DAily Analysis 20230615

June 15th, 2023

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes nearly flat after Fed leaves rates unchanged, signals more hikes are coming

Stocks gyrated on Wednesday as the Federal Reserve paused its rate-hiking campaign and signaled it was making progress on fighting inflation

Dow……33979 -232.8 -0.68%
Nasdaq13626 +53.2 +0.39%
S&P 500.4373 +3.6 +0.08%

FTSE…..7603 +7.96 +0.10%
Dax……16311 +80.1 +0.49%
CAC……7328 +37.7 +0.52%

Nikkei…..33502 +483.8 +1.47%
HSI………19408 -113.0 -0.58%
Shanghai.3229 -4.7 -0.14%

IDX…..6699.72 -19.30 -0.29%
LQ45….949.81 -2.77 -0.29%
IDX30…494.00 -2.11 -0.42%

IDXEnergy…1791.15 +13.85 +0.78%
IDX BscMat…997.92 +12.65 +1.28%
IDX Indstrl…1180.20 +11.51 +0.98%
IDXNONCYC.747.61 -0.47 -0.06%
IDX Hlthcare1507.53 -18.80 -1.23%
IDXCYCLIC…884.65 -4.06 -0.46%
IDX Techno..4881.67 -51.97 -1.06%
IDX Transp..1958.33 +0.68 +0.03%
IDX Infrast…..854.51 +1.75 +0.21%
IDX Finance.1400.13 -4.75 -0.34%
IDX Banking.1172.08 -7.33 -0.67%
IDX Property..744 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.3417 -0.0124 -0.20%👍
ICBI..366.9494 +0.2153 +0.06%👍
US2Yr.4.707 +0.038 +0.81%
US5Yr 3.994 -0.007 -0.17%
US10Yr3.7940-0.020 -0.52%
US30Yr.3.8930-0.031 -0.79%
VIX……13.88 -0.73 -5.00%👍

USDIndx102.9480 -0.3900 -0.38%
Como Indx.260.27 -0.54 -0.21%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……148.03 +2.80 +1.93%

*IndoCDS.84.20👍 +0.01 +0.01%*[
(5-yr INOCD5) (13/06)

IDR…..14906.50‼ +43.00 +0.29%
Jisdor.14895.00‼ +27.00 +0.18%

Euro……1.0834 +0.0042 +0.39%

TLKM…26.83 +0.03 +0.11%
(3996)
EIDO….23.46 -0.02 -0.09%
EEM…..40.64 +0.30 +0.74%

Oil……68.64 -0.52 -0.75%
Gold…1957.00 -0.90 -0.05%
Timah..26065.00 +164.00 +0.63%
(Closed 13/06)
Nickel..22683.50 +635.50 +2.88%‼
(Closed 14/06)
Silver……24.00 +0.25 +1.05%
Copper..385.70. +2.80 +0.73%

Iron Ore 62% 112.45 +1.31 +1.18
(13/06)
Nturl Gas.2.338 +0.010 +0.42%

Coal price.132.00 -0.25 -0.19%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.15 -1.10 -0.80%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.60 -1.05 -0.75%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.141.55 -0.95 -0.67%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price116.40 -1.10 -0.94%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.116.80 +1.05 +0.91%
(Jul/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.114.20 +1.60 +1.42%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.113.15 +1.70 +1.53%
(Sept/Rotterdam)

CPO(Agt)..3450 +28 +0.81%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……549.25 -2.00 -0.36%
SoybeanOil 53.71 +0.16 +0.30%
Wheat…630.25 -6.00 -0.94%

Wood pulp..4314.00 -20 -0.46%
(Closed 13/06)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI merah nasdaq ijo, europe ijo, asia varied, Fed Rate flat, signal bagus buat saham

Oil Coal merah, gas ijo, gold merah lagi tipis, silver copper ijo, timah nickel iron ore ijo, secara umum buat tambang mineral masih ok

IHSG – masih FF dist akhirnya kejedot fibo 23 terus koreksi begitu BD mulai dist juga… stoch masih up, macd up, MFI sw, w% down, minor IHNS in the making, kalo bener level support nya udah touched hari ini, tinggal mantul

Masih Energy dan Basic Materials, technology mulai goyang, transportation healthcare sama industrials masih ok

Stochastic Buy Signal: ASII MBSS SGRO

MACD Buy Signal: TOWR BTPS HEAL LPPF

Alligator Buy Signal: TOWR ADHI MIKA MYOR PTPP SGER

Supertrend Buy Signal: TKIM

ASII – udah di wave 5, udah ketemu reg bear div, stoch bolak balik, bukan saat yang baik untuk entry

MBSS – stoch buy macd still down, MFI sw, w% sw, BD FF dist tipis, ada gap ditutup pake long lower shadow, niat banget siap siap rally lagi, tunggu MACD

Spike udah hampir closed, belum ada spike baru setelahnya

TOWR – stoch up, macd buy, BD FF acc, mfi up, w% uptrend, triangle mau breakout ke atas, harusnya bisa buy tapi sektornya kurang ok

Belum dulu sih, ga ada spike

BTPS – stoch up macd buy, BD FF masih dist, MFI up w% up, reg bull div confirmed, consider spec buy, check spike

Ada spike tinggi walau pas harga agak turun, tapi ga drop, masih bisa dianggap valid. Spec buy half, stop loss ketat di break previous low

HEAL – stoch up, macd buy, BD FF acc, MFI sw, w% sw, reg bull div confirmed, udah bikin higher low, harga dibawah vol profile average, BUY

Spike cakep banget

MIKA – stoch up, macd up, MFI sw, w% up, BD acc, FF rev acc, abis drop ketemu regbull div, udah naik, udah koreksi lagi bikin higher low, lagi forming triangle, belum breakout.

Udah ada 2 spike lumayan target 3000 an, valid bukan spike jual kaya yang sebelumnya di april. Bisa spec buy, tapi karena sideways gini lebih aman BOB