Daily Analysis 20230619

June 19th, 2023

Good morning,

S&P 500 breaks six-day win streak on Friday, but still notches best week since March

Stocks slipped on Friday as Wall Street closed out a huge week in which investors received a pause on rate hikes from the Federal Reserve, plus encouraging inflation data.

Dow……34299 -108.9 -0.32%
Nasdaq13690 -93.3 -0.68%
S&P 500.4410 -16.3 -0.37%

FTSE…..7643 +14.5 +0.19%
Dax……16358 +67.5 +0.41%
CAC……7389 +97.7 +1.34%

Nikkei…..33706 +220.6 +0.66%
HSI………20040 +211.5 +1.07%
Shanghai.3273 +20.4 +0.63%

IDX…..6699.79 -15.25 -0.23%
LQ45….952.16 -0.11 -0.01%
IDX30…495.55 +0.07 +0.01%

IDXEnergy…1799.60 -4.97 -0.28%
IDX BscMat.1008.36 +4.26. +0.42%
IDX Indstrl…1176.63 +0.25 +0.02%
IDXNONCYC.744.65 -3.51 -0.47%
IDX Hlthcare1506.37 -10.05 -0.66%
IDXCYCLIC…881.64 -3.74 -0.42%
IDX Techno.5033.13 +134.11 +2.74%
IDX Transp..1920.87 -3.87 -0.20%
IDX Infrast…..854.61 -5.12 -0.60%
IDX Finance.1394.67 -2.02 -0.14%
IDX Banking.1171.89 -1.35 -0.11%
IDX Property..733 -3.10 -0.42%

Indo10Yr.6.3480 -0.0021-0.03%
ICBI..366.7286 +0.0034 +0.00%
US2Yr.4.7200 +0.079 +1.70%
US5Yr 3.9860 +0.073 +1.87%
US10Yr3.7670+0.047 +1.26%
US30Yr.3.8530+0.022 +0.57%
VIX……13.54 -0.96 -6.62%👍

USDIndx102.2430 +0.1280 +0.13%
Como Indx.270.91 +3.99 +1.50%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……149.00 +0.39 +0.26%

IndoCDS.83.21👍 -0.02 -0.02%
(5-yr INOCD5) (16/06)

IDR…..14940.00‼ -14.00 -0.09%
Jisdor.14945.00‼ +2.00 +0.01%

Euro……1.0937 -0.0010 -0.09%

TLKM…26.71 -0.37 -1.37%
(3992)
EIDO….23.21 -0.24 -1.02%
EEM…..40.88 -0.14 -0.34%

Oil……71.78 +1.24 +1.76%
Gold…1971.20 +1.10 +0.06%
Timah..26762.00 +463.00 +1.73%
(Closed 15/06)
Nickel..22943.50 -32.00 -0.14%
(Closed 16/06)
Silver……24.34 +0.38 +1.59%
Copper..389.85. +0.40 +0.10%

Iron Ore 62% 113.02 +0.09 +0.08%
(16/06)
Nturl Gas.2.619 +0.069 +2.55%

Coal price.128.45 -7.50 -5.52%‼
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.133.05 -6.65 -4.76%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.65 -6.30 -4.44%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.40 -5.90 -4.09%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price115.05 -1.40 -1.20%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.115.00 -1.80 -1.54%
(Jul/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.112.65 -1.40 -1.23%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.112.65 -1.70 -1.50%
(Sept/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)..3742 +236 +6.73%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……597.50 +23.00 +4.00%‼
SoybeanOil 57.87 +1.42 +2.52%
Wheat…701.50 +28.75 +4.27%‼

Wood pulp..4300.00 unch +0%
(Closed 18/06)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US akhirnya merah, europe ijo, asia ijo tapi idx merah, masih sideways dulu ini kayanya

Oil gas ijo, coal drop, gold silver copper timah ijo, nickel merah tipis iron ore ijo, masih lanjut buat tambang2 mineral, ANTM MDKA TINS harusnya lanjut, saham coal kayanya minor correction dulu, walau secara technical harusnya masih ada upside. CPO jump, AALI LSIP menarik sesuai analisis jum’at, tapi amannya tunggu pullback

IHSG – belum kuat kalo caranya gini, BD acc tapi FF masih dist terus, stoch up macd up MFI up w% uptrend, 2 candle terakhir low lower shadow, selalu ditarik ke atas, harusnya sih mantul, tapi pasti geraknya nunggu foreign pada entry lagi

Masih Energy dan Basic Materials, yang leading tinggal Industrials sama Healthcare

Stochastic Buy Signal: INCO WIFI LTLS

Alligator Buy Signal: BABP SGRO

Supertrend Buy Signal: ANTM BUKA EMTK LSIP

INCO – stoch macd buy but sw, freq spike, BD FF dist, ada gap dibawah,MFI sw, w% sw, harga nikel jum’at merah, kita check spike tapi kayanya belum dulu, malah lebih ok BOW di gap closing

Freq spike ok, BOW at gap closing

WIFI – stoch buy macd up, BD last day acc, FF juga, ga berani sih ngejar yang beginian… Check spike

Udah selesai hajatannya, skip

LTLS – ini juga beres hajatan dicuekin sama bandarnya, udah drop, lagi sideways, ada freq spike, tanda2 mau hajatan lagi, tapi BD FF masih dist. Dari gorengan terakhir udah turun ke fibo 38, mungkin udah beres dituruninnya

Yang doyan gorengan dengan fundamental lumayan bagus, bisa entry ini, ada spike bagus, mau bagi deviden juga

PBV PER masih ok, profit terus, bagi deviden terus, ga kaya saham gorengan lainya

Masuk kategori value investing sih

ANTM – stoch up macd up,MFI up w% up, BD acc FF last da NFB tipis, mantul dari fibo 23, forming CNH, yang punya hold, yang belum bisa BOW

EMTK – stoch up macd up, MFI up w% uptrend, BD FF big acc last day, reg bull div confirmed jalan, vol breakout, yang punya hold, yang belum kalo mau spec buy di tengah candle jum’at, jangan ngejar di atas

NEWS UPDATE!!!!

EMTK: ELANG MAHKOTA TEKNOLOGI (EMTK) BAKAL BAGIKAN DIVIDEN TUNAI Rp5 PER SAHAM

Berita selengkapnya:
http://www.iqplus.info/news/stock_news/emtk-elang-mahkota-teknologi–emtk–bakal-bagikan-dividen-tunai-rp5-per-saham,16930223.html

Belum ada spike baru, yang terakhir agak kurang valid karena abis spike harga turun walau ga drop

LSIP – stoch up macd up MFI up w% uptrend, BD FF rev acc, reg bull div confirmed, udah bikin higher low tapi cuma di satu candle, kurang firm bahwa udah ready untuk rally, closing candle breakout resistance with volume, yang porto kosong ok buat buy dari awal buy signal MACD sih, sekarang hold, yang belum punya bisa BOW sekarang di support 1015. Yang mau aman sabar tunggu ada pull back firm bikin higher low

Spike bagus…