0.047 +1.14%
US30Yr.4.411 +0.044+1.01%
VIX….13.14 +0.59 +4.70%‼️
USDIndx 103.2360 -0.382 -0.37%
Como Indx..270.99 +2.78 +1.04%
BCOMIN……139.43 +2.25 +1.64%
IndoCDS..74.22 -0.50 -0.67%
(5-yr INOCD5) (23/01)
IDR…..15713.00 +76.00 +0.49%
Jisdor.15719.00 +63.00 +0.40%
Euro….1.0886 +0.0027 +0.25%
TLKM…25.55 +0.02 +0.08%
(4016)
EIDO……21.84 -0.03 -0.14%
EEM……38.81 +0.43 +1.12’%
Oil……..75.42 +1.05 +1.41%
Gold..2035.00 -10.20 -0.50%
Timah..26239.00 +622.00 +2.43%
(Closed 23/01)
Nickel..16292.50 +269.00 +1.68%
(Closed 24/01)
Silver……22.79 +0.33 +1.47%
Copper.387.30 +7.95 +2.09%
Iron Ore 62% 135.48 +0.06 +0.04%
(23/01)
Nturl Gas..2.288 +0.097 +4.43%‼️
Ammonia China.3343.33. – -%
(Domestic Price)(24/02)
Coal price.127.20 -0.10 -0.08%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 121.65 -1.60 -1.30%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.118.60 -1.40 -1.17%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 118.15 -2.10 -1.75%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.105.80 +0.30 +0.28%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price .94.80 +2.30 +2.49%
..(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price..92.00 +2.20 +2.45%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price…90.00 +1.90 +2.16%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
CPO(Apr)..3992 +95 +2.44%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……452.25 +5.75 +1.29%
SoybeanOil 47.32 -0.89 -1.85%
Wheat…610.75 +14.25 +2.39%
Wood pulp..5070.00 unch +0%
(Closed 24/01)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
DJI masih merah, nsadaq SP500 ijo, europe ijo, asia varied, tapi hangseng closing ijo tebel, kemaren IHSG merah harusnya bisa ijo lah hari ini. US bond rates naik semua, VIX naik, wah ga bagus… USD index turun, bagus buat commodities
Metal naik semua kecuali gold, Oil Gas up, coal newcastle down rotterdam up, CPO lanjut ijo tebel. Kita tunggu geraknya ANTM INCO TINS MDKA AALI LSIP
IHSG – masih FNS, stoch up, macd down, MFI down, w% sw, BD flat, itungan mau wave C, target either fibo 61 @6931, atau support 7046, atau gap dibawah 6900. Either way, masih beresiko, bagus banyak pegang cash
Still, Basic Materials, Infrastructure
Stochastic Buy Signal: ICBP INCO INTP KLBF SMGR TOWR UNVR ADMR HEAL MIKA MSIN. Big accum ICBP INCO INTP TOWR ADMR
MACD Buy Signal: KLBF, ada freq spike juga
Daily Analysis 20240109
January 9th, 2024 Good morning, Nasdaq Composite closes 2% higher Monday as tech stocks’ revival lifts major averages The major averages rose Monday, boosted by tech shares, as Wall Street…
Daily Analysis 20220919
Global update:
September 19th, 2022
Good morning,
Stocks close lower on Friday, extending sell off for worst week since June for S&P 500 and Nasdaq
Stocks fell Friday as Wall Street wrapped up one of its worst weeks in months and traders reacted to an ugly earnings warning from FedEx about the global economy.
Dow…….30822 -139.4 -0.45%
Nasdaq.11448 -103.95 -0.90%
S&P 500..3873 -28.02 -0.72%
FTSE…….7237 -45.4 -0.62%
Dax……..12741 -215.4 -1.66%
CAC……..6077 -80.5 -1.31%
Nikkei….27568 -308.3 -1.11%
HSI……..18762 -168.7 -0.89%
Shanghai..3126 -73.5 -2.30%
ST Times..3268 +0.31 +0.01%
IDX…….7168.87 -136.73 -1.87%
LQ45…1016.01 -25.04 -2.40%
IDX Energy..2034.77 -44.48 -2.14%
IDX Bsc Mat.1304.13 +0.83 +0.06%
IDX Industrl..1363.44 -22.00 -1.59%
IDXNONCYC..702.55 -3.61 -0.51%
IDX Hlthcare.1449.21 -5.57 -0.38%
IDXCYCLIC…..880.03 -2.12 -0.24%
IDX Techno..7483.50 -35.58 -0.47%
IDX Transp…1903.48 -13.70 -0.71%
IDX Infrast…..1027.23 -3.55 -0.34%
IDX Finance 1512.67 -29.05 -1.88%
IDX Banking..1167.49 -33.02 -2.75%bangbang
IDX Property….737 -8.50 -1.14%
Indo10Yr….7.2394 +0.0326 +0.45%
ICBI……..335.6762 -0.6426 -0.19%
US10Yr……3.4480 -0.0110 -0.32%
VIX……….26.30 +0.03 +0.11%
USDIndx 109.7640 +0.0250 +0.02%
Como Indx..278.88 -2.12 -0.75%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..153.24 +1.24 +0.82%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)
IDR……14954.50 +57.00 +0.38%bangbang
Jisdor..14939.00 +40.00 +0.16%bangbang
Euro……..1.0016 +0.0022 +0.22%
TLKM……..29.20 -0.60 -2.01%
(4362)
EIDO………24.27 -0.48 -1.94%
EEM………37.79 -0.35 -0.92%
Oil…………..85.11 +0.38 +0.45%
Gold ……..1683.50 +11.80 +0.71%
Timah. .21137.00 +327.00 +1.57%
( Closed 16/9)
Nickel…24395.50 +1091.00 +4.68%bangbang
(Closed 16/9)
Silver…….19.38 +0.32 +1.68%
Copper….351.65 +4.96 +1.43%
Nturl Gas…..7.817 -0.475 -5.73%bangbang
Ammonia..4256.67 +66.67 +1.59%bangbang
China
(Domestic Price)(15/9)
Coal price….439.00 -6.50 -1.46%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….428.00 -10.00 -2.28%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….423.50 -11.00 -2.53%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….331.00 -6.20 -1.84%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….304.30 -13.70 -4.30%bangbang
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price..305.55 -12.45 -3.92%bangbang
(Nov/Rotterdam)
CPO(Des)……3801 -116 -2.96%bangbang
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………..677.25 -0.25 -0.04%
SoybeanOil…65.96 +1.66 +2.58%
Wheat……..859.75 +14.75 +1.75%
Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 18/9)
copyrightPhintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
Closing jum’at kompak merah semua, IHSG dalem banget dan ada opening gap down, membuka harapan rebound kecil hari ini… Energy dan Banking yang drop paling besar, udahan dulu emang keliatannya dari sisi sektornya.
Komoditas hampir semua naik kecuali natural gas sama coal dan cpo, metal2 naik bisa berarti basic materials naik. Kita check chart sektornya later ya.
Keliatannya sesuai prediksi, sebelum santa claus rally akan drop dulu, bikin wave 3. Cocok nanti sama jadwal window dressing akhir tahun sekalian wave 3.
IHSG – stoch macd bilang sell, bandar dan foreign buang, MFI SW, ada banyak gap dibawah, LR bisa kemana aja, PSAR sell. Jelek banget ini…
IHSG kena regular bearish divergence MACD line dan MACD histogram, confirmed by MA10. So technically ngeri ini… Dan kemaren hype nya new ATH cuma segitu aja. Prepare buat terjunan wave 2. Kita liat sektor mana yang bakal jadi ganjel index
Bersih bersih dulu, mulai belanja lagi amannya setelah gap 6911 udah ketutup, kalo gap 6740 udah ketutup berani buy sambil merem, hehehe…
FTSE GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX SERIES ASIA PACIFIC EX JAPAN EX CHINA SEPTEMBER 2022 SEMI ANNUAL REVIEW
(The changes will be effective after the close of business on Friday, 16 September 2022 (i.e. on Monday, 19 September 2022)
INDONESIA
• LARGE CAP
Inclusions :
-ADRO (Adaro Energy PT) – Mid to Large
-AMRT (Sumber Alfaria Trijaya) – Large Cap Addition
Exclusions :
-BRIS (Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk) – Large to Mid
• MID CAP
Inclusions :
-AVIA (Avia Avian) – Small to Mid
-BRIS (Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk) – Large to Mid
-ISAT (Indosat) – Small to Mid
-MSIN (MNC Studios International) – Mid Cap Addition
Exclusions :
-ADRO (Adaro Energy PT) – Mid to Large
• SMALL CAP
Inclusions :
-SIDO (Industri Jamu Dan Farmasi Sido Muncul)
-HEAL (Medikaloka Hermina)
Exclusions :
-AVIA (Avia Avian) – Small to Mid
-ISAT (Indosat) – Small to Mid
*
(Listri Samudra | Phintraco Sekuritas (AT), Source : FTSE – Disclaimer On)
Highlight di:
Inclusions :
-ADRO (Adaro Energy PT) – Mid to Large
-AMRT (Sumber Alfaria Trijaya) – Large Cap Addition
-AVIA (Avia Avian) – Small to Mid
-ISAT (Indosat) – Small to Mid
-MSIN (MNC Studios International) – Mid Cap Addition
Inclusions :
-SIDO (Industri Jamu Dan Farmasi Sido Muncul)
-HEAL (Medikaloka Hermina)
Harusnya efek rebalancing akan bikin naik saham-saham ini karena akan diborong para Manager Investasi.
Cuma Property yang firm, tanda tanda perlawanan ada di basic materials, transportation, sama consumer cyclicals. Infra ada dikit tapi ok lah kita liat detailnya