Daily Analysis 20230811

August 11th, 2023

 

Good morning,

 

Dow ends Thursday slightly higher, lifted by weaker-than-expected inflation data, Disney pops nearly 5%

 

The Dow Jones Industrial Average

edged higher Thursday, helped by a post-earnings Disney

rally and a key inflation reading showing slightly less year-over-year inflation growth than expected.

 

Dow……35176  +52.8      +0.18%

Nasdaq13738  +15.98    +0.12%

S&P 500.4469  +1.1         +0.03%

 

FTSE…..7619   +31.3       +0.41%

Dax……15997  +143.9     +0.91%

CAC……7434   +111.6     +1.52%

 

Nikkei…32474   +269.3  +0.84%

HSI…….19248   +2.2       +0.01%

Shanghai.3254 +10.1     +0.31%

 

IDX…..6893.23   +18.16    +0.12%

LQ45….966.48   +1.18       +0.12%

IDX30…501.45   +0.28       +0.06%

 

IDXEnergy…1940.94  +28.82 +1.51%

IDX BscMat.1098.97 +0.35   +0.03%

IDX Indstrl…1204.59  -7.90    -0.65%

IDXNONCYC.750.22 +0.17    +0.02%

IDX Hlthcare1490.49+1.59    +0.11%

IDXCYCLIC….913.88  -0.89    -0.10%

IDX Techno.4484.67 +30.83 +0.69%

IDX Transp..1873.52 +15.12 +0.81%

IDX Infrast… .858.21 +3.24   +0.38%

IDX Finance.1428.13 -2.54    -0.18%

IDX Banking.1228.06+1.50   +0.12%

IDX Property..755       -2.00   -2.70%

 

*Indo10Yr.6.3964* -0.0013  -0.02%

*ICBI….369.5720* +0.2564 +0.07%

*US2Yr.4.8500*  -0.040    -0.83%

*US5Yr 4.2340   +0.095   +2.30%*

*US10Yr4.1150  +0.1050 +2.62%*

*US30Yr.4.2680 +0.103   +2.47%*

*VIX…….15.85   -0.11      -0.69%*

 

*USDIndx 102.6230* +0.1330 +0.13%

Como Indx…279.96  -2.08   -0.74%

(Core Commodity CRB)

BCOMIN….142.56    -0.35    -0.24%

 

 

*IndoCDS.80.21  -0.02  -0.02%*

(5-yr INOCD5) *(09/08)*

 

*IDR…..15185.00‼️-4.50    -0.03%*

*Jisdor.15204.00 ‼️-2.00   -0.01%*

 

*Euro……1.0982  +0.0005  +0.05%*

 

TLKM…24.57  -0.01   -0.04%

*(3736)*

EIDO….23.10   +0.03  +0.13%

EEM…..40.15   +0.06  +0.15%

 

*Oil…..82.90‼️  -1.33   -1.58%*

*Gold…1944.90‼️* -4.00  -0.21%

Timah..27259.00  -41.00   -0.15%

*(Closed 09/08)*

Nickel..20430.50  -88.00   -0.43%

(Closed 10/08)

Silver…… 22.76  +0.02   +0.09%

Copper.375.65   -2.95     -0.78%

 

*Iron Ore 62%  104.70 +0.29 +0.28%*

(09/08)

Nturl Gas.2.7850  -0.0070  -0.25%

*Ammonia  China..3366.67 unch  +0%*

(Domestic Price)(10/08)

 

Coal price..143.00 +0.50 +0.35%

(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price.149.00 +0.75  +0.51%

(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price.152.25 +1.35  +0.89%

(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.155.50 +1.25  +0.81%

(Nov/Newcastle)

 

Coal price117.50  +1.65  +1.42%

(Agt/Rotterdam)

Coal price.120.25  -0.35   -0.29%

(Sept/ Rotterdam)

Coal price.120.55  -0.10   -0.08%

(Oct/Rotterdam)

Coal price.122.10  -0.30   -0.25%

(Nov/Rotterdam)

 

CPO(Oct)..3727  -38   -1.00%

(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

 

Corn………496.25  +2.00   +0.40%

SoybeanOil 60.48 +0.05   +0.08%

Wheat……663.75  +2.00   +0.40%

 

*Wood pulp..4620.00‼️* +20  +0.43%

(Closed 09/08)

 

©️Phintraco Sekuritas

Broker Code: *_AT_*

_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia

_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US ijo europe ijo, asia ijo, ayo ijo lagi IHSG hari ini…

USD index naik, kebanyakan commodities turun kecuali silver, iron ore sama coal. Bagus buat PTBA dkk, tapi tambang mineral mineral logam jadi kurang OK

IHSG – stoch rev up almost buy, MACD down rev, BD flat, FNB 5 days straight, triangle keliatan mau breakout ke atas, semoga lanjut

Basic Materials dan Industrials rada slow down, Infrastructure Property Financials sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals jalan

Stochastic Buy Signal: INDY ITMG SRTG TOWR UNTR ABMM HMSP SMAR. Big accum: INDY ITMG SRTG TOWR. Kayanya emang coal mau hajatan ini…

MACD Buy Signal: SIDO ADMR JPFA CEKA

Alligator Buy Signal: BUKA

Supertrend Buy Signal: BBNI

INDY – stoch buy, MACD rev up, MFI w% sw, BD rev acc, FF masih dist, jelas udah bikin higher low, ada gap diatas, CNH failed, WNS dulu ini, kayanya sih ok mau naik tapi check spike dulu

Spike nya ok sih, tapi ada spike jual kecil, mending play safe tunggu MACD dan FF rev acc

ITMG – stoch buy, MACD still up but shaky, MFI w% down, BD FF acc, bisa BOW sih. Saya pribadi pegang PTBA jadi ga entry coal lain

Spike nya cakep, bisa entry ini ITMG

SRTG – stoch buy, MACD almost buy, MFI sw,w% mulai up, BD FF rev ACC, bisa spec buy ini, tapi kalo break previous low langsung buang

Mulai ada spike beli…

TOWR – stoch buy, MACD revup, MFI up, w% up, BD acc, FF masih dist, kalo hari ini closing ijo jadi three white soldiers, kemaren retracement pattern nya completed deket fibo 61 pas ketemu regbear div terus longsor, balik ke fibo 23, udah sah buat start naik lagi sih. Yang mau entry bisa, saya stick sama MTEL tapi

Abis spike juga terus turun udah ada spike baru tapi belum significant. Kalo entry setengah botol aja dulu

UNTR – stoch buy kemaren tapi BD FF malah rev dist, jadi drop today, berhasil closing diatas fibo 38 tapi jadi ada kemungkinan akan ditarik koreksi ke fibo 23 lagi, baru re-entry padahal, prepare kalo harus cutloss dulu

ABMM – technical kaya yang ok banget, tapi itu diangkat sambil jualan, mark-up distribution, ga tau bisa sepanjang apa bandarnya ngerjain retail, sebelum dibiarin terjun bebas… SKIP ah

SIDO – stoch buy macd buy, EW reverse nya udah done, BD FF masih dist, w%up, MFI sw, bisa spec buy yang porto nya kosong, cutloss point kalo bikin lower low. Rada overpriced sih, kalo saya skip, tapi buat trading only masih ok lah

ADMR – stoch up rev, MACD buy, MFIsw, w% sw, BD FF rev acc, CNH in the making, kemaren masih rejection candle, harusnya ok sih ini, bisa buy. Saya udah entry di stoch, masih hold. Breakout CNH baru nambah

Spike ok tinggal nunggu jalan

JPFA – all good, yang belum masuk bisa masuk sekarang, saya pegang CPIN, mirip banget jalannya. Semoga panjang larinya…

BUKA – ini juga all good sih, surprisingly… Stoch up macd buy, MFI up, m% up, BD FF acc, ada CNH pattern walau belum berhasil breakout, tapi dari price action nya udah 2 kali swing high. Techno EMTK jalan juga, GOTO aja yang aneh sendiri

Spike nya belum terlalu menggembirakan, setengah botol aja ya yang mau masuk