ends – itho's internet resources

Daily Analysis 20250625

By June 25, 2025

Good morning,

June 25th 2025

Wall St ends sharply higher, S&P 500 nears record high as Middle East tensions cool

U.S. stocks rallied more than 1% on Tuesday as investors welcomed a fragile truce with Israel and Iran while parsing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s congressional testimony for clues regarding the U.S. central bank’s path forward.

Dow…..43089 +507.2 +1.19%
Nasdaq 19913 +281.6 +1.43%
S&P 500 6092 +67.01 +1.11%

FTSE…..8759 +0.95 +0.01%
Dax…..23641 +372.6 +1.60%
CAC…..7615 +78.4 +1.04%

Nikkei….38791 +436.5 +1.14%
HSI……24177 +487.9 +2.06%
Shanghai.3421 +38.98 +1.15%

IDX..6869.17 +82.03 +1.21%
LQ45..764.41 +10.59 +1.40%
IDX30.395.16 +4.66 +1.19%

IDXEnergy.2729.57 -16.22 -0.59%
IDX BscMat1442.00 +3.98 +0.20%
IDX Indstr…..908.55 +8.89 +0.99%
IDXNONCYC.657.46 +12.28 +1.90%
IDX Hlthcare1461.75+29.04 +2.03%
IDXCYCLC…709.41 +20.80 +3.02%
IDX Techno.6518.52 +35.09 +0.54%
IDX Transp 1437.10 +12.28 +0.86%
IDX Infrast .1379.42 +10.66 +0.78%
IDX Finance.1351.37 +19.67+1.48%
IDX Banking 1031.08 +20.41 +2.02%
IDX Property..727 +22.60 +3.21%‼️

Indo10Yr.6.7903-0.0327 -0.48%
ICBI….412.3536 +0.8614 +0.21%
US2Yr.3.821 -0.042 -1.09%
US5Yr 3.861 -0.049 -1.25%
US10Yr4.296 -0.052 -1.20%
US30Yr.4.835 -0.039 -0.80%
VIX..17.48 -2.35 -11.85%👍

USDIndx..98.8580👍 -0.496 -0.50%
Como Indx.296.97 -8.08 -2.65%‼️
BCOMIN..145.39 +0.30 +0.20%

IndoCDS 5yr.82.09‼️+0.64 +0.78%
(5-yr INOCD5) (24/06)

IDR…….16.353.50❗️-138.50👍 -0.84%
Jisdor…16.370.00❗️-114.00👍 -0.69%

Euro..1.1609❗️ +0.0015 +0.13%

TLKM..16.06 +0.16 +1.01%
( 2629)
EIDO….16.38 +0.49 +2.90%
EEM…47.92 +1.21 +2.59%

Oil…65.10❗️-1.07 -1.61%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…67.14 -4.34 -6.07%‼️
(Brent)

Gold.3335.50‼️ -42.50 -1.26%
(Comex)
Gold.3322.42‼️ -34.63 -1.03%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..32319.00 -374.00 -1.14%
(Closed 24/06)
Nickel…14911.13 +113.88 +0.77%
(Closed 24/06)
Silver….36.22 -0.15 -0.41%
Copper.494.75 +0.10 +0.02%

Iron Ore 62% .94.75 -0.12 -0.13%
(24/06)

Nturl Gas .3.770 -0.076 -1.98%
Ammonia China.2316.67 +6.67 +0.29%
(Domestic Price 24/06)

Coal price.106.60 -0.65 -0.61%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.109.90 -3.05 -2.70%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price111.60 -2.60 -2.28%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 113.40 -2.60 -2.24%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price 103.50 -0.95 -0.91%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.103.15 -4.80 -4.45%‼️
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.65 -5.00 -4.60%‼️
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.104.15 -5.10 -4.67%‼️
(Sep/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep) 3986 -139 -3.37%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..429.00 -4.75 -1.10%
SoybeanOil 52.61 -1.14 -2.12%
Wheat..552.00 -17.50 -3.07%‼️

Wood pulp…6066.67 -16.66 -0.27%
(Closed 24/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US europe asia ijo semua, menyusul pengumuman cease fire Israel-Iran walau terus dilanggar… US treasury bond yield down, harusnya sih lanjut ijo, tapi mungkin tutup gap dulu. Apakah akan langsung lanjut wave 3, belum bisa ditebak, dari itungan sih mungkin saja, sudah sampe fibo 38, tapi biasanya sih sampe fibo 50

USD index down, metal2 down kecuali nickel copper, oil down gas down coal down, CPO down, tapi ancaman penutupan selat sama iran masih mungkin, walau sebenernya tanpa itu juga major nya keliatan mau ke atas, tapi minornya terlihat jadi dipaksa turun dulu

IHSG – MFI up, 833 buy, yang lain masih jelek, ada 2 gap di bawah, bahwa mungkin wave 2 nya berhenti di fibo 38 mungkin, tapi masih FNS dan BD dist agak berat untuk langsung ngangkat

Consumer Cyclicals, Financials (tapi big banks masih jelek), Healthcare, Industrials, UNTR LK bagus, Infrastructure, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Property. Masih belum meyakinkan, yang bahaya Energy sama basic materials melemah

Oil Price Chart – MACD sell signal, kecuali konflik memanas lagi sepertinya akan kebawah dulu, prepare buang dulu saham minyak, pantau ketat

Coal Price Chart – udah supertrend buy, 2 hari koreksi tapi ga terlalu besar, macd jadi terlihat mau rev down, ga terkait langsung sama konflik, harusnya sih tetep jalan

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMRT BBCA BBTN BRIS GGRM ICBP MAPI SIDO ERAA MNCN MYOR PWON, big accum cuma GGRM sama PWON

MACD Buy Signal WIFI nerusin stoch nya buy duluan kemaren, tapi overpriced jadi kita skip

Daily Analysis 20230811

By August 11, 2023

August 11th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow ends Thursday slightly higher, lifted by weaker-than-expected inflation data, Disney pops nearly 5%

The Dow Jones Industrial Average

edged higher Thursday, helped by a post-earnings Disney

rally and a key inflation reading showing slightly less year-over-year inflation growth than expected.

Dow……35176 +52.8 +0.18%

Nasdaq13738 +15.98 +0.12%

S&P 500.4469 +1.1 +0.03%

FTSE…..7619 +31.3 +0.41%

Dax……15997 +143.9 +0.91%

CAC……7434 +111.6 +1.52%

Nikkei…32474 +269.3 +0.84%

HSI…….19248 +2.2 +0.01%

Shanghai.3254 +10.1 +0.31%

IDX…..6893.23 +18.16 +0.12%

LQ45….966.48 +1.18 +0.12%

IDX30…501.45 +0.28 +0.06%

IDXEnergy…1940.94 +28.82 +1.51%

IDX BscMat.1098.97 +0.35 +0.03%

IDX Indstrl…1204.59 -7.90 -0.65%

IDXNONCYC.750.22 +0.17 +0.02%

IDX Hlthcare1490.49+1.59 +0.11%

IDXCYCLIC….913.88 -0.89 -0.10%

IDX Techno.4484.67 +30.83 +0.69%

IDX Transp..1873.52 +15.12 +0.81%

IDX Infrast… .858.21 +3.24 +0.38%

IDX Finance.1428.13 -2.54 -0.18%

IDX Banking.1228.06+1.50 +0.12%

IDX Property..755 -2.00 -2.70%

*Indo10Yr.6.3964* -0.0013 -0.02%

*ICBI….369.5720* +0.2564 +0.07%

*US2Yr.4.8500* -0.040 -0.83%

*US5Yr 4.2340 +0.095 +2.30%*

*US10Yr4.1150 +0.1050 +2.62%*

*US30Yr.4.2680 +0.103 +2.47%*

*VIX…….15.85 -0.11 -0.69%*

*USDIndx 102.6230* +0.1330 +0.13%

Como Indx…279.96 -2.08 -0.74%

(Core Commodity CRB)

BCOMIN….142.56 -0.35 -0.24%

*IndoCDS.80.21 -0.02 -0.02%*

(5-yr INOCD5) *(09/08)*

*IDR…..15185.00‼️-4.50 -0.03%*

*Jisdor.15204.00 ‼️-2.00 -0.01%*

*Euro……1.0982 +0.0005 +0.05%*

TLKM…24.57 -0.01 -0.04%

*(3736)*

EIDO….23.10 +0.03 +0.13%

EEM…..40.15 +0.06 +0.15%

*Oil…..82.90‼️ -1.33 -1.58%*

*Gold…1944.90‼️* -4.00 -0.21%

Timah..27259.00 -41.00 -0.15%

*(Closed 09/08)*

Nickel..20430.50 -88.00 -0.43%

(Closed 10/08)

Silver…… 22.76 +0.02 +0.09%

Copper.375.65 -2.95 -0.78%

*Iron Ore 62% 104.70 +0.29 +0.28%*

(09/08)

Nturl Gas.2.7850 -0.0070 -0.25%

*Ammonia China..3366.67 unch +0%*

(Domestic Price)(10/08)

Coal price..143.00 +0.50 +0.35%

(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price.149.00 +0.75 +0.51%

(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price.152.25 +1.35 +0.89%

(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.155.50 +1.25 +0.81%

(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price117.50 +1.65 +1.42%

(Agt/Rotterdam)

Coal price.120.25 -0.35 -0.29%

(Sept/ Rotterdam)

Coal price.120.55 -0.10 -0.08%

(Oct/Rotterdam)

Coal price.122.10 -0.30 -0.25%

(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3727 -38 -1.00%

(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………496.25 +2.00 +0.40%

SoybeanOil 60.48 +0.05 +0.08%

Wheat……663.75 +2.00 +0.40%

*Wood pulp..4620.00‼️* +20 +0.43%

(Closed 09/08)

Broker Code: *_AT_*

_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia

_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US ijo europe ijo, asia ijo, ayo ijo lagi IHSG hari ini…

USD index naik, kebanyakan commodities turun kecuali silver, iron ore sama coal. Bagus buat PTBA dkk, tapi tambang mineral mineral logam jadi kurang OK